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Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 118-113
29-34 29-27 25-27 35-25
Position#2
Record45-19
FormWLWWW
Points / game117.1
Allowed / game112.6
vs
Position#18
Record32-33
FormWLWLW
Points / game112.6
Allowed / game112.0
USANBA
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors
04 Nov 2026
DEN v TOR
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
DEN121
TOR115
04 Nov 2024
DEN121
TOR119
11 Mar 2024
DEN125
TOR119
06 Mar 2023
DEN118
TOR113
12 Mar 2022
DEN115
TOR127
29 Apr 2021
DEN121
TOR111
01 Mar 2020
DEN133
TOR118
16 Dec 2018
DEN95
TOR86
01 Nov 2017
DEN129
TOR111
18 Nov 2016
DEN111
TOR113
01 Feb 2016
DEN112
TOR93
28 Dec 2014
DEN102
TOR116
31 Jan 2014
DEN90
TOR100
03 Dec 2012
DEN113
TOR110
27 Jan 2012
DEN96
TOR81
21 Mar 2011
DEN123
TOR90
17 Nov 2009
DEN130
TOR112
02 Dec 2008
DEN132
TOR93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
146-112
146
112
+34
155avg 114
H08/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
104-115
104
115
-11
94avg 114
A10/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
119-105
119
105
+14
118avg 114
A12/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
112-108
112
108
+4
119avg 114
A14/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
118-109
118
109
+9
122avg 114
H16/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
115-109
115
109
+6
115avg 114
A24/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
94-112
94
112
-18
84avg 114
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
134-124 OT
134
124
+10
133avg 114
H27/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
133-112
133
112
+21
137avg 114
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
113-97
113
97
+16
112avg 114
H04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
49-19
30-29
31-27
36-37
26-29
29-36
29-24
20-26
27-34
30-26
37-23
25-22
27-36
38-26
24-21
23-25
26-25
35-19
31-30
26-35
31-26
25-31
33-34
26-18
20-28
22-38
20-28
32-18
35-22
31-36
31-30
23-32
41-30
33-24
32-30
27-28
28-27
22-31
30-22
33-17
229.1Avg total
118.8Scored
110.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)117.1112.6229.7+4.670%
Season at home (33)121.4109.5230.9+11.988%
Season away (31)112.6115.9228.5-3.352%
Last 10 (10)118.8110.3229.1+8.580%
Last 5 (5)117.8110.8228.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)114.3108.1222.4+6.269%
vs Weaker (17)121.2112.7233.9+8.582%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
112-98
112
98
+14
106avg 101
H09/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
116-122
116
122
-6
105avg 101
H11/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
119-118
119
118
+1
105avg 101
H12/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
123-113
123
113
+10
125avg 101
H15/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
115-110
115
110
+5
102avg 101
H24/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
95-91
95
91
+4
80avg 101
A25/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
93-118
93
118
-25
76avg 101
A26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
104-98
104
98
+6
93avg 101
H01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
108-119
108
119
-11
101avg 101
A03/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
116-109 OT
116
109
+7
108avg 101
A04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-24
23-30
31-21
24-23
34-28
27-30
35-25
20-39
31-29
22-23
31-25
35-41
35-27
30-43
29-19
29-24
23-19
31-26
38-32
23-33
22-22
22-22
27-26
24-21
28-34
24-30
24-28
17-26
24-23
20-23
26-26
34-26
20-24
30-35
28-30
30-30
26-30
27-23
33-26
19-26
219.7Avg total
110.1Scored
109.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)112.6112.0224.6+0.649%
Season at home (33)113.4110.8224.1+2.661%
Season away (32)111.8113.3225.0-1.538%
Last 10 (10)110.1109.6219.7+0.570%
Last 5 (5)103.2107.0210.2-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)104.0106.0210.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)113.3114.5227.8-1.245%
vs Weaker (9)117.0109.3226.3+7.789%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -3.4-3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -3.4-3.4
Denver NuggetsToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
79-48
79
48
+31
H08/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A10/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A12/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A14/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H16/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A24/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
42-66
42
66
-24
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H27/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
74-54
74
54
+20
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H04/03
NBA
117.7Avg total
60.5Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.056.2117.2+4.960%-
Last 30 at home (18)63.354.3117.7+9.078%-
Last 30 away (12)57.658.9116.5-1.333%-
Last 10 (10)60.557.2117.7+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)57.658.6116.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)59.056.8115.8+2.254%-
vs Weaker (17)62.655.6118.2+6.965%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H09/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H11/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H12/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H15/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H24/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A25/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A03/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A04/03
NBA
107.8Avg total
53.3Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.356.3113.6+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.554.5111.0+1.967%-
Last 30 away (15)58.158.1116.3+0.033%-
Last 10 (10)53.354.5107.8-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)48.653.2101.8-4.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.050.0107.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)56.757.9114.6-1.235%-
vs Weaker (9)58.753.6112.2+5.178%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 118.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.234.1
60.7%
54.5%68.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.5
35.7%
35.8%34.5
🏀 Free throws20.816.1
77.4%
78.1%16.1
They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 110.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.531.2
52.4%
54.5%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.2
33.7%
35.8%30.6
🏀 Free throws23.117.1
74.0%
78.1%17.1
They take 89.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWLWWWWLW
Toronto Raptors
WLWLWWWWLW
#2
League position
#18
+8.4
Net rating
+0.5
117.8
Offensive rating
109.8
109.4
Defensive rating
109.3
58.1%
Effective FG%
51.8%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
13.0%
Turnover %
12.6%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.7%
3-point %
33.7%
71.5%
Assist %
58.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 109.8Defence109.4 · 109.3Shooting58.1% · 51.8%3-point %35.7% · 33.7%Ball care13.0% · 12.6%Off. rebounds25.5% · 26.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Denver Nuggets wins
4
Toronto Raptors wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23HMemphis Grizzlies113-97
01/03/23AHouston Rockets133-112
27/02/23HLos Angeles Clippers134-124 OT
26/02/23AMemphis Grizzlies94-112
24/02/23ACleveland Cavaliers115-109
16/02/23HDallas Mavericks118-109
14/02/23AMiami Heat112-108
12/02/23ACharlotte Hornets119-105
10/02/23AOrlando Magic104-115
08/02/23HMinnesota Timberwolves146-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23AWashington Wizards116-109 OT
03/03/23AWashington Wizards108-119
01/03/23HChicago Bulls104-98
26/02/23ACleveland Cavaliers93-118
25/02/23ADetroit Pistons95-91
24/02/23HNew Orleans Pelicans115-110
15/02/23HOrlando Magic123-113
12/02/23HDetroit Pistons119-118
11/02/23HUtah Jazz116-122
09/02/23HSan Antonio Spurs112-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643331
Win %70%88%52%
Points / game117.1121.4112.6
Allowed / game112.6109.5115.9
Point differential+4.6+11.9-3.3
Avg total229.7230.9228.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%58%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won74% (19)64% (11)88% (8)
Overtime %5%6%3%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW49%
HomeLWWWW61%
AwayWWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653332
Win %49%61%38%
Points / game112.6113.4111.8
Allowed / game112.0110.8113.3
Point differential+0.6+2.6-1.5
Avg total224.6224.1225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%30%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (21)44% (9)33% (12)
Overtime %8%3%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks64461872%115.6111.5+4.0
2 Denver Nuggets64451970%117.1112.6+4.6
3 Boston Celtics66452168%117.7112.5+5.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers64422266%115.0111.2+3.8
5 Cleveland Cavaliers67412661%112.1106.6+5.5
6 Memphis Grizzlies63382560%115.8112.0+3.8
7 New York Knicks66392759%115.5112.4+3.1
8 Sacramento Kings63372659%121.1118.5+2.5
9 Brooklyn Nets64362856%113.5112.9+0.7
10 Phoenix Suns65362955%113.0111.1+2.0
11 Miami Heat66353153%108.5109.1-0.7
12 Golden State Warriors65343152%118.0117.1+0.8
13 Minnesota Timberwolves66343252%115.6115.6+0.0
14 Dallas Mavericks65333251%114.0113.2+0.8
15 Los Angeles Clippers67343351%112.7113.0-0.3
16 Toronto Raptors65323349%112.6112.0+0.6
17 Atlanta Hawks65323349%117.1117.1+0.0
18 New Orleans Pelicans64313348%114.2113.4+0.8
19 Utah Jazz65313448%117.0117.2-0.1
20 Portland Trail Blazers65313448%114.9115.6-0.7
21 Los Angeles Lakers65313448%116.7117.6-0.9
22 Oklahoma City Thunder64303447%118.2116.6+1.6
23 Washington Wizards64303447%113.1113.2-0.1
24 Chicago Bulls65293645%113.0112.7+0.3
25 Indiana Pacers66293744%115.5117.9-2.4
26 Orlando Magic65273842%111.0113.7-2.8
27 Charlotte Hornets66204630%111.8117.9-6.1
28 San Antonio Spurs65164925%112.1122.3-10.3
29 Houston Rockets64154923%110.2118.2-8.0
30 Detroit Pistons65155023%111.3119.0-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets29292535118
Toronto Raptors34272725113
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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