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Neptunas vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 May 2026
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 90-93
22-27 28-27 19-28 21-11
Position#3
Record16-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game92.8
Allowed / game90.2
vs
Position#1
Record28-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game75.7
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas
14 Mar 2027
NEP v ZAL
upcoming
20 Sep 2026
NEP69
ZAL93
13 May 2026
NEP90
ZAL93
27 Sep 2025
NEP71
ZAL84
26 May 2025
NEP70
ZAL98
30 Mar 2025
NEP67
ZAL80
16 Feb 2025
NEP89
ZAL91
10 Nov 2024
NEP70
ZAL97
17 Apr 2024
NEP114
ZAL112
12 Feb 2024
NEP75
ZAL95
19 Mar 2023
NEP80
ZAL91
26 Sep 2022
NEP71
ZAL79
09 May 2022
NEP87
ZAL78
04 May 2022
NEP70
ZAL68
20 Apr 2022
NEP57
ZAL77
30 Jan 2022
NEP60
ZAL77
18 Apr 2021
NEP72
ZAL88
03 Jan 2021
NEP74
ZAL104
05 Apr 2020
NEP v ZAL
upcoming
13 Oct 2019
NEP73
ZAL80
03 Mar 2019
NEP81
ZAL71
06 Jan 2019
NEP98
ZAL93
21 Jan 2018
NEP75
ZAL83
28 Sep 2017
NEP73
ZAL64
22 May 2017
NEP53
ZAL69
16 May 2017
NEP73
ZAL70
15 Apr 2017
NEP77
ZAL81
11 Dec 2016
NEP67
ZAL95
03 Jun 2016
NEP50
ZAL74
28 May 2016
NEP76
ZAL54
03 Apr 2016
NEP70
ZAL78
06 Dec 2015
NEP73
ZAL82
15 Feb 2015
NEP67
ZAL65
18 Jan 2015
NEP76
ZAL80
03 Jun 2014
NEP87
ZAL86
28 May 2014
NEP75
ZAL82
22 May 2014
NEP71
ZAL59
27 Jan 2014
NEP81
ZAL73
25 Apr 2013
NEP73
ZAL90
01 Apr 2013
NEP78
ZAL77
04 Nov 2012
NEP62
ZAL90
05 Feb 2012
NEP67
ZAL90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
L
64-81
64
81
-17
52avg 84
A21/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
96-87 OT
96
87
+9
90avg 84
H28/03
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
95-89
95
89
+6
95avg 84
H06/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
88-93
88
93
-5
84avg 84
H11/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
98-83
98
83
+15
102avg 84
H19/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
110-82
110
82
+28
108avg 84
A23/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
80-83
80
83
-3
73avg 84
A26/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
91-98
91
98
-7
90avg 84
H29/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
91-102
91
102
-11
81avg 84
A02/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
91-97
91
97
-6
83avg 84
H10/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
15-24
15-19
15-24
30-18
19-20
22-24
14-23
31-20
28-28
15-21
21-20
29-20
19-29
23-19
17-25
23-23
27-17
25-24
23-19
31-22
39-15
18-24
22-21
19-16
19-23
23-15
19-29
24-24
21-22
22-20
24-32
20-20
23-27
18-30
30-25
30-30
18-25
21-24
22-18
179.9Avg total
90.4Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)92.890.2183.0+2.653%
Season at home (14)95.789.2184.9+6.564%
Season away (16)90.291.1181.4-0.944%
Last 10 (10)90.489.5179.9+0.940%
Last 5 (5)92.692.4185.0+0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)84.9102.1187.0-17.212%
vs Similar (10)88.886.5175.3+2.350%
vs Weaker (12)92.489.0181.4+3.450%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
101-84
101
84
+17
103avg 86
A14/04
LKL
Paris
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
81avg 86
H17/04
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
75-70
75
70
+5
64avg 86
A19/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
85-77
85
77
+8
79avg 86
H22/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
91-78
91
78
+13
80avg 86
A25/04
LKL
Fenerbahce
#4
L
78-89
78
89
-11
74avg 86
A28/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
71avg 86
A30/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
77avg 86
H06/05
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
78avg 86
H08/05
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#6
W
87-70
87
70
+17
87avg 86
H10/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-20
18-20
31-20
18-24
26-28
27-17
15-16
17-18
15-21
27-16
19-25
14-8
34-31
21-9
14-22
16-15
16-24
21-20
31-13
23-21
20-22
9-25
28-18
21-24
14-26
19-25
14-15
27-20
12-25
23-17
22-20
24-16
20-25
22-22
20-14
18-19
17-15
26-19
24-11
20-25
165.2Avg total
84.7Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)90.475.7166.0+14.797%
Season at home (14)93.976.6170.6+17.393%
Season away (15)87.174.7161.8+12.3100%
Last 10 (10)84.780.5165.2+4.270%
Last 5 (5)82.083.4165.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.094.0193.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (11)83.584.3167.7-0.845%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)90.576.4166.9+14.1100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
NeptunasZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A21/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H28/03
LKL
Juventus
#7
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H06/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H11/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H19/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
70-37
70
37
+33
A23/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A26/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H29/04
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A02/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H10/05
LKL
92.1Avg total
48.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.146.592.5-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.047.895.8+0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)43.944.988.8-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)48.443.792.1+4.740%-
Last 5 (5)48.844.893.6+4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)43.053.496.4-10.40%-
vs Similar (10)44.143.487.5+0.750%-
vs Weaker (12)49.844.494.2+5.358%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A14/04
LKL
Paris
#16
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H17/04
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A19/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H22/04
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A25/04
LKL
Fenerbahce
#4
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A28/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A30/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H06/05
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H08/05
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#6
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/05
LKL
84.8Avg total
42.1Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.584.5+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.439.686.1+6.865%-
Last 30 away (13)40.841.782.5-0.854%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.784.8-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.444.280.6-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (11)39.744.384.0-4.527%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)47.038.385.3+8.783%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.020.3
59.7%
55.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.1
34.9%
35.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.619.3
78.5%
74.3%19.3
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 67.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.2 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers22.815.8
69.3%
55.4%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.6
34.8%
35.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws11.47.2
63.2%
74.3%7.2
They take 50.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLLLWWLWWL
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWLLWWWWW
#3
League position
#1
+1.3
Net rating
+8.8
103.4
Offensive rating
64.6
102.2
Defensive rating
55.8
56.4%
Effective FG%
59.9%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
13.8%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.9%
3-point %
34.8%
66.4%
Assist %
76.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 64.6Defence102.2 · 55.8Shooting56.4% · 59.9%3-point %34.9% · 34.8%Ball care13.8% · 16.1%Free throws0.39 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Neptunas   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/26HGargzdai91-97
02/05/26AJuventus91-102
29/04/26HRytas91-98
26/04/26ALietkabelis80-83
23/04/26ANevezis110-82
19/04/26HSiauliai98-83
11/04/26HNevezis88-93
06/04/26HJuventus95-89
28/03/26HLietkabelis96-87 OT
21/03/26AJonava64-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/26HLietkabelis87-70
08/05/26HFenerbahce90-94 OT
06/05/26HFenerbahce81-78
30/04/26AFenerbahce74-86
28/04/26AFenerbahce78-89
25/04/26ASiauliai91-78
22/04/26HGargzdai85-77
19/04/26ARytas75-70
17/04/26HParis85-79
14/04/26AJonava101-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL53%
HomeWLWLL64%
AwayLLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %53%64%44%
Points / game92.895.790.2
Allowed / game90.289.291.1
Point differential+2.6+6.5-0.9
Avg total183.0184.9181.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%36%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)33% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %7%7%6%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW97%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %97%93%100%
Points / game90.493.987.1
Allowed / game75.776.674.7
Point differential+14.7+17.3+12.3
Avg total166.0170.6161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+66%71%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2928197%90.475.7+14.7
2 Rytas31201165%92.684.7+7.9
3 Neptunas30161453%92.890.2+2.6
4 Siauliai31161552%85.988.3-2.5
5 Lietkabelis31151648%84.081.3+2.7
6 Gargzdai31141745%83.187.1-3.9
7 Juventus31121939%87.289.9-2.7
8 Jonava3192229%85.293.7-8.5
9 Nevezis3182326%83.092.4-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2228192190
Zalgiris Kaunas2727281193
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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