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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 128-103
34-32 36-27 31-21 27-23
Position#2
Record50-22
FormWWLWL
Points / game120.4
Allowed / game113.2
vs
Position#9
Record43-29
FormWWWLW
Points / game117.1
Allowed / game114.0
USANBA· Paycom Center (Oklahoma)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Phoenix Suns
26 Oct 2026
OKC125
PHX114
22 Apr 2026
OKC120
PHX107
19 Apr 2026
OKC119
PHX84
12 Apr 2026
OKC103
PHX135
28 Nov 2025
OKC123
PHX119
05 Feb 2025
OKC140
PHX109
15 Nov 2024
OKC99
PHX83
29 Mar 2024
OKC128
PHX103
02 Apr 2023
OKC118
PHX128
19 Mar 2023
OKC124
PHX120
03 Apr 2022
OKC117
PHX96
24 Feb 2022
OKC104
PHX124
02 May 2021
OKC120
PHX123
20 Dec 2019
OKC126
PHX108
12 Nov 2018
OKC118
PHX101
28 Oct 2018
OKC117
PHX110
08 Mar 2018
OKC115
PHX87
17 Dec 2016
OKC114
PHX101
28 Oct 2016
OKC113
PHX110
31 Dec 2015
OKC110
PHX106
08 Nov 2015
OKC124
PHX103
31 Dec 2014
OKC137
PHX134
14 Dec 2014
OKC112
PHX88
03 Nov 2013
OKC103
PHX96
08 Feb 2013
OKC127
PHX96
31 Dec 2012
OKC114
PHX96
07 Mar 2012
OKC115
PHX104
31 Dec 2011
OKC107
PHX97
06 Mar 2011
OKC122
PHX118
19 Dec 2010
OKC110
PHX113
09 Apr 2010
OKC96
PHX91
23 Feb 2010
OKC102
PHX104
29 Dec 2008
OKC102
PHX110
25 Nov 2008
OKC98
PHX99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#18
W
107-100
107
100
+7
103avg 112
H09/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
124-93
124
93
+31
127avg 112
H10/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
111-121
111
121
-10
99avg 112
H13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
126-119
126
119
+7
119avg 112
H15/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
118-112
118
112
+6
113avg 112
A17/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
119-107
119
107
+12
115avg 112
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
123-103
123
103
+20
116avg 112
A22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
93-118
93
118
-25
74avg 112
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
119-112
119
112
+7
118avg 112
A27/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
126-132 OT
126
132
-6
118avg 112
H28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
20-28
30-16
30-27
38-24
26-19
38-25
22-25
17-22
29-36
41-36
24-27
33-27
32-36
30-24
31-32
29-27
27-27
35-24
27-34
31-25
22-29
29-26
37-27
28-35
35-21
26-22
34-25
22-25
25-23
17-34
29-36
33-34
40-24
23-32
23-22
17-28
33-21
35-31
27-32
228.3Avg total
116.6Scored
111.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)120.4113.2233.6+7.269%
Season at home (36)122.8111.9234.7+10.978%
Season away (36)118.0114.5232.5+3.561%
Last 10 (10)116.6111.7228.3+4.970%
Last 5 (5)116.0114.4230.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)108.0100.5208.5+7.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)120.2114.3234.5+5.869%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
L
107-117
107
117
-10
96avg 111
H10/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
W
117-111
117
111
+6
111avg 111
A11/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
112-127
112
127
-15
105avg 111
A14/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
107-96
107
96
+11
111avg 111
A15/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
129-140
129
140
-11
132avg 111
A17/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
115-102
115
102
+13
120avg 111
H21/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
128-115
128
115
+13
130avg 111
H22/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
131-106
131
106
+25
133avg 111
A24/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
102-104
102
104
-2
101avg 111
A26/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
104-97
104
97
+7
107avg 111
A28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-31
24-31
28-25
29-30
32-41
31-29
34-21
20-20
32-35
28-30
25-37
27-25
28-26
26-19
38-22
15-29
36-39
24-43
34-27
35-31
21-23
39-24
30-19
25-36
30-37
35-23
31-33
32-22
26-17
39-30
38-24
28-35
22-29
28-18
24-28
28-29
29-29
30-23
24-21
21-24
226.7Avg total
115.2Scored
111.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)117.1114.0231.1+3.160%
Season at home (37)117.1114.1231.2+3.162%
Season away (35)117.0114.0231.0+3.157%
Last 10 (10)115.2111.5226.7+3.760%
Last 5 (5)116.0104.8220.8+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)109.7120.7230.3-11.00%
vs Similar (17)116.6113.8230.4+2.859%
vs Weaker (10)122.9111.0233.9+11.980%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
Oklahoma City ThunderPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#18
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H09/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
64-43
64
43
+21
H10/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H13/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H15/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A17/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A27/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H28/03
NBA
110.4Avg total
56.4Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.855.8114.5+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.754.5112.2+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)59.957.0116.9+2.960%-
Last 10 (10)56.454.0110.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)57.253.0110.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)54.249.8104.0+4.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)59.556.7116.2+2.858%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H10/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A11/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A14/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A15/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
60-82
60
82
-22
A17/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H21/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H22/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
65-47
65
47
+18
A24/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A26/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A28/03
NBA
116.3Avg total
58.6Scored
57.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.457.6119.0+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (12)60.956.8117.7+4.258%-
Last 30 away (18)61.758.2119.8+3.561%-
Last 10 (10)58.657.7116.3+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)59.850.6110.4+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)54.064.3118.3-10.30%-
vs Similar (17)60.458.3118.7+2.153%-
vs Weaker (10)65.254.4119.6+10.890%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 116.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.130.5
57.4%
54.4%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.713.6
36.1%
36.3%40.8
🏀 Free throws18.514.8
80.0%
78.2%14.8
They take 90.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 115.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.831.6
58.7%
54.4%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.013.5
40.9%
36.3%40.5
🏀 Free throws15.011.5
76.7%
78.2%11.5
They take 86.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWLWWWWLWW
Phoenix Suns
WLWWWLWLWL
#2
League position
#9
+4.8
Net rating
+3.8
114.8
Offensive rating
118.0
110.0
Defensive rating
114.2
56.1%
Effective FG%
59.7%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
12.1%
Turnover %
14.5%
22.6%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.17
36.1%
3-point %
40.9%
61.5%
Assist %
65.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 118.0Defence110.0 · 114.2Shooting56.1% · 59.7%3-point %36.1% · 40.9%Ball care12.1% · 14.5%Off. rebounds22.6% · 26.5%Free throws0.20 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24HHouston Rockets126-132 OT
27/03/24ANew Orleans Pelicans119-112
24/03/24AMilwaukee Bucks93-118
22/03/24AToronto Raptors123-103
21/03/24HUtah Jazz119-107
17/03/24AMemphis Grizzlies118-112
15/03/24HDallas Mavericks126-119
13/03/24HIndiana Pacers111-121
10/03/24HMemphis Grizzlies124-93
09/03/24HMiami Heat107-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24ADenver Nuggets104-97
26/03/24ASan Antonio Spurs102-104
24/03/24ASan Antonio Spurs131-106
22/03/24HAtlanta Hawks128-115
21/03/24HPhiladelphia 76ers115-102
17/03/24AMilwaukee Bucks129-140
15/03/24ACharlotte Hornets107-96
14/03/24ABoston Celtics112-127
11/03/24ACleveland Cavaliers117-111
10/03/24HBoston Celtics107-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL69%
HomeWLWWL78%
AwayWWWLW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723636
Win %69%78%61%
Points / game120.4122.8118.0
Allowed / game113.2111.9114.5
Point differential+7.2+10.9+3.5
Avg total233.6234.7232.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)57% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %6%8%3%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW60%
HomeLWLWW62%
AwayWLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723735
Win %60%62%57%
Points / game117.1117.1117.0
Allowed / game114.0114.1114.0
Point differential+3.1+3.1+3.1
Avg total231.1231.2231.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%30%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (21)70% (10)45% (11)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics72571579%121.2109.6+11.7
2 Denver Nuggets73512270%114.6109.9+4.7
3 Oklahoma City Thunder72502269%120.4113.2+7.2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves72502269%113.1106.3+6.7
5 Milwaukee Bucks71452663%120.0116.7+3.3
6 Los Angeles Clippers73462763%116.1112.6+3.5
7 New Orleans Pelicans71442762%115.8110.0+5.8
8 New York Knicks71442762%112.3107.0+5.3
9 Cleveland Cavaliers74452961%112.7109.4+3.3
10 Phoenix Suns72432960%117.1114.0+3.1
11 Dallas Mavericks72432960%118.8116.6+2.2
12 Sacramento Kings71422959%117.3116.1+1.2
13 Orlando Magic73423158%110.4108.5+1.9
14 Indiana Pacers73403355%122.7120.7+2.0
15 Miami Heat72393354%109.3108.9+0.4
16 Los Angeles Lakers72393354%117.7118.3-0.6
17 Golden State Warriors73393453%118.0115.9+2.1
18 Philadelphia 76ers74393553%114.1112.1+2.0
19 Houston Rockets72373551%114.4112.6+1.9
20 Chicago Bulls74353947%112.1113.7-1.6
21 Atlanta Hawks73343947%119.2120.5-1.3
22 Utah Jazz73294440%116.5120.8-4.2
23 Brooklyn Nets74294539%111.2113.5-2.2
24 Memphis Grizzlies73244933%106.1113.1-7.0
25 Toronto Raptors73235032%112.6118.1-5.5
26 Portland Trail Blazers73195426%107.6115.8-8.3
27 Charlotte Hornets73185525%106.2116.7-10.5
28 San Antonio Spurs73175623%111.9119.2-7.2
29 Washington Wizards74146019%113.4123.0-9.6
30 Detroit Pistons74136118%110.6119.5-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder34363127128
Phoenix Suns32272123103
← all games of the day
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