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Neptunas vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 May 2022
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 70-68
15-19 23-19 11-10 21-20
Position#5
Record14-17
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Position#2
Record27-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game75.3
LithuaniaLKLLKL - Quarter-finals
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas
14 Mar 2027
NEP v ZAL
upcoming
20 Sep 2026
NEP69
ZAL93
13 May 2026
NEP90
ZAL93
27 Sep 2025
NEP71
ZAL84
26 May 2025
NEP70
ZAL98
30 Mar 2025
NEP67
ZAL80
16 Feb 2025
NEP89
ZAL91
10 Nov 2024
NEP70
ZAL97
17 Apr 2024
NEP114
ZAL112
12 Feb 2024
NEP75
ZAL95
19 Mar 2023
NEP80
ZAL91
26 Sep 2022
NEP71
ZAL79
09 May 2022
NEP87
ZAL78
04 May 2022
NEP70
ZAL68
20 Apr 2022
NEP57
ZAL77
30 Jan 2022
NEP60
ZAL77
18 Apr 2021
NEP72
ZAL88
03 Jan 2021
NEP74
ZAL104
05 Apr 2020
NEP v ZAL
upcoming
13 Oct 2019
NEP73
ZAL80
03 Mar 2019
NEP81
ZAL71
06 Jan 2019
NEP98
ZAL93
21 Jan 2018
NEP75
ZAL83
28 Sep 2017
NEP73
ZAL64
22 May 2017
NEP53
ZAL69
16 May 2017
NEP73
ZAL70
15 Apr 2017
NEP77
ZAL81
11 Dec 2016
NEP67
ZAL95
03 Jun 2016
NEP50
ZAL74
28 May 2016
NEP76
ZAL54
03 Apr 2016
NEP70
ZAL78
06 Dec 2015
NEP73
ZAL82
15 Feb 2015
NEP67
ZAL65
18 Jan 2015
NEP76
ZAL80
03 Jun 2014
NEP87
ZAL86
28 May 2014
NEP75
ZAL82
22 May 2014
NEP71
ZAL59
27 Jan 2014
NEP81
ZAL73
25 Apr 2013
NEP73
ZAL90
01 Apr 2013
NEP78
ZAL77
04 Nov 2012
NEP62
ZAL90
05 Feb 2012
NEP67
ZAL90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
L
79-82
79
82
-3
76avg 77
A14/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 77
A21/03
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
75-78
75
78
-3
74avg 77
H26/03
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
95-61
95
61
+34
104avg 77
H03/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
65-64
65
64
+1
no box
A09/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
91-95
91
95
-4
79avg 77
H12/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
57-77
57
77
-20
42avg 77
H20/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
82-69
82
69
+13
76avg 77
A24/04
LKL
Rytas
#1
W
93-88
93
88
+5
97avg 77
H28/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
88-92
88
92
-4
86avg 77
A02/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
25-18
10-11
24-25
21-22
24-23
22-17
20-22
24-14
21-17
18-19
12-28
27-8
26-21
24-20
18-12
19-13
23-18
14-20
9-13
24-24
18-28
14-18
35-25
19-21
13-17
14-19
11-20
27-11
12-18
18-28
25-12
30-14
22-22
23-20
18-32
17-22
23-26
14-28
34-16
160.2Avg total
81.2Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)78.180.1158.1-2.045%
Season at home (16)77.882.7160.5-4.931%
Season away (15)78.377.3155.6+1.160%
Last 10 (10)81.279.0160.2+2.250%
Last 5 (5)82.284.2166.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)74.585.7160.2-11.217%
vs Similar (14)78.479.1157.6-0.743%
vs Weaker (10)84.373.3157.6+11.080%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#1
L
74-87
74
87
-13
67avg 78
A27/03
LKL
Baskonia
#15
L
79-96
79
96
-17
69avg 78
A01/04
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
no box
H03/04
Euroleague
Jonava
#4
L
97-100 OT
97
100
-3
no box
A10/04
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
72-64
72
64
+8
70avg 78
A14/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
90-74
90
74
+16
82avg 78
H16/04
LKL
Neptunas
#5
W
77-57
77
57
+20
74avg 78
A20/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
67-85
67
85
-18
65avg 78
A24/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
84-76
84
76
+8
80avg 78
A28/04
LKL
Neptunas
#5
W
92-88
92
88
+4
88avg 78
H02/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
12-25
26-20
17-25
15-35
25-22
10-20
29-19
23-14
22-18
15-35
28-21
24-24
21-9
21-24
21-30
19-16
15-13
20-14
18-21
20-19
29-24
19-16
22-15
21-19
17-13
19-14
20-11
16-24
16-32
22-17
13-12
21-19
14-17
24-18
25-22
22-17
26-23
28-14
16-34
166.0Avg total
83.5Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)86.175.3161.5+10.887%
Season at home (11)92.376.0168.3+16.391%
Season away (20)82.875.0157.7+7.885%
Last 10 (10)83.582.5166.0+1.060%
Last 5 (5)82.076.0158.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)75.778.6154.2-2.942%
vs Similar (5)76.883.6160.4-6.820%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.872.2159.0+14.592%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
NeptunasZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A14/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A21/03
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H26/03
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H03/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A09/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H12/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H20/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A24/04
LKL
Rytas
#1
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H28/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A02/05
LKL
82.0Avg total
43.5Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.780.2+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.439.180.5+2.443%-
Last 30 away (16)41.638.479.9+3.256%-
Last 10 (10)43.538.582.0+5.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.681.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)39.342.782.0-3.317%-
vs Similar (14)41.039.980.9+1.143%-
vs Weaker (10)43.534.678.1+8.980%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A27/03
LKL
Baskonia
#15
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A01/04
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#12
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H03/04
Euroleague
Jonava
#4
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A10/04
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A14/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H16/04
LKL
Neptunas
#5
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A20/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A24/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A28/04
LKL
Neptunas
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H02/05
LKL
79.7Avg total
39.7Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.038.378.3+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.437.680.0+4.853%-
Last 30 away (15)37.639.076.6-1.453%-
Last 10 (10)39.740.079.7-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.481.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.938.675.5-1.725%-
vs Similar (5)37.244.882.0-7.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.935.579.5+8.492%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.7
55.5%
53.6%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.0
35.3%
33.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.513.9
71.3%
73.1%13.9
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.2
55.2%
53.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.2
34.5%
33.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws15.911.4
71.7%
73.1%11.4
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWWLLWWLWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWWWLWLL
#5
League position
#2
+3.2
Net rating
-2.0
111.5
Offensive rating
110.7
108.3
Defensive rating
112.7
54.4%
Effective FG%
53.8%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
18.5%
Turnover %
17.8%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.3%
3-point %
34.5%
66.6%
Assist %
64.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 110.7Defence108.3 · 112.7Shooting54.4% · 53.8%3-point %35.3% · 34.5%Ball care18.5% · 17.8%Off. rebounds31.8% · 32.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Neptunas   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/22AZalgiris Kaunas88-92
28/04/22HRytas93-88
24/04/22APieno Zvaigzdes82-69
20/04/22HZalgiris Kaunas57-77
12/04/22HPieno Zvaigzdes91-95
09/04/22AAlytaus Dzukija65-64
03/04/22HNevezis95-61
26/03/22HJonava75-78
21/03/22ASiauliai87-84
14/03/22AJuventus79-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/22HNeptunas92-88
28/04/22AJuventus84-76
24/04/22ALietkabelis67-85
20/04/22ANeptunas77-57
16/04/22HSiauliai90-74
14/04/22ANevezis72-64
10/04/22AJonava97-100 OT
03/04/22HCrvena zvezda103-98 OT
01/04/22ABaskonia79-96
27/03/22ARytas74-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL45%
HomeLWLLW31%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %45%31%60%
Points / game78.177.878.3
Allowed / game80.182.777.3
Point differential-2.0-4.9+1.1
Avg total158.1160.5155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%6%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW87%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWWLW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311120
Win %87%91%85%
Points / game86.192.382.8
Allowed / game75.376.075.0
Point differential+10.8+16.3+7.8
Avg total161.5168.3157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%73%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (1)83% (6)
Overtime %10%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3127487%86.175.3+10.8
2 Rytas3227584%88.675.0+13.6
3 Lietkabelis3124777%84.675.3+9.4
4 Jonava32171553%78.881.8-3.0
5 Siauliai32161650%82.181.6+0.4
6 Juventus31151648%84.783.5+1.3
7 Neptunas31141745%78.180.1-2.0
8 Alytaus Dzukija32122038%76.180.5-4.4
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes3092130%80.887.2-6.4
10 Nevezis3072323%78.387.8-9.5
11 Prienai3032710%77.088.1-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1523112170
Zalgiris Kaunas1919102068
← all games of the day
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