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Brisbane Bullets vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 71-81
15-15 20-24 18-20 18-22
Position#6
Record7-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game89.8
vs
Position#5
Record6-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game89.9
AustraliaNBLRound 12· Brisbane Convention & Exhibition Centre
Other2023-24
Meetings · Brisbane Bullets v New Zealand Breakers
22 Sep 2026
BRIS88
NEW 85
22 Dec 2025
BRIS99
NEW 85
12 Nov 2025
BRIS84
NEW 113
08 Jan 2025
BRIS83
NEW 74
17 Oct 2024
BRIS84
NEW 73
27 Dec 2023
BRIS71
NEW 81
04 Feb 2023
BRIS75
NEW 80
26 Jan 2023
BRIS71
NEW 99
09 Jan 2022
BRIS83
NEW 88
27 Mar 2021
BRIS76
NEW 81
20 Mar 2021
BRIS88
NEW 67
07 Feb 2020
BRIS87
NEW 91
27 Dec 2019
BRIS96
NEW 99
16 Feb 2019
BRIS84
NEW 78
11 Nov 2018
BRIS84
NEW 85
03 Dec 2017
BRIS81
NEW 76
26 Oct 2017
BRIS96
NEW 101
15 Jan 2017
BRIS82
NEW 84
22 Oct 2016
BRIS88
NEW 82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisbane Bullets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Zealand Breakers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
90-87
90
87
+3
82avg 76
H29/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
108-92
108
92
+16
104avg 76
H02/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
81avg 76
A04/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
95-104
95
104
-9
77avg 76
A12/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
76-79
76
79
-3
64avg 76
H18/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
84-79
84
79
+5
73avg 76
A01/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
78-77
78
77
+1
75avg 76
H03/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
68-103
68
103
-35
50avg 76
A10/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
101-102
101
102
-1
85avg 76
H17/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
88-95
88
95
-7
70avg 76
A24/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
21-18
24-23
21-25
26-23
33-19
24-29
25-21
19-21
26-20
21-34
19-12
26-20
25-25
20-31
24-28
16-14
17-18
20-18
23-29
17-21
26-21
25-12
16-25
28-26
22-23
15-12
13-16
21-18
16-36
22-23
9-26
17-35
26-21
24-23
34-23
23-27
19-25
21-18
25-25
177.8Avg total
87.3Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.589.8176.3-3.241%
Season at home (8)90.988.8179.6+2.150%
Season away (9)82.790.7173.3-8.033%
Last 10 (10)87.390.5177.8-3.240%
Last 5 (5)83.891.2175.0-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)84.295.0179.2-10.825%
vs Similar ◀ (8)89.485.4174.8+4.062%
vs Weaker (2)90.594.0184.5-3.550%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
91-81
91
81
+10
84avg 80
H03/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
85-87
85
87
-2
74avg 80
A05/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
76-94
76
94
-18
69avg 80
A10/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
97-92
97
92
+5
81avg 80
A16/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
65-69
65
69
-4
51avg 80
H19/11
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
96-83
96
83
+13
91avg 80
H30/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
79-90
79
90
-11
69avg 80
A02/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
80-97
80
97
-17
70avg 80
H09/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
111-82
111
82
+29
110avg 80
A15/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
109-101
109
101
+8
100avg 80
H22/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
16-15
30-17
24-26
21-27
23-28
23-17
18-15
17-34
19-18
22-21
18-21
31-30
25-17
23-19
18-26
12-19
23-17
16-17
14-16
37-17
16-24
24-19
19-23
19-16
26-25
20-25
14-24
24-26
8-23
24-26
24-22
36-18
26-18
29-29
20-17
29-17
24-36
33-15
23-33
176.5Avg total
88.9Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.689.9179.5-0.340%
Season at home (8)88.588.0176.5+0.550%
Season away (7)90.992.1183.0-1.329%
Last 10 (10)88.987.6176.5+1.350%
Last 5 (5)95.090.6185.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)88.395.3183.7-7.033%
vs Similar ◀ (18)85.583.5169.0+2.050%
vs Weaker (9)87.383.6170.9+3.856%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
Brisbane BulletsNew Zealand Breakers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H29/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H02/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A04/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A12/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H18/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A01/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H03/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A10/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H17/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A24/12
NBL
90.0Avg total
44.8Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.146.389.4-3.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.646.689.3-4.047%-
Last 30 away (13)43.745.889.5-2.254%-
Last 10 (10)44.845.290.0-0.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.050.693.6-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)42.346.488.7-4.145%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.446.891.1-2.462%-
vs Weaker (2)46.043.589.5+2.550%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H03/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A05/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A10/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A16/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/11
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H30/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A02/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H09/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
62-36
62
36
+26
A15/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H22/12
NBL
90.1Avg total
45.3Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.542.786.2+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.740.981.6-0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)46.244.690.8+1.660%-
Last 10 (10)45.344.890.1+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)49.044.093.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.746.089.7-2.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)43.841.885.6+1.950%-
vs Weaker (9)42.843.486.2-0.744%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.325.1
52.0%
50.9%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.5
27.9%
33.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws21.616.6
76.9%
73.8%16.6
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.3
54.4%
50.9%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.0
37.5%
33.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.014.3
71.5%
73.8%14.3
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brisbane Bullets
LLLWWLLLWW
New Zealand Breakers
WWLLWLWLLW
#6
League position
#5
-4.0
Net rating
+1.6
107.6
Offensive rating
110.6
111.6
Defensive rating
109.0
48.7%
Effective FG%
55.3%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.2%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
21.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
27.9%
3-point %
37.5%
44.9%
Assist %
53.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 110.6Defence111.6 · 109.0Shooting48.7% · 55.3%3-point %27.9% · 37.5%Ball care15.0% · 15.2%Off. rebounds31.3% · 21.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Brisbane Bullets   ■ New Zealand Breakers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23AAdelaide88-95
17/12/23HCairns Taipans101-102
10/12/23AMelbourne United68-103
03/12/23HIllawarra Hawks78-77
01/12/23ACairns Taipans84-79
18/11/23HPerth76-79
12/11/23ASydney95-104
04/11/23ATasmania JackJumpers85-87
02/11/23HSouth East Melbourne108-92
29/10/23HTasmania JackJumpers90-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23HSydney109-101
15/12/23ACairns Taipans111-82
09/12/23HTasmania JackJumpers80-97
02/12/23ASouth East Melbourne79-90
30/11/23HAdelaide96-83
19/11/23HIllawarra Hawks65-69
16/11/23ATasmania JackJumpers97-92
10/11/23APerth76-94
05/11/23ASydney85-87
03/11/23HCairns Taipans91-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL41%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%50%33%
Points / game86.590.982.7
Allowed / game89.888.890.7
Point differential-3.2+2.1-8.0
Avg total176.3179.6173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)40% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW40%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayLLWLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%50%29%
Points / game89.688.590.9
Allowed / game89.988.092.1
Point differential-0.3+0.5-1.3
Avg total179.5176.5183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1714382%95.386.1+9.2
2 Perth1710759%91.891.7+0.1
3 Tasmania JackJumpers1810856%89.284.2+5.1
4 Sydney179853%95.193.8+1.3
5 South East Melbourne189950%89.691.6-1.9
6 Cairns Taipans1881044%89.690.3-0.7
7 Brisbane Bullets1771041%86.589.8-3.2
8 New Zealand Breakers156940%89.689.9-0.3
9 Illawarra Hawks156940%85.989.7-3.7
10 Adelaide1651131%85.692.4-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brisbane Bullets1520181871
New Zealand Breakers1524202281
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