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Olimpia Milano vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 84-94
20-20 14-32 21-22 29-20
Position#13
Record17-19
FormWLLWL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Bayern 🏆
Position#14
Record16-20
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game83.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 37· Unipol Forum
European cup2025
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Bayern
10 Dec 2026
MIL v BAY
upcoming
09 Apr 2026
MIL84
BAY94
20 Dec 2024
MIL78
BAY79
05 Jan 2024
MIL76
BAY62
24 Mar 2023
MIL99
BAY74
29 Mar 2022
MIL84
BAY77
04 May 2021
MIL92
BAY89
22 Apr 2021
MIL80
BAY69
20 Apr 2021
MIL79
BAY78
21 Jan 2021
MIL75
BAY51
19 Dec 2018
MIL78
BAY80
03 Dec 2014
MIL83
BAY81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Olimpia Milano
3.7out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 86.4
91.0▲ 4.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.6
90.8▲ 8.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 61%
55%▼ 5%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.3
19.4▲ 1.1
🔥 Form · Bayern
4.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 83.7
84.6▲ 0.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.1
85.2▲ 6.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
57%▼ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.7
19.6▲ 0.9
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
96-87
96
87
+9
H13/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-104
94
104
-10
A15/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#4
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A20/03
Euroleague
Sassari
#16
W
99-87
99
87
+12
H22/03
Lega A
Monaco
#10
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A24/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
103-87
103
87
+16
H26/03
Euroleague
Udine
#13
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A29/03
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
93-103
93
103
-10
A02/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H05/04
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
96-102
96
102
-6
A07/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
28-16
21-25
22-20
22-30
23-24
28-20
21-30
23-17
14-12
15-28
23-22
22-27
33-16
24-19
20-25
25-13
23-32
25-18
12-27
32-19
25-30
22-17
24-21
14-14
26-20
23-22
20-30
19-30
22-34
35-23
17-16
25-18
19-16
15-20
21-22
24-27
30-24
29-27
13-24
180.5Avg total
90.4Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)86.487.1173.5-0.747%
Season at home (18)88.787.2175.9+1.461%
Season away (18)84.186.9171.1-2.833%
Last 10 (10)90.490.1180.5+0.340%
Last 5 (5)91.090.8181.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.098.0183.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)89.789.3179.0+0.547%
vs Weaker (12)82.879.7162.4+3.175%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
98-80
98
80
+18
H10/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H12/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
A15/03
BBL
Dubai
#11
L
74-87
74
87
-13
H19/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A24/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
93-83
93
83
+10
H26/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#14
L
81-96
81
96
-15
A29/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#4
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H01/04
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A04/04
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
85-80
85
80
+5
A07/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
27-17
26-27
22-16
17-14
22-12
19-27
22-28
15-14
25-34
27-18
26-31
21-18
16-24
14-23
23-22
18-18
20-16
19-29
14-15
19-18
20-24
25-21
29-20
22-24
20-24
17-21
22-27
25-12
18-18
24-30
18-16
19-26
23-16
15-28
22-21
23-16
20-27
23-15
19-22
168.8Avg total
83.9Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)80.883.4164.1-2.644%
Season at home (19)82.180.2162.3+1.963%
Season away (17)79.286.9166.1-7.624%
Last 10 (10)83.984.9168.8-1.040%
Last 5 (5)84.685.2169.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.881.9163.6-0.162%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.883.8167.5+0.050%
vs Weaker (14)88.778.0166.7+10.764%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
Olimpia MilanoBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H13/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A15/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#4
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A20/03
Euroleague
Sassari
#16
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H22/03
Lega A
Monaco
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A24/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H26/03
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A29/03
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
41-64
41
64
-23
A02/04
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H05/04
Lega A
Valencia
#3
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A07/04
Euroleague
91.9Avg total
47.4Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.643.689.2+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.443.391.7+5.173%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.986.6-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)47.444.591.9+2.980%-
Last 5 (5)47.246.493.6+0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.750.094.7-5.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)47.146.693.7+0.553%-
vs Weaker (12)43.838.282.1+5.675%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H10/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H12/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A15/03
BBL
Dubai
#11
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H19/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A24/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H26/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#14
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A29/03
BBL
Fenerbahce
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H01/04
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/04
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A07/04
Euroleague
80.5Avg total
41.3Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.181.4+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.937.177.1+2.856%-
Last 30 away (14)44.941.486.3+3.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.280.5+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.082.8+0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.141.484.5+1.862%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.839.579.2+0.238%-
vs Weaker (14)43.137.680.8+5.557%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers24.016.3
67.9%
60.4%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.2
34.8%
35.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws9.17.7
84.6%
78.2%7.7
They take 50.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.1 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers23.815.1
63.4%
60.4%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.9
36.8%
35.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws8.16.1
75.3%
78.2%6.1
They take 50.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWLLWLWLLW
Bayern
WLWLWLLLLW
#13
League position
#14
+0.5
Net rating
-2.0
53.8
Offensive rating
54.4
53.4
Defensive rating
56.4
59.7%
Effective FG%
59.1%
61.8%
Opp. effective FG%
63.5%
16.4%
Turnover %
18.4%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.16
34.8%
3-point %
36.8%
72.9%
Assist %
76.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence53.8 · 54.4Defence53.4 · 56.4Shooting59.7% · 59.1%3-point %34.8% · 36.8%Ball care16.4% · 18.4%Free throws0.18 · 0.16Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Olimpia Milano wins
5
Bayern wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/26AValencia96-102
05/04/26HReggiana80-76
02/04/26AParis93-103
29/03/26AUdine83-86
26/03/26HVirtus Bologna103-87
24/03/26AMonaco85-90
22/03/26HSassari99-87
20/03/26AFenerbahce75-79
15/03/26AVirtus Bologna94-104
13/03/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv96-87
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/26AVirtus Bologna85-80
04/04/26ASyntainics MBC79-91
01/04/26HFenerbahce85-76
29/03/26AHamburg81-96
26/03/26HLyon-Villeurbanne93-83
24/03/26AZalgiris Kaunas71-78
19/03/26HDubai74-87
15/03/26ABamberg93-97
12/03/26HAnadolu Efes80-81
10/03/26HBasketball Braunschweig98-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL47%
HomeWLWWW61%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %47%61%33%
Points / game86.488.784.1
Allowed / game87.187.286.9
Point differential-0.7+1.4-2.8
Avg total173.5175.9171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%17%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)40% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Bayern
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW44%
HomeWLLWW63%
AwayLLWLW24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %44%63%24%
Points / game80.882.179.2
Allowed / game83.480.286.9
Point differential-2.6+1.9-7.6
Avg total164.1162.3166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%21%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)25% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos37251268%90.484.0+6.4
2 Valencia36231364%90.586.4+4.1
3 Real Madrid37231462%87.583.1+4.5
4 Fenerbahce37231462%82.080.7+1.3
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv36221461%88.084.7+3.3
6 Zalgiris Kaunas36211558%87.883.1+4.7
7 Panathinaikos36211558%87.085.1+1.9
8 Monaco36201656%90.087.0+3.0
9 Crvena zvezda36201656%87.285.6+1.6
10 Barcelona36201656%84.484.0+0.4
11 Dubai36191753%88.887.9+0.9
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv35181751%90.692.0-1.4
13 Olimpia Milano36171947%86.487.1-0.7
14 Bayern36162044%80.883.4-2.6
15 Partizan36152142%81.686.9-5.3
16 Paris36142239%89.791.4-1.7
17 Virtus Bologna36132336%81.986.6-4.7
18 Baskonia36122433%88.893.7-4.9
19 Anadolu Efes36112531%80.584.4-3.9
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3682822%79.086.2-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2014212984
Bayern2032222094
← all games of the day
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