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Valencia vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 07 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 102-96
27-24 24-30 27-29 24-13
Position#3
Record22-13
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game86.1
vs
Position#13
Record17-18
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game86.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 36· Roig Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Valencia v Olimpia Milano
03 Feb 2027
VAL v MIL
upcoming
07 Apr 2026
VAL102
MIL96
19 Jan 2024
VAL84
MIL72
07 Mar 2023
VAL84
MIL88
06 Nov 2020
VAL86
MIL81
15 Nov 2017
VAL98
MIL103
11 Nov 2010
VAL69
MIL80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
W
110-84
110
84
+26
113avg 87
H08/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
79-96
79
96
-17
69avg 87
A12/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
71-89
71
89
-18
66avg 87
A14/03
ACB
Barcelona
#8
L
62-66
62
66
-4
57avg 87
H19/03
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
107-91
107
91
+16
83avg 87
H22/03
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
W
85-84
85
84
+1
90avg 87
H24/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
104-110 OT
104
110
-6
109avg 87
A27/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
79-74
79
74
+5
72avg 87
A29/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
94-81
94
81
+13
96avg 87
A03/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
105-88
105
88
+17
101avg 87
H05/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
25-20
35-23
20-22
19-20
24-31
22-24
14-21
20-25
8-23
20-16
23-25
15-18
18-17
19-18
10-13
23-16
32-23
19-21
33-31
25-23
17-27
25-19
18-15
27-17
14-24
25-18
18-25
15-22
23-16
30-16
11-20
22-20
22-23
27-20
23-18
31-25
20-16
33-32
21-15
175.9Avg total
89.6Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)90.186.1176.3+4.063%
Season at home (17)88.280.7168.9+7.582%
Season away (18)91.991.3183.2+0.744%
Last 10 (10)89.686.3175.9+3.360%
Last 5 (5)93.487.4180.8+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)87.288.0175.2-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)95.483.2178.6+12.268%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
88-86
88
86
+2
74avg 81
H09/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
96-87
96
87
+9
94avg 81
H13/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-104
94
104
-10
82avg 81
A15/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#4
L
75-79
75
79
-4
64avg 81
A20/03
Euroleague
Sassari
#16
W
99-87
99
87
+12
95avg 81
H22/03
Lega A
Monaco
#10
L
85-90
85
90
-5
79avg 81
A24/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
103-87
103
87
+16
101avg 81
H26/03
Euroleague
Udine
#13
L
83-86
83
86
-3
76avg 81
A29/03
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
93-103
93
103
-10
90avg 81
A02/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
80-76
80
76
+4
76avg 81
H05/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-20
14-21
19-22
22-23
25-26
28-16
21-25
22-20
22-30
23-24
28-20
21-30
23-17
14-12
15-28
23-22
22-27
33-16
24-19
20-25
25-13
23-32
25-18
12-27
32-19
25-30
22-17
24-21
14-14
26-20
23-22
20-30
19-30
22-34
35-23
17-16
25-18
19-16
15-20
21-22
178.1Avg total
89.6Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)86.186.7172.8-0.549%
Season at home (18)88.787.2175.9+1.461%
Season away (17)83.486.1169.5-2.635%
Last 10 (10)89.688.5178.1+1.150%
Last 5 (5)88.888.4177.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)79.596.0175.5-16.50%
vs Similar (15)89.789.3179.0+0.547%
vs Weaker (13)83.479.2162.6+4.277%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -3.4-3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -3.4-3.4
ValenciaOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H08/03
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A12/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A14/03
ACB
Barcelona
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H19/03
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H22/03
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H24/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A29/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A03/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H05/04
ACB
85.5Avg total
43.0Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.542.387.8+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.440.988.3+6.471%-
Last 30 away (16)43.943.487.4+0.538%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.585.5+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.685.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)41.844.986.6-3.125%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.941.388.2+5.664%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H09/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H13/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A15/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#4
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A20/03
Euroleague
Sassari
#16
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H22/03
Lega A
Monaco
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A24/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H26/03
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A29/03
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
41-64
41
64
-23
A02/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H05/04
Lega A
90.2Avg total
46.7Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.242.988.1+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.142.690.6+5.575%-
Last 30 away (14)41.943.485.3-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)46.743.590.2+3.280%-
Last 5 (5)46.045.291.2+0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)40.049.589.5-9.50%-
vs Similar (15)47.146.693.7+0.553%-
vs Weaker (13)43.837.781.5+6.177%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.8 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers22.316.5
74.0%
60.4%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.5
34.9%
35.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws9.66.8
70.8%
78.2%6.8
They take 52.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 57% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.417.4
65.9%
60.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.1
33.2%
35.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws10.99.0
82.6%
78.2%9.0
They take 53.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWLWWLLLW
Olimpia Milano
WLLWLWLLWW
#3
League position
#13
+6.6
Net rating
+0.7
65.1
Offensive rating
64.2
58.5
Defensive rating
63.5
61.5%
Effective FG%
57.7%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
61.1%
19.1%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.20
34.9%
3-point %
33.2%
83.0%
Assist %
68.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence65.1 · 64.2Defence58.5 · 63.5Shooting61.5% · 57.7%3-point %34.9% · 33.2%Ball care19.1% · 15.0%Free throws0.18 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Valencia   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Valencia wins
5
Olimpia Milano wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/26HBreogan105-88
03/04/26AVirtus Bologna94-81
29/03/26ASan Pablo Burgos79-74
27/03/26APartizan104-110 OT
24/03/26HOlympiacos85-84
22/03/26HGranada107-91
19/03/26HBarcelona62-66
14/03/26ATenerife71-89
12/03/26AReal Madrid79-96
08/03/26HMurcia110-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/26HReggiana80-76
02/04/26AParis93-103
29/03/26AUdine83-86
26/03/26HVirtus Bologna103-87
24/03/26AMonaco85-90
22/03/26HSassari99-87
20/03/26AFenerbahce75-79
15/03/26AVirtus Bologna94-104
13/03/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv96-87
09/03/26HCantu88-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW63%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayWWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %63%82%44%
Points / game90.188.291.9
Allowed / game86.180.791.3
Point differential+4.0+7.5+0.7
Avg total176.3168.9183.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%53%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)80% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL49%
HomeWLWWW61%
AwayWLLLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %49%61%35%
Points / game86.188.783.4
Allowed / game86.787.286.1
Point differential-0.5+1.4-2.6
Avg total172.8175.9169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%17%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)40% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos36241267%90.483.9+6.5
2 Fenerbahce36231364%82.380.9+1.5
3 Valencia35221363%90.186.1+4.0
4 Hapoel Tel-Aviv35221363%88.184.6+3.5
5 Real Madrid36221461%87.983.5+4.4
6 Zalgiris Kaunas36211558%87.883.1+4.7
7 Panathinaikos35201557%86.985.3+1.6
8 Barcelona35201557%84.683.8+0.8
9 Crvena zvezda36201656%87.285.6+1.6
10 Monaco35191654%90.387.3+3.0
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv34181653%90.491.7-1.3
12 Dubai36191753%88.887.9+0.9
13 Olimpia Milano35171849%86.186.7-0.5
14 Bayern35152043%80.683.5-2.8
15 Partizan35152043%81.887.1-5.3
16 Paris36142239%89.791.4-1.7
17 Virtus Bologna35132237%82.086.7-4.7
18 Baskonia35112431%88.493.6-5.2
19 Anadolu Efes35102529%80.584.8-4.3
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3582723%79.186.3-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia27242724102
Olimpia Milano2430291396
← all games of the day
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