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Brisbane Bullets vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 83-74
15-17 23-18 20-15 25-24
Position#8
Record9-11
FormWWLLL
Points / game94.8
Allowed / game96.2
vs
Position#9
Record8-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game90.8
AustraliaNBLRound 15· Brisbane Convention & Exhibition Centre
Other2024-25
Meetings · Brisbane Bullets v New Zealand Breakers
22 Sep 2026
BRIS88
NEW 85
22 Dec 2025
BRIS99
NEW 85
12 Nov 2025
BRIS84
NEW 113
08 Jan 2025
BRIS83
NEW 74
17 Oct 2024
BRIS84
NEW 73
27 Dec 2023
BRIS71
NEW 81
04 Feb 2023
BRIS75
NEW 80
26 Jan 2023
BRIS71
NEW 99
09 Jan 2022
BRIS83
NEW 88
27 Mar 2021
BRIS76
NEW 81
20 Mar 2021
BRIS88
NEW 67
07 Feb 2020
BRIS87
NEW 91
27 Dec 2019
BRIS96
NEW 99
16 Feb 2019
BRIS84
NEW 78
11 Nov 2018
BRIS84
NEW 85
03 Dec 2017
BRIS81
NEW 76
26 Oct 2017
BRIS96
NEW 101
15 Jan 2017
BRIS82
NEW 84
22 Oct 2016
BRIS88
NEW 82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisbane Bullets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Zealand Breakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
L
89-117
89
117
-28
73avg 83
A29/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
102-83
102
83
+19
94avg 83
H06/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
122-114
122
114
+8
121avg 83
A08/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
116-108
116
108
+8
107avg 83
H12/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
81-93
81
93
-12
74avg 83
A15/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
107-104
107
104
+3
94avg 83
H20/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
111-90
111
90
+21
104avg 83
A24/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
84-102
84
102
-18
71avg 83
H27/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
75avg 83
A29/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
86-91
86
91
-5
70avg 83
H04/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-31
22-32
13-28
30-26
34-24
19-23
22-17
27-19
28-28
29-29
31-30
34-27
26-34
22-25
34-24
34-25
25-25
29-23
19-18
8-27
29-30
27-24
25-26
26-24
24-23
27-25
27-22
33-20
34-29
16-19
18-34
16-20
21-22
23-30
14-18
28-25
29-28
19-17
23-24
15-22
198.1Avg total
98.4Scored
99.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)94.896.2191.0-1.445%
Season at home (10)94.894.3189.1+0.550%
Season away (10)94.898.1192.9-3.340%
Last 10 (10)98.499.7198.1-1.350%
Last 5 (5)94.896.4191.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)93.399.9193.3-6.640%
vs Similar ◀ (14)94.190.6184.7+3.457%
vs Weaker (1)95.083.0178.0+12.0100%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
71-109
71
109
-38
56avg 77
A28/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
112-123
112
123
-11
103avg 77
A01/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
70-97
70
97
-27
59avg 77
H05/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 77
H07/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
76-100
76
100
-24
62avg 77
H12/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
94-111
94
111
-17
85avg 77
A14/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
84-92
84
92
-8
71avg 77
H20/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
82-97
82
97
-15
75avg 77
A25/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
92-68
92
68
+24
92avg 77
A31/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
86-96
86
96
-10
85avg 77
H05/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-32
17-20
27-20
15-37
24-42
24-27
37-24
27-30
24-28
19-18
7-24
20-27
14-25
26-27
15-25
28-21
19-29
23-30
21-19
13-22
22-22
27-36
27-20
18-33
19-15
32-29
18-23
15-25
18-20
21-22
19-22
24-33
21-15
26-22
25-17
20-14
24-30
20-25
28-19
14-22
184.1Avg total
85.0Scored
99.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.190.8175.9-5.740%
Season at home (10)83.190.4173.5-7.340%
Season away (10)87.191.2178.3-4.140%
Last 10 (10)85.099.1184.1-14.110%
Last 5 (5)87.692.8180.4-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)86.193.6179.7-7.538%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.185.6171.7+0.553%
vs Weaker (2)88.075.5163.5+12.550%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -7.0-7.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -6.1-6.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -7.0-7.0
Brisbane BulletsNew Zealand Breakers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
L
46-63
46
63
-17
A29/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H06/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A08/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H12/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A15/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H20/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A24/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H27/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A29/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H04/01
NBL
102.8Avg total
50.7Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.948.495.3-1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.346.492.7-0.167%-
Last 30 away (15)47.550.397.9-2.840%-
Last 10 (10)50.752.1102.8-1.460%-
Last 5 (5)49.849.499.2+0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)46.650.096.6-3.447%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.647.193.6-0.557%-
vs Weaker (1)57.042.099.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A28/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
48-69
48
69
-21
A01/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H05/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H07/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H12/12
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A14/12
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H20/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A25/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A31/12
NBL
Perth
#3
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H05/01
NBL
94.6Avg total
43.2Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.244.488.6-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.543.589.0+2.050%-
Last 30 away (16)43.145.188.2-2.038%-
Last 10 (10)43.251.494.6-8.220%-
Last 5 (5)46.047.293.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)43.446.990.3-3.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)45.143.188.2+1.947%-
vs Weaker (2)43.537.080.5+6.550%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 97.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.723.7
54.2%
52.3%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.5
39.6%
35.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws24.418.7
76.6%
74.7%18.7
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.423.7
58.7%
52.3%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.67.1
26.7%
35.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.615.3
70.8%
74.7%15.3
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brisbane Bullets
LLLWWLWWWL
New Zealand Breakers
LWLLLLLLLL
#8
League position
#9
-1.8
Net rating
-17.9
118.2
Offensive rating
106.7
120.0
Defensive rating
124.6
56.2%
Effective FG%
51.3%
58.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
16.8%
Turnover %
17.4%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.6%
3-point %
26.7%
43.9%
Assist %
51.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence118.2 · 106.7Defence120.0 · 124.6Shooting56.2% · 51.3%3-point %39.6% · 26.7%Ball care16.8% · 17.4%Off. rebounds32.3% · 30.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Brisbane Bullets   ■ New Zealand Breakers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HSydney86-91
29/12/24ATasmania JackJumpers86-95
27/12/24HIllawarra Hawks84-102
24/12/24AAdelaide111-90
20/12/24HCairns Taipans107-104
15/12/24ASydney81-93
12/12/24HSouth East Melbourne116-108
08/12/24AMelbourne United122-114
06/12/24HAdelaide102-83
29/11/24APerth89-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HPerth86-96
31/12/24ACairns Taipans92-68
25/12/24ATasmania JackJumpers82-97
20/12/24HSydney84-92
14/12/24AAdelaide94-111
12/12/24HTasmania JackJumpers76-100
07/12/24HSydney83-98
05/12/24HMelbourne United70-97
01/12/24APerth112-123
28/11/24AIllawarra Hawks71-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL45%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game94.894.894.8
Allowed / game96.294.398.1
Point differential-1.4+0.5-3.3
Avg total191.0189.1192.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL40%
HomeLLLLL40%
AwayLLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game85.183.187.1
Allowed / game90.890.491.2
Point differential-5.7-7.3-4.1
Avg total175.9173.5178.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%10%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks2114767%101.092.2+8.7
2 Melbourne United2213959%94.790.5+4.2
3 Sydney2213959%90.586.7+3.9
4 Perth2112957%97.796.5+1.2
5 South East Melbourne21111052%93.490.2+3.2
6 Tasmania JackJumpers21111052%84.184.6-0.5
7 Brisbane Bullets2091145%94.896.2-1.4
8 Adelaide2091145%92.596.8-4.3
9 New Zealand Breakers2081240%85.190.8-5.7
10 Cairns Taipans2041620%84.395.0-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brisbane Bullets1523202583
New Zealand Breakers1718152474
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