PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Neptunas vs Zalgiris Kaunas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 05 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record14-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#1
Record22-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game70.0
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas
14 Mar 2027
NEP v ZAL
upcoming
20 Sep 2026
NEP69
ZAL93
13 May 2026
NEP90
ZAL93
27 Sep 2025
NEP71
ZAL84
26 May 2025
NEP70
ZAL98
30 Mar 2025
NEP67
ZAL80
16 Feb 2025
NEP89
ZAL91
10 Nov 2024
NEP70
ZAL97
17 Apr 2024
NEP114
ZAL112
12 Feb 2024
NEP75
ZAL95
19 Mar 2023
NEP80
ZAL91
26 Sep 2022
NEP71
ZAL79
09 May 2022
NEP87
ZAL78
04 May 2022
NEP70
ZAL68
20 Apr 2022
NEP57
ZAL77
30 Jan 2022
NEP60
ZAL77
18 Apr 2021
NEP72
ZAL88
03 Jan 2021
NEP74
ZAL104
05 Apr 2020
NEP v ZAL
upcoming
13 Oct 2019
NEP73
ZAL80
03 Mar 2019
NEP81
ZAL71
06 Jan 2019
NEP98
ZAL93
21 Jan 2018
NEP75
ZAL83
28 Sep 2017
NEP73
ZAL64
22 May 2017
NEP53
ZAL69
16 May 2017
NEP73
ZAL70
15 Apr 2017
NEP77
ZAL81
11 Dec 2016
NEP67
ZAL95
03 Jun 2016
NEP50
ZAL74
28 May 2016
NEP76
ZAL54
03 Apr 2016
NEP70
ZAL78
06 Dec 2015
NEP73
ZAL82
15 Feb 2015
NEP67
ZAL65
18 Jan 2015
NEP76
ZAL80
03 Jun 2014
NEP87
ZAL86
28 May 2014
NEP75
ZAL82
22 May 2014
NEP71
ZAL59
27 Jan 2014
NEP81
ZAL73
25 Apr 2013
NEP73
ZAL90
01 Apr 2013
NEP78
ZAL77
04 Nov 2012
NEP62
ZAL90
05 Feb 2012
NEP67
ZAL90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
93-70
93
70
+23
H23/12
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#10
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A28/12
LKL
CBet
#6
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H04/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
64-102
64
102
-38
A11/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
69-92
69
92
-23
A18/01
LKL
CBet
#6
W
95-85
95
85
+10
A01/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
115-89
115
89
+26
H08/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#10
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H26/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H29/02
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
90-70
90
70
+20
H08/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
29-18
21-23
18-13
22-22
12-15
19-24
24-19
20-20
22-16
16-19
28-18
14-30
21-22
14-32
15-18
16-21
22-27
18-30
13-14
25-18
15-26
33-20
22-21
21-23
33-20
26-30
35-16
20-15
23-15
16-21
19-22
27-22
14-18
22-21
15-23
34-15
12-15
19-24
25-16
166.3Avg total
84.5Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)83.780.5164.2+3.258%
Season at home (13)85.777.2162.8+8.577%
Season away (11)81.484.5165.9-3.236%
Last 10 (10)84.581.8166.3+2.760%
Last 5 (5)91.280.2171.4+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)78.388.5166.8-10.217%
vs Similar (3)73.386.7160.0-13.333%
vs Weaker (21)87.377.0164.4+10.376%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBet
#6
W
105-64
105
64
+41
A22/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
101-77
101
77
+24
A30/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A05/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
89-84
89
84
+5
H11/01
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
83-86
83
86
-3
H19/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H26/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A01/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
92-63
92
63
+29
A09/02
LKL
CBet
#6
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A01/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A08/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
22-16
24-21
30-15
38-11
18-29
23-14
22-23
22-23
11-18
19-23
20-19
22-17
32-25
20-15
15-27
23-17
14-26
20-20
26-23
10-14
26-10
16-20
19-17
27-24
14-22
13-14
23-14
17-13
32-16
25-13
18-21
27-15
30-22
18-14
19-28
21-19
26-16
23-18
21-29
162.8Avg total
87.5Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)89.070.0159.0+19.092%
Season at home (11)87.269.6156.8+17.591%
Season away (13)90.570.3160.8+20.292%
Last 10 (10)87.575.3162.8+12.280%
Last 5 (5)85.071.8156.8+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)88.970.4159.3+18.593%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
NeptunasZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H23/12
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A28/12
LKL
CBet
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H04/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A11/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A18/01
LKL
CBet
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A01/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H08/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H26/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/02
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H08/03
LKL
82.1Avg total
42.7Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.540.283.6+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.037.982.9+7.188%-
Last 30 away (14)41.742.784.4-1.043%-
Last 10 (10)42.739.482.1+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.837.482.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.244.082.2-5.817%-
vs Similar (3)38.743.382.0-4.767%-
vs Weaker (21)45.738.684.3+7.081%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CBet
#6
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A22/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
56-40
56
40
+16
A30/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A05/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H11/01
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H19/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H26/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A01/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A09/02
LKL
CBet
#6
W
57-37
57
37
+20
A01/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A08/03
LKL
82.6Avg total
46.1Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.636.081.6+9.670%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.436.782.1+8.773%-
Last 30 away (15)45.835.381.1+10.567%-
Last 10 (10)46.136.582.6+9.670%-
Last 5 (5)46.034.280.2+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)45.636.081.6+9.670%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.1 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.0
50.0%
55.4%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
35.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.013.0
81.2%
73.8%13.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.1 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.9
54.1%
55.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.87.8
39.4%
35.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.015.1
79.5%
73.8%15.1
They take 56.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WLWWWLLWLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWLWLWW
#4
League position
#1
+9.4
Net rating
+3.6
97.6
Offensive rating
112.5
88.2
Defensive rating
109.0
52.6%
Effective FG%
55.8%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
20.0%
Turnover %
19.1%
12.9%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.0%
3-point %
39.4%
60.0%
Assist %
62.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 112.5Defence88.2 · 109.0Shooting52.6% · 55.8%3-point %37.0% · 39.4%Ball care20.0% · 19.1%Off. rebounds12.9% · 31.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Neptunas   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Neptunas wins
6
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20HSiauliai90-70
29/02/20HLietkabelis78-84
26/02/20HAlytaus Dzukija78-73
08/02/20HJuventus115-89
01/02/20ACBet95-85
18/01/20ARytas69-92
11/01/20ALietkabelis64-102
04/01/20HCBet86-73
28/12/19AAlytaus Dzukija77-80
23/12/19HPieno Zvaigzdes93-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20AJuventus91-82
01/03/20ACBet94-79
09/02/20ANevezis92-63
01/02/20APieno Zvaigzdes77-74
26/01/20HRytas71-61
19/01/20HSiauliai83-86
11/01/20HNevezis89-84
05/01/20ALietkabelis72-83
30/12/19AJuventus101-77
22/12/19ACBet105-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeWWWLW77%
AwayLLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %58%77%36%
Points / game83.785.781.4
Allowed / game80.577.284.5
Point differential+3.2+8.5-3.2
Avg total164.2162.8165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%46%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWLW91%
AwayLWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %92%91%92%
Points / game89.087.290.5
Allowed / game70.069.670.3
Point differential+19.0+17.5+20.2
Avg total159.0156.8160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%55%69%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2422292%89.070.0+19.0
2 Rytas2417771%84.775.5+9.2
3 Lietkabelis2416867%78.372.5+5.8
4 Neptunas24141058%83.780.5+3.2
5 Juventus24131154%80.281.7-1.5
6 CBet24111346%73.779.4-5.7
7 Pieno Zvaigzdes2481633%77.583.0-5.5
8 Siauliai2471729%78.885.2-6.4
9 Nevezis2461825%74.482.9-8.5
10 Alytaus Dzukija2461825%71.280.8-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.