PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 24 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 119-114
31-26 25-30 34-25 29-33
Position#28
Record10-36
FormLLLLL
Points / game109.7
Allowed / game117.5
vs
Position#17
Record24-24
FormWLLWW
Points / game115.3
Allowed / game115.6
USANBA· Toyota Center (Houston)
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves
05 Jan 2027
HOU v MIN
upcoming
04 Nov 2026
HOU107
MIN117
10 Apr 2026
HOU132
MIN136
16 Jan 2026
HOU110
MIN105
21 Feb 2025
HOU121
MIN115
27 Dec 2024
HOU112
MIN113
05 Jan 2024
HOU95
MIN122
23 Jan 2023
HOU119
MIN114
08 Jan 2023
HOU96
MIN104
03 Apr 2022
HOU132
MIN139
09 Jan 2022
HOU123
MIN141
27 Apr 2021
HOU107
MIN114
10 Mar 2020
HOU117
MIN111
11 Jan 2020
HOU139
MIN109
17 Mar 2019
HOU117
MIN102
25 Apr 2018
HOU122
MIN104
18 Apr 2018
HOU102
MIN82
15 Apr 2018
HOU104
MIN101
23 Feb 2018
HOU120
MIN102
18 Jan 2018
HOU116
MIN98
12 Apr 2017
HOU123
MIN118
25 Feb 2017
HOU142
MIN130
18 Mar 2016
HOU116
MIN111
13 Jan 2016
HOU107
MIN104
27 Mar 2015
HOU120
MIN110
23 Feb 2015
HOU113
MIN102
20 Mar 2014
HOU129
MIN106
23 Nov 2013
HOU112
MIN101
15 Mar 2013
HOU108
MIN100
17 Feb 2012
HOU98
MIN111
30 Jan 2012
HOU108
MIN120
08 Feb 2011
HOU108
MIN112
07 Nov 2010
HOU120
MIN94
13 Jan 2010
HOU120
MIN114
20 Mar 2009
HOU107
MIN88
07 Feb 2009
HOU107
MIN90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
106-111
106
111
-5
98avg 101
H03/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
108-119
108
119
-11
97avg 101
A05/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
114-131
114
131
-17
101avg 101
H06/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
96-104
96
104
-8
85avg 101
H09/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
115-135
115
135
-20
108avg 101
A12/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
114-139
114
139
-25
97avg 101
A14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
100-121
100
121
-21
89avg 101
A15/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
132-140
132
140
-8
122avg 101
A17/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
117-122
117
122
-5
108avg 101
H19/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
104-113
104
113
-9
103avg 101
A22/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
29-26
32-39
19-28
22-45
30-30
21-23
35-21
23-31
33-33
30-31
28-36
33-24
29-34
19-19
15-27
27-31
35-36
33-27
20-41
32-36
34-33
26-43
22-27
30-31
33-31
27-29
10-30
35-37
26-36
37-29
34-38
31-36
29-17
24-30
33-39
26-26
26-24
32-37
20-26
234.1Avg total
110.6Scored
123.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)109.7117.5227.2-7.822%
Season at home (21)108.8113.3222.1-4.529%
Season away (25)110.4121.0231.4-10.616%
Last 10 (10)110.6123.5234.1-12.90%
Last 5 (5)113.4127.0240.4-13.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)111.2118.8230.0-7.627%
vs Similar (4)106.5117.8224.2-11.20%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
113-106
113
106
+7
105avg 110
H05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
128-115
128
115
+13
129avg 110
H07/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
104-96
104
96
+8
100avg 110
A09/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
118-135
118
135
-17
105avg 110
A12/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
121-116
121
116
+5
111avg 110
H14/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
110-102
110
102
+8
101avg 110
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
125-126
125
126
-1
112avg 110
H16/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
118-122
118
122
-4
112avg 110
A19/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
128-126
128
126
+2
123avg 110
H20/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
113-104
113
104
+9
98avg 110
H22/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
31-29
29-32
24-21
37-33
31-21
32-25
28-36
24-33
34-29
19-19
27-15
34-31
30-34
23-36
31-34
35-25
29-24
28-26
29-41
27-25
22-29
28-26
33-22
27-27
31-25
37-35
30-39
27-30
33-25
35-33
23-34
31-37
35-39
35-33
27-17
26-26
24-26
37-32
26-20
232.6Avg total
117.8Scored
114.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)115.3115.6230.9-0.250%
Season at home (26)117.5115.7233.2+1.862%
Season away (22)112.7115.5228.2-2.736%
Last 10 (10)117.8114.8232.6+3.070%
Last 5 (5)118.8116.0234.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)115.2114.0229.2+1.250%
vs Similar (21)117.6118.3235.9-0.748%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)109.4112.2221.6-2.840%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -7.7-7.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -7.7-7.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
Houston RocketsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H03/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
52-75
52
75
-23
A05/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H06/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H09/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A12/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A15/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A17/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H19/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A22/01
NBA
120.4Avg total
58.9Scored
61.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.359.8117.1-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.555.3112.8+2.262%-
Last 30 away (14)57.064.9121.9-7.921%-
Last 10 (10)58.961.5120.4-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)60.461.4121.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)57.360.5117.8-3.238%-
vs Similar (4)56.855.2112.0+1.575%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H07/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A09/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A12/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H14/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H16/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A19/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H20/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H22/01
NBA
116.9Avg total
59.7Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.756.4115.1+2.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.656.3114.9+2.362%-
Last 30 away (14)58.756.6115.3+2.164%-
Last 10 (10)59.757.2116.9+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)56.657.8114.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)56.054.0110.0+2.075%-
vs Similar (21)59.057.0115.9+2.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)59.656.2115.8+3.440%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 110.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.229.9
54.2%
54.5%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.011.2
32.9%
35.8%33.6
🏀 Free throws24.617.2
69.9%
78.1%17.2
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 117.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.929.8
57.4%
54.5%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.013.1
39.7%
35.8%39.3
🏀 Free throws23.618.9
80.1%
78.1%18.9
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LLLLLLLLLL
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWLLWWLWWW
#28
League position
#17
-12.7
Net rating
+3.0
108.5
Offensive rating
116.3
121.1
Defensive rating
113.3
52.4%
Effective FG%
58.2%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
14.6%
Turnover %
14.2%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.9%
3-point %
39.7%
58.2%
Assist %
58.0%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 116.3Defence121.1 · 113.3Shooting52.4% · 58.2%3-point %32.9% · 39.7%Ball care14.6% · 14.2%Off. rebounds27.2% · 22.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)0% · 70%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/23AMinnesota Timberwolves104-113
19/01/23HCharlotte Hornets117-122
17/01/23ALos Angeles Lakers132-140
15/01/23ALos Angeles Clippers100-121
14/01/23ASacramento Kings114-139
12/01/23ASacramento Kings115-135
09/01/23HMinnesota Timberwolves96-104
06/01/23HUtah Jazz114-131
05/01/23ANew Orleans Pelicans108-119
03/01/23HDallas Mavericks106-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/23HHouston Rockets113-104
20/01/23HToronto Raptors128-126
19/01/23ADenver Nuggets118-122
16/01/23HUtah Jazz125-126
15/01/23HCleveland Cavaliers110-102
14/01/23HPhoenix Suns121-116
12/01/23ADetroit Pistons118-135
09/01/23AHouston Rockets104-96
07/01/23HLos Angeles Clippers128-115
05/01/23HPortland Trail Blazers113-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayLLLLL16%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462125
Win %22%29%16%
Points / game109.7108.8110.4
Allowed / game117.5113.3121.0
Point differential-7.8-4.5-10.6
Avg total227.2222.1231.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%10%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482622
Win %50%62%36%
Points / game115.3117.5112.7
Allowed / game115.6115.7115.5
Point differential-0.2+1.8-2.7
Avg total230.9233.2228.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%23%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)60% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics48351373%118.1112.2+5.9
2 Denver Nuggets47331470%117.2112.9+4.4
3 Memphis Grizzlies46311567%117.4111.9+5.5
4 Philadelphia 76ers46301665%114.1110.2+3.8
5 Milwaukee Bucks47301764%113.2111.8+1.4
6 Brooklyn Nets46291763%113.7110.7+3.0
7 Cleveland Cavaliers48291960%111.7107.2+4.4
8 Sacramento Kings45261958%120.0117.1+2.9
9 New Orleans Pelicans47262155%116.0113.4+2.6
10 Miami Heat48262254%108.6108.4+0.2
11 New York Knicks48252352%114.3112.3+2.0
12 Dallas Mavericks48252352%112.6112.2+0.4
13 Atlanta Hawks47242351%116.0116.3-0.3
14 Los Angeles Clippers49252451%109.7110.5-0.8
15 Phoenix Suns48242450%112.6112.0+0.6
16 Minnesota Timberwolves48242450%115.3115.6-0.2
17 Utah Jazz49242549%117.5116.6+0.9
18 Oklahoma City Thunder47232449%116.6115.5+1.1
19 Golden State Warriors47232449%117.6118.0-0.4
20 Indiana Pacers48232548%115.0116.8-1.8
21 Los Angeles Lakers47222547%117.1118.0-0.9
22 Chicago Bulls45212447%114.8115.0-0.2
23 Portland Trail Blazers46212546%112.8112.8+0.1
24 Toronto Raptors48212744%112.6112.4+0.2
25 Washington Wizards46202643%112.5113.3-0.8
26 Orlando Magic47182938%111.0114.3-3.4
27 San Antonio Spurs46143230%112.8121.4-8.7
28 Charlotte Hornets47133428%112.6118.9-6.3
29 Detroit Pistons49123724%112.4120.3-7.9
30 Houston Rockets46103622%109.7117.5-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets31253429119
Minnesota Timberwolves26302533114
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.