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Neptunas vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 77-81
16-24 20-17 17-21 24-19
Position#4
Record18-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game71.8
Neptunas
Lithuania
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#1
Record28-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game67.0
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas
14 Mar 2027
NEP v ZAL
upcoming
20 Sep 2026
NEP69
ZAL93
13 May 2026
NEP90
ZAL93
27 Sep 2025
NEP71
ZAL84
26 May 2025
NEP70
ZAL98
30 Mar 2025
NEP67
ZAL80
16 Feb 2025
NEP89
ZAL91
10 Nov 2024
NEP70
ZAL97
17 Apr 2024
NEP114
ZAL112
12 Feb 2024
NEP75
ZAL95
19 Mar 2023
NEP80
ZAL91
26 Sep 2022
NEP71
ZAL79
09 May 2022
NEP87
ZAL78
04 May 2022
NEP70
ZAL68
20 Apr 2022
NEP57
ZAL77
30 Jan 2022
NEP60
ZAL77
18 Apr 2021
NEP72
ZAL88
03 Jan 2021
NEP74
ZAL104
05 Apr 2020
NEP v ZAL
upcoming
13 Oct 2019
NEP73
ZAL80
03 Mar 2019
NEP81
ZAL71
06 Jan 2019
NEP98
ZAL93
21 Jan 2018
NEP75
ZAL83
28 Sep 2017
NEP73
ZAL64
22 May 2017
NEP53
ZAL69
16 May 2017
NEP73
ZAL70
15 Apr 2017
NEP77
ZAL81
11 Dec 2016
NEP67
ZAL95
03 Jun 2016
NEP50
ZAL74
28 May 2016
NEP76
ZAL54
03 Apr 2016
NEP70
ZAL78
06 Dec 2015
NEP73
ZAL82
15 Feb 2015
NEP67
ZAL65
18 Jan 2015
NEP76
ZAL80
03 Jun 2014
NEP87
ZAL86
28 May 2014
NEP75
ZAL82
22 May 2014
NEP71
ZAL59
27 Jan 2014
NEP81
ZAL73
25 Apr 2013
NEP73
ZAL90
01 Apr 2013
NEP78
ZAL77
04 Nov 2012
NEP62
ZAL90
05 Feb 2012
NEP67
ZAL90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
59-54
59
54
+5
no box
H26/02
LKL
Ludwigsburg
#13
L
61-73
61
73
-12
no box
A01/03
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
78-69
78
69
+9
no box
A05/03
LKL
Ludwigsburg
#13
W
58-52
58
52
+6
no box
H08/03
Champions League
Nevezis
#9
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
A12/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
100-65
100
65
+35
no box
A18/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
98-83
98
83
+15
no box
A26/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
61-74
61
74
-13
no box
A01/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
62-82
62
82
-20
no box
A08/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
90-53
90
53
+37
no box
H12/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-7
21-14
8-22
14-11
16-15
21-18
13-27
11-13
20-16
28-18
11-20
19-15
12-9
11-16
17-14
18-13
17-16
15-17
23-19
17-18
32-12
21-17
30-13
17-23
24-16
26-21
32-17
16-29
13-16
25-15
6-22
17-21
9-19
29-20
9-25
15-18
32-7
25-17
14-14
19-15
141.4Avg total
73.9Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)76.771.8148.5+4.858%
Season at home (15)74.068.2142.2+5.867%
Season away (16)79.275.2154.4+3.950%
Last 10 (10)73.967.5141.4+6.470%
Last 5 (5)82.271.4153.6+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.480.4153.8-7.040%
vs Similar (11)73.071.6144.6+1.445%
vs Weaker (14)76.166.8142.9+9.379%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#15
W
82-80
82
80
+2
108avg 106
A17/03
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
W
73-71
73
71
+2
no box
A19/03
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
68-76
68
76
-8
95avg 106
H21/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
93-77
93
77
+16
123avg 106
A23/03
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
79-64
79
64
+15
no box
A27/03
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#16
L
84-88
84
88
-4
no box
H31/03
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
94-70
94
70
+24
no box
H02/04
LKL
Baskonia
#8
W
84-79
84
79
+5
115avg 106
A06/04
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
82-54
82
54
+28
no box
A09/04
LKL
Skycop
#6
W
84-59
84
59
+25
no box
H12/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
18-20
22-17
18-20
14-22
20-18
16-19
23-12
22-17
22-24
15-19
9-16
17-14
27-19
27-25
22-19
9-21
32-10
20-14
18-19
27-18
14-21
22-24
21-25
21-12
20-28
28-7
25-23
21-16
20-24
27-16
16-23
15-10
18-19
33-10
16-15
28-13
27-9
15-20
14-17
154.1Avg total
82.3Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.767.0150.7+16.790%
Season at home (15)86.367.5153.7+18.893%
Season away (16)81.366.6147.9+14.788%
Last 10 (10)82.371.8154.1+10.580%
Last 5 (5)85.670.0155.6+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.274.2141.5-7.025%
vs Similar (9)76.377.1153.4-0.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)82.467.2149.5+15.282%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
NeptunasZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H26/02
LKL
Ludwigsburg
#13
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A01/03
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A05/03
LKL
Ludwigsburg
#13
L
23-25
23
25
-2
H08/03
Champions League
Nevezis
#9
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A12/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A18/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A26/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A01/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A08/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
57-24
57
24
+33
H12/04
LKL
71.9Avg total
41.3Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.833.070.9+4.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.230.268.4+7.962%-
Last 30 away (17)37.635.272.8+2.447%-
Last 10 (10)41.330.671.9+10.770%-
Last 5 (5)47.232.079.2+15.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)39.435.274.6+4.240%-
vs Similar (11)36.332.468.6+3.964%-
vs Weaker (14)38.532.871.3+5.750%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#15
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A17/03
Euroleague
Juventus
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A19/03
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H21/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A23/03
Euroleague
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A27/03
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H31/03
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H02/04
LKL
Baskonia
#8
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A06/04
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A09/04
LKL
Skycop
#6
W
55-22
55
22
+33
H12/04
LKL
77.4Avg total
41.6Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.735.374.0+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.235.074.2+4.269%-
Last 30 away (14)38.235.673.9+2.664%-
Last 10 (10)41.635.877.4+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)42.234.076.2+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.237.872.0-3.525%-
vs Similar (9)36.439.676.0-3.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.032.573.5+8.582%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.0
52.5%
55.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.39.0
42.3%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.912.8
75.7%
73.8%12.8
They take 57.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Neptunas wins
8
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
05/03/17Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas69-78
11/12/16Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas67-95
23/10/16Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas77-67
06/06/16Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas97-70
03/06/16Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas50-74
31/05/16Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas78-54
28/05/16Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas76-54
25/05/16Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas83-72
03/04/16Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas70-78
31/01/16Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas89-57
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/17HNevezis90-53
08/04/17ARytas62-82
01/04/17ALietkabelis61-74
26/03/17AJuventus98-83
18/03/17ASiauliai100-65
12/03/17ANevezis72-70
08/03/17HLudwigsburg58-52
05/03/17AZalgiris Kaunas78-69
01/03/17ALudwigsburg61-73
26/02/17HPieno Zvaigzdes59-54
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/17HSkycop84-59
09/04/17ANevezis82-54
06/04/17ABaskonia84-79
02/04/17HPieno Zvaigzdes94-70
31/03/17HOlimpia Milano84-88
27/03/17AAlytaus Dzukija79-64
23/03/17AMaccabi Tel Aviv93-77
21/03/17HAnadolu Efes68-76
19/03/17AJuventus73-71
17/03/17AUnics Kazan82-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW58%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game76.774.079.2
Allowed / game71.868.275.2
Point differential+4.8+5.8+3.9
Avg total148.5142.2154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %6%7%6%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWLWW93%
AwayWWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %90%93%88%
Points / game83.786.381.3
Allowed / game67.067.566.6
Point differential+16.7+18.8+14.7
Avg total150.7153.7147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%93%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3128390%83.767.0+16.7
2 Rytas3123874%82.172.9+9.1
3 Lietkabelis3223972%81.275.7+5.5
4 Neptunas31181358%76.771.8+4.8
5 Juventus31161552%81.180.9+0.2
6 Skycop32161650%77.075.0+2.0
7 Pieno Zvaigzdes32141844%77.979.2-1.3
8 Alytaus Dzukija3282425%68.778.0-9.4
9 Nevezis3262619%74.682.9-8.3
10 Siauliai3262619%70.588.8-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1620172477
Zalgiris Kaunas2417211981
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