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Real Madrid vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-82
19-14 32-21 27-25 11-22
Position#3
Record21-12
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#5
Record20-13
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game77.6
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Final
European cup2017
Meetings · Real Madrid v Panathinaikos
04 Nov 2026
MAD112
PAO115
13 Nov 2025
MAD77
PAO87
17 Oct 2024
MAD90
PAO86
26 May 2024
MAD80
PAO95
29 Feb 2024
MAD86
PAO97
01 Feb 2023
MAD83
PAO68
15 Oct 2021
MAD88
PAO65
27 Jan 2021
MAD76
PAO66
19 Apr 2019
MAD78
PAO63
17 Apr 2019
MAD75
PAO72
19 Dec 2018
MAD89
PAO68
27 Apr 2018
MAD89
PAO82
25 Apr 2018
MAD81
PAO74
08 Mar 2018
MAD92
PAO75
16 Nov 2016
MAD87
PAO84
22 Jan 2015
MAD83
PAO65
21 Mar 2013
MAD73
PAO74
12 Oct 2012
MAD85
PAO78
05 Nov 2009
MAD80
PAO70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
W
83-71
83
71
+12
114avg 117
H25/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
82-79
82
79
+3
113avg 117
A30/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#7
W
89-88
89
88
+1
116avg 117
A01/04
ACB
Bamberg
#13
W
106-86
106
86
+20
138avg 117
H06/04
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
78-65
78
65
+13
115avg 117
H08/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
87-70
87
70
+17
119avg 117
H10/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
90-75
90
75
+15
117avg 117
A14/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
L
67-95
67
95
-28
91avg 117
A17/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
89-82
89
82
+7
122avg 117
A19/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
81-74
81
74
+7
111avg 117
H25/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
21-27
27-12
18-14
27-20
16-19
21-18
18-22
21-17
26-31
22-17
20-23
27-28
26-22
29-19
24-17
19-18
21-14
22-10
16-23
22-18
24-14
24-19
17-19
23-22
17-13
30-13
20-27
13-26
17-20
14-31
23-18
16-21
20-19
32-21
21-21
17-17
23-17
17-19
24-21
163.7Avg total
85.2Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)85.680.2165.8+5.464%
Season at home (16)87.277.5164.8+9.875%
Season away (17)84.082.7166.7+1.353%
Last 10 (10)85.278.5163.7+6.790%
Last 5 (5)82.879.2162.0+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)86.687.8174.4-1.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.078.2165.2+8.879%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
76-75
76
75
+1
103avg 105
A22/03
Euroleague
Trikala
#14
W
96-66
96
66
+30
no box
A25/03
Basket League
Valencia
#11
W
75-56
75
56
+19
107avg 105
H30/03
Euroleague
Aris
#10
W
84-63
84
63
+21
no box
H02/04
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
96-95 OT
96
95
+1
no box
A05/04
Euroleague
Rethymno
#9
W
103-69
103
69
+34
no box
A11/04
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
87-63
87
63
+24
no box
H13/04
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
W
95-67
95
67
+28
130avg 105
H17/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
82-89
82
89
-7
102avg 105
H19/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
74-81
74
81
-7
100avg 105
A25/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
17-21
21-17
20-17
20-15
21-18
25-16
30-17
23-13
17-18
17-16
18-9
27-18
14-12
28-12
15-21
18-27
24-28
19-14
26-18
23-21
35-18
23-9
22-21
24-24
25-12
21-12
17-15
26-13
20-17
31-14
18-23
21-16
19-20
21-32
21-21
17-17
17-23
19-17
21-24
159.2Avg total
86.8Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)79.477.6157.0+1.761%
Season at home (17)84.475.5159.9+8.982%
Season away (16)74.079.9153.9-5.938%
Last 10 (10)86.872.4159.2+14.480%
Last 5 (5)88.273.8162.0+14.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)79.280.8160.0-1.620%
vs Similar (6)77.779.3157.0-1.750%
vs Weaker (19)91.273.4164.5+17.895%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.2+2.2
Real MadridPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H25/03
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A30/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A01/04
ACB
Bamberg
#13
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H06/04
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H08/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H10/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A14/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A17/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A19/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H25/04
Euroleague
81.4Avg total
41.3Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.781.6+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.938.281.1+4.773%-
Last 30 away (15)41.141.182.2-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.181.4+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.475.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)38.242.881.0-4.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.638.881.4+3.862%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A22/03
Euroleague
Trikala
#14
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A25/03
Basket League
Valencia
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H30/03
Euroleague
Aris
#10
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H02/04
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#15
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A05/04
Euroleague
Rethymno
#9
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A11/04
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H13/04
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H17/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H19/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A25/04
Euroleague
79.7Avg total
42.6Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.537.579.0+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.034.877.8+8.282%-
Last 30 away (13)39.641.080.6-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)42.637.179.7+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)45.436.281.6+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.235.072.2+2.240%-
vs Similar (6)37.339.276.5-1.850%-
vs Weaker (19)44.037.681.6+6.474%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.5
52.4%
51.7%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.7
36.3%
37.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws23.518.1
77.0%
76.3%18.1
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.3
54.5%
51.7%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.2
32.0%
37.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.511.7
63.2%
76.3%11.7
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWLWWWWWWW
Panathinaikos
LLWWWWWWWW
#3
League position
#5
+9.0
Net rating
+4.8
113.6
Offensive rating
107.2
104.5
Defensive rating
102.5
53.1%
Effective FG%
51.9%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.6%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.3%
3-point %
32.0%
63.4%
Assist %
59.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 107.2Defence104.5 · 102.5Shooting53.1% · 51.9%3-point %36.3% · 32.0%Ball care16.5% · 15.6%Off. rebounds32.6% · 29.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Real Madrid wins
5
Panathinaikos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/18HPanathinaikos81-74
19/04/18APanathinaikos89-82
17/04/18APanathinaikos67-95
14/04/18AFuenlabrada90-75
10/04/18HJoventut Badalona87-70
08/04/18HObradoiro CAB78-65
06/04/18HBamberg106-86
01/04/18AUnicaja89-88
30/03/18ACrvena zvezda82-79
25/03/18HValencia83-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/18AReal Madrid74-81
19/04/18HReal Madrid82-89
17/04/18HReal Madrid95-67
13/04/18HKolossos Rhodes87-63
11/04/18ARethymno103-69
05/04/18AOlimpia Milano96-95 OT
02/04/18HAris84-63
30/03/18HValencia75-56
25/03/18ATrikala96-66
22/03/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv76-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWLWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %64%75%53%
Points / game85.687.284.0
Allowed / game80.277.582.7
Point differential+5.4+9.8+1.3
Avg total165.8164.8166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%56%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL61%
HomeLWWWL82%
AwayLWWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %61%82%38%
Points / game79.484.474.0
Allowed / game77.675.579.9
Point differential+1.7+8.9-5.9
Avg total157.0159.9153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%47%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)67% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %9%12%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow3427779%89.280.4+8.8
2 Fenerbahce34241071%81.676.1+5.4
3 Real Madrid33211264%85.680.2+5.4
4 Zalgiris Kaunas34211362%81.880.1+1.7
5 Panathinaikos33201361%79.477.6+1.7
6 Olympiacos34201459%77.777.6+0.1
7 Baskonia34171750%82.980.1+2.8
8 Khimki M.34171750%78.979.4-0.5
9 Unicaja30131743%79.682.2-2.7
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv30131743%81.384.3-3.0
11 Valencia30121840%78.781.6-3.0
12 Barcelona30111937%81.980.1+1.7
13 Bamberg30111937%77.081.5-4.6
14 Crvena zvezda30111937%77.883.8-6.1
15 Olimpia Milano30102033%81.785.8-4.2
16 Anadolu Efes3072323%77.484.3-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1932271189
Panathinaikos1421252282
← all games of the day
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