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Olimpia Milano vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 103-87
32-19 25-30 22-17 24-21
Position#13
Record16-17
FormWLLWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#17
Record13-19
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game85.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 34· Unipol Forum
European cup2025
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna
25 Oct 2026
MIL94
VIR98
29 Sep 2026
MIL87
VIR85
26 Mar 2026
MIL103
VIR87
14 Dec 2025
MIL74
VIR63
07 Jun 2025
MIL78
VIR84
05 Jun 2025
MIL68
VIR78
08 Dec 2024
MIL73
VIR82
31 Oct 2024
MIL99
VIR90
22 Sep 2024
MIL98
VIR96
13 Jun 2024
MIL85
VIR73
11 Jun 2024
MIL81
VIR78
05 Apr 2024
MIL90
VIR75
10 Dec 2023
MIL82
VIR80
23 Sep 2023
MIL73
VIR78
23 Jun 2023
MIL67
VIR55
19 Jun 2023
MIL79
VIR72
11 Jun 2023
MIL79
VIR76
09 Jun 2023
MIL92
VIR82
19 Mar 2023
MIL69
VIR75
09 Nov 2022
MIL59
VIR64
28 Sep 2022
MIL64
VIR72
18 Jun 2022
MIL81
VIR64
14 Jun 2022
MIL77
VIR62
12 Jun 2022
MIL94
VIR82
05 Jan 2022
MIL102
VIR99
21 Sep 2021
MIL84
VIR90
07 Jun 2021
MIL72
VIR83
05 Jun 2021
MIL77
VIR83
17 Apr 2021
MIL94
VIR84
20 Sep 2020
MIL75
VIR68
19 Apr 2020
MIL v VIR
upcoming
14 Feb 2019
MIL84
VIR86
27 Jan 2019
MIL94
VIR75
05 Nov 2017
MIL72
VIR64
08 Nov 2015
MIL87
VIR72
20 May 2015
MIL99
VIR72
18 May 2015
MIL90
VIR67
26 Apr 2015
MIL117
VIR92
23 Feb 2014
MIL89
VIR66
27 Jan 2013
MIL91
VIR68
23 Oct 2011
MIL79
VIR64
10 Apr 2011
MIL71
VIR64
07 Mar 2010
MIL73
VIR71
19 Oct 2008
MIL68
VIR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Dubai
#11
L
78-96
78
96
-18
70avg 81
H13/02
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
86-67
86
67
+19
82avg 81
A15/02
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
86-92
86
92
-6
82avg 81
A26/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
W
87-84
87
84
+3
90avg 81
H05/03
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
88-86
88
86
+2
74avg 81
H09/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
96-87
96
87
+9
94avg 81
H13/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-104
94
104
-10
82avg 81
A15/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#4
L
75-79
75
79
-4
64avg 81
A20/03
Euroleague
Sassari
#16
W
99-87
99
87
+12
95avg 81
H22/03
Lega A
Monaco
#10
L
85-90
85
90
-5
79avg 81
A24/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
26-33
13-22
19-23
23-20
25-11
23-17
15-19
19-29
28-20
17-24
22-19
24-17
22-17
32-17
9-33
33-20
14-21
19-22
22-23
25-26
28-16
21-25
22-20
22-30
23-24
28-20
21-30
23-17
14-12
15-28
23-22
22-27
33-16
24-19
20-25
25-13
23-32
25-18
12-27
174.6Avg total
87.4Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)85.486.2171.5-0.848%
Season at home (17)87.887.2175.1+0.659%
Season away (16)82.885.0167.8-2.238%
Last 10 (10)87.487.2174.6+0.250%
Last 5 (5)89.889.4179.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.791.3174.0-8.733%
vs Similar ◀ (15)87.689.0176.6-1.440%
vs Weaker (12)84.679.8164.3+4.883%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
W
87-79
87
79
+8
78avg 81
A09/02
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
60-91
60
91
-31
48avg 81
A12/02
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 81
H15/02
Lega A
Barcelona
#8
W
85-80
85
80
+5
84avg 81
H25/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
84-92
84
92
-8
80avg 81
A05/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
90-71
90
71
+19
85avg 81
A07/03
Lega A
Partizan
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
72avg 81
H11/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
104-94
104
94
+10
100avg 81
H15/03
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
91-109
91
109
-18
86avg 81
A19/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
L
70-84
70
84
-14
62avg 81
A22/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
23-18
25-18
16-24
19-22
16-21
10-21
15-27
31-15
23-34
17-16
19-21
20-28
27-15
21-14
17-23
23-22
17-24
21-18
23-28
16-21
23-19
24-10
27-21
25-29
23-23
15-13
19-23
30-22
24-23
20-28
30-21
19-34
21-31
22-21
29-23
25-20
12-25
14-24
19-15
171.7Avg total
84.3Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)81.885.4167.2-3.641%
Season at home (15)85.283.1168.3+2.160%
Season away (17)78.987.4166.3-8.524%
Last 10 (10)84.387.4171.7-3.150%
Last 5 (5)87.489.2176.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)84.290.1174.3-5.833%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.781.7163.3+0.056%
vs Weaker (9)75.868.9144.7+6.978%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
Olimpia MilanoVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubai
#11
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H13/02
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A15/02
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A26/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H05/03
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H09/03
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H13/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A15/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#4
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A20/03
Euroleague
Sassari
#16
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H22/03
Lega A
Monaco
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A24/03
Euroleague
89.1Avg total
47.2Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.343.088.3+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.942.389.2+4.669%-
Last 30 away (14)43.543.787.2-0.243%-
Last 10 (10)47.241.989.1+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)47.642.690.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.346.089.3-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)46.045.591.5+0.547%-
vs Weaker (12)44.939.184.0+5.875%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A09/02
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A12/02
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H15/02
Lega A
Barcelona
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H25/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A05/03
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A07/03
Lega A
Partizan
#15
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H11/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H15/03
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
40-65
40
65
-25
A19/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/03
Lega A
90.5Avg total
44.0Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.443.886.2-1.448%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.143.889.8+2.362%-
Last 30 away (16)39.443.983.3-4.438%-
Last 10 (10)44.046.590.5-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)43.649.493.0-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)42.347.389.7-5.042%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.141.984.0+0.244%-
vs Weaker (8)42.940.883.6+2.162%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.317.6
62.2%
60.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.8
36.2%
35.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws11.89.1
77.1%
78.2%9.1
They take 55.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.219.7
65.2%
60.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.3
31.1%
35.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws14.111.1
78.7%
78.2%11.1
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWLLWWWLWL
Virtus Bologna
LLWLWLWWLW
#13
League position
#17
+1.1
Net rating
-1.3
74.9
Offensive rating
78.4
73.8
Defensive rating
79.8
58.3%
Effective FG%
56.5%
59.9%
Opp. effective FG%
61.4%
13.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.2%
3-point %
31.1%
68.2%
Assist %
64.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence74.9 · 78.4Defence73.8 · 79.8Shooting58.3% · 56.5%3-point %36.2% · 31.1%Ball care13.8% · 16.5%Free throws0.21 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/26AMonaco85-90
22/03/26HSassari99-87
20/03/26AFenerbahce75-79
15/03/26AVirtus Bologna94-104
13/03/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv96-87
09/03/26HCantu88-86
05/03/26HBarcelona87-84
26/02/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv86-92
15/02/26ACremona86-67
13/02/26HDubai78-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26AReggiana70-84
19/03/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv91-109
15/03/26HOlimpia Milano104-94
11/03/26HPartizan82-88
07/03/26ABasket Napoli90-71
05/03/26AReal Madrid84-92
25/02/26HBarcelona85-80
15/02/26HUdine90-86
12/02/26AAnadolu Efes60-91
09/02/26ABrescia87-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL48%
HomeWWLWW59%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %48%59%38%
Points / game85.487.882.8
Allowed / game86.287.285.0
Point differential-0.8+0.6-2.2
Avg total171.5175.1167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%12%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)40% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL41%
HomeLLLWL60%
AwayWLLLL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %41%60%24%
Points / game81.885.278.9
Allowed / game85.483.187.4
Point differential-3.6+2.1-8.5
Avg total167.2168.3166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%27%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)57% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce33231070%82.680.0+2.6
2 Olympiacos34221265%90.484.1+6.2
3 Real Madrid33211264%87.882.8+5.0
4 Valencia33211264%89.685.6+4.0
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv32201262%87.183.6+3.5
6 Zalgiris Kaunas33191458%88.583.7+4.8
7 Monaco33191458%90.186.3+3.8
8 Crvena zvezda33191458%87.185.4+1.7
9 Panathinaikos33191458%86.284.7+1.5
10 Barcelona33191458%84.883.7+1.1
11 Dubai33171652%88.488.0+0.4
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv32161650%89.691.6-2.0
13 Olimpia Milano33161748%85.486.2-0.8
14 Virtus Bologna32131941%81.885.4-3.6
15 Bayern33132039%80.183.7-3.6
16 Partizan33132039%80.886.7-6.0
17 Paris33122136%89.291.6-2.4
18 Anadolu Efes33102330%80.584.3-3.8
19 Baskonia3392427%87.293.1-5.8
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3382524%79.186.2-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano32252224103
Virtus Bologna1930172187
← all games of the day
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