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Pato vs Pinheiros Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 02 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Scheduled
Position#15
Record2-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#3
Record6-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game73.1
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pato v Pinheiros
02 Dec 2026
PATO v PINH
upcoming
29 Dec 2025
PATO67
PINH94
27 Dec 2024
PATO90
PINH86
30 Mar 2024
PATO83
PINH79
30 Nov 2022
PATO95
PINH76
16 Dec 2021
PATO81
PINH69
11 Mar 2021
PATO89
PINH88
08 Nov 2019
PATO67
PINH81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pinheiros win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
55-88
55
88
-33
50avg 63
A16/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
71-92
71
92
-21
58avg 63
A18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#13
L
74-80
74
80
-6
58avg 63
H21/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
89-88
89
88
+1
36avg 63
H24/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
65-86
65
86
-21
52avg 63
A27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
L
68-76
68
76
-8
48avg 63
A29/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
H07/11
NBB
Bauru
#11
L
78-98
78
98
-20
no box
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
A12/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
62-67
62
67
-5
no box
A14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-25
16-19
16-27
11-17
15-24
18-27
18-28
20-13
10-13
18-20
13-30
33-17
22-26
16-22
27-13
24-27
14-24
18-24
16-23
17-15
17-17
18-21
10-19
23-19
18-24
19-16
13-24
16-16
26-28
16-26
19-19
17-25
15-21
20-19
15-22
29-15
14-18
19-22
14-15
15-12
153.9Avg total
70.7Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)72.681.5154.1-8.925%
Season at home (4)76.886.5163.2-9.825%
Season away (4)68.576.5145.0-8.025%
Last 10 (10)70.783.2153.9-12.520%
Last 5 (5)70.679.6150.2-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)69.882.7152.5-13.05%
vs Similar (8)77.176.8153.9+0.438%
vs Weaker (1)79.077.0156.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
94-92
94
92
+2
83avg 76
H04/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
76-85
76
85
-9
69avg 76
A07/06
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
65-81
65
81
-16
49avg 76
A19/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
98-63
98
63
+35
102avg 76
A22/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
75-63
75
63
+12
68avg 76
H27/10
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
89-74
89
74
+15
74avg 76
A29/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
91-53
91
53
+38
no box
H02/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
W
103-87
103
87
+16
no box
H07/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
70-85
70
85
-15
no box
H09/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
A12/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
28-19
27-32
20-17
24-18
22-32
8-10
22-25
19-19
11-23
15-19
20-20
24-15
22-17
26-18
26-13
22-13
13-10
24-22
16-18
25-21
24-18
26-19
14-16
25-6
20-15
23-14
23-18
22-21
28-19
30-16
23-31
14-22
20-15
24-23
12-25
16-22
21-17
37-24
17-16
161.4Avg total
85.2Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.273.1158.4+12.175%
Season at home (4)84.872.0156.8+12.875%
Season away (4)85.874.2160.0+11.575%
Last 10 (10)85.276.2161.4+9.070%
Last 5 (5)88.875.6164.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)79.183.9163.0-4.729%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)86.474.4160.9+12.083%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
PatoPinheiros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A16/04
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#13
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H21/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H24/10
NBB
Minas
#1
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A29/10
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H07/11
NBB
Bauru
#11
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H09/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A14/11
NBB
77.7Avg total
34.1Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.340.676.9-4.330%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.438.676.1-1.238%-
Last 30 away (14)34.942.977.8-7.921%-
Last 10 (10)34.143.677.7-9.50%-
Last 5 (5)36.442.478.8-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.541.976.4-7.314%-
vs Similar (8)41.037.478.4+3.675%-
vs Weaker (1)35.040.075.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H04/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A07/06
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A19/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A22/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H27/10
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A29/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H02/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H07/11
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A12/11
NBB
78.5Avg total
41.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.038.781.7+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.637.181.7+7.577%-
Last 30 away (17)41.740.081.7+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)41.936.678.5+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.035.278.2+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)42.643.986.4-1.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.137.280.3+5.965%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 61.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.015.6
47.3%
49.8%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.67.6
25.7%
31.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws11.37.1
62.8%
71.3%7.1
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.316.7
51.7%
49.8%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.1
34.4%
31.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.412.7
69.0%
71.3%12.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
LWLLLLWLLL
Pinheiros
WLWWWWWLLW
#15
League position
#3
-23.7
Net rating
+6.1
70.9
Offensive rating
94.5
94.5
Defensive rating
88.4
43.1%
Effective FG%
51.6%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
20.2%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.28
25.7%
3-point %
34.4%
75.4%
Assist %
53.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence70.9 · 94.5Defence94.5 · 88.4Shooting43.1% · 51.6%3-point %25.7% · 34.4%Ball care20.2% · 15.6%Free throws0.18 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Pato   ■ Pinheiros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pato wins
6
Pinheiros wins
DateGameScore
16/04/26Pinheiros v Pato88-55
29/12/25Pato v Pinheiros67-94
27/12/24Pato v Pinheiros90-86
12/10/24Pinheiros v Pato68-67
30/03/24Pato v Pinheiros83-79
18/12/23Pinheiros v Pato91-77
09/03/23Pinheiros v Pato76-69
30/11/22Pato v Pinheiros95-76
02/04/22Pinheiros v Pato82-69
16/12/21Pato v Pinheiros81-69
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUniao Corinthians62-67
12/11/26ACaxias do Sul79-77
09/11/26HBauru78-98
07/11/26HFlamengo66-80
29/10/26ACruzeiro68-76
27/10/26AMinas65-86
24/10/26HBotafogo89-88
21/10/26HPaulistano74-80
18/04/26APaulistano71-92
16/04/26APinheiros55-88
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ACorinthians Paulista91-79
09/11/26HMogi70-85
07/11/26HSao Jose103-87
02/11/26HCaxias do Sul91-53
29/10/26AOsasco89-74
27/10/26HUniao Corinthians75-63
22/10/26ACearense98-63
19/10/26AUnifacisa65-81
07/06/26AFranca76-85
04/06/26HFranca94-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game72.676.868.5
Allowed / game81.586.576.5
Point differential-8.9-9.8-8.0
Avg total154.1163.2145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pinheiros
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game85.284.885.8
Allowed / game73.172.074.2
Point differential+12.1+12.8+11.5
Avg total158.4156.8160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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