PAOK vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 May 2018

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 78-74

17-20 20-21 21-21 20-12

Position#3

Record17-9

FormWWLWW

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game76.0

PAOK 🏆

AEK Athens

Position#5

Record15-11

FormLWWLW

Points / game80.1

Allowed / game78.1

Basket LeagueBasket League - Quarter-finals

Domestic2017-18

Meetings · PAOK v AEK Athens

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

AEK Athens winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOK

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Karsiyaka

#12

67-79

-12

A14/03

Champions League

Rethymno

80-72

H17/03

Basket League

Aris

#10

66-65

A21/03

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

79-76

A24/03

Basket League

Koroivos

#13

92-63

+29

H31/03

Basket League

AEK Athens

81-72

A11/04

Basket League

Lavrio

92-87

H15/04

Basket League

Olympiacos

77-96

-19

A05/05

Basket League

Panionios

#12

81-67

+14

A09/05

Basket League

Ifaistos Limnou

#11

91-51

+40

H13/05

Basket League

13-20

20-23

15-12

19-24

24-18

20-18

16-18

21-13

16-23

13-16

16-13

17-20

22-16

17-21

23-19

26-15

22-12

26-17

18-19

25-21

13-12

24-20

19-19

27-16

17-27

18-15

30-29

20-25

17-28

18-20

22-23

10-18

29-16

19-11

23-22

27-12

31-18

22-11

11-10

153.4Avg total

80.6Scored

72.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	79.3	76.0	155.3	+3.4	65%
Season at home (13)	80.2	69.5	149.7	+10.8	85%
Season away (13)	78.5	82.5	160.9	-4.0	46%
Last 10 (10)	80.6	72.8	153.4	+7.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	74.6	159.0	+9.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	74.2	86.8	161.0	-12.6	20%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	81.6	74.7	156.3	+6.9	80%
vs Weaker (15)	79.9	70.7	150.6	+9.1	80%

This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK Athens Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Strasbourg

#16

78-69

H28/03

Champions League

Olympiacos

86-100

100

-14

A01/04

Basket League

Strasbourg

#16

83-83

A04/04

Champions League

PAOK

72-81

-9

H11/04

Basket League

Ifaistos Limnou

#11

86-75

+11

A14/04

Basket League

Promitheas

75-76

-1

H28/04

Basket League

Murcia

#18

77-75

H04/05

Champions League

Monaco

100-94

100

A06/05

Champions League

Panathinaikos

85-115

115

-30

A11/05

Basket League

G.S. Kymis

82-76

H13/05

Basket League

23-15

18-18

14-24

23-12

21-19

25-33

15-22

25-26

20-16

17-19

19-24

27-24

21-25

12-13

20-24

19-19

31-25

23-22

12-10

20-18

20-20

15-17

21-23

19-16

18-17

22-17

15-20

22-21

29-20

24-24

20-26

27-24

19-30

19-21

21-32

26-32

21-21

19-19

24-15

18-21

166.8Avg total

82.4Scored

84.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	80.1	78.1	158.2	+2.0	58%
Season at home (13)	83.1	75.1	158.2	+8.0	77%
Season away (13)	77.1	81.2	158.2	-4.1	38%
Last 10 (10)	82.4	84.4	166.8	-2.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	87.2	171.0	-3.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	86.2	100.8	187.0	-14.5	25%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	81.4	79.1	160.5	+2.2	56%
vs Weaker (10)	83.2	73.8	157.0	+9.4	90%

This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PAOKAEK Athens

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.6	39.5	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	17.8	40.1	+4.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	18.4	40.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.4	20.4	42.8	+2.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.6	18.5	40.1	+3.1	80%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.8	18.1	37.9	+1.7	53%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	19.6	40.5	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	20.8	43.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.0	25.2	48.2	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.9	19.4	39.4	+0.5	56%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.9	19.8	40.7	+1.1	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	18.7	40.7	+3.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	21.1	40.5	-1.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.8	23.8	42.6	-5.0	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.5	20.6	41.1	-0.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.7	17.6	37.4	+2.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.0	23.8	44.8	-2.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.8	16.5	36.3	+3.3	70%	-

PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Karsiyaka

#12

33-43

-10

A14/03

Champions League

Rethymno

44-36

H17/03

Basket League

Aris

#10

37-36

A21/03

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

39-36

A24/03

Basket League

Koroivos

#13

48-27

+21

H31/03

Basket League

AEK Athens

38-33

A11/04

Basket League

Lavrio

44-43

H15/04

Basket League

Olympiacos

37-53

-16

A05/05

Basket League

Panionios

#12

39-34

A09/05

Basket League

Ifaistos Limnou

#11

58-30

+28

H13/05

Basket League

78.8Avg total

41.7Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	38.5	80.1	+3.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.4	36.4	80.8	+7.9	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.4	40.8	79.2	-2.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	37.1	78.8	+4.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	38.6	81.8	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	41.2	44.2	85.4	-3.0	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	42.1	39.1	81.2	+3.0	70%	-
vs Weaker (15)	41.4	36.1	77.5	+5.3	80%	-

This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Strasbourg

#16

41-33

H28/03

Champions League

Olympiacos

46-52

-6

A01/04

Basket League

Strasbourg

#16

37-35

A04/04

Champions League

PAOK

33-38

-5

H11/04

Basket League

Ifaistos Limnou

#11

54-47

A14/04

Basket League

Promitheas

35-37

-2

H28/04

Basket League

Murcia

#18

40-34

H04/05

Champions League

Monaco

53-44

A06/05

Champions League

Panathinaikos

38-51

-13

A11/05

Basket League

G.S. Kymis

40-40

H13/05

Basket League

82.8Avg total

41.7Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	39.2	79.6	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.6	37.3	77.9	+3.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.3	40.8	81.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	41.1	82.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	41.2	82.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	44.0	49.0	93.0	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	39.4	38.5	77.9	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (10)	40.7	36.3	77.0	+4.4	60%	-

This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	16.9	35.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.1	15.2	33.3	+2.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	18.9	38.1	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.1	35.3	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	15.4	35.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.2	18.8	35.0	-2.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.6	16.7	35.3	+1.9	70%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.5	16.4	35.9	+3.1	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.1	41.1	-1.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	21.8	42.7	-0.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	20.4	39.7	-1.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	22.0	40.1	-3.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.2	43.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	25.8	43.5	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.4	20.9	41.3	-0.6	31%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.8	36.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.3	18.6	36.9	-0.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	19.0	36.9	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.6	39.3	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.8	23.8	40.6	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.9	18.9	39.8	+2.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (15)	16.7	17.0	33.7	-0.3	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.0	42.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	20.2	42.3	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.2	19.8	42.1	+2.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	21.3	43.9	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.8	45.2	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	24.5	26.0	50.5	-1.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.6	19.7	41.3	+1.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.1	18.1	40.2	+4.0	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	35.7	72.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.4	33.8	70.2	+2.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	37.9	75.0	-0.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	35.7	74.6	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	36.0	77.2	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	33.0	42.6	75.6	-9.6	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	39.5	35.6	75.1	+3.9	70%	-
vs Weaker (15)	36.2	33.4	69.6	+2.8	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	41.1	83.3	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.0	42.0	85.0	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.5	40.2	81.8	+1.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	43.3	84.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	46.0	88.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	42.2	51.8	94.0	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	42.0	40.6	82.6	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (10)	42.5	37.5	80.0	+5.0	90%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

PAOK wins

AEK Athens wins

Date	Game	Score
11/04/18	AEK Athens v PAOK	72-81
16/12/17	PAOK v AEK Athens	86-65
25/02/17	AEK Athens v PAOK	77-71
12/11/16	PAOK v AEK Athens	71-78
06/05/15	AEK Athens v PAOK	85-93
11/01/15	PAOK v AEK Athens	73-71
13/02/11	AEK Athens v PAOK	73-80
13/11/10	PAOK v AEK Athens	92-70
17/04/10	AEK Athens v PAOK	73-90
09/01/10	PAOK v AEK Athens	77-69

PAOKlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/05/18	H	Ifaistos Limnou	91-51
09/05/18	A	Panionios	81-67
05/05/18	A	Olympiacos	77-96
15/04/18	H	Lavrio	92-87
11/04/18	A	AEK Athens	81-72
31/03/18	H	Koroivos	92-63
24/03/18	A	Kolossos Rhodes	79-76
21/03/18	A	Aris	66-65
17/03/18	H	Rethymno	80-72
14/03/18	A	Karsiyaka	67-79

AEK Athenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/05/18	H	G.S. Kymis	82-76
11/05/18	A	Panathinaikos	85-115
06/05/18	A	Monaco	100-94
04/05/18	H	Murcia	77-75
28/04/18	H	Promitheas	75-76
14/04/18	A	Ifaistos Limnou	86-75
11/04/18	H	PAOK	72-81
04/04/18	A	Strasbourg	83-83
01/04/18	A	Olympiacos	86-100
28/03/18	H	Strasbourg	78-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK

Basket League 2017-18

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	65%
Home	WWWWW	85%
Away	WWWLW	46%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	65%	85%	46%
Points / game	79.3	80.2	78.5
Allowed / game	76.0	69.5	82.5
Point differential	+3.4	+10.8	-4.0
Avg total	155.3	149.7	160.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	46%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	83% (6)	100% (2)	75% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

AEK Athens

Basket League 2017-18

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	58%
Home	WWLLW	77%
Away	WLLWL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	58%	77%	38%
Points / game	80.1	83.1	77.1
Allowed / game	78.1	75.1	81.2
Point differential	+2.0	+8.0	-4.1
Avg total	158.2	158.2	158.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	46%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	50% (2)	43% (7)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Panathinaikos	27	27	0	100%	92.6	68.2	+24.4
2	Olympiacos	26	22	4	85%	86.3	68.5	+17.8
3	PAOK	26	17	9	65%	79.3	76.0	+3.4
4	Promitheas	26	17	9	65%	80.0	77.4	+2.6
5	AEK Athens	26	15	11	58%	80.1	78.1	+2.0
6	Lavrio	26	14	12	54%	82.7	81.2	+1.5
7	G.S. Kymis	26	14	12	54%	77.9	78.2	-0.2
8	Kolossos Rhodes	27	11	16	41%	74.0	76.8	-2.7
9	Rethymno	26	10	16	38%	78.7	82.2	-3.4
10	Aris	26	10	16	38%	67.5	71.9	-4.4
11	Ifaistos Limnou	26	8	18	31%	74.1	84.2	-10.1
12	Panionios	26	7	19	27%	72.2	79.9	-7.8
13	Koroivos	26	7	19	27%	70.2	80.1	-9.9
14	Trikala	26	4	22	15%	69.3	83.2	-13.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
PAOK	17	20	21	20	78
AEK Athens	20	21	21	12	74

← all games of the day

PAOK vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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