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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 99-101
18-27 29-25 27-29 25-20
Position#2
Record33-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game117.6
Allowed / game113.1
vs
Position#20
Record22-24
FormWWWWL
Points / game116.9
Allowed / game115.9
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder
02 Feb 2027
DEN v OKC
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
DEN127
OKC107
01 Feb 2026
DEN111
OKC121
15 May 2025
DEN119
OKC107
11 May 2025
DEN87
OKC92
09 May 2025
DEN113
OKC104
06 Nov 2024
DEN124
OKC122
24 Oct 2024
DEN87
OKC102
29 Dec 2023
DEN93
OKC119
16 Dec 2023
DEN117
OKC118
22 Jan 2023
DEN99
OKC101
22 Oct 2022
DEN122
OKC117
26 Mar 2022
DEN113
OKC107
02 Mar 2022
DEN107
OKC119
12 Feb 2021
DEN97
OKC95
19 Jan 2021
DEN119
OKC101
30 Mar 2020
DEN v OKC
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
DEN110
OKC102
26 Feb 2019
DEN121
OKC112
14 Dec 2018
DEN109
OKC98
01 Feb 2018
DEN127
OKC124
09 Nov 2017
DEN102
OKC94
09 Apr 2017
DEN105
OKC106
25 Nov 2016
DEN129
OKC132
05 Apr 2016
DEN102
OKC124
19 Jan 2016
DEN104
OKC110
09 Feb 2015
DEN114
OKC124
19 Nov 2014
DEN107
OKC100
09 Jan 2014
DEN101
OKC88
17 Dec 2013
DEN93
OKC105
01 Mar 2013
DEN105
OKC103
20 Jan 2013
DEN121
OKC118
15 Mar 2012
DEN90
OKC103
25 Apr 2011
DEN104
OKC101
23 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC97
05 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC101
19 Jan 2011
DEN112
OKC107
03 Mar 2010
DEN119
OKC90
14 Dec 2009
DEN102
OKC93
08 Apr 2009
DEN122
OKC112
11 Mar 2009
DEN112
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
111-124
111
124
-13
104avg 114
A03/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
122-91
122
91
+31
125avg 114
H06/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
121-108
121
108
+13
124avg 114
H07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
122-109
122
109
+13
118avg 114
H10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
126-97
126
97
+29
123avg 114
H12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
115-103
115
103
+12
110avg 114
A14/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
119-116
119
116
+3
115avg 114
H16/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
122-113
122
113
+9
119avg 114
H18/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
122-118
122
118
+4
113avg 114
H19/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
134-111
134
111
+23
139avg 114
H21/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
30-36
32-31
26-34
32-15
34-17
36-27
20-32
26-28
36-30
32-24
27-26
29-23
33-25
32-31
28-30
34-28
36-26
30-21
26-22
32-34
25-24
29-23
29-22
31-25
38-29
25-34
25-28
34-31
39-36
28-22
21-24
30-27
25-33
33-35
34-23
37-28
24-25
38-29
35-29
230.4Avg total
121.4Scored
109.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)117.6113.1230.8+4.572%
Season at home (25)120.5109.3229.8+11.288%
Season away (21)114.2117.7231.9-3.552%
Last 10 (10)121.4109.0230.4+12.490%
Last 5 (5)122.4112.2234.6+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)119.0113.4232.4+5.673%
vs Weaker (19)120.0112.4232.4+7.679%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
W
150-117
150
117
+33
145avg 103
H04/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
115-126
115
126
-11
98avg 103
A05/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
127-110
127
110
+17
118avg 103
H07/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
120-109
120
109
+11
113avg 103
H09/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
111-112
111
112
-1
103avg 103
A11/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
133-114
133
114
+19
129avg 103
A13/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
124-110
124
110
+14
116avg 103
A14/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
112-102
112
102
+10
102avg 103
A15/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
126-106
126
106
+20
127avg 103
H19/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
113-118
113
118
-5
97avg 103
A21/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-33
40-21
48-37
28-26
28-31
25-39
35-25
27-31
35-17
33-25
35-38
24-30
33-34
36-21
27-28
24-26
26-31
30-32
32-26
23-23
35-35
32-22
34-28
32-29
33-31
39-27
19-32
33-20
28-24
20-26
27-30
37-22
36-20
22-24
42-29
26-33
32-33
34-26
22-32
25-27
235.5Avg total
123.1Scored
112.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)116.9115.9232.8+1.048%
Season at home (23)119.1114.7233.8+4.461%
Season away (23)114.7117.0231.7-2.335%
Last 10 (10)123.1112.4235.5+10.770%
Last 5 (5)121.6110.0231.6+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)150.0117.0267.0+33.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (22)116.0116.1232.1-0.141%
vs Weaker (7)116.7112.7229.4+4.071%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
Denver NuggetsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A03/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
66-32
66
32
+34
H06/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
70-54
70
54
+16
H12/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A14/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
69-54
69
54
+15
H16/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H18/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H19/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H21/01
NBA
117.1Avg total
62.8Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.756.8118.4+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (20)62.555.3117.8+7.275%-
Last 30 away (10)59.959.7119.6+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)62.854.3117.1+8.570%-
Last 5 (5)63.058.4121.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)61.655.9117.5+5.782%-
vs Weaker (19)61.757.3118.9+4.458%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#3
W
74-54
74
54
+20
H04/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
53-70
53
70
-17
A05/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
68-42
68
42
+26
H07/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
69-55
69
55
+14
H09/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A11/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A13/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
72-58
72
58
+14
A14/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A15/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H19/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A21/01
NBA
118.3Avg total
63.1Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.659.2116.8-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.059.0118.0+0.044%-
Last 30 away (14)55.959.5115.4-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)63.155.2118.3+7.970%-
Last 5 (5)62.253.6115.8+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)74.054.0128.0+20.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)56.959.5116.3-2.632%-
vs Weaker (7)57.459.3116.7-1.957%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 121.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.332.1
59.1%
54.5%64.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.913.2
40.1%
35.8%39.6
🏀 Free throws23.217.6
75.9%
78.1%17.6
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 123.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.331.5
55.0%
54.5%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.214.2
40.3%
35.8%42.6
🏀 Free throws22.117.5
79.2%
78.1%17.5
They take 92.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWWWWWL
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWWWLWWLW
#2
League position
#20
+12.5
Net rating
+10.4
122.4
Offensive rating
119.7
109.9
Defensive rating
109.3
59.5%
Effective FG%
57.1%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
13.1%
Turnover %
10.9%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
40.1%
3-point %
40.3%
65.1%
Assist %
59.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence122.4 · 119.7Defence109.9 · 109.3Shooting59.5% · 57.1%3-point %40.1% · 40.3%Ball care13.1% · 10.9%Off. rebounds28.7% · 24.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23HIndiana Pacers134-111
19/01/23HMinnesota Timberwolves122-118
18/01/23HPortland Trail Blazers122-113
16/01/23HOrlando Magic119-116
14/01/23ALos Angeles Clippers115-103
12/01/23HPhoenix Suns126-97
10/01/23HLos Angeles Lakers122-109
07/01/23HCleveland Cavaliers121-108
06/01/23HLos Angeles Clippers122-91
03/01/23AMinnesota Timberwolves111-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23ASacramento Kings113-118
19/01/23HIndiana Pacers126-106
15/01/23ABrooklyn Nets112-102
14/01/23AChicago Bulls124-110
13/01/23APhiladelphia 76ers133-114
11/01/23AMiami Heat111-112
09/01/23HDallas Mavericks120-109
07/01/23HWashington Wizards127-110
05/01/23AOrlando Magic115-126
04/01/23HBoston Celtics150-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW72%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWLLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462521
Win %72%88%52%
Points / game117.6120.5114.2
Allowed / game113.1109.3117.7
Point differential+4.5+11.2-3.5
Avg total230.8229.8231.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%56%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (16)70% (10)83% (6)
Overtime %4%4%5%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL48%
HomeLWWWW61%
AwayLWWWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462323
Win %48%61%35%
Points / game116.9119.1114.7
Allowed / game115.9114.7117.0
Point differential+1.0+4.4-2.3
Avg total232.8233.8231.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%30%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (14)38% (8)17% (6)
Overtime %11%17%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics47351274%118.5112.2+6.3
2 Denver Nuggets46331372%117.6113.1+4.5
3 Memphis Grizzlies45311469%117.6111.9+5.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers46301665%114.1110.2+3.8
5 Milwaukee Bucks46291763%112.4111.4+1.0
6 Brooklyn Nets45281762%113.6110.5+3.0
7 Cleveland Cavaliers48291960%111.7107.2+4.4
8 Sacramento Kings45261958%120.0117.1+2.9
9 New Orleans Pelicans47262155%116.0113.4+2.6
10 Miami Heat48262254%108.6108.4+0.2
11 New York Knicks48252352%114.3112.3+2.0
12 Dallas Mavericks48252352%112.6112.2+0.4
13 Atlanta Hawks47242351%116.0116.3-0.3
14 Los Angeles Clippers49252451%109.7110.5-0.8
15 Minnesota Timberwolves48242450%115.3115.6-0.2
16 Golden State Warriors46232350%117.6117.9-0.3
17 Utah Jazz49242549%117.5116.6+0.9
18 Phoenix Suns47232449%112.7112.0+0.6
19 Indiana Pacers48232548%115.0116.8-1.8
20 Oklahoma City Thunder46222448%116.9115.9+1.0
21 Portland Trail Blazers45212447%112.9112.6+0.3
22 Chicago Bulls45212447%114.8115.0-0.2
23 Los Angeles Lakers46212546%117.0118.1-1.1
24 Toronto Raptors48212744%112.6112.4+0.2
25 Washington Wizards46202643%112.5113.3-0.8
26 Orlando Magic46172937%110.9114.7-3.8
27 San Antonio Spurs46143230%112.8121.4-8.7
28 Charlotte Hornets47133428%112.6118.9-6.3
29 Detroit Pistons48123625%112.0119.6-7.6
30 Houston Rockets46103622%109.7117.5-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets1829272599
Oklahoma City Thunder27252920101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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