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PAOK vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 May 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-73
26-22 14-12 20-21 21-18
Position#5
Record13-11
FormWWLWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game79.8
PAOK 🏆
Greece
vs
Position#3
Record16-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game76.6
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Quarter-finals
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · PAOK v AEK Athens
24 Oct 2026
PAK65
AAT62
14 Feb 2026
PAK71
AAT88
12 Apr 2025
PAK94
AAT69
13 Feb 2025
PAK84
AAT65
26 Oct 2024
PAK87
AAT82
02 Mar 2024
PAK85
AAT94
01 Apr 2023
PAK78
AAT72
14 May 2022
PAK96
AAT72
13 May 2021
PAK81
AAT73
13 Mar 2021
PAK85
AAT87
07 Dec 2019
PAK67
AAT71
05 Mar 2019
PAK75
AAT84
26 Jan 2019
PAK88
AAT79
03 Nov 2018
PAK82
AAT80
16 May 2018
PAK78
AAT74
16 Dec 2017
PAK86
AAT65
12 Nov 2016
PAK71
AAT78
11 Jan 2015
PAK73
AAT71
13 Nov 2010
PAK92
AAT70
09 Jan 2010
PAK77
AAT69
14 Dec 2008
PAK77
AAT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Larisa
#11
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
no box
A28/02
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
76avg 73
H06/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
no box
H13/03
Basket League
Aris
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
74avg 73
A20/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
82-74
82
74
+8
75avg 73
H28/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 73
A03/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
85-66
85
66
+19
77avg 73
H11/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
68-74
68
74
-6
62avg 73
H18/04
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
84-69
84
69
+15
78avg 73
A28/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
89-102
89
102
-13
80avg 73
A11/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
24-17
18-14
22-21
13-18
21-9
22-24
25-27
17-19
19-18
16-20
22-17
26-18
11-19
14-24
26-10
22-19
18-19
23-18
19-18
24-23
12-22
27-21
21-17
22-15
20-19
28-17
15-15
12-26
17-21
18-16
21-11
22-19
25-17
19-12
18-21
25-19
21-33
26-21
17-29
161.8Avg total
82.6Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.579.8159.4-0.354%
Season at home (11)82.876.7159.5+6.173%
Season away (13)76.882.5159.2-5.738%
Last 10 (10)82.679.2161.8+3.470%
Last 5 (5)82.078.8160.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)73.985.0158.9-11.10%
vs Similar (11)78.374.7153.0+3.564%
vs Weaker (10)83.079.8162.8+3.270%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#15
L
73-91
73
91
-18
59avg 74
A23/03
Champions League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
60-88
60
88
-28
no box
A25/03
Champions League
Aris
#9
W
73-68
73
68
+5
no box
A27/03
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#13
L
66-78
66
78
-12
54avg 74
A31/03
Champions League
Lavrio
#2
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
no box
H03/04
Basket League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
68avg 74
H07/04
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
72-79
72
79
-7
67avg 74
A10/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
78-80
78
80
-2
68avg 74
A14/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
95-104
95
104
-9
86avg 74
H28/04
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
102-89
102
89
+13
98avg 74
H11/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
27-21
13-21
15-18
15-25
15-21
12-25
18-17
18-15
16-12
23-22
16-19
17-18
19-21
10-16
20-23
19-15
22-21
21-28
20-18
18-14
16-20
16-25
29-19
11-30
20-11
26-17
15-21
18-15
17-18
23-23
20-24
20-28
24-22
26-36
25-18
19-25
33-21
21-26
29-17
164.4Avg total
79.2Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)83.376.6160.0+6.767%
Season at home (13)89.078.8167.8+10.277%
Season away (11)76.674.0150.6+2.655%
Last 10 (10)79.285.2164.4-6.030%
Last 5 (5)85.286.0171.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.287.5164.8-10.225%
vs Similar (11)76.680.5157.1-3.827%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.175.3160.4+9.986%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.3+1.3
PAOKAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Larisa
#11
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A28/02
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H06/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H13/03
Basket League
Aris
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A20/03
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H28/03
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A03/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H11/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H18/04
Basket League
Harilaos Trikoupis
#12
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A28/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A11/05
Basket League
78.1Avg total
38.5Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.840.679.4-1.938%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.639.680.1+1.064%-
Last 30 away (15)37.141.678.7-4.513%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.678.1-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.882.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.145.480.6-10.30%-
vs Similar (11)39.537.176.6+2.555%-
vs Weaker (10)41.742.283.9-0.550%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#15
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A23/03
Champions League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A25/03
Champions League
Aris
#9
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A27/03
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#13
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A31/03
Champions League
Lavrio
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H03/04
Basket League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H07/04
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A10/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A14/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H28/04
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H11/05
Basket League
78.6Avg total
38.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.277.8+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.437.579.9+4.973%-
Last 30 away (15)36.838.975.7-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)38.240.478.6-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.880.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.243.279.5-7.00%-
vs Similar (11)38.037.175.1+0.964%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.037.979.9+4.171%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.6
51.1%
51.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.5
38.1%
35.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.014.2
78.9%
74.2%14.2
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.7
50.6%
51.8%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.57.9
38.5%
35.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.413.4
69.1%
74.2%13.4
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
PAOK
LWLWWWWLWW
AEK Athens
WLLLWLLWLL
#5
League position
#3
+0.0
Net rating
-7.1
105.4
Offensive rating
108.1
105.4
Defensive rating
115.2
53.4%
Effective FG%
53.1%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
20.5%
Turnover %
17.7%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.1%
3-point %
38.5%
48.7%
Assist %
49.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 108.1Defence105.4 · 115.2Shooting53.4% · 53.1%3-point %38.1% · 38.5%Ball care20.5% · 17.7%Off. rebounds27.4% · 29.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ PAOK   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
PAOK wins
7
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
11/05/21AEK Athens v PAOK102-89
13/03/21PAOK v AEK Athens85-87 OT
27/01/21AEK Athens v PAOK76-56
05/12/20AEK Athens v PAOK85-84
07/12/19PAOK v AEK Athens67-71
13/03/19AEK Athens v PAOK62-63
05/03/19PAOK v AEK Athens75-84
26/01/19PAOK v AEK Athens88-79
03/11/18PAOK v AEK Athens82-80
13/10/18AEK Athens v PAOK91-71
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/21AAEK Athens89-102
28/04/21AHarilaos Trikoupis84-69
18/04/21HPanathinaikos68-74
11/04/21HPeristeri85-66
03/04/21AIonikos84-83
28/03/21HKolossos Rhodes82-74
20/03/21AAris77-71
13/03/21HAEK Athens85-87 OT
06/03/21HPromitheas81-78
28/02/21ALarisa91-88 OT
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/21HPAOK102-89
28/04/21HPanathinaikos95-104
14/04/21APromitheas78-80
10/04/21AKolossos Rhodes72-79
07/04/21HNizhny Novgorod79-78
03/04/21HLavrio94-97 OT
31/03/21ATurk Telekom66-78
27/03/21AAris73-68
25/03/21ANizhny Novgorod60-88
23/03/21AStrasbourg73-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

PAOK
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL54%
HomeWLWWL73%
AwayWWWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %54%73%38%
Points / game79.582.876.8
Allowed / game79.876.782.5
Point differential-0.3+6.1-5.7
Avg total159.4159.5159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%27%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %8%9%8%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW67%
HomeWWLLW77%
AwayLWWLL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %67%77%55%
Points / game83.389.076.6
Allowed / game76.678.874.0
Point differential+6.7+10.2+2.6
Avg total160.0167.8150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%54%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %12%15%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos2321291%89.271.4+17.8
2 Lavrio2419579%82.778.1+4.6
3 Promitheas2316770%79.776.5+3.2
4 AEK Athens2416867%83.376.6+6.7
5 Peristeri24131154%74.274.1+0.1
6 PAOK24131154%79.579.8-0.3
7 Ionikos2381535%76.782.2-5.6
8 Kolossos Rhodes2481633%78.078.2-0.2
9 Aris2271532%73.777.5-3.7
10 Iraklis2271532%73.580.4-6.9
11 Larisa2361726%74.481.2-6.8
12 Harilaos Trikoupis2251723%72.582.7-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
PAOK2614202181
AEK Athens2212211873
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