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Olimpia Milano vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 100-68
23-19 24-24 31-10 22-15
Position#11
Record11-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Position#18
Record3-17
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game91.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 21· Unipol Forum
European cup2024
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Alba Berlin
14 Jan 2025
MIL100
ABE68
09 Jan 2024
MIL82
ABE76
14 Oct 2022
MIL74
ABE80
18 Jan 2022
MIL84
ABE76
01 Dec 2020
MIL75
ABE55
03 Feb 2016
MIL91
ABE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
92-94
92
94
-2
85avg 79
A15/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
L
74-103
74
103
-29
64avg 79
A17/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
L
78-79
78
79
-1
75avg 79
H20/12
Euroleague
Trapani
#3
W
105-90
105
90
+15
106avg 79
H23/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#2
L
83-84
83
84
-1
82avg 79
H26/12
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
89-79
89
79
+10
86avg 79
A29/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
75-66
75
66
+9
68avg 79
A02/01
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
115-82
115
82
+33
117avg 79
A05/01
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
107-74
107
74
+33
106avg 79
A09/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
108-106
108
106
+2
102avg 79
H12/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
24-29
22-18
27-22
15-38
25-24
20-17
14-24
14-26
25-14
20-25
19-14
22-24
28-23
31-16
24-27
19-19
21-22
20-23
23-20
24-20
25-16
23-24
17-19
19-19
17-13
15-19
24-15
27-19
25-25
35-21
28-17
20-14
25-23
33-17
29-20
28-29
27-22
29-25
24-30
178.3Avg total
92.6Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.185.2172.3+1.855%
Season at home (10)88.184.0172.1+4.160%
Season away (10)86.186.5172.6-0.450%
Last 10 (10)92.685.7178.3+6.960%
Last 5 (5)98.881.4180.2+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.389.7172.0-7.333%
vs Similar (15)86.882.4169.2+4.467%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)96.289.7185.9+6.667%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
66-86
66
86
-20
59avg 77
H17/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
85avg 77
A20/12
Euroleague
Gottingen
#17
W
109-83
109
83
+26
109avg 77
A22/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
69-80
69
80
-11
55avg 77
H26/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
76-94
76
94
-18
66avg 77
A28/12
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
85-96
85
96
-11
71avg 77
H31/12
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
90-105
90
105
-15
82avg 77
H02/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#1
W
88-81
88
81
+7
84avg 77
H05/01
BBL
Fenerbahce
#1
L
73-90
73
90
-17
64avg 77
A09/01
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#16
W
75-61
75
61
+14
63avg 77
A12/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-24
20-21
16-24
20-17
19-26
22-18
21-25
23-21
22-19
30-16
34-18
23-30
15-28
19-17
17-16
18-19
21-22
29-21
12-21
14-30
15-22
32-21
17-24
21-29
21-30
14-25
32-24
23-26
18-27
19-20
26-18
25-16
11-16
23-21
26-24
13-29
26-14
15-22
16-12
18-13
168.2Avg total
81.6Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.591.5171.0-11.915%
Season at home (11)80.989.8170.7-8.918%
Season away (9)77.993.4171.3-15.611%
Last 10 (10)81.686.6168.2-5.030%
Last 5 (5)82.286.6168.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)79.491.3170.6-11.916%
vs Similar (4)77.276.0153.2+1.275%
vs Weaker (7)85.485.4170.9+0.029%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -3.2-3.2
Olimpia MilanoAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A15/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#3
L
40-62
40
62
-22
A17/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H20/12
Euroleague
Trapani
#3
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H23/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H26/12
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A29/12
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A02/01
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A05/01
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A09/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H12/01
Lega A
89.3Avg total
44.9Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.585.3+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.742.085.7+1.767%-
Last 30 away (15)42.042.984.9-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)44.944.489.3+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)47.440.087.4+7.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.544.780.2-9.217%-
vs Similar (15)43.540.784.1+2.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.744.090.7+2.767%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H17/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A20/12
Euroleague
Gottingen
#17
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A22/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H26/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A28/12
BBL
Rostock
#12
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H31/12
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H02/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H05/01
BBL
Fenerbahce
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A09/01
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#16
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A12/01
BBL
83.1Avg total
40.1Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.243.983.1-4.733%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.244.281.4-6.931%-
Last 30 away (14)41.443.685.0-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)40.143.083.1-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.843.682.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.145.883.9-7.816%-
vs Similar (4)34.540.575.0-6.050%-
vs Weaker (7)45.040.685.6+4.471%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.3
55.1%
54.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.810.6
42.7%
36.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws24.221.2
87.6%
78.0%21.2
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.0
56.5%
54.5%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.46.6
28.2%
36.2%19.8
🏀 Free throws20.114.8
73.6%
78.0%14.8
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWWWWLWLLL
Alba Berlin
WLWLLLLWLL
#11
League position
#18
+9.1
Net rating
-6.8
124.5
Offensive rating
105.4
115.4
Defensive rating
112.2
58.9%
Effective FG%
51.3%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
14.5%
Turnover %
18.8%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.31
42.7%
3-point %
28.2%
61.5%
Assist %
63.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence124.5 · 105.4Defence115.4 · 112.2Shooting58.9% · 51.3%3-point %42.7% · 28.2%Ball care14.5% · 18.8%Off. rebounds26.4% · 30.2%Free throws0.40 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Olimpia Milano wins
5
Alba Berlin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HReggiana108-106
09/01/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv107-74
05/01/25APistoia115-82
02/01/25ALyon-Villeurbanne75-66
29/12/24ATreviso89-79
26/12/24HOlympiacos83-84
23/12/24HTrapani105-90
20/12/24HBayern78-79
17/12/24APanathinaikos74-103
15/12/24AVarese92-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25AFrankfurt75-61
09/01/25AFenerbahce73-90
05/01/25HBayern88-81
02/01/25HMonaco90-105
31/12/24HRostock85-96
28/12/24ASyntainics MBC76-94
26/12/24HReal Madrid69-80
22/12/24AGottingen109-83
20/12/24AOlympiacos85-90
17/12/24HZalgiris Kaunas66-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW55%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game87.188.186.1
Allowed / game85.284.086.5
Point differential+1.9+4.1-0.4
Avg total172.3172.1172.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeLLLLL18%
AwayLWLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %15%18%11%
Points / game79.580.977.9
Allowed / game91.589.893.4
Point differential-11.9-8.9-15.6
Avg total171.0170.7171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %10%9%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2014670%86.980.8+6.0
2 Panathinaikos2013765%87.782.2+5.5
3 Monaco2013765%87.582.2+5.2
4 Fenerbahce1912763%79.079.2-0.2
5 Crvena zvezda2012860%82.880.4+2.4
6 Paris1911858%85.284.6+0.6
7 Real Madrid2011955%84.580.7+3.9
8 Barcelona2011955%86.284.2+1.9
9 Olimpia Milano2011955%87.185.2+1.9
10 Bayern2011955%85.688.2-2.6
11 Anadolu Efes20101050%83.682.4+1.2
12 Zalgiris Kaunas20101050%76.877.2-0.5
13 Partizan21101148%83.180.7+2.4
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne2191243%79.984.0-4.1
15 Baskonia2081240%78.580.8-2.4
16 Virtus Bologna2061430%81.285.0-3.8
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv2051525%83.589.0-5.5
18 Alba Berlin2031715%79.591.5-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano23243122100
Alba Berlin1924101568
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