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PAOK vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 65-62
20-15 5-14 22-15 18-18
Position#2
Record3-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game80.7
PAOK 🏆
Greece
vs
AEK Athens
Greece
Position#10
Record2-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game79.0
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 4· P.A.O.K. Sports Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · PAOK v AEK Athens
24 Oct 2026
PAK65
AAT62
14 Feb 2026
PAK71
AAT88
12 Apr 2025
PAK94
AAT69
13 Feb 2025
PAK84
AAT65
26 Oct 2024
PAK87
AAT82
02 Mar 2024
PAK85
AAT94
01 Apr 2023
PAK78
AAT72
14 May 2022
PAK96
AAT72
13 May 2021
PAK81
AAT73
13 Mar 2021
PAK85
AAT87
07 Dec 2019
PAK67
AAT71
05 Mar 2019
PAK75
AAT84
26 Jan 2019
PAK88
AAT79
03 Nov 2018
PAK82
AAT80
16 May 2018
PAK78
AAT74
16 Dec 2017
PAK86
AAT65
12 Nov 2016
PAK71
AAT78
11 Jan 2015
PAK73
AAT71
13 Nov 2010
PAK92
AAT70
09 Jan 2010
PAK77
AAT69
14 Dec 2008
PAK77
AAT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best odds1.21
Implied80.5%
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best odds5.25
Implied19.5%
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
77-72
77
72
+5
76avg 80
A06/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
102-114 OT
102
114
-12
101avg 80
A28/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
94-102
94
102
-8
88avg 80
H30/05
Basket League
Manresa
#8
W
93-78
93
78
+15
90avg 80
H30/09
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
W
88-85
88
85
+3
81avg 80
A03/10
Basket League
KK Bosna
#23
W
75-72
75
72
+3
67avg 80
A06/10
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
77avg 80
H10/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#21
L
86-95
86
95
-9
76avg 80
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
W
88-84
88
84
+4
88avg 80
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#15
W
87-78
87
78
+9
78avg 80
H21/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
13-20
18-16
23-21
24-23
26-22
25-32
21-19
27-17
20-27
20-28
27-30
21-20
19-21
18-15
35-22
14-17
18-20
28-21
28-27
22-18
18-17
19-26
16-11
22-18
20-13
22-23
22-19
22-23
18-27
24-24
22-21
19-21
28-26
15-19
26-18
19-20
27-22
13-13
28-23
172.9Avg total
87.6Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.380.7168.0+6.7100%
Season at home (1)86.073.0159.0+13.0100%
Season away (2)88.084.5172.5+3.5100%
Last 10 (10)87.685.3172.9+2.370%
Last 5 (5)84.480.4164.8+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)84.191.0175.1-6.925%
vs Similar (8)83.979.2163.1+4.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.678.8167.4+9.993%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Aris
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
94avg 80
H14/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
81-90
81
90
-9
80avg 80
A17/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
102-99
102
99
+3
102avg 80
H25/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
77-94
77
94
-17
71avg 80
A28/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
54avg 80
H30/05
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
91-70
91
70
+21
88avg 80
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#15
W
95-93
95
93
+2
95avg 80
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
58-88
58
88
-30
47avg 80
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 80
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#12
L
76-103
76
103
-27
65avg 80
H21/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
29-23
20-14
21-27
23-25
26-27
19-19
13-19
32-25
20-21
24-22
26-31
19-26
19-20
19-25
20-23
10-20
20-24
16-22
22-29
18-12
28-22
18-16
27-20
24-24
25-20
17-27
29-22
10-23
11-19
14-22
23-24
22-17
25-21
18-21
19-20
25-25
25-23
12-28
14-27
171.1Avg total
81.9Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.779.0156.7-1.367%
Season at home (2)87.574.5162.0+13.0100%
Season away (1)58.088.0146.0-30.00%
Last 10 (10)81.989.2171.1-7.350%
Last 5 (5)80.886.6167.4-5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)76.891.9168.6-15.125%
vs Similar (13)83.382.0165.3+1.362%
vs Weaker (9)90.678.3168.9+12.2100%
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 159.5Actual: Under 159.5
Over 159.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
Under 159.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.52
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.50
Under
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.37
Over/Under 164.5 · main lineActual: Under 164.5
Over 164.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under 164.5
no forecast
@ 1.94
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Marathon Be
1.89
Betano
1.88
BetVictor
1.88
Under
1xBet
1.94
Pinnacle
1.92
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
Over/Under 169.5Actual: Under 169.5
Over 169.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
Under 169.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.37
Under
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.50
Marathon Be
1.49

📊 3. Team Totals

PAOK total 83.5Actual: PAOK under 83.5
Over 83.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
Under 83.5
no forecast
@ 2.60
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.37
Under
Betano
2.60
1xBet
2.43
Bet365
2.40
PAOK total 87.5 · main lineActual: PAOK under 87.5
Over 87.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under 87.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.70
Under
Betano
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.74
PAOK total 91.5Actual: PAOK under 91.5
Over 91.5
no forecast
@ 2.65
Under 91.5
no forecast
@ 1.44
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.65
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.35
Under
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.43
1xBet
1.39
AEK Athens total 73.5Actual: AEK Athens under 73.5
Over 73.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
Under 73.5
no forecast
@ 2.35
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.42
Under
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.27
AEK Athens total 77.5 · main lineActual: AEK Athens under 77.5
Over 77.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under 77.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.95
Marathon Be
1.92
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.77
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.65
AEK Athens total 81.5Actual: AEK Athens under 81.5
Over 81.5
no forecast
@ 2.70
Under 81.5
no forecast
@ 1.36
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.70
1xBet
2.48
Under
1xBet
1.36
Betano
1.36

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread PAOK -13.5Actual: AEK Athens +13.5
PAK -13.5
no forecast
@ 2.36
AAT +13.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
Best 5 market prices
PAK
1xBet
2.36
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.22
Marathon Be
2.21
AAT
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.58
Bet365
1.55
Marathon Be
1.53
Spread PAOK -10.5 · main lineActual: AEK Athens +10.5
PAK -10.5
no forecast
@ 1.92
AAT +10.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
Best 5 market prices
PAK
1xBet
1.92
Betfair
1.91
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
Bet365
1.86
AAT
Betano
1.95
Pinnacle
1.94
1xBet
1.92
Marathon Be
1.87
SBO
1.87
Spread PAOK -7.5Actual: AEK Athens +7.5
PAK -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.58
AAT +7.5
no forecast
@ 2.45
Best 5 market prices
PAK
Pinnacle
1.58
Bet365
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Marathon Be
1.53
Betano
1.50
AAT
1xBet
2.45
Betano
2.40
Pinnacle
2.36
Bet365
2.30
Marathon Be
2.21

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -2.8-2.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -2.8-2.8
PAOKAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A06/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A28/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H30/05
Basket League
Manresa
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/09
Eurocup
Mykonos
#12
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A03/10
Basket League
KK Bosna
#23
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A06/10
Eurocup
Lefkadas
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H10/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#21
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#15
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H21/10
Eurocup
82.7Avg total
42.0Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 81.75
Last 30 (30)42.840.082.8+2.857%50%
Last 30 at home (16)46.539.385.8+7.275%62%
Last 30 away (14)38.640.879.4-2.236%36%
Last 10 (10)42.040.782.7+1.360%50%
Last 5 (5)43.041.084.0+2.060%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.242.584.8-0.250%62%
vs Similar (8)41.139.080.1+2.162%38%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.139.183.2+4.957%50%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H14/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A17/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H25/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A28/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H30/05
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#12
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H21/10
Champions League
86.2Avg total
42.8Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 81.75
Last 30 (30)42.341.884.2+0.547%60%
Last 30 at home (18)43.442.285.6+1.250%61%
Last 30 away (12)40.841.282.0-0.542%58%
Last 10 (10)42.843.486.2-0.660%70%
Last 5 (5)42.641.283.8+1.480%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.643.282.9-3.638%62%
vs Similar (13)40.941.882.7-0.846%54%
vs Weaker (9)46.840.787.4+6.156%67%
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: AEK Athens win
PAK win
no forecast
@ 1.32
AAT win
no forecast
@ 3.88
1st half Spread PAOK -6 · main lineActual: AEK Athens +6
PAK -6
no forecast
@ 1.93
AAT +6
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 81.75 · main lineActual: Under 81.75
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.81
PAOK 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: PAOK under 43.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 2.05
AEK Athens 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: AEK Athens under 38.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.94
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half: PAK + total 82.5
PAK & over
no forecast
@ 2.70
PAK & under
no forecast
@ 2.55
1st half: Draw + total 82.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half: AAT + total 82.5
AAT & over
no forecast
@ 6.50
AAT & under
no forecast
@ 6.25
1st half Over/Under 80.5Actual: Under 80.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.69
Under
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Over/Under 83Actual: Under 83
Over
no forecast
@ 2.04
Under
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Spread PAOK -5Actual: AEK Athens +5
PAK -5
no forecast
@ 1.76
AAT +5
no forecast
@ 2.08
1st half Spread PAOK -7.5Actual: AEK Athens +7.5
PAK -7.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
AAT +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.72
1st half Over/Under 84.5Actual: Under 84.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.22
Under
no forecast
@ 1.65
1st half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Under 78.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.50
Under
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half Spread PAOK -8.5Actual: AEK Athens +8.5
PAK -8.5
no forecast
@ 2.62
AAT +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: PAOK (regulation)
PAK
no forecast
@ 1.35
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.50
AAT
no forecast
@ 3.75

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
PAK win + total 164.5
🔒 Pro
AAT win + total 164.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: PAK leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: AAT leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (PAK:AAT): PAK wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.420.4
59.3%
50.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.8
32.7%
34.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws26.320.2
76.8%
71.8%20.2
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.9
54.9%
50.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.2
33.0%
34.4%21.6
🏀 Free throws24.418.2
74.6%
71.8%18.2
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
WWLWWWWLLW
AEK Athens
LWLWWLLWLW
#2
League position
#10
+2.5
Net rating
-8.6
105.5
Offensive rating
95.3
103.0
Defensive rating
103.9
54.8%
Effective FG%
52.9%
57.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
14.9%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.41
32.7%
3-point %
33.0%
62.3%
Assist %
76.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 95.3Defence103.0 · 103.9Shooting54.8% · 52.9%3-point %32.7% · 33.0%Ball care14.9% · 15.5%Free throws0.43 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ PAOK   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
PAOK wins
6
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
14/02/26PAOK v AEK Athens71-88
09/11/25AEK Athens v PAOK76-78
27/04/25AEK Athens v PAOK89-85 OT
12/04/25PAOK v AEK Athens94-69
05/04/25AEK Athens v PAOK89-76
13/02/25PAOK v AEK Athens84-65
19/01/25AEK Athens v PAOK91-68
26/10/24PAOK v AEK Athens87-82
21/04/24AEK Athens v PAOK99-91
02/03/24PAOK v AEK Athens85-94
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/26HUlm87-78
17/10/26AKolossos Rhodes88-84
13/10/26ALietkabelis86-95
10/10/26HLefkadas86-73
06/10/26AKK Bosna75-72
03/10/26AMykonos88-85
30/09/26HManresa93-78
30/05/26HPanathinaikos94-102
28/05/26APanathinaikos102-114 OT
06/05/26APeristeri77-72
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/26HAntwerp Giants76-103
17/10/26HMykonos84-79
10/10/26AAris58-88
07/10/26HSalon Vilpas95-93
03/10/26HMaroussi91-70
30/05/26HOlympiacos68-95
28/05/26AOlympiacos77-94
25/05/26HAris102-99
17/05/26AAris81-90
14/05/26HAris87-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.386.088.0
Allowed / game80.773.084.5
Point differential+6.7+13.0+3.5
Avg total168.0159.0172.5
Over 164.567%0%100%
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game77.787.558.0
Allowed / game79.074.588.0
Point differential-1.3+13.0-30.0
Avg total156.7162.0146.0
Over 164.50%0%0%
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos330100%94.069.3+24.7
2 Olympiacos330100%85.373.0+12.3
3 PAOK330100%87.380.7+6.7
4 Aris43175%79.565.2+14.2
5 AS Karditsas32167%70.771.0-0.3
6 AEK Athens32167%77.779.0-1.3
7 Peristeri32167%86.790.7-4.0
8 Kolossos Rhodes31233%86.087.3-1.3
9 Promitheas31233%75.785.7-10.0
10 Iraklis41325%78.579.0-0.5
11 Mykonos41325%79.584.8-5.2
12 Lefkadas41325%80.285.8-5.5
13 Maroussi3030%68.782.3-13.7
14 Vikos3030%72.089.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK205221865
AEK Athens1514151862
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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