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Valencia vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 102-84
27-23 29-24 26-22 20-15
Position#3
Record23-13
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Position#7
Record21-15
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game85.1
EuropeEuroleagueRound 37· Roig Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Valencia v Panathinaikos
24 Nov 2026
VAL v PAO
upcoming
13 May 2026
VAL81
PAO64
30 Apr 2026
VAL105
PAO107
28 Apr 2026
VAL67
PAO68
09 Apr 2026
VAL102
PAO84
05 Jan 2024
VAL81
PAO82
13 Dec 2022
VAL94
PAO91
17 Nov 2020
VAL95
PAO83
28 Dec 2017
VAL67
PAO63
21 Oct 2010
VAL56
PAO72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
79-96
79
96
-17
69avg 87
A12/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
71-89
71
89
-18
66avg 87
A14/03
ACB
Barcelona
#8
L
62-66
62
66
-4
57avg 87
H19/03
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
107-91
107
91
+16
83avg 87
H22/03
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
W
85-84
85
84
+1
90avg 87
H24/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
L
104-110 OT
104
110
-6
109avg 87
A27/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
79-74
79
74
+5
72avg 87
A29/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
94-81
94
81
+13
96avg 87
A03/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
105-88
105
88
+17
101avg 87
H05/04
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
102-96
102
96
+6
101avg 87
H07/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
24-31
22-24
14-21
20-25
8-23
20-16
23-25
15-18
18-17
19-18
10-13
23-16
32-23
19-21
33-31
25-23
17-27
25-19
18-15
27-17
14-24
25-18
18-25
15-22
23-16
30-16
11-20
22-20
22-23
27-20
23-18
31-25
20-16
33-32
21-15
27-24
24-30
27-29
24-13
176.3Avg total
88.8Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)90.586.4176.9+4.164%
Season at home (18)89.081.6170.6+7.483%
Season away (18)91.991.3183.2+0.744%
Last 10 (10)88.887.5176.3+1.360%
Last 5 (5)96.889.8186.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)87.288.0175.2-0.850%
vs Weaker (22)94.884.3179.1+10.568%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
92-88
92
88
+4
87avg 84
H12/03
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
103-78
103
78
+25
96avg 84
H15/03
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
82-74
82
74
+8
82avg 84
H20/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#13
W
84-68
84
68
+16
76avg 84
A22/03
Basket League
Dubai
#11
W
107-104
107
104
+3
103avg 84
A24/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
107-97
107
97
+10
102avg 84
H27/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
94-101
94
101
-7
92avg 84
H30/03
Basket League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
88-92
88
92
-4
81avg 84
A02/04
Euroleague
Promitheas
#9
W
96-63
96
63
+33
91avg 84
A04/04
Basket League
Barcelona
#8
W
93-79
93
79
+14
96avg 84
A07/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
20-13
21-19
27-29
18-31
37-21
24-15
24-11
20-27
21-21
14-14
27-12
19-14
23-13
28-18
14-23
25-26
22-24
34-25
26-29
15-16
37-19
26-27
29-35
21-30
23-30
30-20
20-21
21-20
27-24
27-22
13-26
26-14
31-6
20-16
19-27
27-23
28-15
25-11
13-30
179.0Avg total
94.6Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)87.085.1172.1+1.958%
Season at home (18)89.884.6174.4+5.367%
Season away (18)84.285.7169.9-1.450%
Last 10 (10)94.684.4179.0+10.280%
Last 5 (5)95.686.4182.0+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.391.3176.7-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)90.789.1179.8+1.660%
vs Weaker (17)85.177.9162.9+7.265%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +8.3+8.3Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +8.3+8.3Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
ValenciaPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#2
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A12/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A14/03
ACB
Barcelona
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H19/03
Euroleague
Granada
#18
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H22/03
ACB
Olympiacos
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H24/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#15
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/03
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A29/03
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A03/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#11
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H05/04
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#13
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H07/04
Euroleague
86.6Avg total
42.6Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.042.988.9+3.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.641.889.4+5.867%-
Last 30 away (15)44.444.088.4+0.433%-
Last 10 (10)42.644.086.6-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.488.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.844.986.6-3.125%-
vs Weaker (22)47.542.289.7+5.459%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H12/03
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H15/03
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H20/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#13
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A22/03
Basket League
Dubai
#11
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A24/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H27/03
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H30/03
Basket League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A02/04
Euroleague
Promitheas
#9
W
57-20
57
20
+37
A04/04
Basket League
Barcelona
#8
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A07/04
Euroleague
89.9Avg total
48.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.940.484.3+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.644.990.4+0.756%-
Last 30 away (14)42.035.377.3+6.764%-
Last 10 (10)48.541.489.9+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)51.239.490.6+11.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.747.786.3-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)45.343.688.9+1.760%-
vs Weaker (17)44.037.281.2+6.871%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 67.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws5.2 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers21.116.2
76.8%
60.4%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.9
33.4%
35.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws6.95.2
75.4%
78.2%5.2
They take 50.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 58% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.2 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.417.2
67.7%
60.4%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.4
40.5%
35.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws8.67.2
83.7%
78.2%7.2
They take 51.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWLWWLLL
Panathinaikos
WWLLWWWWWW
#3
League position
#7
+3.0
Net rating
+11.0
52.4
Offensive rating
59.4
49.3
Defensive rating
48.3
61.2%
Effective FG%
64.2%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
62.0%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.14
Free-throw rate
0.17
33.4%
3-point %
40.5%
86.2%
Assist %
71.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence52.4 · 59.4Defence49.3 · 48.3Shooting61.2% · 64.2%3-point %33.4% · 40.5%Ball care19.0% · 15.5%Free throws0.14 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Valencia   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valencia wins
4
Panathinaikos wins
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/26HOlimpia Milano102-96
05/04/26HBreogan105-88
03/04/26AVirtus Bologna94-81
29/03/26ASan Pablo Burgos79-74
27/03/26APartizan104-110 OT
24/03/26HOlympiacos85-84
22/03/26HGranada107-91
19/03/26HBarcelona62-66
14/03/26ATenerife71-89
12/03/26AReal Madrid79-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/26ABarcelona93-79
04/04/26APromitheas96-63
02/04/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv88-92
30/03/26HOlympiacos94-101
27/03/26HMonaco107-97
24/03/26ADubai107-104
22/03/26APanionios84-68
20/03/26HCrvena zvezda82-74
15/03/26HAEK Athens103-78
12/03/26HZalgiris Kaunas92-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW64%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %64%83%44%
Points / game90.589.091.9
Allowed / game86.481.691.3
Point differential+4.1+7.4+0.7
Avg total176.9170.6183.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)80% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game87.089.884.2
Allowed / game85.184.685.7
Point differential+1.9+5.3-1.4
Avg total172.1174.4169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%39%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)40% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos37251268%90.484.0+6.4
2 Valencia36231364%90.586.4+4.1
3 Real Madrid37231462%87.583.1+4.5
4 Fenerbahce37231462%82.080.7+1.3
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv36221461%88.084.7+3.3
6 Zalgiris Kaunas36211558%87.883.1+4.7
7 Panathinaikos36211558%87.085.1+1.9
8 Monaco36201656%90.087.0+3.0
9 Crvena zvezda36201656%87.285.6+1.6
10 Barcelona36201656%84.484.0+0.4
11 Dubai36191753%88.887.9+0.9
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv35181751%90.692.0-1.4
13 Olimpia Milano37172046%86.387.3-0.9
14 Bayern37172046%81.183.4-2.3
15 Partizan36152142%81.686.9-5.3
16 Paris36142239%89.791.4-1.7
17 Virtus Bologna36132336%81.986.6-4.7
18 Baskonia36122433%88.893.7-4.9
19 Anadolu Efes36112531%80.584.4-3.9
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3682822%79.086.2-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia27292620102
Panathinaikos2324221584
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