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Osijek vs Stoja Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 96-70
31-16 25-17 28-15 12-22
Position#2
Record15-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game75.1
Osijek 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#13
Record2-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game90.8
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 17· NSD Gradski vrt
Other2023-24
Meetings · Osijek v Stoja
04 Feb 2024
OSIJ96
STOJ70
12 Nov 2022
OSIJ109
STOJ82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osijek winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stoja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsijekCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsijek
Date
Competition
Podstrana
#14
W
92-74
92
74
+18
90avg 85
A26/11
Prva Liga
Alkar
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 85
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Marsonia
#9
W
99-60
99
60
+39
110avg 85
H03/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
75-69
75
69
+6
68avg 85
A09/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
91-85
91
85
+6
88avg 85
H16/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
76avg 85
A22/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
96-77
96
77
+19
107avg 85
H13/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
116-107 OT
116
107
+9
no box
A21/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
101-70
101
70
+31
101avg 85
H24/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
65-60
65
60
+5
64avg 85
H28/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-12
20-22
30-15
16-25
28-24
18-18
19-17
16-19
23-17
24-11
24-8
28-24
18-21
18-16
18-11
21-21
26-16
17-24
28-28
20-17
21-14
25-14
16-23
18-15
23-25
31-16
20-18
22-18
20-23
28-18
23-31
28-27
22-19
30-19
31-16
18-16
16-16
15-14
22-16
12-14
164.2Avg total
89.6Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)89.475.1164.4+14.394%
Season at home (8)90.972.6163.5+18.2100%
Season away (8)87.977.5165.4+10.488%
Last 10 (10)89.674.6164.2+15.0100%
Last 5 (5)91.676.0167.6+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.083.0156.0-10.050%
vs Similar (4)72.270.2142.5+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)87.174.8161.9+12.383%
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStoja
Date
Competition
Kastela
#6
L
86-88
86
88
-2
92avg 68
A18/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
77-88
77
88
-11
72avg 68
A26/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
79-69
79
69
+10
77avg 68
H02/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
79avg 68
A09/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
75avg 68
H16/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
66-76
66
76
-10
57avg 68
A23/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
80-88
80
88
-8
64avg 68
H14/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
48-90
48
90
-42
28avg 68
H20/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
88-116
88
116
-28
75avg 68
A24/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
L
59-91
59
91
-32
53avg 68
H28/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
19-25
16-11
24-30
16-28
14-18
25-23
22-19
24-21
17-19
17-16
21-13
16-34
19-22
18-18
29-19
20-29
22-25
17-20
18-17
12-26
11-8
22-21
21-21
17-25
25-27
20-21
18-15
10-25
10-25
16-17
12-23
20-30
15-31
20-31
33-24
24-19
12-17
9-25
14-30
163.2Avg total
74.2Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.490.8168.2-13.412%
Season at home (8)76.091.9167.9-15.912%
Season away (8)78.989.8168.6-10.912%
Last 10 (10)74.289.0163.2-14.810%
Last 5 (5)68.292.2160.4-24.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)84.995.2180.2-10.328%
vs Similar (6)75.583.5159.0-8.033%
vs Weaker (6)84.779.5164.2+5.267%
This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -7.3-7.3Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -7.3-7.3Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
OsijekStoja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsijekLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Podstrana
#14
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A26/11
Prva Liga
Alkar
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Marsonia
#9
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H03/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A09/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H16/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A22/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H13/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A21/01
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H24/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H28/01
Prva Liga
80.8Avg total
44.9Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.537.379.8+5.377%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.335.979.2+7.593%-
Last 30 away (15)41.738.780.4+3.160%-
Last 10 (10)44.935.980.8+9.090%-
Last 5 (5)46.235.681.8+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.044.580.5-8.550%-
vs Similar (4)37.833.571.2+4.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.837.180.9+6.783%-
This opponent (Stoja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StojaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#6
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A18/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A26/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H02/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A09/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H16/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A23/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H14/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
20-50
20
50
-30
H20/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A24/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H28/01
Prva Liga
82.6Avg total
35.0Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.547.388.8-5.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.645.888.4-3.240%-
Last 30 away (15)40.548.889.3-8.320%-
Last 10 (10)35.047.682.6-12.610%-
Last 5 (5)31.246.677.8-15.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)41.350.391.6-9.128%-
vs Similar (6)39.342.782.0-3.317%-
vs Weaker (6)44.542.887.3+1.750%-
This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osijektheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osijek: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.425.0
59.0%
52.9%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.1
32.4%
32.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.612.4
74.7%
71.2%12.4
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Stojatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Stoja: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.623.0
51.6%
52.9%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.95.8
30.7%
32.9%17.4
🏀 Free throws15.210.6
69.7%
71.2%10.6
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osijek
WWWWWWWWWW
Stoja
LLLLLLLWLL
#2
League position
#13
+20.1
Net rating
-18.5
111.0
Offensive rating
94.6
90.9
Defensive rating
113.2
55.1%
Effective FG%
49.9%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
15.5%
Turnover %
20.1%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.4%
3-point %
30.7%
76.4%
Assist %
64.9%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 94.6Defence90.9 · 113.2Shooting55.1% · 49.9%3-point %32.4% · 30.7%Ball care15.5% · 20.1%Off. rebounds23.7% · 22.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)100% · 10%
■ Osijek   ■ Stoja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Osijek wins
0
Stoja wins
DateGameScore
28/10/23Stoja v Osijek80-90
12/02/23Stoja v Osijek76-94
12/11/22Osijek v Stoja109-82
Osijeklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HKastela65-60
24/01/24HMladost101-70
21/01/24AHermes116-107 OT
13/01/24HSamobor96-77
22/12/23ACrikvenica80-66
16/12/23HJazine91-85
09/12/23AKK Zagreb75-69
03/12/23HMarsonia99-60
29/11/23HAlkar81-78
26/11/23APodstrana92-74
Stojalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HCrikvenica59-91
24/01/24AJazine88-116
20/01/24HKK Zagreb48-90
14/01/24HMarsonia80-88
23/12/23APodstrana66-76
16/12/23HKvarner77-91
09/12/23AOmis82-93
02/12/23HGorica79-69
26/11/23ASamobor77-88
18/11/23AKastela86-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osijek
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %94%100%88%
Points / game89.490.987.9
Allowed / game75.172.677.5
Point differential+14.3+18.2+10.4
Avg total164.4163.5165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%12%12%
Stoja
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeWLLLL12%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %12%12%12%
Points / game77.476.078.9
Allowed / game90.891.989.8
Point differential-13.4-15.9-10.9
Avg total168.2167.9168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner1716194%91.172.7+18.4
2 Osijek1615194%89.475.1+14.3
3 Gorica1712571%81.575.4+6.1
4 KK Zagreb1710759%81.073.2+7.8
5 Jazine1710759%88.686.3+2.4
6 Kastela169756%79.974.7+5.2
7 Samobor169756%82.382.6-0.3
8 Omis178947%77.580.6-3.1
9 Hermes157847%92.190.1+2.1
10 Marsonia1761135%79.685.7-6.1
11 Mladost1541127%77.784.5-6.8
12 Podstrana1741324%71.885.3-13.5
13 Crikvenica1731418%73.787.1-13.4
14 Stoja1621412%77.490.8-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osijek3125281296
Stoja1617152270
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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