PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ovarense vs Portimonense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 93-66
26-24 21-18 23-13 23-11
Position#5
Record9-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#11
Record5-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game77.9
PortugalLPBRound 16· Arena de Ovar
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ovarense v Portimonense
19 Dec 2026
OVAR v PORT
upcoming
02 Mar 2024
OVAR93
PORT66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portimonense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
64avg 73
A01/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
79-91
79
91
-12
79avg 73
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#10
W
79-64
79
64
+15
75avg 73
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
80-78
80
78
+2
81avg 73
H30/12
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
91-90
91
90
+1
96avg 73
H06/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
91-86
91
86
+5
96avg 73
A20/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
74-98
74
98
-24
62avg 73
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
W
99-70
99
70
+29
104avg 73
H03/02
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
76-87
76
87
-11
69avg 73
A10/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
80-76
80
76
+4
78avg 73
H17/02
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
20-19
14-20
16-17
27-32
12-19
18-24
22-16
19-10
17-19
24-21
19-14
26-21
17-21
22-16
15-20
29-26
17-23
21-17
24-24
23-18
13-26
27-18
28-24
13-25
19-19
22-26
20-28
31-8
13-18
32-23
23-21
18-16
23-19
16-29
19-23
21-18
14-24
23-24
22-10
164.0Avg total
82.1Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.379.2158.5+0.160%
Season at home (7)85.780.7166.4+5.086%
Season away (8)73.677.9151.5-4.238%
Last 10 (10)82.181.9164.0+0.260%
Last 5 (5)84.083.4167.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)70.687.5158.1-16.929%
vs Similar (4)79.578.5158.0+1.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)80.975.9156.8+5.075%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortimonense
Date
Competition
Inedsport
#16
W
104-63
104
63
+41
90avg 67
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
L
68-69
68
69
-1
61avg 67
H16/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
67-100
67
100
-33
55avg 67
A30/12
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
68-85
68
85
-17
56avg 67
A06/01
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
53-85
53
85
-32
40avg 67
A13/01
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#2
L
73-81
73
81
-8
68avg 67
H20/01
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
56-79
56
79
-23
54avg 67
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Imortal
#8
L
72-74
72
74
-2
71avg 67
A03/02
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
69-74
69
74
-5
62avg 67
H10/02
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
86-79
86
79
+7
91avg 67
H14/02
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-17
17-12
28-24
27-10
19-13
16-22
17-19
16-15
19-22
16-28
16-35
16-15
15-26
16-28
20-16
17-15
12-16
17-24
6-29
18-16
22-8
20-21
11-21
20-31
21-28
10-25
12-10
13-16
20-17
20-17
17-25
15-15
15-19
17-17
14-14
23-24
24-11
17-25
21-19
24-24
150.5Avg total
71.6Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)71.777.9149.5-6.233%
Season at home (7)72.071.1143.1+0.957%
Season away (8)71.483.8155.1-12.412%
Last 10 (10)71.678.9150.5-7.320%
Last 5 (5)71.277.4148.6-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)69.282.6151.8-13.421%
vs Similar (8)77.875.8153.5+2.062%
vs Weaker (2)76.571.5148.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -5.0-5.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
OvarensePortimonense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A01/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#10
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H30/12
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H06/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A20/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Lusitania
#12
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H03/02
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A10/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H17/02
Taca da Liga
79.8Avg total
39.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.741.378.0-4.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.842.179.9-4.347%-
Last 30 away (15)35.640.576.1-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.479.8-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.638.275.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)33.943.877.7-9.812%-
vs Similar (4)39.039.578.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.135.676.8+5.588%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inedsport
#16
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A10/12
Taca de Portugal
Oliveirense
#3
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H16/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A30/12
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A06/01
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A13/01
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#2
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H20/01
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Imortal
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A03/02
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H10/02
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H14/02
Taca da Liga
76.1Avg total
36.5Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.739.074.7-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.036.672.6-0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)35.441.176.6-5.731%-
Last 10 (10)36.539.676.1-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.237.674.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)33.341.374.6-8.016%-
vs Similar (8)39.135.874.9+3.475%-
vs Weaker (2)38.035.573.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.617.6
54.0%
51.0%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.69.9
38.7%
33.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.016.0
76.2%
69.3%16.0
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.3
52.7%
51.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.0
28.5%
33.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.411.0
67.1%
69.3%11.0
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
WLWLWWWWLL
Portimonense
WLLLLLLLLW
#5
League position
#11
+1.5
Net rating
-10.3
107.8
Offensive rating
92.9
106.4
Defensive rating
103.1
55.8%
Effective FG%
48.7%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
23.9%
Turnover %
23.3%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.7%
3-point %
28.5%
71.3%
Assist %
70.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 92.9Defence106.4 · 103.1Shooting55.8% · 48.7%3-point %38.7% · 28.5%Ball care23.9% · 23.3%Off. rebounds34.0% · 28.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Ovarense   ■ Portimonense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ovarense wins
1
Portimonense wins
DateGameScore
28/10/23Portimonense v Ovarense62-58
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HGalomar80-76
10/02/24ACD Povoa76-87
03/02/24HLusitania99-70
27/01/24HBenfica74-98
20/01/24ASporting CP91-86
06/01/24HVitoria91-90
30/12/23HImortal80-78
22/12/23AGalomar79-64
09/12/23HSporting CP79-91
01/12/23AFC Porto72-79
Portimonenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/24HLusitania86-79
10/02/24HGalomar69-74
03/02/24AImortal72-74
27/01/24AFC Porto56-79
20/01/24HFC Porto73-81
13/01/24ABenfica53-85
06/01/24AEsgueira68-85
30/12/23ABenfica67-100
16/12/23HOliveirense68-69
10/12/23AInedsport104-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%86%38%
Points / game79.385.773.6
Allowed / game79.280.777.9
Point differential+0.1+5.0-4.2
Avg total158.5166.4151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)83% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Portimonense
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWLLL57%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%57%12%
Points / game71.772.071.4
Allowed / game77.971.183.8
Point differential-6.2+0.9-12.4
Avg total149.5143.1155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto1512380%86.175.3+10.8
2 Benfica1612475%88.169.2+18.8
3 Sporting CP1511473%92.681.6+11.0
4 Oliveirense1511473%79.174.1+4.9
5 Ovarense159660%79.379.2+0.1
6 CD Povoa168850%81.884.5-2.7
7 Vitoria157847%79.280.5-1.3
8 Imortal167944%77.682.4-4.8
9 Portimonense1551033%71.777.9-6.2
10 Galomar1651131%74.178.8-4.7
11 Esgueira1531220%73.385.5-12.2
12 Lusitania131128%73.189.5-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ovarense2621232393
Portimonense2418131166
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.