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New Zealand Breakers vs Illawarra Hawks Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 08 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 06:30
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game90.6
vs
Position#10
Record2-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game105.1
AustraliaNBLRound 16· Spark Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Illawarra Hawks
08 Jan 2027
NEW v ILLA
upcoming
20 Sep 2026
NEW 95
ILLA81
07 Feb 2026
NEW 106
ILLA95
08 Oct 2025
NEW 117
ILLA88
05 Feb 2025
NEW 82
ILLA96
09 Feb 2024
NEW 88
ILLA85
19 Nov 2023
NEW 65
ILLA69
19 Jan 2023
NEW 76
ILLA78
01 Mar 2022
NEW 87
ILLA102
02 Feb 2022
NEW 90
ILLA67
28 May 2021
NEW 73
ILLA84
03 May 2021
NEW 67
ILLA75
30 Nov 2019
NEW 91
ILLA79
24 Oct 2019
NEW 103
ILLA72
14 Feb 2019
NEW 130
ILLA96
21 Dec 2018
NEW 96
ILLA79
16 Feb 2018
NEW 82
ILLA84
04 Feb 2018
NEW 88
ILLA84
02 Dec 2016
NEW 91
ILLA95
18 Nov 2016
NEW 100
ILLA85
17 Jan 2016
NEW 96
ILLA103
20 Dec 2015
NEW 83
ILLA107
08 Jan 2015
NEW 98
ILLA91
14 Nov 2014
NEW 71
ILLA55
23 Jan 2014
NEW 106
ILLA101
10 Oct 2013
NEW 92
ILLA73
15 Feb 2013
NEW 92
ILLA84
17 Jan 2013
NEW 72
ILLA71
16 Feb 2012
NEW 82
ILLA74
11 Nov 2011
NEW 63
ILLA81
03 Feb 2011
NEW 80
ILLA76
19 Nov 2010
NEW 57
ILLA73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
85-88
85
88
-3
A22/09
NBL
Perth
#3
L
93-97
93
97
-4
A26/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
98-75
98
75
+23
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
88-72
88
72
+16
A04/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
84-100
84
100
-16
A10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
102-101
102
101
+1
A14/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
92-98
92
98
-6
A18/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A25/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
101-108
101
108
-7
H30/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
26-23
22-14
19-20
26-19
18-18
19-28
22-23
26-22
25-25
22-29
20-21
19-18
23-17
30-25
26-15
23-19
25-23
12-15
28-15
22-21
16-20
28-29
18-30
31-29
20-32
24-12
27-28
32-31
19-22
14-17
27-28
25-16
21-23
16-21
22-26
24-28
20-28
28-18
29-34
182.8Avg total
92.2Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)92.290.6182.8+1.640%
Season at home (3)98.088.0186.0+10.067%
Season away (7)89.791.7181.4-2.029%
Last 10 (10)92.290.6182.8+1.640%
Last 5 (5)92.698.6191.2-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)90.8102.1192.9-11.438%
vs Similar (11)97.094.3191.3+2.755%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)94.590.1184.6+4.545%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
95-103
95
103
-8
A25/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
100-121
100
121
-21
A27/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
114-92
114
92
+22
H02/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
96-113
96
113
-17
A04/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
112-122
112
122
-10
H09/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
100-110
100
110
-10
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A18/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
82-108
82
108
-26
H22/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
81-98
81
98
-17
H24/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
23-26
14-22
20-19
18-25
24-25
24-23
29-30
27-31
18-34
26-33
29-23
35-21
30-14
27-32
22-25
23-23
18-36
32-26
23-28
22-32
25-35
26-24
39-31
27-28
23-29
27-29
23-24
21-27
35-16
22-22
13-24
19-20
17-28
16-34
30-26
16-25
19-30
27-14
19-29
200.3Avg total
95.2Scored
105.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)95.2105.1200.3-9.920%
Season at home (5)97.8106.0203.8-8.220%
Season away (5)92.6104.2196.8-11.620%
Last 10 (10)95.2105.1200.3-9.920%
Last 5 (5)93.2105.4198.6-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)95.2104.9200.1-9.724%
vs Similar (5)97.491.6189.0+5.860%
vs Weaker (4)96.282.8179.0+13.575%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.2-1.2
New Zealand BreakersIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A22/09
NBL
Perth
#3
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A26/09
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H30/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A04/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A14/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A18/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A25/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H30/10
NBL
92.7Avg total
46.9Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.147.694.7-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (12)47.847.295.0+0.758%-
Last 30 away (18)46.747.994.6-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)46.945.892.7+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.050.096.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)45.253.098.2-7.825%-
vs Similar (11)48.246.895.0+1.455%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.544.591.9+3.073%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A25/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-65
45
65
-20
A27/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
65-35
65
35
+30
H02/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A04/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
47-67
47
67
-20
H09/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H11/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A18/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H22/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H24/10
NBL
99.7Avg total
46.4Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.049.996.9-2.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.149.095.1-2.927%-
Last 30 away (15)47.950.798.6-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)46.453.399.7-6.920%-
Last 5 (5)44.854.098.8-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)46.251.797.9-5.524%-
vs Similar (5)51.446.297.6+5.260%-
vs Weaker (4)45.844.890.5+1.025%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.3
55.8%
56.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.311.7
41.3%
34.4%35.1
🏀 Free throws18.812.9
68.6%
73.7%12.9
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.025.4
56.4%
56.0%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.610.6
33.5%
34.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.811.9
70.8%
73.7%11.9
They take 76.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Zealand Breakers
LLLWLWWLLW
Illawarra Hawks
LLWLLLWLLL
#9
League position
#10
+3.3
Net rating
-11.0
102.8
Offensive rating
99.1
99.5
Defensive rating
110.1
58.4%
Effective FG%
53.9%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
14.1%
Turnover %
11.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.22
41.3%
3-point %
33.5%
63.3%
Assist %
58.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 99.1Defence99.5 · 110.1Shooting58.4% · 53.9%3-point %41.3% · 33.5%Ball care14.1% · 11.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ New Zealand Breakers   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HAdelaide101-108
25/10/26ACairns Taipans84-86
18/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers92-98
14/10/26ASydney102-101
10/10/26APerth84-100
04/10/26AAdelaide88-72
30/09/26HCairns Taipans98-75
26/09/26APerth93-97
22/09/26ABrisbane Bullets85-88
20/09/26HIllawarra Hawks95-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HBrisbane Bullets81-98
22/10/26HSydney82-108
18/10/26AMelbourne United91-89
11/10/26HCairns Taipans100-110
09/10/26HTasmania JackJumpers112-122
04/10/26ASouth East Melbourne96-113
02/10/26HAdelaide114-92
27/09/26ASydney100-121
25/09/26ABrisbane Bullets95-103
20/09/26ANew Zealand Breakers81-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL40%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %40%67%29%
Points / game92.298.089.7
Allowed / game90.688.091.7
Point differential+1.6+10.0-2.0
Avg total182.8186.0181.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%67%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)-25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%20%20%
Points / game95.297.892.6
Allowed / game105.1106.0104.2
Point differential-9.9-8.2-11.6
Avg total200.3203.8196.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney107370%97.988.1+9.8
2 Tasmania JackJumpers96367%95.391.0+4.3
3 Perth85362%92.695.6-3.0
4 Cairns Taipans106460%91.794.9-3.2
5 Adelaide105550%91.293.5-2.3
6 South East Melbourne94544%97.893.9+3.9
7 Melbourne United94544%94.992.0+2.9
8 Brisbane Bullets94544%93.697.6-4.0
9 New Zealand Breakers104640%92.290.6+1.6
10 Illawarra Hawks102820%95.2105.1-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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