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Panathinaikos vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 82-89
21-16 19-20 21-32 21-21
Position#5
Record20-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#3
Record19-12
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game80.3
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Final
European cup2017
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Real Madrid
03 Feb 2026
PAO82
MAD81
06 Mar 2025
PAO85
MAD70
07 Dec 2023
PAO78
MAD90
06 Oct 2022
PAO68
MAD71
31 Mar 2022
PAO87
MAD86
15 Dec 2020
PAO93
MAD97
23 Apr 2019
PAO82
MAD89
28 Mar 2019
PAO73
MAD74
19 Apr 2018
PAO82
MAD89
17 Apr 2018
PAO95
MAD67
24 Nov 2017
PAO82
MAD80
16 Mar 2017
PAO88
MAD82
20 Mar 2015
PAO85
MAD69
25 Jan 2013
PAO54
MAD58
15 Nov 2012
PAO79
MAD68
17 Dec 2009
PAO67
MAD76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#9
W
90-79
90
79
+11
121avg 104
A16/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
91-71
91
71
+20
125avg 104
H20/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
76-75
76
75
+1
103avg 104
A22/03
Euroleague
Trikala
#14
W
96-66
96
66
+30
no box
A25/03
Basket League
Valencia
#11
W
75-56
75
56
+19
107avg 104
H30/03
Euroleague
Aris
#10
W
84-63
84
63
+21
no box
H02/04
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
no box
A05/04
Euroleague
Rethymno
#9
W
103-69
103
69
+34
no box
A11/04
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
87-63
87
63
+24
no box
H13/04
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
W
95-67
95
67
+28
130avg 104
H17/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
14-20
26-16
32-19
24-15
23-23
30-18
14-15
18-20
17-21
21-17
20-17
20-15
21-18
25-16
30-17
23-13
17-18
17-16
18-9
27-18
14-12
28-12
15-21
18-27
24-28
19-14
26-18
23-21
35-18
23-9
22-21
24-24
25-12
21-12
17-15
26-13
20-17
31-14
18-23
159.7Avg total
89.3Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.577.2156.6+2.365%
Season at home (16)84.674.6159.2+9.988%
Season away (15)74.079.9153.9-5.940%
Last 10 (10)89.370.4159.7+18.9100%
Last 5 (5)93.071.4164.4+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)80.078.0158.0+2.033%
vs Similar (6)77.779.3157.0-1.750%
vs Weaker (21)90.273.5163.7+16.795%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Valencia
#11
L
88-96
88
96
-8
120avg 117
A20/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
119avg 117
H22/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
83-71
83
71
+12
114avg 117
H25/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
82-79
82
79
+3
113avg 117
A30/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#7
W
89-88
89
88
+1
116avg 117
A01/04
ACB
Bamberg
#13
W
106-86
106
86
+20
138avg 117
H06/04
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
78-65
78
65
+13
115avg 117
H08/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
87-70
87
70
+17
119avg 117
H10/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
90-75
90
75
+15
117avg 117
A14/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
L
67-95
67
95
-28
91avg 117
A17/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
19-24
20-24
28-26
19-16
22-28
24-18
23-19
17-18
21-27
27-12
18-14
27-20
16-19
21-18
18-22
21-17
26-31
22-17
20-23
27-28
26-22
29-19
24-17
19-18
21-14
22-10
16-23
22-18
24-14
24-19
17-19
23-22
17-13
30-13
20-27
13-26
17-20
14-31
23-18
166.4Avg total
85.8Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)85.680.3165.9+5.361%
Season at home (15)87.777.7165.4+9.973%
Season away (16)83.782.8166.4+0.950%
Last 10 (10)85.880.6166.4+5.280%
Last 5 (5)85.678.2163.8+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)84.785.3170.0-0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)87.778.0165.7+9.778%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +9.7+9.7Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +9.7+9.7Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
PanathinaikosReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#9
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A16/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H20/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A22/03
Euroleague
Trikala
#14
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A25/03
Basket League
Valencia
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H30/03
Euroleague
Aris
#10
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H02/04
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#15
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A05/04
Euroleague
Rethymno
#9
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A11/04
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H13/04
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H17/04
Euroleague
80.8Avg total
43.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.737.078.8+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.434.678.1+8.882%-
Last 30 away (13)39.540.279.7-0.646%-
Last 10 (10)43.137.780.8+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)47.238.085.2+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.333.070.3+4.333%-
vs Similar (6)37.339.276.5-1.850%-
vs Weaker (21)43.637.080.6+6.676%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#11
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A20/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H22/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H25/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A30/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A01/04
ACB
Bamberg
#13
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H06/04
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H08/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H10/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A14/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A17/04
Euroleague
83.5Avg total
41.8Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.139.581.6+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.638.180.7+4.669%-
Last 30 away (14)41.441.282.6+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)41.841.783.5+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.080.8+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)37.541.378.8-3.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.138.881.9+4.365%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.8
54.5%
51.7%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.7
30.2%
37.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.311.0
63.6%
76.3%11.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.422.5
55.7%
51.7%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.7
34.8%
37.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws21.616.7
77.3%
76.3%16.7
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWWWWW
Real Madrid
LWWWWWWWWL
#5
League position
#3
+3.1
Net rating
+7.0
106.4
Offensive rating
113.9
103.2
Defensive rating
106.9
50.9%
Effective FG%
54.5%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
15.0%
Turnover %
16.9%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.2%
3-point %
34.8%
59.0%
Assist %
64.9%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 113.9Defence103.2 · 106.9Shooting50.9% · 54.5%3-point %30.2% · 34.8%Ball care15.0% · 16.9%Off. rebounds30.5% · 31.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)100% · 80%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Panathinaikos wins
4
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/18HReal Madrid95-67
13/04/18HKolossos Rhodes87-63
11/04/18ARethymno103-69
05/04/18AOlimpia Milano96-95 OT
02/04/18HAris84-63
30/03/18HValencia75-56
25/03/18ATrikala96-66
22/03/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv76-75
20/03/18HCrvena zvezda91-71
16/03/18AUnicaja90-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/18APanathinaikos67-95
14/04/18AFuenlabrada90-75
10/04/18HJoventut Badalona87-70
08/04/18HObradoiro CAB78-65
06/04/18HBamberg106-86
01/04/18AUnicaja89-88
30/03/18ACrvena zvezda82-79
25/03/18HValencia83-71
22/03/18HZalgiris Kaunas88-81
20/03/18AValencia88-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLLWWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %65%88%40%
Points / game79.584.674.0
Allowed / game77.274.679.9
Point differential+2.3+9.9-5.9
Avg total156.6159.2153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)67% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %10%12%7%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL61%
HomeLLWWW73%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %61%73%50%
Points / game85.687.783.7
Allowed / game80.377.782.8
Point differential+5.3+9.9+0.9
Avg total165.9165.4166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%60%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow3226681%89.880.2+9.5
2 Fenerbahce3122971%80.775.1+5.6
3 Panathinaikos31201165%79.577.2+2.3
4 Real Madrid31191261%85.680.3+5.3
5 Zalgiris Kaunas31191261%81.780.5+1.3
6 Olympiacos31191261%77.877.1+0.8
7 Baskonia31161552%82.679.2+3.4
8 Khimki M.32161650%78.779.3-0.7
9 Unicaja30131743%79.682.2-2.7
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv30131743%81.384.3-3.0
11 Valencia30121840%78.781.6-3.0
12 Barcelona30111937%81.980.1+1.7
13 Bamberg30111937%77.081.5-4.6
14 Crvena zvezda30111937%77.883.8-6.1
15 Olimpia Milano30102033%81.785.8-4.2
16 Anadolu Efes3072323%77.484.3-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2119212182
Real Madrid1620322189
← all games of the day
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