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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 125-96
39-22 39-22 38-31 9-21
Position#1
Record36-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game117.1
Allowed / game104.9
vs
Position#13
Record24-21
FormLWLLL
Points / game114.8
Allowed / game112.8
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks
29 Dec 2026
OKC v MIL
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
OKC93
MIL110
03 Feb 2025
OKC125
MIL96
12 Apr 2024
OKC125
MIL107
09 Nov 2022
OKC132
MIL136
08 Mar 2022
OKC115
MIL142
14 Feb 2021
OKC114
MIL109
10 Nov 2019
OKC119
MIL121
27 Jan 2019
OKC118
MIL112
29 Dec 2017
OKC95
MIL97
04 Apr 2017
OKC110
MIL79
29 Dec 2015
OKC131
MIL123
09 Dec 2014
OKC114
MIL101
11 Jan 2014
OKC101
MIL85
17 Apr 2013
OKC89
MIL95
13 Apr 2011
OKC106
MIL110
27 Nov 2009
OKC108
MIL90
29 Oct 2008
OKC87
MIL98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
W
136-95
136
95
+41
133avg 108
A12/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
118-102
118
102
+16
120avg 108
A15/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
134-114
134
114
+20
118avg 108
H17/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
98-106
98
106
-8
86avg 108
A18/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
127-101
127
101
+26
132avg 108
H20/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
123-114
123
114
+9
107avg 108
H23/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
115-121
115
121
-6
102avg 108
H24/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
118-108
118
108
+10
109avg 108
A26/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
109-116
109
116
-7
93avg 108
A30/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
144-110
144
110
+34
151avg 108
H02/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-25
30-18
37-26
32-26
37-21
21-22
29-38
31-21
32-14
43-35
44-32
15-33
26-22
17-41
33-14
22-29
39-19
30-30
29-28
29-24
31-29
26-26
38-34
28-25
34-33
28-27
21-31
32-30
27-27
39-26
27-25
25-30
34-20
24-28
26-36
25-32
36-31
46-24
31-35
31-20
230.9Avg total
122.2Scored
108.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)117.1104.9222.0+12.280%
Season at home (22)119.3105.2224.5+14.086%
Season away (23)115.0104.6219.7+10.474%
Last 10 (10)122.2108.7230.9+13.570%
Last 5 (5)121.8113.8235.6+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.097.0178.0-16.00%
vs Similar (3)120.3111.7232.0+8.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)118.3104.6222.8+13.784%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
130-115
130
115
+15
128avg 106
H15/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
122-93
122
93
+29
127avg 106
H16/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
130-112
130
112
+18
126avg 106
H18/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
123-109
123
109
+14
122avg 106
H20/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
125-96
125
96
+29
123avg 106
H24/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
117-127
117
127
-10
113avg 106
A26/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
125-110
125
110
+15
128avg 106
A28/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
112-125
112
125
-13
103avg 106
A29/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
118-144
118
144
-26
103avg 106
A01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
119-132
119
132
-13
110avg 106
H03/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
47-26
28-28
27-28
28-33
34-16
28-25
30-27
30-25
37-22
35-35
35-34
23-21
30-21
29-29
31-31
33-28
27-30
44-25
23-19
31-22
28-28
31-30
34-36
24-33
35-26
33-33
32-21
25-30
36-31
25-33
28-33
23-28
35-35
36-35
30-45
17-29
28-31
30-25
41-37
20-39
238.4Avg total
122.1Scored
116.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)114.8112.8227.6+2.053%
Season at home (23)117.2110.1227.3+7.165%
Season away (22)112.3115.7228.0-3.441%
Last 10 (10)122.1116.3238.4+5.860%
Last 5 (5)118.2127.6245.8-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)103.0117.5220.5-14.50%
vs Similar (12)116.9112.8229.8+4.158%
vs Weaker (15)115.7109.9225.6+5.767%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.2+9.2Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.4-3.4
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.2+9.2Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.4-3.4
Oklahoma City ThunderMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#29
W
67-43
67
43
+24
A12/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
58-43
58
43
+15
A15/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
75-49
75
49
+26
H17/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A18/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
69-49
69
49
+20
H20/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H23/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H24/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A26/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A30/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
82-55
82
55
+27
H02/02
NBA
115.5Avg total
63.7Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.252.4112.6+7.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.854.4115.2+6.464%-
Last 30 away (16)59.750.6110.2+9.169%-
Last 10 (10)63.751.8115.5+11.990%-
Last 5 (5)65.054.2119.2+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.051.0101.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (3)63.058.7121.7+4.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)60.451.6112.0+8.872%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
75-54
75
54
+21
H15/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H16/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H18/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H20/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
71-55
71
55
+16
H24/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A26/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A28/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A29/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H03/02
NBA
122.0Avg total
65.6Scored
56.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.856.5117.2+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)61.154.1115.2+6.981%-
Last 30 away (14)60.459.1119.6+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)65.656.4122.0+9.290%-
Last 5 (5)63.461.4124.8+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)54.061.0115.0-7.050%-
vs Similar (12)62.257.5119.7+4.758%-
vs Weaker (15)60.654.9115.5+5.773%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 122.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.330.4
57.0%
54.3%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.414.7
36.4%
35.9%44.1
🏀 Free throws20.617.3
84.0%
77.8%17.3
They take 93.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 122.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.930.8
58.2%
54.3%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.113.7
39.0%
35.9%41.1
🏀 Free throws25.819.4
75.2%
77.8%19.4
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WLWLWWLWWW
Milwaukee Bucks
LLLWLWWWWW
#1
League position
#13
+13.3
Net rating
+5.7
120.1
Offensive rating
119.9
106.8
Defensive rating
114.2
56.0%
Effective FG%
58.4%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
11.1%
Turnover %
11.0%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
20.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.4%
3-point %
39.0%
60.3%
Assist %
63.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence120.1 · 119.9Defence106.8 · 114.2Shooting56.0% · 58.4%3-point %36.4% · 39.0%Ball care11.1% · 11.0%Off. rebounds28.6% · 20.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25HSacramento Kings144-110
30/01/25AGolden State Warriors109-116
26/01/25APortland Trail Blazers118-108
24/01/25HDallas Mavericks115-121
23/01/25HUtah Jazz123-114
20/01/25HBrooklyn Nets127-101
18/01/25ADallas Mavericks98-106
17/01/25HCleveland Cavaliers134-114
15/01/25APhiladelphia 76ers118-102
12/01/25AWashington Wizards136-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/25HMemphis Grizzlies119-132
01/02/25ASan Antonio Spurs118-144
29/01/25APortland Trail Blazers112-125
28/01/25AUtah Jazz125-110
26/01/25ALos Angeles Clippers117-127
24/01/25HMiami Heat125-96
20/01/25HPhiladelphia 76ers123-109
18/01/25HToronto Raptors130-112
16/01/25HOrlando Magic122-93
15/01/25HSacramento Kings130-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW80%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWWLWL74%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452223
Win %80%86%74%
Points / game117.1119.3115.0
Allowed / game104.9105.2104.6
Point differential+12.2+14.0+10.4
Avg total222.0224.5219.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%73%52%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL53%
HomeWWWWL65%
AwayLLWLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452322
Win %53%65%41%
Points / game114.8117.2112.3
Allowed / game112.8110.1115.7
Point differential+2.0+7.1-3.4
Avg total227.6227.3228.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%52%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)25% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %2%4%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers4940982%122.6111.8+10.8
2 Oklahoma City Thunder4536980%117.1104.9+12.2
3 Boston Celtics50351570%117.3108.5+8.8
4 Memphis Grizzlies49331667%123.4115.7+7.7
5 New York Knicks49331667%118.2111.4+6.9
6 Houston Rockets47311666%114.6109.1+5.5
7 Denver Nuggets49301961%120.5116.5+4.0
8 Los Angeles Lakers47281960%112.2112.3-0.1
9 Indiana Pacers47272057%116.2115.1+1.1
10 Los Angeles Clippers49282157%110.3107.2+3.1
11 Minnesota Timberwolves49272255%111.0107.9+3.1
12 Milwaukee Bucks45242153%114.8112.8+2.0
13 Dallas Mavericks49262353%115.5113.2+2.3
14 Phoenix Suns48252352%113.0113.8-0.8
15 Miami Heat47242351%110.7110.6+0.2
16 Golden State Warriors47242351%111.8112.1-0.3
17 Sacramento Kings48242450%116.5115.2+1.2
18 Detroit Pistons50252550%112.7113.7-1.0
19 Orlando Magic49242549%103.6105.2-1.6
20 Atlanta Hawks48222646%116.4119.6-3.2
21 San Antonio Spurs46212546%112.6113.7-1.2
22 Chicago Bulls50212942%116.5119.9-3.4
23 Portland Trail Blazers49202941%108.8114.6-5.8
24 Philadelphia 76ers48192940%109.1112.7-3.6
25 Toronto Raptors49163333%111.2116.3-5.1
26 Brooklyn Nets49163333%105.5112.4-6.9
27 Charlotte Hornets47123526%107.0112.2-5.2
28 New Orleans Pelicans49123724%109.8118.1-8.3
29 Utah Jazz47113623%111.2118.5-7.3
30 Washington Wizards4984116%107.3121.7-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder3939389125
Milwaukee Bucks2222312196
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