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Neptunas vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:50
Final 75-95
13-24 22-24 20-27 20-20
Position#6
Record8-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Position#1
Record17-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game70.4
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena (Klaipeda)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Neptunas v Zalgiris Kaunas
14 Mar 2027
NEP v ZAL
upcoming
20 Sep 2026
NEP69
ZAL93
13 May 2026
NEP90
ZAL93
27 Sep 2025
NEP71
ZAL84
26 May 2025
NEP70
ZAL98
30 Mar 2025
NEP67
ZAL80
16 Feb 2025
NEP89
ZAL91
10 Nov 2024
NEP70
ZAL97
17 Apr 2024
NEP114
ZAL112
12 Feb 2024
NEP75
ZAL95
19 Mar 2023
NEP80
ZAL91
26 Sep 2022
NEP71
ZAL79
09 May 2022
NEP87
ZAL78
04 May 2022
NEP70
ZAL68
20 Apr 2022
NEP57
ZAL77
30 Jan 2022
NEP60
ZAL77
18 Apr 2021
NEP72
ZAL88
03 Jan 2021
NEP74
ZAL104
05 Apr 2020
NEP v ZAL
upcoming
13 Oct 2019
NEP73
ZAL80
03 Mar 2019
NEP81
ZAL71
06 Jan 2019
NEP98
ZAL93
21 Jan 2018
NEP75
ZAL83
28 Sep 2017
NEP73
ZAL64
22 May 2017
NEP53
ZAL69
16 May 2017
NEP73
ZAL70
15 Apr 2017
NEP77
ZAL81
11 Dec 2016
NEP67
ZAL95
03 Jun 2016
NEP50
ZAL74
28 May 2016
NEP76
ZAL54
03 Apr 2016
NEP70
ZAL78
06 Dec 2015
NEP73
ZAL82
15 Feb 2015
NEP67
ZAL65
18 Jan 2015
NEP76
ZAL80
03 Jun 2014
NEP87
ZAL86
28 May 2014
NEP75
ZAL82
22 May 2014
NEP71
ZAL59
27 Jan 2014
NEP81
ZAL73
25 Apr 2013
NEP73
ZAL90
01 Apr 2013
NEP78
ZAL77
04 Nov 2012
NEP62
ZAL90
05 Feb 2012
NEP67
ZAL90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
86-83
86
83
+3
75avg 81
A03/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
69-64
69
64
+5
68avg 81
H10/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
68-70
68
70
-2
59avg 81
A17/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
70-77
70
77
-7
66avg 81
H23/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
W
91-89
91
89
+2
91avg 81
H03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
71avg 81
H07/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
100-81
100
81
+19
111avg 81
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
69avg 81
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
73-92
73
92
-19
55avg 81
A27/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
no box
A04/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
18-26
19-13
25-25
12-13
20-19
12-16
25-16
18-17
15-17
23-23
12-13
17-19
17-18
24-21
12-19
28-26
18-25
23-19
22-19
24-20
18-28
17-22
19-21
17-28
30-12
29-22
24-19
17-18
21-17
14-29
24-15
17-30
17-23
21-22
18-17
22-26
17-18
21-21
26-21
162.5Avg total
80.3Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.384.9169.2-0.642%
Season at home (9)85.282.2167.4+3.056%
Season away (10)83.587.3170.8-3.830%
Last 10 (10)80.382.2162.5-1.940%
Last 5 (5)83.887.8171.6-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)81.794.5176.2-12.810%
vs Similar (5)81.483.0164.4-1.660%
vs Weaker (15)90.582.7173.1+7.867%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
W
87-73
87
73
+14
87avg 78
A14/01
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
W
98-75
98
75
+23
102avg 78
H19/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#13
L
82-82
82
82
+0
78avg 78
H21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
98-71
98
71
+27
96avg 78
A23/01
LKL
Partizan
#11
L
72-81
72
81
-9
63avg 78
A26/01
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#7
W
103-75
103
75
+28
106avg 78
H28/01
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
96-70
96
70
+26
97avg 78
H31/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
W
80-68
80
68
+12
73avg 78
H02/02
Euroleague
Juventus
#4
W
101-63
101
63
+38
109avg 78
H05/02
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
93-91
93
91
+2
84avg 78
A09/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
29-13
17-17
18-17
20-14
23-21
23-20
32-20
23-26
21-22
21-18
17-16
22-22
25-19
29-16
22-14
26-22
17-23
16-16
13-20
20-14
29-17
31-24
23-20
34-14
24-23
18-22
20-11
25-25
19-13
20-18
16-12
22-14
34-12
17-26
28-11
23-22
22-23
23-20
25-26
165.9Avg total
91.0Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.470.4154.7+14.089%
Season at home (9)87.072.6159.6+14.489%
Season away (10)82.068.4150.4+13.690%
Last 10 (10)91.074.9165.9+16.180%
Last 5 (5)94.673.4168.0+21.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.068.0148.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (14)81.281.3162.5-0.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.774.5160.2+11.173%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +4.7+4.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +4.7+4.7
NeptunasZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A03/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H10/12
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A17/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H23/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H03/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H07/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A27/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A04/02
LKL
80.6Avg total
38.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.585.3+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.143.986.1-1.833%-
Last 30 away (15)43.541.084.5+2.560%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.980.6-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.084.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.545.886.3-5.330%-
vs Similar (5)42.039.281.2+2.860%-
vs Weaker (15)44.641.385.9+3.353%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A14/01
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H19/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#13
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A23/01
LKL
Partizan
#11
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A26/01
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#7
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H28/01
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H31/01
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H02/02
Euroleague
Juventus
#4
W
56-26
56
26
+30
H05/02
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#16
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A09/02
Euroleague
86.6Avg total
48.1Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.083.2+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.541.285.8+3.256%-
Last 30 away (14)41.738.680.4+3.157%-
Last 10 (10)48.138.586.6+9.670%-
Last 5 (5)50.435.485.8+15.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.038.082.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (14)42.942.485.3+0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.537.981.4+5.567%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.3
54.9%
55.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.1
34.0%
34.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws15.111.0
72.8%
73.2%11.0
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.623.0
59.6%
55.4%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.910.0
41.8%
34.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.014.2
83.5%
73.2%14.2
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLLWLWLLWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWLWLWW
#6
League position
#1
-0.4
Net rating
+22.8
109.2
Offensive rating
126.1
109.7
Defensive rating
103.3
53.2%
Effective FG%
60.8%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.3%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.0%
3-point %
41.8%
70.1%
Assist %
64.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 126.1Defence109.7 · 103.3Shooting53.2% · 60.8%3-point %34.0% · 41.8%Ball care16.8% · 16.3%Off. rebounds29.5% · 33.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Neptunas   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas wins
7
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24ANevezis92-96 OT
27/01/24ABC Wolves73-92
21/01/24ALietkabelis76-79
14/01/24HGargzdai100-81
07/01/24HJuventus78-91
03/01/24HLietkabelis91-89
23/12/23HRytas70-77
17/12/23AMazeikiai68-70
10/12/23HJonava69-64
03/12/23APieno Zvaigzdes86-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/24ACrvena zvezda93-91
05/02/24HJuventus101-63
02/02/24HPanathinaikos80-68
31/01/24HAnadolu Efes96-70
28/01/24HMazeikiai103-75
26/01/24APartizan72-81
23/01/24APieno Zvaigzdes98-71
21/01/24HBC Wolves82-82
19/01/24HFenerbahce98-75
14/01/24ASiauliai87-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL42%
HomeWWLLW56%
AwayWWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%56%30%
Points / game84.385.283.5
Allowed / game84.982.287.3
Point differential-0.6+3.0-3.8
Avg total169.2167.4170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayLWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %89%89%90%
Points / game84.487.082.0
Allowed / game70.472.668.4
Point differential+14.0+14.4+13.6
Avg total154.7159.6150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%67%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas1917289%94.277.5+16.7
2 Zalgiris Kaunas1917289%84.470.4+14.0
3 BC Wolves2014670%84.178.5+5.7
4 Lietkabelis1711665%84.582.1+2.4
5 Juventus1912763%87.679.0+8.6
6 Mazeikiai1991047%78.982.4-3.5
7 Neptunas1981142%84.384.9-0.6
8 Jonava2081240%82.785.3-2.6
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes1951426%84.893.0-8.2
10 Siauliai2051525%80.887.0-6.2
11 Nevezis2051525%82.293.0-10.8
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1322202075
Zalgiris Kaunas2424272095
← all games of the day
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