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Pato vs Pinheiros Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 83-79
26-24 19-15 18-18 20-22
Position#12
Record14-18
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game79.9
Pato 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#13
Record13-18
FormWWLLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game78.2
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pato v Pinheiros
02 Dec 2026
PATO v PINH
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
PATO67
PINH94
27 Dec 2024
PATO90
PINH86
30 Mar 2024
PATO83
PINH79
30 Nov 2022
PATO95
PINH76
16 Dec 2021
PATO81
PINH69
11 Mar 2021
PATO89
PINH88
08 Nov 2019
PATO67
PINH81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pinheiros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#15
W
97-86
97
86
+11
92avg 69
H24/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
80-88
80
88
-8
71avg 69
H05/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
74-80
74
80
-6
57avg 69
H07/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
79-89
79
89
-10
65avg 69
A15/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
65-97
65
97
-32
54avg 69
A17/02
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
69-90
69
90
-21
56avg 69
A02/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
71avg 69
A04/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
80avg 69
H09/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
100-73
100
73
+27
96avg 69
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
100-87
100
87
+13
93avg 69
H28/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
27-30
26-23
20-14
20-28
14-25
18-16
28-19
13-15
20-21
15-24
26-20
15-27
18-20
23-18
23-24
21-23
20-29
11-22
13-23
18-15
13-28
22-20
16-27
26-17
17-23
19-25
17-20
17-17
28-20
25-14
13-22
25-14
27-13
21-27
27-19
30-14
27-22
22-25
21-26
167.4Avg total
82.6Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.279.9158.1-1.844%
Season at home (16)82.277.1159.2+5.162%
Season away (16)74.282.8157.0-8.625%
Last 10 (10)82.684.8167.4-2.240%
Last 5 (5)86.281.6167.8+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)74.780.7155.4-6.030%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.683.5161.1-5.831%
vs Weaker (7)85.173.0158.1+12.186%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#19
L
88-92
88
92
-4
86avg 69
H24/01
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
84-76
84
76
+8
82avg 69
H08/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
61-82
61
82
-21
48avg 69
H12/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
51-80
51
80
-29
41avg 69
A16/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
74-79
74
79
-5
67avg 69
A29/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
80-63
80
63
+17
82avg 69
H05/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
72-61
72
61
+11
78avg 69
H09/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
67-89
67
89
-22
61avg 69
H11/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
77-90
77
90
-13
68avg 69
H23/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
51-81
51
81
-30
36avg 69
A27/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
29-26
20-18
18-24
23-21
15-15
18-19
28-21
14-23
17-15
21-28
9-16
17-26
13-19
12-19
9-16
30-23
17-20
14-14
13-22
14-13
20-21
17-11
29-18
22-13
18-13
14-10
18-25
19-24
19-21
10-23
19-21
20-28
14-19
21-19
22-24
22-14
9-23
7-21
13-23
149.8Avg total
70.5Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)74.678.2152.8-3.542%
Season at home (17)76.277.5153.8-1.347%
Season away (14)72.678.9151.6-6.336%
Last 10 (10)70.579.3149.8-8.830%
Last 5 (5)69.476.8146.2-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)72.680.2152.8-7.733%
vs Similar ◀ (6)79.273.7152.8+5.567%
vs Weaker (6)77.279.2156.3-2.033%
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -3.2-3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -3.2-3.2
PatoPinheiros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#15
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H24/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H05/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H07/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A15/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A17/02
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A02/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A04/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H09/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H28/03
NBB
84.0Avg total
42.0Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.478.6-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.238.078.2+2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)38.041.179.1-3.143%-
Last 10 (10)42.042.084.0+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.636.682.2+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.542.480.9-3.940%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.039.576.5-2.531%-
vs Weaker (7)44.335.079.3+9.386%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#19
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H24/01
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H12/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A16/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A29/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H05/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H09/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H11/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H23/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A27/03
NBB
77.4Avg total
37.3Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.979.8-0.043%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.639.478.9+0.241%-
Last 30 away (13)40.240.680.8-0.446%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.177.4-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.437.873.2-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)38.841.179.9-2.239%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.236.579.7+6.783%-
vs Weaker (6)39.739.879.5-0.217%-
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.6 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.922.5
56.4%
51.8%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.4
33.6%
33.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws13.88.6
62.3%
72.6%8.6
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.4
49.9%
51.8%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.16.3
26.1%
33.9%18.9
🏀 Free throws16.012.7
79.4%
72.6%12.7
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
WWWLLLLLLW
Pinheiros
LLLWWLLLWL
#12
League position
#13
-2.7
Net rating
-10.8
111.7
Offensive rating
101.3
114.4
Defensive rating
112.0
53.9%
Effective FG%
45.8%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.5%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.6%
3-point %
26.1%
52.7%
Assist %
71.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 101.3Defence114.4 · 112.0Shooting53.9% · 45.8%3-point %33.6% · 26.1%Ball care14.7% · 16.5%Off. rebounds30.3% · 31.5%Free throws0.20 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Pato   ■ Pinheiros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pato wins
6
Pinheiros wins
DateGameScore
18/12/23Pinheiros v Pato91-77
09/03/23Pinheiros v Pato76-69
30/11/22Pato v Pinheiros95-76
02/04/22Pinheiros v Pato82-69
16/12/21Pato v Pinheiros81-69
11/03/21Pato v Pinheiros89-88
07/12/20Pinheiros v Pato85-77
08/03/20Pinheiros v Pato87-83
08/11/19Pato v Pinheiros67-81
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/24HCorinthians Paulista100-87
25/03/24HMogi100-73
09/03/24HPaulistano83-73
04/03/24AUnifacisa79-85
02/03/24ACearense69-90
17/02/24AFranca65-97
15/02/24ABauru79-89
07/02/24HSao Paulo74-80
05/02/24HSao Jose80-88
24/01/24HBotafogo97-86
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24AMinas51-81
23/03/24HCorinthians Paulista77-90
11/03/24HUnifacisa67-89
09/03/24HCearense72-61
05/03/24HCaxias do Sul80-63
29/02/24ASao Paulo74-79
16/02/24APaulistano51-80
12/02/24HFranca61-82
08/02/24HBauru84-76
24/01/24HBrasilia88-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW44%
HomeLLWWW62%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %44%62%25%
Points / game78.282.274.2
Allowed / game79.977.182.8
Point differential-1.8+5.1-8.6
Avg total158.1159.2157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Pinheiros
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL42%
HomeLWWLL47%
AwayWWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %42%47%36%
Points / game74.676.272.6
Allowed / game78.277.578.9
Point differential-3.5-1.3-6.3
Avg total152.8153.8151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%24%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (12)20% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3227584%87.976.1+11.8
2 Flamengo3227584%84.973.7+11.2
3 Minas3325876%85.973.4+12.5
4 Vasco3123874%76.572.7+3.8
5 Bauru34231168%81.778.8+2.9
6 Unifacisa32201262%84.079.4+4.6
7 Paulistano31181358%74.871.9+2.9
8 Cearense32181456%79.677.1+2.4
9 Sao Jose32171553%79.377.1+2.3
10 Corinthians Paulista32171553%80.779.3+1.3
11 Sao Paulo31151648%78.479.7-1.4
12 Pato32141844%78.279.9-1.8
13 Pinheiros31131842%74.678.2-3.5
14 Uniao Corinthians33102330%75.184.0-8.9
15 Botafogo3492526%79.187.9-8.8
16 Cerrado3182326%74.876.7-1.9
17 Mogi3282425%74.080.1-6.1
18 Caxias do Sul3282425%72.080.3-8.2
19 Brasilia3142713%72.988.3-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato2619182083
Pinheiros2415182279
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