PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 140-109
37-33 24-30 43-16 36-30
Position#1
Record37-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game117.3
Allowed / game104.7
vs
Position#22
Record25-24
FormWLWLL
Points / game113.1
Allowed / game113.9
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Phoenix Suns
26 Oct 2026
OKC125
PHX114
22 Apr 2026
OKC120
PHX107
19 Apr 2026
OKC119
PHX84
12 Apr 2026
OKC103
PHX135
28 Nov 2025
OKC123
PHX119
05 Feb 2025
OKC140
PHX109
15 Nov 2024
OKC99
PHX83
29 Mar 2024
OKC128
PHX103
02 Apr 2023
OKC118
PHX128
19 Mar 2023
OKC124
PHX120
03 Apr 2022
OKC117
PHX96
24 Feb 2022
OKC104
PHX124
02 May 2021
OKC120
PHX123
20 Dec 2019
OKC126
PHX108
12 Nov 2018
OKC118
PHX101
28 Oct 2018
OKC117
PHX110
08 Mar 2018
OKC115
PHX87
17 Dec 2016
OKC114
PHX101
28 Oct 2016
OKC113
PHX110
31 Dec 2015
OKC110
PHX106
08 Nov 2015
OKC124
PHX103
31 Dec 2014
OKC137
PHX134
14 Dec 2014
OKC112
PHX88
03 Nov 2013
OKC103
PHX96
08 Feb 2013
OKC127
PHX96
31 Dec 2012
OKC114
PHX96
07 Mar 2012
OKC115
PHX104
31 Dec 2011
OKC107
PHX97
06 Mar 2011
OKC122
PHX118
19 Dec 2010
OKC110
PHX113
09 Apr 2010
OKC96
PHX91
23 Feb 2010
OKC102
PHX104
29 Dec 2008
OKC102
PHX110
25 Nov 2008
OKC98
PHX99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
118-102
118
102
+16
120avg 108
A15/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
134-114
134
114
+20
118avg 108
H17/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
98-106
98
106
-8
86avg 108
A18/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
127-101
127
101
+26
132avg 108
H20/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
123-114
123
114
+9
107avg 108
H23/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
115-121
115
121
-6
102avg 108
H24/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
118-108
118
108
+10
109avg 108
A26/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
109-116
109
116
-7
93avg 108
A30/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
144-110
144
110
+34
151avg 108
H02/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
125-96
125
96
+29
123avg 108
H04/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-21
21-22
29-38
31-21
32-14
43-35
44-32
15-33
26-22
17-41
33-14
22-29
39-19
30-30
29-28
29-24
31-29
26-26
38-34
28-25
34-33
28-27
21-31
32-30
27-27
39-26
27-25
25-30
34-20
24-28
26-36
25-32
36-31
46-24
31-35
31-20
39-22
39-22
38-31
9-21
229.9Avg total
121.1Scored
108.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)117.3104.7222.0+12.680%
Season at home (23)119.5104.8224.3+14.787%
Season away (23)115.0104.6219.7+10.474%
Last 10 (10)121.1108.8229.9+12.370%
Last 5 (5)122.2110.2232.4+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.097.0178.0-16.00%
vs Similar (3)120.3111.7232.0+8.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)119.2104.7223.9+14.684%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
W
130-123
130
123
+7
133avg 108
A17/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
125-121
125
121
+4
121avg 108
A18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
92-118
92
118
-26
84avg 108
A20/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
108-84
108
84
+24
106avg 108
A23/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
119-109
119
109
+10
114avg 108
H26/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
111-109
111
109
+2
102avg 108
H28/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
113-121
113
121
-8
108avg 108
H30/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
130-105
130
105
+25
138avg 108
A01/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
108-127
108
127
-19
96avg 108
A02/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
119-121 OT
119
121
-2
115avg 108
A04/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-21
35-34
35-28
26-40
30-29
31-31
37-35
27-26
27-27
19-32
24-34
22-25
28-16
26-26
28-26
26-16
35-24
33-29
28-32
23-24
34-30
26-17
23-31
28-31
29-22
30-33
18-26
36-40
30-27
32-24
36-28
32-26
27-31
19-30
33-37
29-29
31-31
24-18
25-37
27-21
229.3Avg total
115.5Scored
113.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)113.1113.9227.0-0.851%
Season at home (24)113.4111.7225.1+1.762%
Season away (25)112.8116.0228.8-3.340%
Last 10 (10)115.5113.8229.3+1.760%
Last 5 (5)116.2116.6232.8-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)111.0116.3227.3-5.333%
vs Similar (10)110.6112.0222.6-1.440%
vs Weaker (8)119.1112.8231.9+6.475%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.7+9.7Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.7+9.7Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
Oklahoma City ThunderPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A15/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
75-49
75
49
+26
H17/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A18/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
69-49
69
49
+20
H20/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H23/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H24/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A26/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A30/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
82-55
82
55
+27
H02/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
78-44
78
44
+34
H04/02
NBA
116.7Avg total
64.8Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.152.2113.3+8.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.953.7115.7+8.267%-
Last 30 away (15)60.350.7111.0+9.567%-
Last 10 (10)64.851.9116.7+12.990%-
Last 5 (5)69.252.0121.2+17.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.051.0101.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (3)63.058.7121.7+4.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)61.551.4112.9+10.072%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
W
69-55
69
55
+14
A17/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A20/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A23/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H26/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H28/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H30/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A01/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
46-61
46
61
-15
A02/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A04/02
NBA
111.2Avg total
58.0Scored
53.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.756.3114.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.556.7115.2+1.854%-
Last 30 away (17)57.156.1113.1+1.059%-
Last 10 (10)58.053.2111.2+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)56.452.6109.0+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)57.657.8115.3-0.250%-
vs Similar (10)53.554.7108.2-1.250%-
vs Weaker (8)63.156.2119.4+6.975%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 121.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.130.7
57.8%
54.3%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.015.0
36.6%
35.9%45.0
🏀 Free throws17.914.7
82.1%
77.8%14.7
They take 94.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 115.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.627.8
56.0%
54.3%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.813.8
38.5%
35.9%41.4
🏀 Free throws22.618.5
81.9%
77.8%18.5
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWLWLWWLWW
Phoenix Suns
LLWLWWWLWW
#1
League position
#22
+12.1
Net rating
+1.7
119.0
Offensive rating
115.6
107.0
Defensive rating
113.9
56.5%
Effective FG%
56.8%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
11.6%
Turnover %
14.1%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.6%
3-point %
38.5%
60.0%
Assist %
65.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence119.0 · 115.6Defence107.0 · 113.9Shooting56.5% · 56.8%3-point %36.6% · 38.5%Ball care11.6% · 14.1%Off. rebounds28.6% · 22.3%Free throws0.19 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/25HMilwaukee Bucks125-96
02/02/25HSacramento Kings144-110
30/01/25AGolden State Warriors109-116
26/01/25APortland Trail Blazers118-108
24/01/25HDallas Mavericks115-121
23/01/25HUtah Jazz123-114
20/01/25HBrooklyn Nets127-101
18/01/25ADallas Mavericks98-106
17/01/25HCleveland Cavaliers134-114
15/01/25APhiladelphia 76ers118-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/25APortland Trail Blazers119-121 OT
02/02/25APortland Trail Blazers108-127
01/02/25AGolden State Warriors130-105
30/01/25HMinnesota Timberwolves113-121
28/01/25HLos Angeles Clippers111-109
26/01/25HWashington Wizards119-109
23/01/25ABrooklyn Nets108-84
20/01/25ACleveland Cavaliers92-118
18/01/25ADetroit Pistons125-121
17/01/25AWashington Wizards130-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW80%
HomeWWLWW87%
AwayWWLWL74%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462323
Win %80%87%74%
Points / game117.3119.5115.0
Allowed / game104.7104.8104.6
Point differential+12.6+14.7+10.4
Avg total222.0224.3219.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%74%52%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL51%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492425
Win %51%62%40%
Points / game113.1113.4112.8
Allowed / game113.9111.7116.0
Point differential-0.8+1.7-3.3
Avg total227.0225.1228.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%21%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)80% (5)33% (9)
Overtime %6%4%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4637980%117.3104.7+12.6
2 Cleveland Cavaliers51411080%122.2111.9+10.3
3 Boston Celtics51361571%117.2108.4+8.8
4 Memphis Grizzlies51351669%123.8115.4+8.3
5 New York Knicks50341668%118.3111.4+6.8
6 Houston Rockets48311765%114.2108.9+5.3
7 Denver Nuggets51321963%121.0116.5+4.6
8 Los Angeles Lakers48291960%112.4112.0+0.4
9 Indiana Pacers49282157%115.6115.0+0.6
10 Los Angeles Clippers50282256%110.0107.5+2.6
11 Minnesota Timberwolves51282355%111.4108.0+3.3
12 Milwaukee Bucks47252253%114.3112.9+1.5
13 Dallas Mavericks50262452%115.5113.3+2.2
14 Sacramento Kings49252451%116.4115.2+1.2
15 Miami Heat49252451%111.0110.8+0.1
16 Golden State Warriors49252451%111.9112.2-0.2
17 Phoenix Suns49252451%113.1113.9-0.8
18 Detroit Pistons51252649%112.7113.8-1.1
19 Orlando Magic50242648%103.5105.2-1.7
20 San Antonio Spurs48222646%112.8114.3-1.5
21 Atlanta Hawks49222745%116.5119.7-3.2
22 Portland Trail Blazers51222943%109.1114.1-5.1
23 Chicago Bulls52223042%116.7120.1-3.4
24 Philadelphia 76ers50203040%109.1112.6-3.6
25 Brooklyn Nets51173433%105.3112.2-6.9
26 Toronto Raptors51163531%111.2116.8-5.6
27 Charlotte Hornets48123625%106.9112.2-5.3
28 Utah Jazz49123724%111.6118.6-7.0
29 New Orleans Pelicans51123924%110.0118.8-8.7
30 Washington Wizards5094118%107.5121.3-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder37244336140
Phoenix Suns33301630109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.