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Real Madrid vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-95
36-25 18-24 7-15 19-31
Position#1
Record31-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#2
Record27-13
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game77.3
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Final· Uber Arena
European cup2023Neutral venue
Meetings · Real Madrid v Panathinaikos
04 Nov 2026
MAD v PAO
upcoming
13 Nov 2025
MAD77
PAO87
17 Oct 2024
MAD90
PAO86
26 May 2024
MAD80
PAO95
29 Feb 2024
MAD86
PAO97
01 Feb 2023
MAD83
PAO68
15 Oct 2021
MAD88
PAO65
27 Jan 2021
MAD76
PAO66
19 Apr 2019
MAD78
PAO63
17 Apr 2019
MAD75
PAO72
19 Dec 2018
MAD89
PAO68
27 Apr 2018
MAD89
PAO82
25 Apr 2018
MAD81
PAO74
08 Mar 2018
MAD92
PAO75
16 Nov 2016
MAD87
PAO84
22 Jan 2015
MAD83
PAO65
21 Mar 2013
MAD73
PAO74
12 Oct 2012
MAD85
PAO78
05 Nov 2009
MAD80
PAO70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#9
W
90-74
90
74
+16
87avg 85
H23/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
101-90
101
90
+11
103avg 85
H25/04
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
79-69
79
69
+10
76avg 85
H28/04
ACB
Baskonia
#9
W
102-98
102
98
+4
99avg 85
A01/05
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
94-80
94
80
+14
100avg 85
H05/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
93-99
93
99
-6
76avg 85
A10/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
106-100
106
100
+6
110avg 85
H12/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
105-70
105
70
+35
98avg 85
H15/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
73-71
73
71
+2
74avg 85
A17/05
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
87-76
87
76
+11
87avg 85
H24/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
22-20
22-16
20-21
23-21
23-19
28-23
27-27
28-20
10-17
23-19
18-13
22-22
30-34
20-17
30-25
22-19
29-23
26-15
17-23
27-28
22-19
23-28
21-24
28-26
28-21
20-29
30-24
27-25
19-13
31-15
28-17
25-18
18-15
17-25
13-13
28-10
28-27
15-21
16-18
175.7Avg total
93.0Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)88.981.1170.0+7.882%
Season at home (20)92.983.8176.7+9.185%
Season away (18)84.578.1162.6+6.478%
Last 10 (10)93.082.7175.7+10.390%
Last 5 (5)92.883.2176.0+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)89.084.8173.8+4.275%
vs Weaker (25)87.881.0168.8+6.880%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
87-91
87
91
-4
88avg 77
H23/04
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
95-79
95
79
+16
91avg 77
H25/04
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
83-85
83
85
-2
77avg 77
A30/04
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
95-88
95
88
+7
93avg 77
A02/05
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
81-72
81
72
+9
72avg 77
H07/05
Euroleague
Promitheas
#7
W
90-82
90
82
+8
91avg 77
H10/05
Basket League
Aris
#8
W
80-68
80
68
+12
79avg 77
A13/05
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
84-66
84
66
+18
80avg 77
H16/05
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
99-96 OT
99
96
+3
85avg 77
A18/05
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
73-57
73
57
+16
71avg 77
H24/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
25-16
20-21
17-28
20-28
31-11
20-21
24-19
11-23
26-23
19-21
27-18
26-29
23-21
25-19
21-19
19-21
22-20
17-15
23-16
24-8
26-28
18-24
22-22
16-13
16-12
21-18
27-25
22-18
24-19
20-13
18-16
29-22
15-27
17-18
28-22
22-13
16-23
18-14
17-7
165.1Avg total
86.7Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)82.277.3159.6+4.968%
Season at home (21)83.274.2157.4+9.081%
Season away (19)81.180.8161.9+0.353%
Last 10 (10)86.778.4165.1+8.380%
Last 5 (5)85.273.8159.0+11.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)58.069.0127.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)79.271.5150.7+7.783%
vs Weaker (22)87.175.8162.9+11.491%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +3.2+3.2
Real MadridPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#9
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H23/04
Euroleague
Baskonia
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H25/04
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H28/04
ACB
Baskonia
#9
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A01/05
Euroleague
Granada
#17
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H05/05
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A10/05
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H12/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H15/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A17/05
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H24/05
Euroleague
89.9Avg total
48.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.681.9+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.941.285.1+2.759%-
Last 30 away (13)40.437.577.8+2.962%-
Last 10 (10)48.541.489.9+7.190%-
Last 5 (5)50.040.490.4+9.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)45.841.887.5+4.050%-
vs Weaker (25)41.839.481.2+2.360%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H23/04
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H25/04
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A30/04
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A02/05
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H07/05
Euroleague
Promitheas
#7
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H10/05
Basket League
Aris
#8
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A13/05
Basket League
PAOK
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H16/05
Basket League
PAOK
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A18/05
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/05
Euroleague
83.9Avg total
43.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.337.479.7+4.973%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.836.578.3+5.476%-
Last 30 away (13)42.938.581.5+4.469%-
Last 10 (10)43.840.183.9+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.678.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.030.055.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.735.773.3+2.067%-
vs Weaker (22)44.538.583.0+6.077%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 92.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.821.1
62.4%
53.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.411.8
40.1%
36.6%35.4
🏀 Free throws19.014.8
77.9%
77.4%14.8
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.4
55.9%
53.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.610.1
39.5%
36.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.817.0
68.5%
77.4%17.0
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWLWWWWW
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWWLWL
#1
League position
#2
+15.1
Net rating
+12.3
125.9
Offensive rating
118.9
110.8
Defensive rating
106.6
61.4%
Effective FG%
57.3%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.41
40.1%
3-point %
39.5%
65.0%
Assist %
64.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence125.9 · 118.9Defence110.8 · 106.6Shooting61.4% · 57.3%3-point %40.1% · 39.5%Ball care14.9% · 16.5%Off. rebounds30.7% · 31.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Real Madrid wins
2
Panathinaikos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/24HOlympiacos87-76
17/05/24AGran Canaria73-71
15/05/24HGran Canaria105-70
12/05/24HBaskonia106-100
10/05/24AValencia93-99
05/05/24HGranada94-80
01/05/24ABaskonia102-98
28/04/24HObradoiro CAB79-69
25/04/24HBaskonia101-90
23/04/24HBaskonia90-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/24HFenerbahce73-57
18/05/24APAOK99-96 OT
16/05/24HPAOK84-66
13/05/24AAris80-68
10/05/24HPromitheas90-82
07/05/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv81-72
02/05/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv95-88
30/04/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv83-85
25/04/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv95-79
23/04/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv87-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWLWWW85%
AwayWWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382018
Win %82%85%78%
Points / game88.992.984.5
Allowed / game81.183.878.1
Point differential+7.8+9.1+6.4
Avg total170.0176.7162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%55%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)80% (5)62% (8)
Overtime %8%10%6%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW68%
HomeWLWWW81%
AwayWWWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %68%81%53%
Points / game82.283.281.1
Allowed / game77.374.280.8
Point differential+4.8+9.0+0.3
Avg total159.6157.4161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%52%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %8%10%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3831782%88.981.1+7.8
2 Panathinaikos40271368%82.277.3+4.8
3 Monaco39251464%81.879.5+2.2
4 Olympiacos41261563%78.875.0+3.8
5 Barcelona39241562%81.178.8+2.3
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv40231757%87.886.8+0.9
7 Fenerbahce41231856%84.180.9+3.2
8 Virtus Bologna36181850%79.882.1-2.4
9 Baskonia39192049%84.686.4-1.7
10 Anadolu Efes35171849%85.585.1+0.4
11 Partizan34161847%83.083.4-0.4
12 Olimpia Milano34151944%78.278.1+0.1
13 Zalgiris Kaunas34142041%79.579.5-0.1
14 Valencia34142041%75.979.1-3.1
15 Bayern34132138%78.682.1-3.4
16 Crvena zvezda34112332%81.382.8-1.5
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne3492526%78.684.9-6.3
18 Alba Berlin3452915%76.286.6-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid361871980
Panathinaikos2524153195
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