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Brisbane Bullets vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 84-73
17-13 22-20 19-17 26-23
Position#8
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game95.0
vs
Position#9
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game83.0
AustraliaNBLRound 5· Brisbane Convention & Exhibition Centre
Other2024-25
Meetings · Brisbane Bullets v New Zealand Breakers
22 Sep 2026
BRIS88
NEW 85
22 Dec 2025
BRIS99
NEW 85
12 Nov 2025
BRIS84
NEW 113
08 Jan 2025
BRIS83
NEW 74
17 Oct 2024
BRIS84
NEW 73
27 Dec 2023
BRIS71
NEW 81
04 Feb 2023
BRIS75
NEW 80
26 Jan 2023
BRIS71
NEW 99
09 Jan 2022
BRIS83
NEW 88
27 Mar 2021
BRIS76
NEW 81
20 Mar 2021
BRIS88
NEW 67
07 Feb 2020
BRIS87
NEW 91
27 Dec 2019
BRIS96
NEW 99
16 Feb 2019
BRIS84
NEW 78
11 Nov 2018
BRIS84
NEW 85
03 Dec 2017
BRIS81
NEW 76
26 Oct 2017
BRIS96
NEW 101
15 Jan 2017
BRIS82
NEW 84
22 Oct 2016
BRIS88
NEW 82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisbane Bullets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Zealand Breakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
L
86-118
86
118
-32
68avg 76
A19/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
102-84
102
84
+18
88avg 76
A21/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
77-93
77
93
-16
62avg 76
H26/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
76-89
76
89
-13
59avg 76
A03/02
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
102-84
102
84
+18
96avg 76
H09/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
87-103
87
103
-16
77avg 76
A16/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
87-91
87
91
-4
77avg 76
A21/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
101-113
101
113
-12
90avg 76
A27/09
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
82-91
82
91
-9
70avg 76
H05/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
87-85
87
85
+2
80avg 76
A12/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-31
25-26
23-28
25-33
26-17
35-23
18-22
23-22
13-21
26-29
20-23
18-20
18-22
26-28
22-12
10-27
22-20
30-24
24-23
26-17
21-26
19-29
23-20
24-28
19-24
15-27
18-21
35-19
25-38
35-21
20-30
21-24
17-22
10-25
28-28
27-16
18-23
27-26
23-17
19-19
183.8Avg total
88.7Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.295.0184.2-5.825%
Season at home (1)82.091.0173.0-9.00%
Season away (3)91.796.3188.0-4.733%
Last 10 (10)88.795.1183.8-6.430%
Last 5 (5)88.896.6185.4-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)86.194.1180.2-7.933%
vs Similar ◀ (12)89.389.8179.1-0.442%
vs Weaker (3)92.090.3182.3+1.767%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
68avg 79
A28/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
89-78
89
78
+11
81avg 79
A04/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
88-85
88
85
+3
81avg 79
H09/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
81-94
81
94
-13
65avg 79
A11/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
103-87
103
87
+16
96avg 79
H16/02
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
70-76
70
76
-6
56avg 79
A18/02
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
83-76
83
76
+7
74avg 79
A28/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
78avg 79
A04/03
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
91-87
91
87
+4
88avg 79
H21/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
81-79
81
79
+2
69avg 79
H29/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
26-20
20-22
17-25
21-16
25-23
25-24
18-15
18-21
23-21
27-19
20-24
22-27
17-28
16-23
26-16
26-21
29-19
20-23
28-24
14-17
21-20
12-21
23-18
15-22
23-25
22-13
23-16
17-31
25-11
21-24
22-22
24-19
27-15
21-18
19-35
11-21
22-15
27-23
21-20
169.5Avg total
85.6Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.083.0169.0+3.0100%
Season at home (2)86.083.0169.0+3.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.683.9169.5+1.760%
Last 5 (5)82.081.2163.2+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)87.590.2177.8-2.850%
vs Similar ◀ (16)88.886.8175.5+2.056%
vs Weaker (6)89.387.3176.7+2.033%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
Brisbane BulletsNew Zealand Breakers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A19/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
61-40
61
40
+21
A21/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H26/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A03/02
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H09/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A16/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A21/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A27/09
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H05/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A12/10
NBL
94.2Avg total
44.0Scored
50.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.946.490.3-2.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.445.289.6-0.857%-
Last 30 away (16)43.447.490.8-3.944%-
Last 10 (10)44.050.294.2-6.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.252.293.4-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.845.787.5-3.953%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)45.148.193.2-3.042%-
vs Weaker (3)49.743.092.7+6.767%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A28/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A04/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H09/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A11/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H16/02
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A18/02
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A28/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/03
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H21/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H29/09
NBL
84.2Avg total
42.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.843.888.6+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.441.587.9+4.957%-
Last 30 away (16)43.445.889.2-2.444%-
Last 10 (10)42.841.484.2+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.279.0+0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.043.486.4-0.450%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)44.944.289.1+0.844%-
vs Weaker (6)46.843.390.2+3.567%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.323.5
46.7%
52.3%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.6
33.6%
35.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws23.417.7
75.6%
74.7%17.7
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.122.6
52.4%
52.3%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.2
32.8%
35.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.014.6
73.0%
74.7%14.6
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brisbane Bullets
WLLLLWLLWL
New Zealand Breakers
WWLWLWLWWL
#8
League position
#9
-8.8
Net rating
+1.6
106.8
Offensive rating
106.5
115.6
Defensive rating
104.8
47.9%
Effective FG%
51.2%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
16.0%
Turnover %
15.5%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.6%
3-point %
32.8%
50.5%
Assist %
50.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 106.5Defence115.6 · 104.8Shooting47.9% · 51.2%3-point %33.6% · 32.8%Ball care16.0% · 15.5%Off. rebounds33.6% · 26.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Brisbane Bullets   ■ New Zealand Breakers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24ASouth East Melbourne87-85
05/10/24HSydney82-91
27/09/24AIllawarra Hawks101-113
21/09/24ANew Zealand Breakers87-91
16/02/24ANew Zealand Breakers87-103
09/02/24HAdelaide102-84
03/02/24AIllawarra Hawks76-89
26/01/24HMelbourne United77-93
21/01/24ACairns Taipans102-84
19/01/24APerth86-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/24HSouth East Melbourne81-79
21/09/24HBrisbane Bullets91-87
04/03/24AIllawarra Hawks85-88
28/02/24ASydney83-76
18/02/24AAdelaide70-76
16/02/24HBrisbane Bullets103-87
11/02/24AMelbourne United81-94
09/02/24HIllawarra Hawks88-85
04/02/24APerth89-78
28/01/24AIllawarra Hawks85-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeL0%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game89.282.091.7
Allowed / game95.091.096.3
Point differential-5.8-9.0-4.7
Avg total184.2173.0188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game83.083.0-
Point differential+3.0+3.0-
Avg total169.0169.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Zealand Breakers220100%86.083.0+3.0
2 Illawarra Hawks54180%104.088.6+15.4
3 Melbourne United64267%91.282.0+9.2
4 Sydney64267%91.386.8+4.5
5 Adelaide63350%92.395.2-2.8
6 Cairns Taipans63350%87.892.3-4.5
7 Perth52340%86.090.8-4.8
8 Tasmania JackJumpers52340%79.687.6-8.0
9 Brisbane Bullets41325%89.295.0-5.8
10 South East Melbourne5050%85.892.6-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brisbane Bullets1722192684
New Zealand Breakers1320172373
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