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Pato vs Pinheiros Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 67-94
18-27 15-25 16-21 18-21
Position#17
Record5-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#2
Record16-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game74.3
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pato v Pinheiros
02 Dec 2026
PATO v PINH
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
PATO67
PINH94
27 Dec 2024
PATO90
PINH86
30 Mar 2024
PATO83
PINH79
30 Nov 2022
PATO95
PINH76
16 Dec 2021
PATO81
PINH69
11 Mar 2021
PATO89
PINH88
08 Nov 2019
PATO67
PINH81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pinheiros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Cearense
#19
W
82-79
82
79
+3
75avg 67
H14/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
58-86
58
86
-28
49avg 67
A17/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
68-87
68
87
-19
52avg 67
A19/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
71-86
71
86
-15
57avg 67
A22/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
67-59
67
59
+8
55avg 67
H06/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
109-101 OT
109
101
+8
103avg 67
A09/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
61-69
61
69
-8
59avg 67
H15/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
57avg 67
H18/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
82-67
82
67
+15
77avg 67
H20/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
69-84
69
84
-15
61avg 67
A23/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
26-18
12-13
23-29
13-32
19-15
10-18
16-21
12-19
15-17
24-30
17-21
12-25
19-23
22-20
18-18
20-12
18-17
18-18
11-12
19-22
23-18
25-15
14-26
13-15
15-16
15-17
18-21
19-26
18-24
11-16
23-27
21-20
19-15
22-15
20-17
18-20
18-20
8-19
25-25
154.9Avg total
73.8Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)72.480.3152.7-7.928%
Season at home (8)71.173.9145.0-2.838%
Season away (10)73.485.4158.8-12.020%
Last 10 (10)73.881.1154.9-7.340%
Last 5 (5)78.482.8161.2-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)70.883.5154.3-12.76%
vs Similar (10)83.776.4160.1+7.380%
vs Weaker (2)76.090.5166.5-14.50%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
W
81-77
81
77
+4
78avg 73
A21/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
102-89
102
89
+13
100avg 73
A23/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
83-67
83
67
+16
78avg 73
H03/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
84-69
84
69
+15
82avg 73
H10/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
84-70
84
70
+14
84avg 73
H13/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
89-79
89
79
+10
79avg 73
A16/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
108-61
108
61
+47
87avg 73
A18/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
109-80
109
80
+29
111avg 73
H21/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 73
H23/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
77-64
77
64
+13
78avg 73
H27/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
20-20
21-14
19-20
30-12
27-34
23-16
22-27
22-22
22-16
21-15
18-14
21-16
27-12
14-27
22-14
21-21
22-15
24-18
17-16
13-19
19-17
24-22
33-21
29-15
38-19
23-14
18-13
28-23
22-25
29-11
30-21
28-21
27-13
25-22
18-27
21-25
25-16
20-13
11-10
165.4Avg total
91.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)87.574.3161.8+13.289%
Season at home (11)87.572.5160.0+14.991%
Season away (7)87.677.1164.7+10.486%
Last 10 (10)91.573.9165.4+17.6100%
Last 5 (5)96.273.4169.6+22.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.280.0149.2-10.840%
vs Similar (10)76.170.6146.7+5.570%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.373.7163.9+16.693%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +2.5+2.5
PatoPinheiros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A17/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A19/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A22/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H06/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A09/12
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H15/12
NBB
Franca
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H18/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H20/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A23/12
NBB
75.1Avg total
35.8Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.741.779.4-4.037%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.737.975.6-0.250%-
Last 30 away (18)37.744.281.9-6.428%-
Last 10 (10)35.839.375.1-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)36.639.275.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.441.476.8-6.122%-
vs Similar (10)40.340.080.3+0.360%-
vs Weaker (2)45.552.097.5-6.550%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A21/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
57-46
57
46
+11
A23/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H03/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H10/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H13/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A16/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
67-34
67
34
+33
A18/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H21/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H23/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H27/12
NBB
86.7Avg total
48.3Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.636.979.5+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (18)44.436.881.2+7.683%-
Last 30 away (12)39.837.176.9+2.842%-
Last 10 (10)48.338.486.7+9.980%-
Last 5 (5)50.038.688.6+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.639.275.8-2.620%-
vs Similar (10)38.634.873.4+3.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.237.584.7+9.787%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.315.1
45.3%
52.2%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.6
32.4%
32.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.513.8
74.6%
72.8%13.8
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.9
59.1%
52.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.413.0
36.7%
32.5%39.0
🏀 Free throws15.911.9
74.8%
72.8%11.9
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LWLLWWLLLW
Pinheiros
WWWWWWWWWW
#17
League position
#2
-9.8
Net rating
+24.0
97.4
Offensive rating
120.8
107.1
Defensive rating
96.8
46.9%
Effective FG%
57.0%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
20.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
36.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.4%
3-point %
36.7%
61.9%
Assist %
62.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 120.8Defence107.1 · 96.8Shooting46.9% · 57.0%3-point %32.4% · 36.7%Ball care20.2% · 17.3%Off. rebounds28.8% · 36.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 100%
■ Pato   ■ Pinheiros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pato wins
5
Pinheiros wins
DateGameScore
27/12/24Pato v Pinheiros90-86
12/10/24Pinheiros v Pato68-67
30/03/24Pato v Pinheiros83-79
18/12/23Pinheiros v Pato91-77
09/03/23Pinheiros v Pato76-69
30/11/22Pato v Pinheiros95-76
02/04/22Pinheiros v Pato82-69
16/12/21Pato v Pinheiros81-69
11/03/21Pato v Pinheiros89-88
07/12/20Pinheiros v Pato85-77
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25ABrasilia69-84
20/12/25HOsasco82-67
18/12/25HFranca71-93
15/12/25HBauru61-69
09/12/25ARio Claro109-101 OT
06/12/25HPaulistano67-59
22/11/25ASao Jose71-86
19/11/25ACorinthians Paulista68-87
17/11/25AMogi58-86
14/11/25HCearense82-79
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25HBotafogo77-64
23/12/25HSao Jose98-83
21/12/25HCorinthians Paulista109-80
18/12/25ACearense108-61
16/12/25AUnifacisa89-79
13/12/25HVasco84-70
10/12/25HMogi84-69
03/12/25HFlamengo83-67
23/11/25ACruzeiro102-89
21/11/25AMinas81-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL28%
HomeWWLLW38%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %28%38%20%
Points / game72.471.173.4
Allowed / game80.373.985.4
Point differential-7.9-2.8-12.0
Avg total152.7145.0158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Pinheiros
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %89%91%86%
Points / game87.587.587.6
Allowed / game74.372.577.1
Point differential+13.2+14.9+10.4
Avg total161.8160.0164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%91%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1816289%88.374.6+13.7
2 Pinheiros1816289%87.574.3+13.2
3 Franca1916384%87.173.2+13.9
4 Minas1815383%85.876.9+8.9
5 Brasilia1813572%82.273.5+8.7
6 Corinthians Paulista1812667%82.876.6+6.3
7 Sao Jose1811761%80.377.5+2.8
8 Paulistano1911858%80.075.3+4.7
9 Mogi189950%76.469.7+6.7
10 Unifacisa189950%80.679.6+1.0
11 Bauru189950%74.175.3-1.2
12 Uniao Corinthians189950%78.780.6-1.9
13 Caxias do Sul189950%72.877.1-4.3
14 Cruzeiro1851328%77.485.1-7.7
15 Pato1851328%72.480.3-7.9
16 Osasco1841422%75.385.7-10.4
17 Cearense1841422%77.788.9-11.2
18 Rio Claro1941521%76.888.6-11.8
19 Botafogo1831517%71.182.6-11.5
20 Vasco1921711%68.680.4-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato1815161867
Pinheiros2725212194
← all games of the day
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