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Nagasaki vs Kyoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 May 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 63-84
20-19 9-22 18-26 16-17
Position#1
Record47-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Kyoto 🏆
Japan
Position#20
Record19-40
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game81.5
JapanB League· Happiness Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nagasaki v Kyoto
13 Apr 2027
NAGA v KYOT
upcoming
03 May 2026
NAGA63
KYOT84
02 May 2026
NAGA105
KYOT94
29 Oct 2025
NAGA91
KYOT73
27 Apr 2025
NAGA66
KYOT79
26 Apr 2025
NAGA71
KYOT87
17 Jan 2024
NAGA75
KYOT81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kyoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
97-103
97
103
-6
91avg 87
H08/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
80-82
80
82
-2
73avg 87
A11/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
90-89
90
89
+1
85avg 87
A12/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
82-83
82
83
-1
74avg 87
H15/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
90-69
90
69
+21
86avg 87
A18/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
109-103 OT
109
103
+6
104avg 87
A19/04
B League
Shimane
#14
W
106-74
106
74
+32
109avg 87
H22/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
83-73
83
73
+10
75avg 87
A25/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
91-69
91
69
+22
92avg 87
A26/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
105-94
105
94
+11
103avg 87
H02/05
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
31-26
23-30
19-20
15-17
18-27
20-22
27-16
25-20
23-16
21-29
21-24
20-26
18-21
23-21
21-15
17-15
29-18
32-12
12-24
18-27
26-28
18-20
31-18
23-19
32-12
29-21
22-22
22-18
26-20
10-17
25-18
29-17
21-17
29-20
12-15
25-19
34-31
17-29
29-15
177.2Avg total
93.3Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)91.779.6171.3+12.180%
Season at home (29)92.580.1172.6+12.483%
Season away (30)90.979.2170.1+11.777%
Last 10 (10)93.383.9177.2+9.470%
Last 5 (5)98.882.6181.4+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)89.482.4171.7+7.068%
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKyoto
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
90-82 OT
90
82
+8
93avg 69
H08/04
B League
Saga
#12
L
89-90
89
90
-1
87avg 69
A11/04
B League
Saga
#12
W
87-83
87
83
+4
85avg 69
A12/04
B League
Shimane
#14
L
75-76
75
76
-1
70avg 69
A15/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
84-89
84
89
-5
85avg 69
H18/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
85-94
85
94
-9
90avg 69
H19/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
66-84
66
84
-18
60avg 69
A22/04
B League
Osaka
#17
W
88-78
88
78
+10
91avg 69
H25/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
83-92
83
92
-9
83avg 69
H26/04
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
94-105
94
105
-11
90avg 69
A02/05
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
18-19
24-23
13-17
23-26
25-25
18-17
23-22
22-20
19-20
29-25
17-18
18-15
21-26
22-15
14-20
15-29
22-13
18-20
29-27
24-23
22-22
21-30
18-19
18-20
14-23
12-27
22-14
25-17
19-27
24-26
20-8
22-27
20-28
23-21
18-16
19-25
31-34
29-17
15-29
171.4Avg total
84.1Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)74.581.5156.0-7.132%
Season at home (30)76.079.3155.3-3.343%
Season away (29)72.983.9156.8-11.021%
Last 10 (10)84.187.3171.4-3.230%
Last 5 (5)83.290.6173.8-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)78.583.7162.1-5.235%
vs Similar (5)75.677.4153.0-1.860%
vs Weaker (2)83.077.0160.0+6.050%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
NagasakiKyoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H08/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A11/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A12/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H15/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A18/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A19/04
B League
Shimane
#14
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H22/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A25/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A26/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H02/05
B League
89.7Avg total
47.6Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.841.886.7+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.543.892.3+4.669%-
Last 30 away (17)42.140.382.4+1.859%-
Last 10 (10)47.642.189.7+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)51.241.692.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)37.540.578.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)45.441.987.3+3.464%-
This opponent (Kyoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KyotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H08/04
B League
Saga
#12
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A11/04
B League
Saga
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A12/04
B League
Shimane
#14
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A15/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H18/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H19/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A22/04
B League
Osaka
#17
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H25/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H26/04
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A02/05
B League
87.2Avg total
41.7Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.043.182.1-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.441.680.1-3.238%-
Last 30 away (14)39.744.784.4-5.021%-
Last 10 (10)41.745.587.2-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)42.849.292.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)39.443.783.2-4.326%-
vs Similar (5)38.040.678.6-2.660%-
vs Weaker (2)37.041.578.5-4.50%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.121.9
62.4%
53.1%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.611.6
37.9%
33.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws18.614.6
78.5%
73.1%14.6
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kyototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kyoto: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.320.0
55.1%
53.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.6
40.3%
33.7%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.812.3
73.2%
73.1%12.3
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WWWWWWLWLL
Kyoto
LLWLLLLWLW
#1
League position
#20
+10.6
Net rating
-3.8
106.0
Offensive rating
98.7
95.4
Defensive rating
102.4
59.8%
Effective FG%
57.3%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
15.2%
Turnover %
18.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.9%
3-point %
40.3%
66.9%
Assist %
79.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 98.7Defence95.4 · 102.4Shooting59.8% · 57.3%3-point %37.9% · 40.3%Ball care15.2% · 18.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Kyoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Nagasaki wins
4
Kyoto wins
DateGameScore
02/05/26Nagasaki v Kyoto105-94
11/03/26Kyoto v Nagasaki80-90
29/10/25Nagasaki v Kyoto91-73
27/04/25Nagasaki v Kyoto66-79
26/04/25Nagasaki v Kyoto71-87
23/03/25Kyoto v Nagasaki63-84
22/03/25Kyoto v Nagasaki88-68
06/05/24Kyoto v Nagasaki102-105 OT
05/05/24Kyoto v Nagasaki65-82
10/04/24Kyoto v Nagasaki82-78
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/26HKyoto105-94
26/04/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles91-69
25/04/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles83-73
22/04/26HShimane106-74
19/04/26AIbaraki Robots109-103 OT
18/04/26AIbaraki Robots90-69
15/04/26HHiroshima D.82-83
12/04/26AHokkaido90-89
11/04/26AHokkaido80-82
08/04/26HNeoPhoenix97-103
Kyotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/26ANagasaki94-105
26/04/26HOsaka83-92
25/04/26HOsaka88-78
22/04/26AGunma66-84
19/04/26HSeaHorses Mikawa85-94
18/04/26HSeaHorses Mikawa84-89
15/04/26AShimane75-76
12/04/26ASaga87-83
11/04/26ASaga89-90
08/04/26HDiamond Dolphins90-82 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWLLWW83%
AwayWWWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games592930
Win %80%83%77%
Points / game91.792.590.9
Allowed / game79.680.179.2
Point differential+12.1+12.4+11.7
Avg total171.3172.6170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%66%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Kyoto
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL32%
HomeWLLWL43%
AwayLWLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593029
Win %32%43%21%
Points / game74.576.072.9
Allowed / game81.579.383.9
Point differential-7.1-3.3-11.0
Avg total156.0155.3156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)33% (6)33% (6)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki59471280%91.779.6+12.1
2 Utsunomiya Brex59451476%85.879.8+5.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa59431673%84.077.5+6.5
4 Gunma59411869%83.172.8+10.3
5 Diamond Dolphins59411869%82.974.7+8.2
6 Chiba59411869%84.176.7+7.5
7 Ryukyu59411869%82.075.1+6.9
8 Alvark59411869%81.377.2+4.0
9 Hokkaido59362361%88.286.6+1.6
10 Sendai59352459%82.779.7+3.0
11 NeoPhoenix59352459%85.783.2+2.6
12 Hiroshima D.59312853%85.983.8+2.1
13 Saga59312853%82.281.9+0.3
14 Shimane59283147%79.781.0-1.3
15 Yokohama59263344%79.381.6-2.3
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya59243541%76.580.4-3.8
17 Osaka59233639%81.283.0-1.8
18 Shiga59233639%80.685.2-4.6
19 Koshigaya Alphas59203934%75.382.2-6.9
20 Altiri Chiba59194032%78.884.0-5.2
21 Kyoto59194032%74.581.5-7.1
22 Ibaraki Robots59184131%75.981.4-5.5
23 Nagoya Fighting Eagles59174229%79.884.8-5.0
24 Toyama59174229%81.588.5-7.1
25 Brave Thunders59154425%75.784.0-8.3
26 Akita59104917%73.385.5-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki209181663
Kyoto1922261784
← all games of the day
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