PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Olympiacos vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 85-76
26-23 21-22 21-10 17-21
Position#1
Record25-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#13
Record17-20
FormLLWLL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game87.3
EuropeEuroleagueRound 38· Peace and Friendship Stadium
European cup2025
Meetings · Olympiacos v Olimpia Milano
30 Oct 2026
OLY84
MIL78
16 Apr 2026
OLY85
MIL76
15 Oct 2024
OLY89
MIL68
02 Jan 2024
OLY79
MIL74
06 Jan 2023
OLY82
MIL66
24 Feb 2022
OLY67
MIL58
14 Oct 2020
OLY86
MIL75
19 Oct 2018
OLY75
MIL99
05 Jan 2018
OLY87
MIL80
25 Oct 2016
OLY91
MIL81
03 Dec 2015
OLY73
MIL63
08 Jan 2015
OLY81
MIL58
06 Mar 2014
OLY86
MIL88
14 Dec 2012
OLY82
MIL81
05 Mar 2009
OLY84
MIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Monaco
#10
L
80-81
80
81
-1
74avg 90
A12/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#13
W
79-71
79
71
+8
61avg 90
A15/03
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
104-87
104
87
+17
105avg 90
H17/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
W
90-80
90
80
+10
92avg 90
H19/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
84-85
84
85
-1
81avg 90
A24/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
W
101-94
101
94
+7
98avg 90
A30/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
82-74
82
74
+8
90avg 90
A03/04
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
W
109-83
109
83
+26
111avg 90
H05/04
Basket League
Real Madrid
#2
W
102-88
102
88
+14
107avg 90
H07/04
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
89-85
89
85
+4
89avg 90
A09/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
23-21
26-19
17-19
23-15
16-20
19-19
21-17
23-29
25-17
26-21
30-20
19-24
22-16
28-22
21-18
23-25
27-17
19-25
15-18
30-21
30-23
20-30
21-20
25-24
22-15
14-19
21-16
17-20
37-27
31-12
24-24
31-19
18-23
23-15
30-31
22-18
29-30
22-19
16-18
174.8Avg total
92.0Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)90.484.0174.4+6.468%
Season at home (18)91.781.3172.9+10.483%
Season away (19)89.286.5175.7+2.753%
Last 10 (10)92.082.8174.8+9.280%
Last 5 (5)96.684.8181.4+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)93.086.5179.5+6.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)95.282.2177.4+13.086%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-104
94
104
-10
82avg 81
A15/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#4
L
75-79
75
79
-4
64avg 81
A20/03
Euroleague
Sassari
#16
W
99-87
99
87
+12
95avg 81
H22/03
Lega A
Monaco
#10
L
85-90
85
90
-5
79avg 81
A24/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
103-87
103
87
+16
101avg 81
H26/03
Euroleague
Udine
#13
L
83-86
83
86
-3
76avg 81
A29/03
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
93-103
93
103
-10
90avg 81
A02/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
80-76
80
76
+4
76avg 81
H05/04
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
96-102
96
102
-6
90avg 81
A07/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
L
84-94
84
94
-10
85avg 81
H09/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
23-24
28-20
21-30
23-17
14-12
15-28
23-22
22-27
33-16
24-19
20-25
25-13
23-32
25-18
12-27
32-19
25-30
22-17
24-21
14-14
26-20
23-22
20-30
19-30
22-34
35-23
17-16
25-18
19-16
15-20
21-22
24-27
30-24
29-27
13-24
20-20
14-32
21-22
29-20
180.0Avg total
89.2Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)86.387.3173.6-0.946%
Season at home (19)88.487.6176.0+0.858%
Season away (18)84.186.9171.1-2.833%
Last 10 (10)89.290.8180.0-1.630%
Last 5 (5)87.292.2179.4-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)85.098.0183.0-13.00%
vs Similar (15)89.789.1178.7+0.647%
vs Weaker (12)82.879.7162.4+3.175%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -3.7-3.7
OlympiacosOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A12/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#13
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A15/03
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H17/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#18
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H19/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A24/03
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
W
60-44
60
44
+16
A30/03
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A03/04
Euroleague
Mykonos
#7
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H05/04
Basket League
Real Madrid
#2
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H07/04
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A09/04
Euroleague
90.2Avg total
47.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.140.588.6+7.790%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.939.489.2+10.5100%-
Last 30 away (16)46.641.488.1+5.281%-
Last 10 (10)47.642.690.2+5.090%-
Last 5 (5)52.244.096.2+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)49.542.091.5+7.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)48.040.488.4+7.789%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A15/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#4
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A20/03
Euroleague
Sassari
#16
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H22/03
Lega A
Monaco
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A24/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H26/03
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A29/03
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
41-64
41
64
-23
A02/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H05/04
Lega A
Valencia
#3
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A07/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H09/04
Euroleague
91.0Avg total
45.5Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.143.888.9+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.543.991.4+3.669%-
Last 30 away (14)42.443.686.1-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)45.545.591.0+0.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.647.089.6-4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)44.750.094.7-5.333%-
vs Similar (15)46.346.993.2-0.753%-
vs Weaker (12)43.838.282.1+5.675%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 64.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀48%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀 Free throws4.8 pts a game · 7% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers13.214.3
108.3%
60.4%28.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.3
36.7%
35.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws6.64.8
72.7%
78.2%4.8
They take 41.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 68% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers23.016.0
69.6%
60.4%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.4
34.8%
35.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws9.17.7
84.6%
78.2%7.7
They take 50.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WWWWWLWWWL
Olimpia Milano
LLWLLWLWLL
#1
League position
#13
+5.6
Net rating
+0.5
47.9
Offensive rating
54.4
42.3
Defensive rating
54.0
72.0%
Effective FG%
60.2%
68.0%
Opp. effective FG%
63.0%
21.6%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.16
Free-throw rate
0.18
36.7%
3-point %
34.8%
93.5%
Assist %
74.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence47.9 · 54.4Defence42.3 · 54.0Shooting72.0% · 60.2%3-point %36.7% · 34.8%Ball care21.6% · 16.4%Free throws0.16 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Olympiacos   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olympiacos wins
4
Olimpia Milano wins
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv89-85
07/04/26HReal Madrid102-88
05/04/26HMykonos109-83
03/04/26ALyon-Villeurbanne82-74
30/03/26APanathinaikos101-94
24/03/26AValencia84-85
19/03/26HBaskonia90-80
17/03/26HFenerbahce104-87
15/03/26APanionios79-71
12/03/26AMonaco80-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/26HBayern84-94
07/04/26AValencia96-102
05/04/26HReggiana80-76
02/04/26AParis93-103
29/03/26AUdine83-86
26/03/26HVirtus Bologna103-87
24/03/26AMonaco85-90
22/03/26HSassari99-87
20/03/26AFenerbahce75-79
15/03/26AVirtus Bologna94-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW68%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWLLWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %68%83%53%
Points / game90.491.789.2
Allowed / game84.081.386.5
Point differential+6.4+10.4+2.7
Avg total174.4172.9175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%56%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)33% (3)50% (8)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL46%
HomeLWWWL58%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %46%58%33%
Points / game86.388.484.1
Allowed / game87.387.686.9
Point differential-0.9+0.8-2.8
Avg total173.6176.0171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%16%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)40% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos37251268%90.484.0+6.4
2 Valencia37241365%90.886.4+4.4
3 Fenerbahce38241463%81.980.6+1.4
4 Real Madrid37231462%87.583.1+4.5
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv37231462%88.384.8+3.5
6 Zalgiris Kaunas37221559%87.782.9+4.8
7 Monaco37211657%90.187.0+3.1
8 Crvena zvezda37211657%87.785.8+1.9
9 Panathinaikos37211657%86.985.6+1.4
10 Barcelona37201754%84.584.3+0.2
11 Dubai37191851%88.287.8+0.4
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv38182047%90.192.7-2.5
13 Olimpia Milano37172046%86.387.3-0.9
14 Bayern37172046%81.183.4-2.3
15 Paris37152241%90.491.1-0.8
16 Partizan37152241%81.486.8-5.4
17 Virtus Bologna38142437%81.886.4-4.6
18 Baskonia37132435%88.693.1-4.5
19 Anadolu Efes37122532%80.684.0-3.4
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3883021%79.386.6-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos2621211785
Olimpia Milano2322102176
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.