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Denver Nuggets vs Brooklyn Nets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 120-122
30-30 39-31 18-37 33-24
Position#2
Record46-21
FormWWWLL
Points / game116.9
Allowed / game112.9
vs
Position#13
Record38-29
FormWWWLW
Points / game113.7
Allowed / game112.9
USANBA
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Brooklyn Nets
01 Mar 2027
DEN v BKN
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
DEN107
BKN103
10 Jan 2025
DEN124
BKN105
14 Dec 2023
DEN124
BKN101
12 Mar 2023
DEN120
BKN122
06 Feb 2022
DEN124
BKN104
08 May 2021
DEN119
BKN125
14 Nov 2019
DEN101
BKN93
09 Nov 2018
DEN110
BKN112
07 Nov 2017
DEN112
BKN104
24 Feb 2017
DEN129
BKN109
04 Mar 2016
DEN120
BKN121
23 Feb 2015
DEN82
BKN110
27 Feb 2014
DEN89
BKN112
29 Mar 2013
DEN109
BKN87
11 Jan 2012
DEN123
BKN115
20 Nov 2010
DEN107
BKN103
24 Nov 2009
DEN101
BKN87
16 Mar 2009
DEN121
BKN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brooklyn Nets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#10
W
112-108
112
108
+4
119avg 114
A14/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
118-109
118
109
+9
122avg 114
H16/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
115-109
115
109
+6
115avg 114
A24/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
94-112
94
112
-18
84avg 114
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
134-124 OT
134
124
+10
133avg 114
H27/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
133-112
133
112
+21
137avg 114
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
113-97
113
97
+16
112avg 114
H04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
118-113
118
113
+5
115avg 114
H07/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
96-117
96
117
-21
87avg 114
H09/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
120-128
120
128
-8
113avg 114
A11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-36
38-26
24-21
23-25
26-25
35-19
31-30
26-35
31-26
25-31
33-34
26-18
20-28
22-38
20-28
32-18
35-22
31-36
31-30
23-32
41-30
33-24
32-30
27-28
28-27
22-31
30-22
33-17
29-34
29-27
25-27
35-25
29-25
23-26
24-36
20-30
38-26
29-42
26-30
27-30
228.2Avg total
115.3Scored
112.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)116.9112.9229.8+4.069%
Season at home (35)120.6109.8230.4+10.886%
Season away (32)112.8116.2229.1-3.450%
Last 10 (10)115.3112.9228.2+2.470%
Last 5 (5)116.0113.4229.4+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)112.6108.9221.5+3.864%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)121.6112.6234.2+9.181%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNets
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#10
W
116-105
116
105
+11
114avg 108
H16/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
87-131
87
131
-44
71avg 108
A25/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
127-129
127
129
-2
115avg 108
A26/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
104-118
104
118
-14
95avg 108
H01/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
118-142
118
142
-24
105avg 108
A02/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
115-105
115
105
+10
104avg 108
A04/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
102-86
102
86
+16
91avg 108
H05/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
118-96
118
96
+22
109avg 108
A08/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
113-118
113
118
-5
94avg 108
A10/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
124-123 OT
124
123
+1
112avg 108
A11/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
26-31
31-24
33-25
18-33
11-30
22-34
36-34
29-37
28-27
37-33
33-32
34-22
28-30
23-39
19-27
29-47
28-34
30-29
31-32
15-37
40-27
34-20
26-21
36-21
34-20
16-21
16-24
27-32
32-22
33-24
26-18
20-37
27-27
33-23
33-31
26-33
34-35
37-20
17-26
227.7Avg total
112.4Scored
115.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)113.7112.9226.6+0.957%
Season at home (31)114.4110.2224.6+4.261%
Season away (36)113.2115.1228.3-2.053%
Last 10 (10)112.4115.3227.7-2.950%
Last 5 (5)114.4105.6220.0+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)103.0117.7220.7-14.733%
vs Similar (23)113.5117.0230.5-3.443%
vs Weaker (4)110.0104.5214.5+5.550%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.0+0.0
Denver NuggetsBrooklyn Nets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#10
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A14/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
61-44
61
44
+17
H16/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A24/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
42-66
42
66
-24
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H27/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
74-54
74
54
+20
A01/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H07/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H09/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A11/03
NBA
117.0Avg total
59.1Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.156.5117.6+4.657%-
Last 30 at home (18)62.754.4117.1+8.372%-
Last 30 away (12)58.859.7118.4-0.933%-
Last 10 (10)59.157.9117.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)60.258.4118.6+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)58.256.9115.1+1.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)63.656.1119.8+7.562%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#10
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H16/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
29-63
29
63
-34
A25/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A26/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H01/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
57-81
57
81
-24
A02/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A04/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
70-41
70
41
+29
H05/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A08/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A10/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A11/03
NBA
115.5Avg total
54.8Scored
60.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.660.2115.8-4.637%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.153.6110.7+3.562%-
Last 30 away (17)54.565.3119.8-10.818%-
Last 10 (10)54.860.7115.5-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)58.258.2116.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)52.367.7120.0-15.30%-
vs Similar (23)55.360.9116.2-5.635%-
vs Weaker (4)59.851.0110.8+8.875%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.530.5
58.1%
54.5%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.712.8
36.9%
35.8%38.4
🏀 Free throws20.315.9
78.3%
78.1%15.9
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 112.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.725.0
51.3%
54.5%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.414.1
35.8%
35.8%42.3
🏀 Free throws24.020.1
83.8%
78.1%20.1
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWWWWLWWW
Brooklyn Nets
WLWWWLLLLW
#2
League position
#13
+2.4
Net rating
-2.8
116.1
Offensive rating
109.1
113.7
Defensive rating
111.9
57.0%
Effective FG%
52.4%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
13.0%
Turnover %
11.5%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
16.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.9%
3-point %
35.8%
72.1%
Assist %
58.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 109.1Defence113.7 · 111.9Shooting57.0% · 52.4%3-point %36.9% · 35.8%Ball care13.0% · 11.5%Off. rebounds25.2% · 16.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Brooklyn Nets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
5
Brooklyn Nets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23ASan Antonio Spurs120-128
09/03/23HChicago Bulls96-117
07/03/23HToronto Raptors118-113
04/03/23HMemphis Grizzlies113-97
01/03/23AHouston Rockets133-112
27/02/23HLos Angeles Clippers134-124 OT
26/02/23AMemphis Grizzlies94-112
24/02/23ACleveland Cavaliers115-109
16/02/23HDallas Mavericks118-109
14/02/23AMiami Heat112-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23AMinnesota Timberwolves124-123 OT
10/03/23AMilwaukee Bucks113-118
08/03/23AHouston Rockets118-96
05/03/23HCharlotte Hornets102-86
04/03/23ABoston Celtics115-105
02/03/23ANew York Knicks118-142
01/03/23HMilwaukee Bucks104-118
26/02/23AAtlanta Hawks127-129
25/02/23AChicago Bulls87-131
16/02/23HMiami Heat116-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL69%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673532
Win %69%86%50%
Points / game116.9120.6112.8
Allowed / game112.9109.8116.2
Point differential+4.0+10.8-3.4
Avg total229.8230.4229.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%54%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (20)67% (12)88% (8)
Overtime %4%6%3%
Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW57%
HomeWLWLW61%
AwayLWWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673136
Win %57%61%53%
Points / game113.7114.4113.2
Allowed / game112.9110.2115.1
Point differential+0.9+4.2-2.0
Avg total226.6224.6228.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%32%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (20)50% (6)64% (14)
Overtime %3%3%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks67481972%115.9111.9+4.0
2 Boston Celtics68472169%117.9112.4+5.5
3 Denver Nuggets67462169%116.9112.9+4.0
4 Philadelphia 76ers66442267%115.1111.0+4.1
5 Cleveland Cavaliers69422761%112.0106.6+5.3
6 Memphis Grizzlies66402661%115.8111.9+3.9
7 Sacramento Kings66402661%121.2118.3+2.9
8 Brooklyn Nets67382957%113.7112.9+0.9
9 New York Knicks69393057%115.0112.4+2.6
10 Phoenix Suns67373055%113.4111.2+2.2
11 Los Angeles Clippers69363352%112.5112.5+0.0
12 Miami Heat69363352%108.6109.4-0.8
13 Golden State Warriors68353351%118.1117.6+0.5
14 Dallas Mavericks68343450%113.9113.2+0.7
15 Atlanta Hawks68343450%117.3117.2+0.0
16 Minnesota Timberwolves68343450%115.4115.7-0.3
17 Los Angeles Lakers67333449%116.7117.3-0.6
18 Utah Jazz68333549%117.3117.2+0.0
19 Oklahoma City Thunder67323548%118.1116.7+1.4
20 New Orleans Pelicans67323548%113.8113.4+0.4
21 Toronto Raptors68323647%112.4112.2+0.2
22 Chicago Bulls67313646%113.2112.4+0.7
23 Washington Wizards67313646%113.2113.4-0.2
24 Portland Trail Blazers67313646%114.6115.7-1.0
25 Indiana Pacers68313746%115.8117.9-2.1
26 Orlando Magic68284041%111.6114.3-2.7
27 Charlotte Hornets69224732%111.8117.5-5.7
28 San Antonio Spurs66174926%112.3122.3-10.0
29 Houston Rockets67155222%110.3118.5-8.2
30 Detroit Pistons68155322%111.3118.9-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets30391833120
Brooklyn Nets30313724122
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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