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San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 128-120
26-38 42-29 30-26 30-27
Position#29
Record16-49
FormLWWLL
Points / game112.1
Allowed / game122.3
vs
Position#2
Record46-20
FormWWWWL
Points / game116.8
Allowed / game112.7
USANBA
NBA2022-23
Meetings · San Antonio Spurs v Denver Nuggets
28 Feb 2027
SAS v DEN
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
SAS118
DEN128
12 Mar 2026
SAS131
DEN136
04 Jan 2025
SAS111
DEN122
12 Apr 2024
SAS121
DEN120
15 Mar 2024
SAS106
DEN117
10 Mar 2023
SAS128
DEN120
07 Nov 2022
SAS109
DEN115
11 Dec 2021
SAS112
DEN127
09 Dec 2021
SAS123
DEN111
29 Jan 2021
SAS119
DEN109
05 Aug 2020
SAS126
DEN132
25 Apr 2019
SAS120
DEN103
20 Apr 2019
SAS103
DEN117
18 Apr 2019
SAS118
DEN108
04 Mar 2019
SAS104
DEN103
26 Dec 2018
SAS111
DEN103
30 Jan 2018
SAS106
DEN104
13 Jan 2018
SAS112
DEN80
04 Feb 2017
SAS121
DEN97
19 Jan 2017
SAS118
DEN104
26 Dec 2015
SAS101
DEN86
18 Nov 2015
SAS109
DEN98
03 Apr 2015
SAS123
DEN93
06 Mar 2015
SAS120
DEN111
26 Mar 2014
SAS108
DEN103
27 Mar 2013
SAS100
DEN99
17 Nov 2012
SAS126
DEN100
04 Mar 2012
SAS94
DEN99
07 Jan 2012
SAS121
DEN117
16 Jan 2011
SAS110
DEN97
22 Dec 2010
SAS109
DEN103
31 Jan 2010
SAS89
DEN103
05 Dec 2009
SAS99
DEN106
19 Nov 2008
SAS81
DEN91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
131-138 OT
131
138
-7
112avg 103
A11/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
106-125
106
125
-19
97avg 103
A12/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
109-117
109
117
-8
101avg 103
A14/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
110-120
110
120
-10
95avg 103
A16/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
116-142
116
142
-26
114avg 103
A24/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
102-118
102
118
-16
83avg 103
A26/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
102-94
102
94
+8
89avg 103
A01/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
110-99
110
99
+11
105avg 103
H03/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
110-122
110
122
-12
102avg 103
H05/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
110-142
110
142
-32
92avg 103
A06/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
26-34
29-38
30-22
31-32
29-29
17-32
29-32
19-34
30-31
32-26
28-26
32-32
25-28
29-33
24-27
26-34
37-40
27-25
26-43
33-24
32-31
14-30
23-33
32-30
18-18
21-25
31-21
21-29
31-25
31-16
27-29
32-29
36-41
22-25
20-27
24-38
39-35
24-35
23-34
232.3Avg total
110.6Scored
121.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)112.1122.3234.4-10.325%
Season at home (32)113.0120.5233.5-7.431%
Season away (33)111.1124.1235.2-13.018%
Last 10 (10)110.6121.7232.3-11.120%
Last 5 (5)106.8115.0221.8-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)112.0124.3236.3-12.312%
vs Similar (5)116.4126.2242.6-9.820%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
119-105
119
105
+14
118avg 113
A12/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
112-108
112
108
+4
119avg 113
A14/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
118-109
118
109
+9
122avg 113
H16/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
115-109
115
109
+6
115avg 113
A24/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
94-112
94
112
-18
84avg 113
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
134-124 OT
134
124
+10
133avg 113
H27/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
133-112
133
112
+21
137avg 113
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
113-97
113
97
+16
112avg 113
H04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
118-113
118
113
+5
115avg 113
H07/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
96-117
96
117
-21
87avg 113
H09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-34
30-26
37-23
25-22
27-36
38-26
24-21
23-25
26-25
35-19
31-30
26-35
31-26
25-31
33-34
26-18
20-28
22-38
20-28
32-18
35-22
31-36
31-30
23-32
41-30
33-24
32-30
27-28
28-27
22-31
30-22
33-17
29-34
29-27
25-27
35-25
29-25
23-26
24-36
20-30
225.8Avg total
115.2Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (66)116.8112.7229.5+4.270%
Season at home (35)120.6109.8230.4+10.886%
Season away (31)112.6115.9228.5-3.352%
Last 10 (10)115.2110.6225.8+4.680%
Last 5 (5)118.8112.6231.4+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)112.6108.9221.5+3.864%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)121.1112.3233.4+8.881%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
San Antonio SpursDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A11/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A12/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A14/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A16/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A24/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A26/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A01/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H03/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H05/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A06/03
NBA
119.4Avg total
58.1Scored
61.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.063.7121.7-5.623%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.262.5120.8-4.323%-
Last 30 away (17)57.964.5122.4-6.624%-
Last 10 (10)58.161.3119.4-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)59.660.0119.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)57.964.2122.2-6.320%-
vs Similar (5)58.660.8119.4-2.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A12/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A14/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H16/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A24/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
42-66
42
66
-24
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H27/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
74-54
74
54
+20
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H07/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H09/03
NBA
115.2Avg total
58.1Scored
57.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.656.2116.8+4.457%-
Last 30 at home (18)62.754.4117.1+8.372%-
Last 30 away (12)57.658.9116.5-1.333%-
Last 10 (10)58.157.1115.2+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)60.056.4116.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)58.256.9115.1+1.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)62.855.6118.3+7.262%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 110.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.830.8
49.8%
54.5%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.610.9
33.4%
35.8%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.416.3
76.2%
78.1%16.3
They take 94.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.631.9
58.4%
54.5%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.512.0
35.8%
35.8%36.0
🏀 Free throws20.015.4
77.0%
78.1%15.4
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Antonio Spurs
LLWWLLLLLL
Denver Nuggets
LWWWWLWWWW
#29
League position
#2
-10.5
Net rating
+4.6
105.0
Offensive rating
115.9
115.6
Defensive rating
111.3
49.9%
Effective FG%
56.6%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
13.9%
Turnover %
13.0%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.4%
3-point %
35.8%
59.7%
Assist %
71.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 115.9Defence115.6 · 111.3Shooting49.9% · 56.6%3-point %33.4% · 35.8%Ball care13.9% · 13.0%Off. rebounds25.9% · 26.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ San Antonio Spurs   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/23AHouston Rockets110-142
05/03/23HHouston Rockets110-122
03/03/23HIndiana Pacers110-99
01/03/23AUtah Jazz102-94
26/02/23AUtah Jazz102-118
24/02/23ADallas Mavericks116-142
16/02/23ACharlotte Hornets110-120
14/02/23ACleveland Cavaliers109-117
12/02/23AAtlanta Hawks106-125
11/02/23ADetroit Pistons131-138 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/23HChicago Bulls96-117
07/03/23HToronto Raptors118-113
04/03/23HMemphis Grizzlies113-97
01/03/23AHouston Rockets133-112
27/02/23HLos Angeles Clippers134-124 OT
26/02/23AMemphis Grizzlies94-112
24/02/23ACleveland Cavaliers115-109
16/02/23HDallas Mavericks118-109
14/02/23AMiami Heat112-108
12/02/23ACharlotte Hornets119-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL25%
HomeLLLWL31%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653233
Win %25%31%18%
Points / game112.1113.0111.1
Allowed / game122.3120.5124.1
Point differential-10.3-7.4-13.0
Avg total234.4233.5235.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%9%3%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)38% (8)67% (3)
Overtime %5%6%3%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL70%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWWWLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games663531
Win %70%86%52%
Points / game116.8120.6112.6
Allowed / game112.7109.8115.9
Point differential+4.2+10.8-3.3
Avg total229.5230.4228.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%54%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (20)67% (12)88% (8)
Overtime %5%6%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks66481873%115.9111.7+4.2
2 Denver Nuggets66462070%116.8112.7+4.2
3 Boston Celtics67462169%117.6112.2+5.4
4 Philadelphia 76ers66442267%115.1111.0+4.1
5 Cleveland Cavaliers68422662%111.9106.5+5.5
6 Memphis Grizzlies65392660%115.8112.0+3.9
7 Sacramento Kings65392660%121.1118.3+2.8
8 New York Knicks68392957%115.3112.5+2.8
9 Phoenix Suns66372956%113.3110.9+2.4
10 Brooklyn Nets66372956%113.6112.7+0.9
11 Miami Heat67353252%108.3109.1-0.7
12 Los Angeles Clippers68353351%112.6112.8-0.1
13 Dallas Mavericks67343351%114.0113.2+0.7
14 Golden State Warriors67343351%118.0117.6+0.4
15 Atlanta Hawks67343351%117.2117.0+0.2
16 Minnesota Timberwolves67343351%115.3115.6-0.3
17 New Orleans Pelicans66323448%114.1113.4+0.6
18 Los Angeles Lakers66323448%116.6117.4-0.7
19 Toronto Raptors67323548%112.4112.0+0.4
20 Utah Jazz67323548%117.2117.3-0.1
21 Oklahoma City Thunder66313547%118.2117.0+1.2
22 Washington Wizards67313646%113.2113.4-0.2
23 Portland Trail Blazers67313646%114.6115.7-1.0
24 Chicago Bulls66303645%113.1112.5+0.6
25 Indiana Pacers67303745%115.7118.0-2.2
26 Orlando Magic67274040%111.3114.3-3.0
27 Charlotte Hornets68224632%111.8117.5-5.7
28 San Antonio Spurs65164925%112.1122.3-10.3
29 Houston Rockets66155123%110.3118.5-8.2
30 Detroit Pistons67155222%111.3118.9-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Antonio Spurs26423030128
Denver Nuggets38292627120
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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