PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 102-123
24-29 24-29 22-39 32-26
Position#7
Record39-28
FormLWLLW
Points / game107.2
Allowed / game103.4
vs
Position#10
Record38-29
FormLLWWW
Points / game106.6
Allowed / game106.2
USANBA· Air Canada Centre
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Oklahoma City Thunder
10 Mar 2027
TOR v OKC
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
TOR107
OKC116
05 Dec 2024
TOR92
OKC129
22 Mar 2024
TOR103
OKC123
16 Mar 2023
TOR128
OKC111
08 Dec 2021
TOR109
OKC110
18 Apr 2021
TOR112
OKC106
29 Dec 2019
TOR97
OKC98
22 Mar 2019
TOR109
OKC116
18 Mar 2018
TOR125
OKC132
16 Mar 2017
TOR102
OKC123
28 Mar 2016
TOR100
OKC119
04 Nov 2014
TOR100
OKC88
21 Mar 2014
TOR118
OKC119
06 Jan 2013
TOR92
OKC104
03 Dec 2010
TOR111
OKC99
19 Mar 2010
TOR89
OKC115
27 Mar 2009
TOR112
OKC96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
W
107-97
107
97
+10
94avg 92
H25/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
112-106
112
106
+6
102avg 92
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
92-91
92
91
+1
78avg 92
A28/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
96-105
96
105
-9
78avg 92
H02/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
114-106
114
106
+8
108avg 92
A04/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
94-101
94
101
-7
86avg 92
A05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
94-87
94
87
+7
87avg 92
A09/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
99-105
99
105
-6
83avg 92
A11/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
89-104
89
104
-15
68avg 92
A12/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
100-78
100
78
+22
101avg 92
H13/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
27-26
29-22
33-20
25-28
28-24
29-28
30-26
21-25
19-28
23-14
29-24
26-24
20-38
14-20
36-23
35-27
27-26
17-25
35-28
19-12
23-41
25-27
27-21
22-26
23-20
23-18
26-23
19-18
29-31
27-25
24-31
26-32
15-27
22-26
26-19
25-26
25-20
29-20
21-12
197.7Avg total
99.7Scored
98.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)107.2103.4210.6+3.858%
Season at home (33)110.6102.3212.9+8.367%
Season away (34)103.8104.4208.3-0.650%
Last 10 (10)99.798.0197.7+1.760%
Last 5 (5)95.295.0190.2+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)100.4102.5202.9-2.143%
vs Weaker (16)105.2101.9207.1+3.456%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
110-93
110
93
+17
107avg 98
H25/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
118-110
118
110
+8
108avg 98
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
109-106
109
106
+3
104avg 98
H01/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
109-114
109
114
-5
89avg 98
A03/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
111-118
111
118
-7
95avg 98
A04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
89-104
89
104
-15
79avg 98
A06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
121-126
121
126
-5
107avg 98
H08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
102-92
102
92
+10
93avg 98
H10/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
112-104
112
104
+8
104avg 98
H11/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
122-104
122
104
+18
116avg 98
A14/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
29-28
28-19
24-23
32-35
27-24
28-25
31-26
31-25
30-28
25-22
23-31
24-26
36-31
25-24
24-33
28-23
27-35
24-29
32-31
27-28
23-32
21-28
18-16
40-29
27-32
25-38
29-27
29-28
27-21
26-22
20-21
29-23
33-25
29-28
21-28
32-32
30-30
29-21
31-21
217.4Avg total
110.3Scored
107.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)106.6106.2212.8+0.457%
Season at home (34)110.4104.2214.6+6.274%
Season away (33)102.7108.3210.9-5.639%
Last 10 (10)110.3107.1217.4+3.260%
Last 5 (5)109.2106.0215.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)102.5112.8215.2-10.225%
vs Similar ◀ (22)105.8106.2212.0-0.459%
vs Weaker (4)116.2108.2224.5+8.075%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
Toronto RaptorsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H25/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H26/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A28/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H02/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A04/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A05/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A09/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A11/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A12/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H13/03
NBA
100.0Avg total
47.2Scored
52.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.752.9104.6-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.853.3106.1-0.560%-
Last 30 away (15)50.552.5103.1-2.040%-
Last 10 (10)47.252.8100.0-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)45.250.695.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)50.654.1104.8-3.543%-
vs Weaker (16)52.651.9104.4+0.756%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H25/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H27/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H01/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A03/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H10/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H11/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A14/03
NBA
114.8Avg total
59.0Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.454.5109.9+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.655.0111.6+1.653%-
Last 30 away (15)54.254.0108.2+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)59.055.8114.8+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)59.456.0115.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)51.057.5108.5-6.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)55.654.0109.6+1.655%-
vs Weaker (4)58.554.2112.8+4.250%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 99.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.430.0
49.7%
50.2%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.7
31.5%
35.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws24.519.6
80.0%
77.0%19.6
They take 81.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 110.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.231.4
50.5%
50.2%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.7
35.8%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws28.321.4
75.6%
77.0%21.4
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
WLLWLWLWWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWLLLLWWW
#7
League position
#10
+1.8
Net rating
+3.2
105.8
Offensive rating
110.4
104.0
Defensive rating
107.2
49.0%
Effective FG%
51.4%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
12.4%
Turnover %
14.2%
24.7%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.5%
3-point %
35.8%
42.5%
Assist %
50.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 110.4Defence104.0 · 107.2Shooting49.0% · 51.4%3-point %31.5% · 35.8%Ball care12.4% · 14.2%Off. rebounds24.7% · 29.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/17HDallas Mavericks100-78
12/03/17AMiami Heat89-104
11/03/17AAtlanta Hawks99-105
09/03/17ANew Orleans Pelicans94-87
05/03/17AMilwaukee Bucks94-101
04/03/17AWashington Wizards114-106
02/03/17HWashington Wizards96-105
28/02/17ANew York Knicks92-91
26/02/17HPortland Trail Blazers112-106
25/02/17HBoston Celtics107-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/17ABrooklyn Nets122-104
11/03/17HUtah Jazz112-104
10/03/17HSan Antonio Spurs102-92
08/03/17HPortland Trail Blazers121-126
06/03/17ADallas Mavericks89-104
04/03/17APhoenix Suns111-118
03/03/17APortland Trail Blazers109-114
01/03/17HUtah Jazz109-106
27/02/17HNew Orleans Pelicans118-110
25/02/17HLos Angeles Lakers110-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW58%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673334
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game107.2110.6103.8
Allowed / game103.4102.3104.4
Point differential+3.8+8.3-0.6
Avg total210.6212.9208.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%42%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (21)30% (10)36% (11)
Overtime %4%3%6%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWWLWW74%
AwayLLLLW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673433
Win %57%74%39%
Points / game106.6110.4102.7
Allowed / game106.2104.2108.3
Point differential+0.4+6.2-5.6
Avg total212.8214.6210.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (21)40% (10)55% (11)
Overtime %6%9%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors67531479%116.1105.3+10.8
2 San Antonio Spurs67521578%106.598.5+8.0
3 Houston Rockets68472169%115.5108.1+7.3
4 Cleveland Cavaliers66442267%111.0106.5+4.5
5 Utah Jazz68432563%100.796.4+4.3
6 Boston Celtics68432563%107.6105.1+2.5
7 Washington Wizards67412661%109.0106.9+2.2
8 Los Angeles Clippers68402859%107.6104.8+2.9
9 Toronto Raptors67392858%107.2103.4+3.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder67382957%106.6106.2+0.4
11 Memphis Grizzlies68383056%101.3100.6+0.8
12 Atlanta Hawks67373055%103.9104.4-0.5
13 Indiana Pacers68353351%104.3104.9-0.6
14 Milwaukee Bucks67333449%104.8104.3+0.5
15 Miami Heat68333549%102.6101.8+0.7
16 Detroit Pistons68333549%101.9102.4-0.5
17 Denver Nuggets67323548%111.0110.7+0.2
18 Chicago Bulls68323647%101.8103.3-1.4
19 Portland Trail Blazers67303745%108.1110.2-2.1
20 Dallas Mavericks67293843%98.399.9-1.6
21 Charlotte Hornets68293943%104.9104.4+0.5
22 Minnesota Timberwolves67283942%104.9104.9-0.1
23 New Orleans Pelicans68274140%103.0105.9-2.9
24 Sacramento Kings68274140%103.1106.1-3.1
25 New York Knicks68274140%105.2108.4-3.2
26 Philadelphia 76ers67244336%102.1108.1-6.0
27 Orlando Magic68244435%99.9106.3-6.3
28 Phoenix Suns68224632%107.5112.5-5.0
29 Los Angeles Lakers68204829%104.4111.8-7.4
30 Brooklyn Nets66125418%105.7114.2-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors24242232102
Oklahoma City Thunder29293926123
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.