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Valencia vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 81-82
23-22 24-25 22-19 12-16
Position#14
Record10-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game75.2
Valencia
vs
Panathinaikos 🏆
Position#2
Record10-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game79.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 19· Font de Sant Lluis
European cup2023
Meetings · Valencia v Panathinaikos
24 Nov 2026
VAL v PAO
upcoming
13 May 2026
VAL81
PAO64
30 Apr 2026
VAL105
PAO107
28 Apr 2026
VAL67
PAO68
09 Apr 2026
VAL102
PAO84
05 Jan 2024
VAL81
PAO82
13 Dec 2022
VAL94
PAO91
17 Nov 2020
VAL95
PAO83
28 Dec 2017
VAL67
PAO63
21 Oct 2010
VAL56
PAO72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
78-55
78
55
+23
75avg 72
A08/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
85-77 OT
85
77
+8
no box
A10/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
63-56
63
56
+7
58avg 72
A15/12
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
86-82
86
82
+4
87avg 72
H17/12
ACB
Partizan
#11
L
67-72
67
72
-5
62avg 72
H19/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
79-71
79
71
+8
78avg 72
H21/12
Euroleague
Granada
#17
L
75-81
75
81
-6
69avg 72
H23/12
ACB
Bayern
#15
L
84-85
84
85
-1
80avg 72
A28/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-83
74
83
-9
63avg 72
A31/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
93-88
93
88
+5
90avg 72
H03/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
17-10
18-8
25-14
23-7
18-19
12-20
17-24
14-15
21-11
12-12
16-18
19-20
13-18
29-27
25-17
14-19
20-14
10-20
23-19
26-21
11-26
23-7
19-17
20-18
15-19
14-23
26-21
16-16
23-22
23-22
22-25
15-20
19-21
19-26
21-16
18-18
25-27
28-21
22-22
153.4Avg total
78.4Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.775.2150.9+0.456%
Season at home (10)78.276.2154.4+2.070%
Season away (8)72.574.0146.5-1.538%
Last 10 (10)78.475.0153.4+3.460%
Last 5 (5)81.081.6162.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)72.174.1146.3-2.043%
vs Similar (15)78.878.1156.9+0.760%
vs Weaker (8)79.075.1154.1+3.962%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
68-71
68
71
-3
64avg 75
A05/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
78-90
78
90
-12
62avg 75
H07/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#10
W
97-85
97
85
+12
101avg 75
H10/12
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 75
A14/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
W
91-90
91
90
+1
79avg 75
A20/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
76-68
76
68
+8
74avg 75
A22/12
Euroleague
Promitheas
#7
W
69-54
69
54
+15
no box
A24/12
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
82-65
82
65
+17
75avg 75
H28/12
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
92-79
92
79
+13
92avg 75
A31/12
Basket League
Baskonia
#9
L
73-75
73
75
-2
60avg 75
A03/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
16-14
21-13
16-21
23-24
22-22
10-26
23-18
17-22
28-23
29-17
23-23
24-21
21-15
19-24
25-21
22-19
17-28
17-20
35-23
22-24
19-17
18-15
17-12
18-15
16-16
20-13
15-10
20-17
18-14
23-19
21-15
28-12
23-25
24-19
17-23
12-13
25-13
16-24
20-25
157.3Avg total
81.5Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.679.2160.8+2.456%
Season at home (9)82.877.9160.7+4.967%
Season away (9)80.480.6161.0-0.144%
Last 10 (10)81.575.8157.3+5.770%
Last 5 (5)78.468.2146.6+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)75.780.8156.5-5.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)84.573.5158.0+11.083%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.1+2.1
ValenciaPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A08/12
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A10/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A15/12
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H17/12
ACB
Partizan
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H19/12
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H21/12
Euroleague
Granada
#17
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H23/12
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A28/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A31/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H03/01
Euroleague
72.9Avg total
36.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.476.8+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.538.879.3+1.756%-
Last 30 away (14)38.035.973.9+2.171%-
Last 10 (10)36.536.472.9+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.679.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.936.973.7+0.057%-
vs Similar (15)41.037.578.5+3.573%-
vs Weaker (8)38.437.876.1+0.650%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A05/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H07/12
Euroleague
PAOK
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H10/12
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A14/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A20/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A22/12
Euroleague
Promitheas
#7
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A24/12
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H28/12
Euroleague
Maroussi
#11
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A31/12
Basket League
Baskonia
#9
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A03/01
Euroleague
78.3Avg total
40.6Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.237.078.1+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.736.881.5+7.973%-
Last 30 away (15)37.737.174.8+0.540%-
Last 10 (10)40.637.778.3+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.233.273.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)36.041.377.3-5.317%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.535.978.3+6.667%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.5
53.2%
53.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.1
35.2%
36.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.512.3
70.3%
77.4%12.3
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.2
53.2%
53.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.8
37.1%
36.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.213.3
69.3%
77.4%13.3
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLLLWLWWWW
Panathinaikos
LWWWWWWWLL
#14
League position
#2
+4.1
Net rating
+6.2
106.2
Offensive rating
111.0
102.1
Defensive rating
104.8
53.1%
Effective FG%
54.1%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
19.3%
Turnover %
17.5%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.2%
3-point %
37.1%
58.7%
Assist %
62.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 111.0Defence102.1 · 104.8Shooting53.1% · 54.1%3-point %35.2% · 37.1%Ball care19.3% · 17.5%Off. rebounds29.5% · 30.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Valencia wins
4
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
23/11/23Panathinaikos v Valencia90-73
10/02/23Panathinaikos v Valencia91-92
13/12/22Valencia v Panathinaikos94-91 OT
29/01/21Panathinaikos v Valencia91-72
17/11/20Valencia v Panathinaikos95-83
30/03/18Panathinaikos v Valencia75-56
28/12/17Valencia v Panathinaikos67-63
25/11/10Panathinaikos v Valencia69-73
21/10/10Valencia v Panathinaikos56-72
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/24HAnadolu Efes93-88
31/12/23AReal Madrid74-83
28/12/23ABayern84-85
23/12/23HGranada75-81
21/12/23HVirtus Bologna79-71
19/12/23HPartizan67-72
17/12/23HMoraBanc Andorra86-82
15/12/23AOlympiacos63-56
10/12/23AMurcia85-77 OT
08/12/23ALyon-Villeurbanne78-55
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/24ABaskonia73-75
31/12/23AMaroussi92-79
28/12/23HCrvena zvezda82-65
24/12/23APromitheas69-54
22/12/23AOlimpia Milano76-68
20/12/23AMonaco91-90
14/12/23ALyon-Villeurbanne89-81
10/12/23HPAOK97-85
07/12/23HReal Madrid78-90
05/12/23AAnadolu Efes68-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW56%
HomeLWLWW70%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %56%70%38%
Points / game75.778.272.5
Allowed / game75.276.274.0
Point differential+0.4+2.0-1.5
Avg total150.9154.4146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL56%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLWWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%67%44%
Points / game81.682.880.4
Allowed / game79.277.980.6
Point differential+2.4+4.9-0.1
Avg total160.8160.7161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %17%22%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1816289%86.975.0+11.9
2 Virtus Bologna1914574%82.679.8+2.7
3 Barcelona1812667%82.579.0+3.5
4 Olympiacos1911858%77.473.9+3.5
5 Fenerbahce1911858%83.281.1+2.2
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv1911858%86.287.7-1.5
7 Panathinaikos1810856%81.679.2+2.4
8 Valencia1810856%75.775.2+0.4
9 Baskonia1810856%81.782.1-0.4
10 Monaco1910953%80.979.7+1.2
11 Partizan1910953%84.784.0+0.7
12 Bayern1881044%79.881.7-1.9
13 Crvena zvezda1981142%81.479.9+1.5
14 Olimpia Milano1871139%78.877.3+1.5
15 Anadolu Efes1871139%81.687.4-5.8
16 Zalgiris Kaunas1961332%78.581.3-2.8
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1931616%79.187.4-8.3
18 Alba Berlin1931616%75.385.6-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia2324221281
Panathinaikos2225191682
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