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Panathinaikos vs PAOK Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 11 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game74.3
Panathinaikos
Greece
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
2.8/10
🧊 Cold
PAOK
Greece
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game70.4
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 25· Telekom Center Athens
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Panathinaikos v PAOK
11 Apr 2027
PAO v PAK
upcoming
28 May 2026
PAO114
PAK102
05 Oct 2025
PAO93
PAK83
05 Jan 2025
PAO100
PAK81
16 May 2024
PAO84
PAK66
10 Dec 2023
PAO97
PAK85
27 Nov 2022
PAO87
PAK63
26 Mar 2022
PAO77
PAK67
08 Nov 2020
PAO96
PAK67
27 Jan 2020
PAO117
PAK79
07 Apr 2019
PAO89
PAK51
26 May 2018
PAO84
PAK67
24 May 2018
PAO92
PAK79
15 Oct 2017
PAO89
PAK74
13 Apr 2017
PAO102
PAK58
05 Oct 2016
PAO88
PAK69
28 May 2015
PAO75
PAK61
26 May 2015
PAO83
PAK58
08 Mar 2015
PAO83
PAK69
15 May 2014
PAO83
PAK77
13 May 2014
PAO89
PAK83
29 Dec 2013
PAO81
PAK61
20 Jan 2013
PAO71
PAK61
03 Mar 2012
PAO85
PAK65
23 May 2011
PAO105
PAK65
19 May 2011
PAO95
PAK52
23 Oct 2010
PAO108
PAK61
06 Dec 2009
PAO83
PAK78
25 Apr 2009
PAO97
PAK54
20 Dec 2008
PAO107
PAK97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
95-75
95
75
+20
97avg 83
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 83
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
W
78-64
78
64
+14
71avg 83
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 83
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
68-83
68
83
-15
59avg 83
A30/10
Euroleague
Aris
#2
L
91-101
91
101
-10
84avg 83
A01/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#5
W
115-112 OT
115
112
+3
no box
A04/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#11
W
83-74
83
74
+9
no box
A08/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#4
L
74-76
74
76
-2
no box
H13/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
no box
H15/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
26-16
23-17
20-29
20-21
23-19
20-14
22-25
19-15
12-24
19-17
28-8
18-19
22-18
20-24
20-14
18-21
19-24
14-16
17-22
15-18
29-28
24-33
23-22
24-18
27-30
23-25
27-28
14-19
23-21
21-15
25-19
17-17
16-15
24-11
17-33
26-15
19-20
21-13
12-25
165.9Avg total
84.7Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.474.3161.7+13.186%
Season at home (4)88.571.5160.0+17.0100%
Season away (3)86.078.0164.0+8.067%
Last 10 (10)84.781.2165.9+3.570%
Last 5 (5)88.287.2175.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.883.4166.2-0.640%
vs Similar ◀ (6)89.291.3180.5-2.233%
vs Weaker (19)87.875.9163.8+11.984%
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#21
L
86-95
86
95
-9
76avg 78
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
88-84
88
84
+4
88avg 78
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#15
W
87-78
87
78
+9
78avg 78
H21/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#11
W
65-62
65
62
+3
53avg 78
H24/10
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
77avg 78
A27/10
Eurocup
Iraklis
#7
W
63-53
63
53
+10
58avg 78
A31/10
Basket League
BC Roma
#18
W
113-111
113
111
+2
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Vikos
#13
W
93-67
93
67
+26
no box
H07/11
Basket League
Balkan
#32
W
79-56
79
56
+23
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
no box
A14/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
18-27
24-24
22-21
19-21
28-26
15-19
26-18
19-20
27-22
13-13
28-23
20-15
5-14
22-15
18-18
23-26
17-26
18-11
23-21
19-17
15-14
13-11
16-11
29-22
32-38
31-26
21-25
30-15
24-18
20-11
19-23
19-12
34-20
19-9
7-15
14-15
21-13
16-17
23-24
158.8Avg total
82.9Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.670.4150.0+9.1100%
Season at home (3)81.367.3148.7+14.0100%
Season away (4)78.272.8151.0+5.5100%
Last 10 (10)82.975.9158.8+7.080%
Last 5 (5)84.471.2155.6+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)84.989.1174.0-4.329%
vs Similar ◀ (6)83.278.2161.3+5.067%
vs Weaker (17)86.377.0163.3+9.394%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
PanathinaikosPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/10
Euroleague
Aris
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A01/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A04/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A08/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#4
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H13/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H15/11
Basket League
80.4Avg total
41.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.680.1+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.237.180.3+6.167%-
Last 30 away (12)39.040.879.8-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.180.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.282.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.840.075.8-4.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.044.384.3-4.333%-
vs Weaker (19)43.536.479.9+7.168%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#21
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#15
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H21/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#11
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H24/10
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A27/10
Eurocup
Iraklis
#7
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A31/10
Basket League
BC Roma
#18
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H03/11
Eurocup
Vikos
#13
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H07/11
Basket League
Balkan
#32
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A10/11
Eurocup
AS Karditsas
#5
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A14/11
Basket League
83.9Avg total
43.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.383.3+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.340.787.0+5.573%-
Last 30 away (15)39.739.979.6-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)43.540.483.9+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.436.884.2+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.144.186.3-2.043%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.539.880.3+0.767%-
vs Weaker (17)44.238.983.1+5.265%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.6
56.6%
50.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.8
34.4%
34.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.617.0
72.0%
71.8%17.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.818.5
58.2%
50.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.5
31.7%
34.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.918.5
74.3%
71.8%18.5
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WLWWLLWWWW
PAOK
WWWWWLWWWL
#3
League position
#1
+8.3
Net rating
+5.7
97.5
Offensive rating
100.7
89.3
Defensive rating
94.9
54.5%
Effective FG%
53.3%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.42
34.4%
3-point %
31.7%
65.1%
Assist %
55.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 100.7Defence89.3 · 94.9Shooting54.5% · 53.3%3-point %34.4% · 31.7%Ball care16.5% · 15.8%Free throws0.39 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Panathinaikos wins
0
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
30/05/26PAOK v Panathinaikos94-102
28/05/26Panathinaikos v PAOK114-102 OT
18/01/26PAOK v Panathinaikos69-74
05/10/25Panathinaikos v PAOK93-83
05/01/25Panathinaikos v PAOK100-81
12/10/24PAOK v Panathinaikos93-96
18/05/24PAOK v Panathinaikos96-99 OT
16/05/24Panathinaikos v PAOK84-66
17/03/24PAOK v Panathinaikos73-89
10/12/23Panathinaikos v PAOK97-85
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HKolossos Rhodes78-73
13/11/26HBarcelona74-76
08/11/26AAEK Athens83-74
04/11/26AReal Madrid115-112 OT
01/11/26AAris91-101
30/10/26AAnadolu Efes68-83
27/10/26HOlimpia Milano80-75
24/10/26HAS Karditsas78-64
22/10/26HBaskonia85-79
18/10/26HPeristeri95-75
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAS Karditsas74-69
10/11/26ABalkan79-56
07/11/26HVikos93-67
03/11/26HBC Roma113-111
31/10/26AIraklis63-53
27/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.81-84
24/10/26HAEK Athens65-62
21/10/26HUlm87-78
17/10/26AKolossos Rhodes88-84
13/10/26ALietkabelis86-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game87.488.586.0
Allowed / game74.371.578.0
Point differential+13.1+17.0+8.0
Avg total161.7160.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game79.681.378.2
Allowed / game70.467.372.8
Point differential+9.1+14.0+5.5
Avg total150.0148.7151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 PAOK770100%79.670.4+9.1
2 Aris76186%86.772.4+14.3
3 Panathinaikos76186%87.474.3+13.1
4 Olympiacos76186%84.772.4+12.3
5 AS Karditsas74357%73.771.9+1.9
6 Peristeri74357%81.084.6-3.6
7 Iraklis73443%80.176.4+3.7
8 Kolossos Rhodes73443%79.681.3-1.7
9 Lefkadas73443%78.380.4-2.1
10 Maroussi72529%79.983.1-3.3
11 AEK Athens72529%75.179.6-4.4
12 Mykonos71614%72.684.4-11.9
13 Vikos71614%77.389.7-12.4
14 Promitheas71614%73.388.3-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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