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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 113-104
26-26 24-26 37-32 26-20
Position#17
Record23-24
FormWWLLW
Points / game115.4
Allowed / game115.8
vs
Position#28
Record10-35
FormLLLLL
Points / game109.8
Allowed / game117.6
USANBA
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets
20 Jan 2027
MIN v HOU
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
MIN110
HOU108
06 Feb 2025
MIN127
HOU114
26 Nov 2024
MIN111
HOU117
02 Apr 2024
MIN113
HOU106
04 Feb 2024
MIN111
HOU90
21 Jan 2023
MIN113
HOU104
05 Nov 2022
MIN129
HOU117
20 Oct 2021
MIN124
HOU106
27 Mar 2021
MIN107
HOU129
26 Mar 2021
MIN107
HOU101
24 Jan 2020
MIN124
HOU131
16 Nov 2019
MIN105
HOU125
13 Feb 2019
MIN121
HOU111
03 Dec 2018
MIN103
HOU91
23 Apr 2018
MIN100
HOU119
21 Apr 2018
MIN121
HOU105
18 Mar 2018
MIN120
HOU129
13 Feb 2018
MIN108
HOU126
11 Jan 2017
MIN119
HOU105
17 Dec 2016
MIN109
HOU111
11 Apr 2016
MIN105
HOU129
05 Dec 2014
MIN112
HOU114
12 Nov 2014
MIN101
HOU113
11 Apr 2014
MIN112
HOU110
10 Feb 2014
MIN89
HOU107
19 Jan 2013
MIN92
HOU79
26 Dec 2012
MIN84
HOU87
04 Feb 2012
MIN100
HOU91
23 Jan 2012
MIN92
HOU107
13 Apr 2011
MIN102
HOU121
24 Jan 2011
MIN125
HOU129
06 Mar 2010
MIN98
HOU112
18 Nov 2009
MIN84
HOU97
01 Mar 2009
MIN94
HOU105
20 Dec 2008
MIN102
HOU109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
124-111
124
111
+13
120avg 110
H03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
113-106
113
106
+7
105avg 110
H05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
128-115
128
115
+13
129avg 110
H07/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
104-96
104
96
+8
100avg 110
A09/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
118-135
118
135
-17
105avg 110
A12/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
121-116
121
116
+5
111avg 110
H14/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
110-102
110
102
+8
101avg 110
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
125-126
125
126
-1
112avg 110
H16/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
118-122
118
122
-4
112avg 110
A19/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
128-126
128
126
+2
123avg 110
H20/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
36-30
31-32
34-26
29-24
31-29
29-32
24-21
37-33
31-21
32-25
28-36
24-33
34-29
19-19
27-15
34-31
30-34
23-36
31-34
35-25
29-24
28-26
29-41
27-25
22-29
28-26
33-22
27-27
31-25
37-35
30-39
27-30
33-25
35-33
23-34
31-37
35-39
35-33
27-17
234.4Avg total
118.9Scored
115.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)115.4115.8231.2-0.449%
Season at home (25)117.7116.1233.8+1.660%
Season away (22)112.7115.5228.2-2.736%
Last 10 (10)118.9115.5234.4+3.470%
Last 5 (5)120.4118.4238.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)115.2114.0229.2+1.250%
vs Similar (22)117.5117.5235.0-0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)108.5114.2222.8-5.825%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#8
L
88-108
88
108
-20
83avg 101
H01/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
106-111
106
111
-5
98avg 101
H03/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
108-119
108
119
-11
97avg 101
A05/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
114-131
114
131
-17
101avg 101
H06/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
96-104
96
104
-8
85avg 101
H09/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
115-135
115
135
-20
108avg 101
A12/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
114-139
114
139
-25
97avg 101
A14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
100-121
100
121
-21
89avg 101
A15/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
132-140
132
140
-8
122avg 101
A17/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
117-122
117
122
-5
108avg 101
H19/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-27
14-26
21-29
18-26
26-18
29-26
32-39
19-28
22-45
30-30
21-23
35-21
23-31
33-33
30-31
28-36
33-24
29-34
19-19
15-27
27-31
35-36
33-27
20-41
32-36
34-33
26-43
22-27
30-31
33-31
27-29
10-30
35-37
26-36
37-29
34-38
31-36
29-17
24-30
33-39
232.0Avg total
109.0Scored
123.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)109.8117.6227.4-7.822%
Season at home (21)108.8113.3222.1-4.529%
Season away (24)110.7121.4232.0-10.717%
Last 10 (10)109.0123.0232.0-14.00%
Last 5 (5)115.6131.4247.0-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)110.7118.3229.0-7.527%
vs Similar (4)106.5117.8224.2-11.20%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -7.9-7.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -7.9-7.9
Minnesota TimberwolvesHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H07/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A09/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A12/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H14/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H16/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A19/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H20/01
NBA
117.9Avg total
60.6Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.856.3115.1+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.256.6115.8+2.667%-
Last 30 away (15)58.356.0114.3+2.367%-
Last 10 (10)60.657.3117.9+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)59.457.2116.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)56.054.0110.0+2.075%-
vs Similar (22)58.756.5115.2+2.168%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)62.057.2119.2+4.850%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#8
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H01/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H03/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
52-75
52
75
-23
A05/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H06/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H09/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A12/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A15/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A17/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H19/01
NBA
120.4Avg total
58.6Scored
61.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.259.6116.8-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.154.7111.8+2.465%-
Last 30 away (13)57.466.1123.5-8.715%-
Last 10 (10)58.661.8120.4-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)62.464.8127.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)57.360.3117.6-3.038%-
vs Similar (4)56.855.2112.0+1.575%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 118.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.830.9
58.5%
54.5%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.512.7
39.1%
35.8%38.1
🏀 Free throws23.919.0
79.5%
78.1%19.0
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 109.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.828.5
54.0%
54.5%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.211.7
32.3%
35.8%35.1
🏀 Free throws23.616.9
71.6%
78.1%16.9
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLWWLWWWW
Houston Rockets
LLLLLLLLLL
#17
League position
#28
+3.4
Net rating
-13.8
117.8
Offensive rating
107.1
114.4
Defensive rating
120.9
58.6%
Effective FG%
51.7%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
14.2%
Turnover %
14.9%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.1%
3-point %
32.3%
59.2%
Assist %
58.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 107.1Defence114.4 · 120.9Shooting58.6% · 51.7%3-point %39.1% · 32.3%Ball care14.2% · 14.9%Off. rebounds24.4% · 26.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 0%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/23HToronto Raptors128-126
19/01/23ADenver Nuggets118-122
16/01/23HUtah Jazz125-126
15/01/23HCleveland Cavaliers110-102
14/01/23HPhoenix Suns121-116
12/01/23ADetroit Pistons118-135
09/01/23AHouston Rockets104-96
07/01/23HLos Angeles Clippers128-115
05/01/23HPortland Trail Blazers113-106
03/01/23HDenver Nuggets124-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/23HCharlotte Hornets117-122
17/01/23ALos Angeles Lakers132-140
15/01/23ALos Angeles Clippers100-121
14/01/23ASacramento Kings114-139
12/01/23ASacramento Kings115-135
09/01/23HMinnesota Timberwolves96-104
06/01/23HUtah Jazz114-131
05/01/23ANew Orleans Pelicans108-119
03/01/23HDallas Mavericks106-111
01/01/23HNew York Knicks88-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW49%
HomeWWWLW60%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472522
Win %49%60%36%
Points / game115.4117.7112.7
Allowed / game115.8116.1115.5
Point differential-0.4+1.6-2.7
Avg total231.2233.8228.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%24%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)60% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452124
Win %22%29%17%
Points / game109.8108.8110.7
Allowed / game117.6113.3121.4
Point differential-7.8-4.5-10.7
Avg total227.4222.1232.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%10%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %2%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics47351274%118.5112.2+6.3
2 Denver Nuggets46331372%117.6113.1+4.5
3 Memphis Grizzlies45311469%117.6111.9+5.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers45291664%113.7109.8+3.9
5 Milwaukee Bucks46291763%112.4111.4+1.0
6 Brooklyn Nets45281762%113.6110.5+3.0
7 Cleveland Cavaliers48291960%111.7107.2+4.4
8 Sacramento Kings44261859%119.8116.8+3.0
9 New Orleans Pelicans46262057%116.4113.7+2.7
10 New York Knicks47252253%114.3112.0+2.3
11 Dallas Mavericks47252253%112.9112.2+0.7
12 Miami Heat47252253%108.8108.7+0.1
13 Atlanta Hawks47242351%116.0116.3-0.3
14 Golden State Warriors46232350%117.6117.9-0.3
15 Los Angeles Clippers48242450%109.7110.8-1.1
16 Utah Jazz49242549%117.5116.6+0.9
17 Minnesota Timberwolves47232449%115.4115.8-0.4
18 Indiana Pacers47232449%115.2116.9-1.7
19 Oklahoma City Thunder46222448%116.9115.9+1.0
20 Phoenix Suns46222448%112.7112.2+0.5
21 Portland Trail Blazers45212447%112.9112.6+0.3
22 Chicago Bulls45212447%114.8115.0-0.2
23 Los Angeles Lakers46212546%117.0118.1-1.1
24 Washington Wizards46202643%112.5113.3-0.8
25 Toronto Raptors47202743%112.4112.3+0.0
26 Orlando Magic46172937%110.9114.7-3.8
27 San Antonio Spurs46143230%112.8121.4-8.7
28 Charlotte Hornets47133428%112.6118.9-6.3
29 Detroit Pistons48123625%112.0119.6-7.6
30 Houston Rockets45103522%109.8117.6-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves26243726113
Houston Rockets26263220104
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