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Panathinaikos vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 95-67
26-13 20-17 31-14 18-23
Position#5
Record19-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#3
Record19-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game79.8
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Final
European cup2017
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Real Madrid
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Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
G.S. Kymis
#7
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H13/03
Basket League
Unicaja
#9
W
90-79
90
79
+11
A16/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H20/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A22/03
Euroleague
Trikala
#14
W
96-66
96
66
+30
A25/03
Basket League
Valencia
#11
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H30/03
Euroleague
Aris
#10
W
84-63
84
63
+21
H02/04
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
A05/04
Euroleague
Rethymno
#9
W
103-69
103
69
+34
A11/04
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
87-63
87
63
+24
H13/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-10
18-20
20-20
27-14
18-24
14-20
26-16
32-19
24-15
23-23
30-18
14-15
18-20
17-21
21-17
20-17
20-15
21-18
25-16
30-17
23-13
17-18
17-16
18-9
27-18
14-12
28-12
15-21
18-27
24-28
19-14
26-18
23-21
35-18
23-9
22-21
24-24
25-12
21-12
17-15
158.6Avg total
88.5Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.977.5156.4+1.463%
Season at home (15)83.975.1159.0+8.787%
Season away (15)74.079.9153.9-5.940%
Last 10 (10)88.570.1158.6+18.4100%
Last 5 (5)89.069.2158.2+19.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)72.583.5156.0-11.00%
vs Similar (6)77.779.3157.0-1.750%
vs Weaker (22)89.073.2162.2+15.791%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
96-81
96
81
+15
A17/03
ACB
Valencia
#11
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A20/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H22/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H25/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A30/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#7
W
89-88
89
88
+1
A01/04
ACB
Bamberg
#13
W
106-86
106
86
+20
H06/04
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H08/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H10/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
90-75
90
75
+15
A14/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
31-15
19-27
24-27
21-22
19-24
20-24
28-26
19-16
22-28
24-18
23-19
17-18
21-27
27-12
18-14
27-20
16-19
21-18
18-22
21-17
26-31
22-17
20-23
27-28
26-22
29-19
24-17
19-18
21-14
22-10
16-23
22-18
24-14
24-19
17-19
23-22
17-13
30-13
20-27
167.9Avg total
88.7Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)86.279.8166.1+6.463%
Season at home (15)87.777.7165.4+9.973%
Season away (15)84.881.9166.7+2.953%
Last 10 (10)88.779.2167.9+9.590%
Last 5 (5)90.076.8166.8+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)84.785.3170.0-0.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)88.977.2166.1+11.783%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +8.0+8.0Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
PanathinaikosReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
G.S. Kymis
#7
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H13/03
Basket League
Unicaja
#9
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A16/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H20/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A22/03
Euroleague
Trikala
#14
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A25/03
Basket League
Valencia
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H30/03
Euroleague
Aris
#10
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H02/04
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#15
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A05/04
Euroleague
Rethymno
#9
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A11/04
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H13/04
Basket League
80.2Avg total
42.5Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.337.178.4+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.234.978.2+8.381%-
Last 30 away (14)39.039.678.6-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)42.537.780.2+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.038.284.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)33.034.567.5-1.50%-
vs Similar (6)37.339.276.5-1.850%-
vs Weaker (22)43.136.879.9+6.373%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
53-27
53
27
+26
A17/03
ACB
Valencia
#11
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A20/03
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H22/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H25/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A30/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A01/04
ACB
Bamberg
#13
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H06/04
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H08/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H10/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A14/04
ACB
83.9Avg total
44.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.839.081.8+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.638.180.7+4.669%-
Last 30 away (14)42.940.183.1+2.857%-
Last 10 (10)44.139.883.9+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.239.484.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)37.541.378.8-3.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.038.282.2+5.870%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.5
53.4%
51.7%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.4
28.4%
37.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.311.2
64.7%
76.3%11.2
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.7
56.5%
51.7%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.8
38.1%
37.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.415.9
77.9%
76.3%15.9
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWWWWW
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWLW
#5
League position
#3
-1.7
Net rating
+12.8
103.7
Offensive rating
117.7
105.4
Defensive rating
105.0
49.0%
Effective FG%
56.7%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.8%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
28.4%
3-point %
38.1%
58.8%
Assist %
64.1%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 117.7Defence105.4 · 105.0Shooting49.0% · 56.7%3-point %28.4% · 38.1%Ball care14.7% · 16.8%Off. rebounds29.5% · 32.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)100% · 90%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Panathinaikos wins
5
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/18HKolossos Rhodes87-63
11/04/18ARethymno103-69
05/04/18AOlimpia Milano96-95 OT
02/04/18HAris84-63
30/03/18HValencia75-56
25/03/18ATrikala96-66
22/03/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv76-75
20/03/18HCrvena zvezda91-71
16/03/18AUnicaja90-79
13/03/18HG.S. Kymis87-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/18AFuenlabrada90-75
10/04/18HJoventut Badalona87-70
08/04/18HObradoiro CAB78-65
06/04/18HBamberg106-86
01/04/18AUnicaja89-88
30/03/18ACrvena zvezda82-79
25/03/18HValencia83-71
22/03/18HZalgiris Kaunas88-81
20/03/18AValencia88-96
17/03/18ATecnyconta Zaragoza96-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW63%
HomeWWLWW87%
AwayLLWWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %63%87%40%
Points / game78.983.974.0
Allowed / game77.575.179.9
Point differential+1.4+8.7-5.9
Avg total156.4159.0153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%47%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)67% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %10%13%7%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW63%
HomeLLWWW73%
AwayLWWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %63%73%53%
Points / game86.287.784.8
Allowed / game79.877.781.9
Point differential+6.4+9.9+2.9
Avg total166.1165.4166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow3125681%89.880.1+9.6
2 Fenerbahce3021970%80.775.2+5.5
3 Real Madrid30191163%86.279.8+6.4
4 Panathinaikos30191163%78.977.5+1.4
5 Olympiacos30191163%77.876.7+1.1
6 Zalgiris Kaunas30181260%81.580.5+1.0
7 Baskonia30161453%82.979.1+3.8
8 Khimki M.31161552%78.579.0-0.5
9 Unicaja30131743%79.682.2-2.7
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv30131743%81.384.3-3.0
11 Valencia30121840%78.781.6-3.0
12 Barcelona30111937%81.980.1+1.7
13 Bamberg30111937%77.081.5-4.6
14 Crvena zvezda30111937%77.883.8-6.1
15 Olimpia Milano30102033%81.785.8-4.2
16 Anadolu Efes3072323%77.484.3-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos2620311895
Real Madrid1317142367
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