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Neptunas vs Basket Napoli Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-94
20-24 25-23 20-24 20-23
Position#29
Record1-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game90.5
Vs
46%
54%
■ NEP 46%■ NAP 54%
Pythia win probability
Projected 89-90
Projected total 179.3
Position#2
Record4-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game83.5
EuropeEurocupRound 5· Svyturio Arena
European cup2026
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Neptunas host Basket Napoli in the EuroCup. Pythia makes Basket Napoli the favourite at 54% and projects 89-90, about 179 points in all (over 171.5: 67%). On the market's main spread (Neptunas +4) Pythia gives Neptunas 57% to cover. Overtime chance: 5%. Neptunas are 1-3 this season (84.8 scored, 90.5 allowed a game), form LWWLW; Basket Napoli are 4-0 this season (92.0 scored, 83.5 allowed a game), form WWLWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
45.6%fair 2.19
Best odds2.63
Implied38.1%
Edge+7.5pp
Basket Napoli winWon
54.4%fair 1.84
Best odds1.54
Implied61.9%
Edge-7.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 28 Oct 12:17 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
W
99-84
99
84
+15
97avg 83
H23/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
71avg 83
A26/09
LKL
Trento
#26
L
73-76
73
76
-3
66avg 83
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
89-62
89
62
+27
92avg 83
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#7
L
84-93
84
93
-9
76avg 83
A07/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 83
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#24
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 83
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 83
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#12
L
89-104
89
104
-15
81avg 83
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
W
110-88
110
88
+22
108avg 83
H25/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
31-20
28-20
22-28
24-18
20-16
27-24
7-29
15-21
21-15
15-23
22-17
34-10
21-12
14-19
20-21
15-31
24-26
27-18
18-18
22-18
18-22
21-27
16-19
32-14
19-29
17-24
25-22
29-24
19-21
17-21
19-17
22-31
20-25
26-24
21-24
25-23
26-17
31-26
28-22
172.8Avg total
87.6Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.890.5175.2-5.825%
Season at home (2)83.082.5165.5+0.550%
Season away (2)86.598.5185.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)87.685.2172.8+2.450%
Last 5 (5)90.690.0180.6+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)81.893.8175.6-12.00%
vs Similar (11)82.681.6164.3+1.055%
vs Weaker (14)93.986.6180.4+7.357%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNapoli
Date
Competition
Udine
#13
W
98-71
98
71
+27
92avg 80
H10/05
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#5
W
94-75
94
75
+19
94avg 80
A27/09
Lega A
JL Bourg
#24
W
84-76
84
76
+8
76avg 80
H30/09
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
W
99-93
99
93
+6
95avg 80
H03/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
W
93-75
93
75
+18
94avg 80
A06/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#16
W
99-80
99
80
+19
90avg 80
A11/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
86-82
86
82
+4
84avg 80
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
82-98
82
98
-16
72avg 80
H18/10
Lega A
Tofas
#5
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
99avg 80
H21/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#14
W
92-90
92
90
+2
86avg 80
A25/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
26-15
29-22
27-13
21-18
24-24
26-12
23-21
19-17
28-20
18-13
19-26
23-34
27-15
26-28
23-16
25-19
28-14
22-18
18-24
20-19
29-22
17-20
33-19
22-18
18-19
21-24
25-21
25-18
13-23
23-25
21-32
29-20
24-22
20-24
20-27
19-26
22-21
26-17
25-26
177.3Avg total
93.2Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.083.5175.5+8.5100%
Season at home (2)94.588.5183.0+6.0100%
Season away (2)89.578.5168.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)93.284.1177.3+9.190%
Last 5 (5)92.890.2183.0+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.796.2176.8-15.50%
vs Similar (17)87.184.2171.3+2.853%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)92.481.6174.0+10.9100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1351%1402%1453%1505%1557%1609%16511%17012%17512%18011%1859%1906%1955%2003%2052%2101%2151%2200%225
0%1352%1455%1559%16512%17511%1856%1953%2051%2150%225
Pythia expects about 179 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 175-179 (12%). The market's main line is 171.5.
Over/Under 166.5Actual: Over 166.5
Over 166.5
77.2%
@ 1.38+8.1pp
Under 166.5
22.8%
@ 3.20-8.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.29
Under
Betano
3.20
Bet365
2.80
Over/Under 171.5 · main lineActual: Over 171.5
Over 171.5
67.1%
@ 1.91+11.8pp
Under 171.5
32.9%
@ 2.60-11.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.90
Bet365
1.64
1xBet
1.61
Marathon Be
1.49
Under
Betano
2.60
Marathon Be
2.12
Bet365
2.12
1xBet
1.91
BetVictor
1.90
Over/Under 176.5Actual: Over 176.5
Over 176.5
55.7%
@ 2.05+3.0pp
Under 176.5
44.3%
@ 2.02-3.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.05
1xBet
1.86
Pinnacle
1.81
Marathon Be
1.80
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
2.02
Pinnacle
2.01
Marathon Be
1.87
Bet365
1.68
1xBet
1.65

📊 3. Team Totals

Neptunas total 80.5Actual: Neptunas over 80.5
Over 80.5
78.0%
@ 1.43+13.1pp
Under 80.5
22.0%
@ 3.05-13.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.43
1xBet
1.39
Betano
1.29
Under
Betano
3.05
Bet365
2.65
1xBet
2.36
Neptunas total 84.5 · main lineActual: Neptunas over 84.5
Over 84.5
65.6%
@ 1.85+13.6pp
Under 84.5
34.4%
@ 2.20-13.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.75
1xBet
1.65
Betano
1.57
Under
Betano
2.20
BetVictor
1.91
Marathon Be
1.90
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Neptunas total 88.5Actual: Neptunas under 88.5
Over 88.5
51.4%
@ 2.40+12.2pp
Under 88.5
48.6%
@ 1.65-12.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.40
1xBet
2.22
Betano
2.07
Under
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.52
1xBet
1.43
Basket Napoli total 84.5Actual: Basket Napoli over 84.5
Over 84.5
70.7%
@ 1.40+4.7pp
Under 84.5
29.3%
@ 3.25-4.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.26
Under
Betano
3.25
Bet365
2.72
1xBet
2.33
Basket Napoli total 88.5 · main lineActual: Basket Napoli over 88.5
Over 88.5
56.5%
@ 1.85+4.0pp
Under 88.5
43.5%
@ 2.32-4.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.59
Betano
1.52
Under
Betano
2.32
BetVictor
1.91
1xBet
1.89
Bet365
1.83
Basket Napoli total 92.5Actual: Basket Napoli over 92.5
Over 92.5
41.5%
@ 2.30+0.4pp
Under 92.5
58.5%
@ 1.72-0.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.30
1xBet
2.11
Betano
1.98
Under
Betano
1.72
Bet365
1.55
1xBet
1.47

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-331%-301%-272%-243%-215%-186%-157%-129%-910%-69%-36%+09%+38%+67%+95%+124%+153%+182%+211%+241%+270%+30
1%-302%-245%-187%-1210%-66%+08%+65%+123%+181%+240%+30
Margin from Neptunas's side (positive = Neptunas win). Pythia's expected margin is -1.3; Neptunas win by 1+ in 40% of simulations.
Spread Neptunas +1Actual: Basket Napoli -1
NEP +1
46.9%
@ 2.50+6.1pp
NAP -1
53.1%
@ 1.60-6.1pp
Best 5 market prices
NEP
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.32
Marathon Be
2.22
NAP
Pinnacle
1.60
Marathon Be
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Spread Neptunas +4 · main lineActual: Basket Napoli -4
NEP +4
57.5%
@ 1.94+8.4pp
NAP -4
42.5%
@ 1.87-8.4pp
Best 5 market prices
NEP
Pinnacle
1.94
Bet365
1.86
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.81
NAP
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Be
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Spread Neptunas +7Actual: Basket Napoli -7
NEP +7
67.8%
@ 1.59+7.3pp
NAP -7
32.2%
@ 2.39-7.3pp
Best 5 market prices
NEP
Marathon Be
1.59
Bet365
1.58
Pinnacle
1.56
NAP
Pinnacle
2.39
Bet365
2.22
Marathon Be
2.10

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
NeptunasBasket Napoli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#7
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H23/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#3
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A26/09
LKL
Trento
#26
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H29/09
Eurocup
Nevezis
#10
W
55-22
55
22
+33
H03/10
LKL
Chemnitz
#7
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A07/10
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#24
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#12
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H25/10
LKL
86.4Avg total
45.5Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 86.5
Last 30 (30)45.742.688.3+3.157%57%
Last 30 at home (17)46.842.188.8+4.759%59%
Last 30 away (13)44.343.387.6+1.054%54%
Last 10 (10)45.540.986.4+4.660%50%
Last 5 (5)46.444.891.2+1.660%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)41.049.490.4-8.40%60%
vs Similar (11)44.438.783.1+5.673%36%
vs Weaker (14)48.443.291.6+5.264%71%
This opponent (Basket Napoli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket NapoliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H10/05
Lega A
Maxima Roma
#5
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A27/09
Lega A
JL Bourg
#24
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H30/09
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H03/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A06/10
Eurocup
Cantu
#16
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A11/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A14/10
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H18/10
Lega A
Tofas
#5
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/10
Eurocup
Tortona
#14
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A25/10
Lega A
86.3Avg total
45.8Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 86.5
Last 30 (30)43.040.983.9+2.067%40%
Last 30 at home (15)42.837.780.5+5.173%33%
Last 30 away (15)43.144.187.3-1.060%47%
Last 10 (10)45.840.586.3+5.380%50%
Last 5 (5)44.241.685.8+2.660%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.745.085.7-4.350%33%
vs Similar (17)42.439.581.9+2.865%35%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)46.440.987.3+5.686%57%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Basket Napoli win
NEP win
48.3%
@ 2.43+9.2pp
NAP win
51.7%
@ 1.58-9.2pp
1st half Spread Neptunas +2 · main linePush
NEP +2
56.6%
@ 1.95+7.7pp
NAP -2
43.4%
@ 1.87-7.7pp
1st half Over/Under 86.5 · main lineActual: Over 86.5
Over
62.3%
@ 1.83+10.7pp
Under
37.7%
@ 2.22-10.7pp
Neptunas 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Neptunas over 42.5
Over
62.0%
@ 1.86+11.3pp
Under
38.0%
@ 2.02-11.3pp
Basket Napoli 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: Basket Napoli over 44.5
Over
53.6%
@ 1.83+2.2pp
Under
46.4%
@ 2.12-2.2pp
1st half: NEP + total 86.5
NEP & over
29.5%
@ 4.50+10.2pp
NEP & under
16.9%
@ 4.75-1.5pp
1st half: Draw + total 86.5
Draw & over
2.4%
@ 26.00-1.0pp
Draw & under
1.7%
@ 26.00-1.7pp
1st half: NAP + total 86.5
NAP & over
30.4%
@ 3.05+1.9pp
NAP & under
19.2%
@ 3.20-8.0pp
1st half Over/Under 85.25Actual: Over 85.25
Over
65.9%
@ 1.72+13.4pp
Under
34.1%
@ 1.90-13.4pp
1st half Over/Under 87.75Actual: Over 87.75
Over
58.5%
@ 1.89+10.6pp
Under
41.5%
@ 1.74-10.6pp
1st half Spread Neptunas +1Actual: Basket Napoli -1
NEP +1
52.5%
@ 2.16+8.6pp
NAP -1
47.5%
@ 1.69-8.6pp
1st half Spread Neptunas +3Actual: Neptunas +3
NEP +3
60.8%
@ 1.82+7.4pp
NAP -3
39.2%
@ 2.04-7.4pp
1st half Over/Under 89Actual: Over 89
Over
53.0%
@ 1.93+3.6pp
Under
47.0%
@ 1.88-3.6pp
1st half Spread Neptunas 0Actual: Basket Napoli 0
NEP 0
48.3%
@ 2.20+5.9pp
NAP 0
51.7%
@ 1.62-5.9pp
1st half Over/Under 82.5Actual: Over 82.5
Over
75.6%
@ 1.47+12.2pp
Under
24.3%
@ 2.55-12.2pp
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Basket Napoli (regulation)
NEP
46.4%
@ 2.40+8.2pp
Draw
4.0%
@ 17.50-1.3pp
NAP
49.6%
@ 1.67-6.3pp

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
NEP win + total 172.5
🔒 Pro
NAP win + total 172.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: NEP leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: NAP leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (NEP:NAP): NEP wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Neptunas over 8371.3%1.66
1xBet
1.66
----+19.2ppWon
1st half: Neptunas over 4170.5%1.62
1xBet
1.62
----+17.2ppWon
1st half: Neptunas over 38.580.5%1.37
1xBet
1.37
----+16.5ppWon
Q2: Over 40.572.0%1.53
1xBet
1.53
----+14.8ppWon
Neptunas over 79.580.7%1.34
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.24
--+14.4ppWon
Q1: Neptunas over 2070.4%1.54
1xBet
1.54
----+14.3ppPush
Q1: Neptunas over 18.578.7%1.36
1xBet
1.36
----+13.9ppWon
1st half: Neptunas over 39.576.5%1.44
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.39
---+13.8ppWon
Neptunas over 82.572.2%1.49
Bet365
1.58
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.40
--+13.4ppWon
Neptunas over 76.587.4%1.23
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
---+13.2ppWon
1st half: Neptunas over 37.584.1%1.31
Bet365
1.31
----+13.1ppWon
Neptunas over 80.578.0%1.37
Bet365
1.43
1xBet
1.39
Betano
1.29
--+13.1ppWon
Neptunas over 81.575.2%1.43
Bet365
1.54
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.34
--+13.0ppWon
Neptunas over 77.585.4%1.26
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.24
---+12.5ppWon
Over 16678.6%1.40
Bet365
1.40
----+12.3ppWon
1st half: Over 80.581.3%1.35
Bet365
1.35
----+12.3ppWon
1st half: Over 82.575.6%1.47
Bet365
1.47
----+12.2ppWon
1st half: Neptunas over 40.572.0%1.48
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.47
---+11.9ppWon
Q2: Neptunas over 18.576.3%1.36
1xBet
1.36
----+11.9ppWon
Neptunas over 78.583.1%1.28
Bet365
1.31
Betano
1.25
---+11.4ppWon
1st half: Over 78.585.7%1.25
Bet365
1.25
----+11.2ppWon
Over 17070.7%1.50
Bet365
1.55
Marathon Bet
1.44
---+11.0ppWon
Over 163.582.3%1.29
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29
---+11.0ppWon
1st half: Neptunas over 35.589.8%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+10.9ppWon
Neptunas over 73.592.3%1.14
Bet365
1.14
----+10.8ppWon
1st half: Over 76.589.6%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+10.8ppWon
Over 16874.8%1.45
Bet365
1.45
----+10.6ppWon
Over 16776.8%1.40
Bet365
1.40
----+10.5ppWon
Neptunas over 75.589.2%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+10.4ppWon
Neptunas over 74.590.8%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+10.3ppWon
Over 16972.8%1.48
Bet365
1.50
Marathon Bet
1.45
---+10.3ppWon
Q2: Basket Napoli over 19.572.6%1.40
1xBet
1.40
----+10.3ppWon
Over 169.571.4%1.47
1xBet
1.61
Bet365
1.52
Marathon Bet
1.42
Betano
1.34
-+10.1ppWon
Over 164.580.7%1.31
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
---+10.1ppWon
2nd half: Neptunas over 39.572.8%1.39
1xBet
1.39
----+10.1ppWon
Over 165.579.0%1.33
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.29
---+9.9ppWon
Q4: Basket Napoli over 19.572.5%1.39
1xBet
1.39
----+9.7ppWon
Neptunas +9.574.5%1.43
Betano
1.45
Marathon Bet
1.44
Bet365
1.41
--+9.7ppWon
Neptunas +15.587.2%1.19
Betano
1.19
----+9.7ppWon
Over 158.589.1%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+9.6ppWon
1st half: Neptunas +6.573.7%1.40
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.38
--+9.5ppWon
Neptunas +10.577.0%1.38
Marathon Bet
1.39
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.35
--+9.3ppWon
1st half: Neptunas +5.570.0%1.46
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.46
Bet365
1.43
--+9.3ppWon
Neptunas over 71.594.6%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+9.1ppWon
Neptunas +11.579.4%1.31
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30
---+9.1ppWon
Q1: Neptunas over 19.572.4%1.46
1xBet
1.50
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.42
--+9.0ppWon
Neptunas +1076.4%1.39
Marathon Bet
1.41
Bet365
1.37
---+8.9ppWon
Neptunas +12.581.6%1.27
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.26
---+8.8ppWon
Neptunas +973.7%1.45
Marathon Bet
1.47
Bet365
1.43
---+8.8ppPush
1st half: Neptunas over 33.593.8%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+8.8ppWon
Q1: Neptunas over 17.584.1%1.23
Bet365
1.23
----+8.8ppWon
Q1: Neptunas +4.573.2%1.40
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.39
---+8.8ppWon
Neptunas over 72.593.5%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+8.5ppWon
Neptunas +1178.9%1.32
Bet365
1.32
----+8.4ppWon
Over 159.587.9%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+8.4ppWon
Neptunas +870.8%1.52
Marathon Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.50
---+8.3ppLost
Q1: Over 39.578.3%1.33
Bet365
1.33
----+8.3ppWon
Neptunas +8.571.7%1.47
Betano
1.52
Marathon Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.47
1xBet
1.38
-+8.3ppLost
Basket Napoli over 77.588.7%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+8.2ppWon
2nd half: Neptunas +6.571.7%1.40
1xBet
1.40
----+8.2ppLost
Over 167.575.3%1.38
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.33
---+8.2ppWon
Neptunas +14.585.5%1.20
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.18
---+8.2ppWon
Neptunas +1281.2%1.27
Bet365
1.27
----+8.1ppWon
Over 166.577.2%1.33
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.29
---+8.1ppWon
Neptunas over 69.596.3%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+8.0ppWon
Neptunas over 70.595.5%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+8.0ppWon
Neptunas over 67.597.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+7.9ppWon
Basket Napoli over 83.573.9%1.34
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.37
Betano
1.25
--+7.9ppWon
1st half: Neptunas over 31.596.6%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+7.9ppWon
Over 153.593.8%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+7.7ppWon
Q1: Basket Napoli under 25.572.2%1.36
1xBet
1.36
----+7.7ppWon
Neptunas over 68.597.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+7.6ppWon
Q1: Over 37.585.3%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+7.5ppWon
Neptunas +13.583.6%1.21
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.18
---+7.4ppWon
Neptunas over 66.598.1%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+7.3ppWon
Basket Napoli over 81.579.7%1.27
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.23
---+7.1ppWon
Q1: Neptunas over 15.591.5%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+7.1ppWon
Over 148.596.7%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+7.1ppWon
Q1: Neptunas +5.577.9%1.31
Bet365
1.31
----+7.0ppWon
Basket Napoli over 75.592.0%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+6.9ppWon
Neptunas over 65.598.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+6.9ppWon
1st half: Basket Napoli over 40.574.5%1.37
Bet365
1.37
----+6.9ppWon
Q1: Neptunas over 13.596.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+6.9ppWon
Over 154.593.0%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+6.9ppWon
Basket Napoli over 71.596.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+6.9ppWon
2nd half: Basket Napoli over 40.571.3%1.36
1xBet
1.36
----+6.9ppWon
1st half: Neptunas +8.579.9%1.27
Bet365
1.27
----+6.8ppWon
1st half: Basket Napoli over 38.582.9%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+6.7ppWon
Q1: Neptunas +7.585.5%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+6.7ppWon
Over 149.596.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+6.6ppWon
1st half: Basket Napoli over 36.588.8%1.13
Bet365
1.13
----+6.6ppWon
Neptunas over 64.598.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+6.5ppWon
Basket Napoli over 73.594.5%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+6.5ppWon
1st half: Neptunas +10.585.3%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+6.5ppWon
Basket Napoli over 78.586.8%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+6.3ppWon
Over 168.573.4%1.40
Bet365
1.47
Marathon Bet
1.43
Betano
1.30
--+6.3ppWon
Neptunas over 63.599.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+6.2ppWon
Basket Napoli over 70.597.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+6.2ppWon
Basket Napoli over 67.598.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+6.2ppWon
1st half: Basket Napoli over 34.593.3%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+6.2ppWon
Basket Napoli over 80.582.3%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+6.1ppWon
Basket Napoli over 72.595.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+6.1ppWon
Basket Napoli over 69.597.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+6.1ppWon
1st half: Neptunas +12.589.7%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+5.9ppWon
Neptunas +24.596.3%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+5.8ppWon
Basket Napoli over 79.584.7%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+5.8ppWon
Basket Napoli over 68.598.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.8ppWon
Basket Napoli over 74.593.3%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+5.8ppWon
Q1: Neptunas over 11.598.6%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.8ppWon
Neptunas +19.592.4%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+5.8ppWon
Basket Napoli over 82.576.9%1.29
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.27
---+5.7ppWon
Basket Napoli under 110.597.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+5.4ppWon
Q1: Basket Napoli under 32.597.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.4ppWon
Basket Napoli over 76.590.5%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+5.4ppWon
Neptunas +23.595.7%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+5.2ppWon
Q1: Basket Napoli over 14.594.8%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+5.2ppWon
Basket Napoli under 109.596.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+5.2ppWon
Basket Napoli under 108.595.5%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+5.1ppWon
1st half: Neptunas +7.576.9%1.29
Bet365
1.29
----+5.0ppWon
Q1: Basket Napoli over 12.597.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.0ppWon
1st half: Neptunas +9.582.8%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+5.0ppWon
Q1: Basket Napoli under 30.594.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+4.9ppWon
Basket Napoli over 84.570.7%1.35
1xBet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.26
--+4.7ppWon
Neptunas +18.591.3%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+4.7ppWon
Neptunas +29.598.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.6ppWon
Q1: Basket Napoli under 28.588.4%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+4.6ppWon
Basket Napoli under 106.593.5%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+4.5ppWon
1st half: Neptunas +11.587.5%1.12
Bet365
1.12
----+4.4ppWon
Neptunas +28.598.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.3ppWon
Basket Napoli under 98.578.2%1.23
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
---+4.0ppWon
Q1: Basket Napoli under 26.578.7%1.25
Bet365
1.25
----+4.0ppWon
Basket Napoli under 107.594.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+3.9ppWon
Basket Napoli under 104.590.9%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+3.8ppWon
Q1: Neptunas or Basket Napoli94.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+3.6pp-
Q1: Basket Napoli over 16.588.4%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+3.4ppWon
Basket Napoli under 96.572.3%1.33
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.30
---+3.3ppWon
Basket Napoli under 105.592.3%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+3.3ppWon
1st half: Basket Napoli under 54.591.1%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+3.1ppWon
Basket Napoli under 102.587.5%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+3.1ppWon
Q1: Basket Napoli over 18.579.1%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+2.9ppWon
Basket Napoli under 100.583.3%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+2.8ppWon
1st half: Basket Napoli under 52.585.8%1.12
Bet365
1.12
----+2.7ppWon
Q1: Neptunas under 31.596.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+2.7ppWon
Basket Napoli under 97.575.3%1.26
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.22
---+2.5ppWon
Basket Napoli +21.596.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+2.4ppWon
Overtime: no95.0%1.02
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
---+2.2pp-
Neptunas under 106.594.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+2.1ppWon
Q2: Neptunas or Basket Napoli94.3%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+2.0pp-
Basket Napoli under 99.580.8%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+2.0ppWon
Basket Napoli under 103.589.3%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+1.8ppWon
Basket Napoli +16.592.0%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+1.8ppWon
Basket Napoli +20.595.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+1.7ppWon
Neptunas under 105.593.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+1.7ppWon
Q1: Neptunas under 29.591.7%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+1.5ppWon
Neptunas under 104.592.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+0.9ppWon
Basket Napoli +15.590.8%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+0.6ppWon
Basket Napoli under 101.585.5%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+0.5ppWon
1st half: Basket Napoli under 50.578.1%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+0.3ppWon
Neptunas under 103.590.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02
-----0.1ppWon
Neptunas under 102.589.1%1.04
Bet365
1.04
-----0.6ppWon
Under 199.588.2%1.05
Bet365
1.05
-----0.8ppWon
Under 198.587.2%1.05
Bet365
1.05
-----1.8ppWon
Basket Napoli +11.584.8%1.08
Bet365
1.08
-----1.9ppWon
1st half: Basket Napoli +8.582.3%1.11
Bet365
1.11
-----2.0ppWon
Neptunas under 101.587.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04
-----2.1ppWon
Q1: Neptunas under 27.583.9%1.09
Bet365
1.09
-----2.2ppWon
1st half: Basket Napoli +6.576.3%1.18
Bet365
1.18
-----2.5ppWon
Basket Napoli +7.575.8%1.17
Betano
1.17
-----2.8ppWon
Neptunas under 100.585.4%1.06
Bet365
1.06
-----2.9ppWon
Q1: Under 49.573.2%1.22
Bet365
1.22
-----3.0ppWon
Under 194.581.9%1.10
Bet365
1.10
-----3.6ppWon
1st half: Basket Napoli +7.579.4%1.12
Bet365
1.12
-----3.7ppWon
Under 188.571.5%1.23
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.18
----3.8ppWon
Basket Napoli +10.582.8%1.08
Bet365
1.08
-----3.8ppWon
Q1: Basket Napoli +4.573.8%1.20
Bet365
1.20
-----4.0ppWon
1st half: Neptunas under 51.582.7%1.07
Bet365
1.07
-----4.5ppWon
1st half: Basket Napoli +5.573.0%1.20
Bet365
1.20
-----4.7ppWon
Neptunas under 99.583.2%1.06
Bet365
1.06
-----4.7ppWon
Basket Napoli +5.570.2%1.23
Betano
1.23
-----4.9ppWon
Under 193.580.3%1.10
Bet365
1.10
-----5.2ppWon
Neptunas under 98.580.9%1.09
Bet365
1.09
-----5.2ppWon
Basket Napoli +6.573.1%1.17
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.16
----5.3ppWon
Under 189.573.4%1.18
Bet365
1.18
-----5.5ppWon
Q1: Neptunas under 25.572.2%1.20
Bet365
1.20
-----5.6ppWon
1st half: Under 96.573.8%1.16
Bet365
1.16
-----5.7ppWon
Neptunas under 96.575.6%1.13
Bet365
1.13
-----6.7ppWon
Neptunas under 97.578.3%1.10
Bet365
1.10
-----6.7ppWon
Neptunas under 95.572.7%1.16
Bet365
1.16
-----6.8ppWon
1st half: Neptunas under 49.574.4%1.14
Bet365
1.14
-----7.0ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.7
53.2%
54.0%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.9
33.5%
34.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws25.220.0
79.4%
75.6%20.0
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Napolitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Napoli: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.420.4
57.6%
54.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.412.4
42.2%
34.0%37.2
🏀 Free throws21.615.2
70.4%
75.6%15.2
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WLWWLLWLLW
Basket Napoli
WWLWWWWWWW
#29
League position
#2
+2.3
Net rating
+10.3
99.3
Offensive rating
105.1
97.0
Defensive rating
94.9
52.1%
Effective FG%
60.2%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.5%
3-point %
42.2%
62.5%
Assist %
64.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 105.1Defence97.0 · 94.9Shooting52.1% · 60.2%3-point %33.5% · 42.2%Ball care14.5% · 15.9%Free throws0.39 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Neptunas   ■ Basket Napoli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
0
Basket Napoli wins
No previous meetings.
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HSiauliai110-88
20/10/26ABuducnost89-104
17/10/26AJonava84-83
13/10/26HJL Bourg93-89
10/10/26ARytas77-86
07/10/26AChemnitz84-93
03/10/26HNevezis89-62
29/09/26HTrento73-76
26/09/26AGargzdai78-87
23/09/26HJuventus99-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26ATortona92-90
21/10/26HTofas105-101 OT
18/10/26HOlimpia Milano82-98
14/10/26ASlask Wroclaw86-82
11/10/26ACantu99-80
06/10/26ABuducnost93-75
03/10/26HReggiana99-93
30/09/26HJL Bourg84-76
27/09/26AMaxima Roma94-75
10/05/26HUdine98-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game84.883.086.5
Allowed / game90.582.598.5
Point differential-5.8+0.5-12.0
Avg total175.2165.5185.0
Over 171.575%50%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Napoli
Eurocup 2026
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.094.589.5
Allowed / game83.588.578.5
Point differential+8.5+6.0+11.0
Avg total175.5183.0168.0
Over 171.525%50%0%
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Aris440100%94.575.2+19.2
2 Hapoel Jerusalem440100%88.571.2+17.2
3 Basket Napoli440100%92.083.5+8.5
4 Bahcesehir Kol.54180%90.678.6+12.0
5 Chemnitz43175%86.278.2+8.0
6 Tenerife43175%89.882.2+7.5
7 Tofas43175%90.585.2+5.2
8 Ulm53260%90.686.6+4.0
9 Manresa53260%90.287.0+3.2
10 PAOK53260%84.481.4+3.0
11 Lietkabelis53260%77.878.6-0.8
12 Siauliai53260%82.484.0-1.6
13 Frankfurt53260%87.890.4-2.6
14 Venezia42250%87.581.2+6.2
15 London Lions42250%81.276.0+5.2
16 Le Mans42250%80.878.0+2.8
17 Tortona42250%82.584.0-1.5
18 Rigas Zelli42250%81.287.5-6.2
19 Buducnost52340%91.088.2+2.8
20 Maxima Roma52340%84.084.0+0.0
21 KK Bosna52340%81.681.8-0.2
22 Trento52340%82.087.4-5.4
23 BC Roma52340%83.088.6-5.6
24 Cluj-Napoca52340%83.091.6-8.6
25 JL Bourg41325%84.286.2-2.0
26 Turk Telekom41325%79.082.0-3.0
27 San Pablo Burgos41325%82.087.0-5.0
28 Neptunas41325%84.890.5-5.8
29 Slask Wroclaw41325%79.590.2-10.8
30 Rostock41325%77.293.0-15.8
31 Cedevita Olimpija4040%72.583.2-10.8
32 Balkan5050%67.683.2-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2025202085
Basket Napoli2423242394
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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