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Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 125-110
49-30 23-26 26-36 27-18
Position#18
Record32-36
FormLWLLL
Points / game112.4
Allowed / game112.2
Toronto Raptors 🏆
USA
vs
Denver Nuggets
USA
Position#2
Record46-22
FormWWLLL
Points / game116.9
Allowed / game113.0
USANBA
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets
29 Nov 2026
TOR v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2025
TOR103
DEN106
28 Oct 2024
TOR125
DEN127
20 Dec 2023
TOR104
DEN113
14 Mar 2023
TOR125
DEN110
12 Feb 2022
TOR109
DEN110
24 Mar 2021
TOR135
DEN111
14 Aug 2020
TOR117
DEN109
03 Dec 2018
TOR103
DEN106
27 Mar 2018
TOR114
DEN110
31 Oct 2016
TOR105
DEN102
03 Dec 2015
TOR105
DEN106
08 Dec 2014
TOR112
DEN107
01 Dec 2013
TOR98
DEN112
12 Feb 2013
TOR109
DEN108
28 Mar 2012
TOR105
DEN96
10 Dec 2010
TOR116
DEN123
26 Mar 2010
TOR96
DEN97
31 Dec 2008
TOR107
DEN114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#25
W
123-113
123
113
+10
125avg 100
H15/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
115-110
115
110
+5
102avg 100
H24/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
95-91
95
91
+4
80avg 100
A25/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
93-118
93
118
-25
76avg 100
A26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
104-98
104
98
+6
93avg 100
H01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
108-119
108
119
-11
101avg 100
A03/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
116-109 OT
116
109
+7
108avg 100
A04/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
113-118
113
118
-5
110avg 100
A07/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
100-108
100
108
-8
82avg 100
A09/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
112-122
112
122
-10
104avg 100
A11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-27
30-43
29-19
29-24
23-19
31-26
38-32
23-33
22-22
22-22
27-26
24-21
28-34
24-30
24-28
17-26
24-23
20-23
26-26
34-26
20-24
30-35
28-30
30-30
26-30
27-23
33-26
19-26
34-29
27-29
27-25
25-35
25-17
24-32
25-34
26-25
35-31
27-39
28-15
22-37
218.5Avg total
107.9Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)112.4112.2224.6+0.247%
Season at home (33)113.4110.8224.1+2.661%
Season away (35)111.5113.5225.0-2.134%
Last 10 (10)107.9110.6218.5-2.750%
Last 5 (5)109.8115.2225.0-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)104.0106.0210.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)113.2115.7228.9-2.538%
vs Weaker (8)117.4107.8225.1+9.6100%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
118-109
118
109
+9
122avg 114
H16/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
115-109
115
109
+6
115avg 114
A24/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
94-112
94
112
-18
84avg 114
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
134-124 OT
134
124
+10
133avg 114
H27/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
133-112
133
112
+21
137avg 114
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
113-97
113
97
+16
112avg 114
H04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
118-113
118
113
+5
115avg 114
H07/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
96-117
96
117
-21
87avg 114
H09/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
120-128
120
128
-8
113avg 114
A11/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
120-122
120
122
-2
116avg 114
H12/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
35-19
31-30
26-35
31-26
25-31
33-34
26-18
20-28
22-38
20-28
32-18
35-22
31-36
31-30
23-32
41-30
33-24
32-30
27-28
28-27
22-31
30-22
33-17
29-34
29-27
25-27
35-25
29-25
23-26
24-36
20-30
38-26
29-42
26-30
27-30
30-30
39-31
18-37
33-24
230.4Avg total
116.1Scored
114.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)116.9113.0229.9+3.968%
Season at home (36)120.6110.1230.7+10.483%
Season away (32)112.8116.2229.1-3.450%
Last 10 (10)116.1114.3230.4+1.860%
Last 5 (5)113.4115.4228.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)112.6108.9221.5+3.864%
vs Weaker (16)121.5114.5236.0+7.075%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +2.5+2.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +2.5+2.5
Toronto RaptorsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#25
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H15/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H24/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A25/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A03/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A04/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A07/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A09/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A11/03
NBA
109.2Avg total
53.4Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.157.0115.1+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.256.0114.2+2.269%-
Last 30 away (17)58.157.8115.9+0.235%-
Last 10 (10)53.455.8109.2-2.420%-
Last 5 (5)55.057.8112.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.050.0107.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)57.959.3117.1-1.433%-
vs Weaker (8)58.952.0110.9+6.988%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H16/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A24/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
42-66
42
66
-24
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H27/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
74-54
74
54
+20
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H07/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H09/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A11/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H12/03
NBA
117.3Avg total
59.5Scored
57.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.257.5118.7+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)62.856.0118.8+6.872%-
Last 30 away (12)58.859.7118.4-0.933%-
Last 10 (10)59.557.8117.3+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)59.259.8119.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)58.256.9115.1+1.350%-
vs Weaker (16)63.857.9121.8+5.962%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 107.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.831.2
51.3%
54.5%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.2
34.2%
35.8%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.114.9
78.0%
78.1%14.9
They take 90.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.630.5
56.9%
54.5%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.012.9
36.9%
35.8%38.7
🏀 Free throws21.216.4
77.4%
78.1%16.4
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LLLWLWLWWW
Denver Nuggets
LLLWWWWLWW
#18
League position
#2
-2.7
Net rating
+1.8
109.4
Offensive rating
116.2
112.1
Defensive rating
114.4
51.3%
Effective FG%
56.3%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
13.1%
Turnover %
13.1%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.2%
3-point %
36.9%
60.9%
Assist %
70.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.4 · 116.2Defence112.1 · 114.4Shooting51.3% · 56.3%3-point %34.2% · 36.9%Ball care13.1% · 13.1%Off. rebounds27.5% · 26.9%Free throws0.21 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Toronto Raptors wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateGameScore
07/03/23Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors118-113
13/03/22Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors115-127
13/02/22Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets109-110
30/04/21Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors121-111
24/03/21Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets135-111
14/08/20Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets117-109
01/03/20Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors133-118
17/12/18Denver Nuggets v Toronto Raptors95-86
04/12/18Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets103-106
27/03/18Toronto Raptors v Denver Nuggets114-110
Toronto Raptorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23ALos Angeles Lakers112-122
09/03/23ALos Angeles Clippers100-108
07/03/23ADenver Nuggets113-118
04/03/23AWashington Wizards116-109 OT
03/03/23AWashington Wizards108-119
01/03/23HChicago Bulls104-98
26/02/23ACleveland Cavaliers93-118
25/02/23ADetroit Pistons95-91
24/02/23HNew Orleans Pelicans115-110
15/02/23HOrlando Magic123-113
Denver Nuggetslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23HBrooklyn Nets120-122
11/03/23ASan Antonio Spurs120-128
09/03/23HChicago Bulls96-117
07/03/23HToronto Raptors118-113
04/03/23HMemphis Grizzlies113-97
01/03/23AHouston Rockets133-112
27/02/23HLos Angeles Clippers134-124 OT
26/02/23AMemphis Grizzlies94-112
24/02/23ACleveland Cavaliers115-109
16/02/23HDallas Mavericks118-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL47%
HomeLWWWW61%
AwayLWLLL34%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683335
Win %47%61%34%
Points / game112.4113.4111.5
Allowed / game112.2110.8113.5
Point differential+0.2+2.6-2.1
Avg total224.6224.1225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%30%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (22)44% (9)31% (13)
Overtime %7%3%11%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL68%
HomeWWWLL83%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683632
Win %68%83%50%
Points / game116.9120.6112.8
Allowed / game113.0110.1116.2
Point differential+3.9+10.4-3.4
Avg total229.9230.7229.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%53%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (21)62% (13)88% (8)
Overtime %4%6%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks68491972%116.1112.1+4.0
2 Boston Celtics69472268%117.7112.3+5.4
3 Denver Nuggets68462268%116.9113.0+3.9
4 Philadelphia 76ers67452267%115.0110.7+4.3
5 Cleveland Cavaliers71442762%112.1106.6+5.5
6 Memphis Grizzlies67412661%115.6111.6+4.1
7 Sacramento Kings67402760%121.3118.6+2.7
8 Brooklyn Nets68392957%113.9113.0+0.9
9 New York Knicks70403057%115.0112.3+2.7
10 Phoenix Suns68373154%113.4111.3+2.0
11 Miami Heat70373353%108.7109.5-0.8
12 Golden State Warriors69363352%118.2117.5+0.7
13 Los Angeles Clippers69363352%112.5112.5+0.0
14 Minnesota Timberwolves69353451%115.7115.7-0.0
15 Dallas Mavericks69343549%113.5113.1+0.4
16 Atlanta Hawks69343549%117.2117.5-0.3
17 Oklahoma City Thunder68333549%117.8116.3+1.5
18 New Orleans Pelicans68333549%114.0113.3+0.7
19 Los Angeles Lakers68333549%116.6117.2-0.6
20 Utah Jazz69333648%117.2117.2-0.0
21 Toronto Raptors68323647%112.4112.2+0.2
22 Washington Wizards69323746%113.0113.2-0.2
23 Chicago Bulls67313646%113.2112.4+0.7
24 Portland Trail Blazers68313746%114.6115.8-1.3
25 Indiana Pacers69313845%115.5117.9-2.4
26 Orlando Magic68284041%111.6114.3-2.7
27 Charlotte Hornets71224931%111.6117.5-5.8
28 San Antonio Spurs67175025%112.0122.0-10.0
29 Houston Rockets68165224%110.3118.3-8.0
30 Detroit Pistons70165423%111.2118.6-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors49232627125
Denver Nuggets30263618110
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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