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Real Madrid vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 94-89
22-18 24-31 23-24 25-16
Position#2
Record14-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#16
Record6-13
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game88.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 20
European cup2016
Meetings · Real Madrid v Olimpia Milano
06 Apr 2027
MAD v MIL
upcoming
20 Jan 2026
MAD106
MIL77
25 Mar 2025
MAD96
MIL89
19 Oct 2023
MAD88
MIL71
16 Mar 2023
MAD91
MIL87
10 Mar 2022
MAD92
MIL88
08 Jan 2021
MAD76
MIL80
20 Mar 2019
MAD92
MIL89
24 Oct 2017
MAD100
MIL90
27 Jan 2017
MAD94
MIL89
01 Nov 2013
MAD93
MIL74
27 Oct 2011
MAD85
MIL78
26 Nov 2009
MAD82
MIL69
13 Nov 2008
MAD70
MIL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#16
L
85-86
85
86
-1
A27/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
80-78
80
78
+2
A29/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A03/01
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H06/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#8
W
96-92 OT
96
92
+4
H08/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H13/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A15/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A20/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
W
85-71
85
71
+14
H22/01
ACB
Bamberg
#13
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A25/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
18-18
23-19
16-26
21-22
16-14
24-27
19-15
19-20
8-12
15-33
20-12
23-24
27-22
24-24
21-15
26-21
7-23
21-13
25-22
16-21
21-15
16-20
27-19
17-20
14-24
23-17
27-17
17-17
24-16
12-20
21-6
16-21
22-24
26-8
21-18
25-21
26-26
19-22
21-20
161.9Avg total
82.9Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.579.6166.1+6.974%
Season at home (9)89.179.9169.0+9.289%
Season away (10)84.279.3163.5+4.960%
Last 10 (10)82.979.0161.9+3.980%
Last 5 (5)82.274.4156.6+7.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)80.876.8157.5+4.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)88.478.0166.5+10.482%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#11
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A23/12
Euroleague
Reggiana
#6
L
87-91
87
91
-4
A27/12
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H29/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H02/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#3
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A06/01
Euroleague
Cantu
#14
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A10/01
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
64-101
64
101
-37
A13/01
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#12
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H19/01
Euroleague
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H22/01
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
W
99-83
99
83
+16
H25/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-32
16-17
16-23
24-17
19-9
21-36
26-27
21-19
16-21
17-15
23-20
14-22
16-23
34-24
25-18
13-19
19-18
21-23
18-22
21-23
24-25
17-20
28-10
16-24
9-27
16-29
21-22
18-23
23-21
26-18
22-21
21-27
27-19
18-20
23-12
22-23
15-21
26-20
26-20
32-22
168.1Avg total
82.9Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.188.3170.4-6.232%
Season at home (10)84.985.8170.7-0.950%
Season away (9)79.091.0170.0-12.011%
Last 10 (10)82.985.2168.1-2.350%
Last 5 (5)86.084.8170.8+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)81.187.8168.8-6.723%
vs Similar (8)85.985.5171.4+0.450%
vs Weaker (9)91.980.8172.7+11.189%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -1.7-1.7
Real MadridOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A27/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#6
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A29/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A03/01
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H06/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H08/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#14
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H13/01
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#13
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A15/01
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A20/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H22/01
ACB
Bamberg
#13
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A25/01
Euroleague
79.5Avg total
39.1Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.282.1+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.640.784.3+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)40.139.879.9+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.479.5-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.080.6-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)38.641.480.0-2.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.039.882.8+3.264%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#11
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A23/12
Euroleague
Reggiana
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A27/12
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H29/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H02/01
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A06/01
Euroleague
Cantu
#14
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A10/01
Lega A
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
25-56
25
56
-31
A13/01
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#12
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H19/01
Euroleague
Capo d'Orlando
#8
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H22/01
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H25/01
Euroleague
83.7Avg total
39.9Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.785.1-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.441.485.8+3.067%-
Last 30 away (15)40.444.084.4-3.633%-
Last 10 (10)39.943.883.7-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.084.2-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.942.481.3-3.531%-
vs Similar (8)42.144.486.5-2.250%-
vs Weaker (9)47.741.789.3+6.078%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.1
51.5%
50.7%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.9
36.3%
37.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.313.5
78.0%
75.6%13.5
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.422.4
54.1%
50.7%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.77.8
37.7%
37.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.314.1
73.1%
75.6%14.1
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWLWL
Olimpia Milano
WWWLWLWLLL
#2
League position
#16
+4.4
Net rating
-2.8
111.3
Offensive rating
110.0
106.9
Defensive rating
112.9
52.7%
Effective FG%
54.9%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
58.1%
16.7%
Turnover %
20.3%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.3%
3-point %
37.7%
71.0%
Assist %
62.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 110.0Defence106.9 · 112.9Shooting52.7% · 54.9%3-point %36.3% · 37.7%Ball care16.7% · 20.3%Off. rebounds33.9% · 34.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Real Madrid wins
1
Olimpia Milano wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/17ABamberg91-89
22/01/17HValencia85-71
20/01/17AZalgiris Kaunas74-59
15/01/17AJoventut Badalona81-78
13/01/17HMaccabi Tel Aviv80-75
08/01/17HMoraBanc Andorra96-92 OT
06/01/17HCSKA Moscow95-85
03/01/17ABaskonia62-77
29/12/16AAnadolu Efes80-78
27/12/16AReal Betis85-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/17HOlympiacos99-83
22/01/17HCapo d'Orlando90-74
19/01/17HGalatasaray92-87
13/01/17ACSKA Moscow64-101
10/01/17ACantu85-79
06/01/17AFenerbahce79-86
02/01/17HPesaro88-84
29/12/16HZalgiris Kaunas70-78
27/12/16AReggiana87-91
23/12/16ABarcelona75-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %74%89%60%
Points / game86.589.184.2
Allowed / game79.679.979.3
Point differential+6.9+9.2+4.9
Avg total166.1169.0163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%44%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW32%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%50%11%
Points / game82.184.979.0
Allowed / game88.385.891.0
Point differential-6.2-0.9-12.0
Avg total170.4170.7170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2015575%87.880.5+7.2
2 Real Madrid1914574%86.579.6+6.9
3 Olympiacos2014670%79.274.3+4.8
4 Fenerbahce2013765%78.276.3+1.9
5 Crvena zvezda2012860%74.872.7+2.2
6 Baskonia2012860%81.079.2+1.8
7 Panathinaikos2011955%77.475.7+1.8
8 Darussafaka20101050%79.079.0-0.1
9 Anadolu Efes2091145%83.884.6-0.8
10 Zalgiris Kaunas2081240%78.280.7-2.5
11 Barcelona2081240%72.375.7-3.4
12 Bamberg2071335%79.780.2-0.5
13 Unics Kazan2071335%76.780.5-3.8
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv2071335%78.082.8-4.8
15 Olimpia Milano1961332%82.188.3-6.2
16 Galatasaray2061430%79.884.5-4.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2224232594
Olimpia Milano1831241689
← all games of the day
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