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Botafogo vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 87-92
15-27 20-29 24-23 28-13
Position#15
Record10-26
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game88.2
vs
Position#2
Record31-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game73.1
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Botafogo v Flamengo
11 Apr 2026
BOTA89
FLAM102
29 Mar 2025
BOTA85
FLAM92
20 Apr 2024
BOTA87
FLAM92
06 Feb 2024
BOTA78
FLAM102
24 Mar 2020
BOTA v FLAM
upcoming
14 May 2019
BOTA75
FLAM90
03 May 2019
BOTA77
FLAM79
01 Mar 2019
BOTA67
FLAM73
12 Mar 2018
BOTA84
FLAM90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
66-96
66
96
-30
55avg 66
A16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
no box
H29/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
no box
H05/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
82-79
82
79
+3
68avg 66
A08/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
108-106 OT
108
106
+2
no box
A10/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
74-97
74
97
-23
57avg 66
A19/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
95-113
95
113
-18
83avg 66
A21/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 66
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
72-116
72
116
-44
55avg 66
H08/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
93-69
93
69
+24
90avg 66
H10/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
14-28
20-16
13-23
19-17
23-24
17-22
18-14
17-22
21-18
21-22
15-12
19-23
20-11
23-20
20-25
27-23
21-24
21-18
27-31
17-24
20-33
13-16
24-24
24-28
19-24
26-33
26-28
20-21
25-21
12-15
26-22
18-27
18-32
18-23
18-34
27-20
22-19
18-13
26-17
178.2Avg total
84.7Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)79.388.2167.5-8.828%
Season at home (18)79.686.2165.8-6.733%
Season away (18)79.190.1169.2-11.022%
Last 10 (10)84.793.5178.2-8.840%
Last 5 (5)83.494.8178.2-11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)79.989.8169.7-9.933%
vs Similar (4)79.583.2162.8-3.80%
vs Weaker (2)98.592.0190.5+6.5100%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Bauru
#5
L
72-74
72
74
-2
72avg 80
A19/03
NBB
Franca
#1
W
88-73
88
73
+15
83avg 80
A21/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
81-68
81
68
+13
81avg 80
H26/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 80
H29/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
90-82
90
82
+8
84avg 80
A31/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
93-73
93
73
+20
88avg 80
A02/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
88-58
88
58
+30
90avg 80
H06/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
73-59
73
59
+14
67avg 80
H08/04
NBB
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
90-87
90
87
+3
84avg 80
A13/04
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
80-92
80
92
-12
62avg 80
H15/04
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
15-17
11-21
17-17
36-19
16-20
16-12
20-22
18-18
22-18
23-14
18-18
30-23
22-21
22-14
14-20
23-19
21-19
23-20
23-24
29-11
22-15
21-21
21-26
23-19
25-10
19-8
21-21
17-12
15-18
26-12
15-17
21-11
26-19
12-29
31-28
12-28
21-22
26-20
21-22
158.7Avg total
84.3Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)85.073.1158.1+12.086%
Season at home (18)85.668.4154.0+17.294%
Season away (18)84.477.7162.2+6.778%
Last 10 (10)84.374.4158.7+9.980%
Last 5 (5)84.873.8158.6+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)83.884.0167.8-0.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.271.8158.0+14.592%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.4-1.4
BotafogoFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H29/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H05/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A10/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
37-57
37
57
-20
A19/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A21/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H25/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
36-59
36
59
-23
H08/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H10/04
NBB
87.8Avg total
41.0Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.344.785.0-4.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.744.286.9-1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)37.945.183.1-7.240%-
Last 10 (10)41.046.887.8-5.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.049.891.8-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)39.645.785.3-6.138%-
vs Similar (4)39.839.579.2+0.250%-
vs Weaker (2)50.542.593.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#5
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A19/03
NBB
Franca
#1
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A21/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H26/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H29/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A31/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
51-26
51
26
+25
A02/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H06/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H08/04
NBB
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A13/04
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H15/04
Champions League Americas
80.1Avg total
44.3Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.235.279.4+9.183%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.133.277.3+10.993%-
Last 30 away (15)44.437.181.5+7.373%-
Last 10 (10)44.335.880.1+8.590%-
Last 5 (5)42.233.075.2+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)41.839.681.4+2.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.334.478.7+9.988%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.0
47.4%
51.8%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.3
35.0%
33.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.914.3
71.9%
72.6%14.3
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.5
55.7%
51.8%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.5
37.4%
33.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.011.1
74.0%
72.6%11.1
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
WLWLLWWLLL
Flamengo
LWWWWWWWWL
#15
League position
#2
-17.3
Net rating
+13.5
103.2
Offensive rating
114.0
120.5
Defensive rating
100.5
49.7%
Effective FG%
55.9%
60.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.9%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.0%
3-point %
37.4%
61.9%
Assist %
56.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 114.0Defence120.5 · 100.5Shooting49.7% · 55.9%3-point %35.0% · 37.4%Ball care16.8% · 16.9%Off. rebounds24.6% · 29.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Botafogo   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Botafogo wins
9
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
06/02/24Botafogo v Flamengo78-102
07/11/23Flamengo v Botafogo92-69
25/11/19Flamengo v Botafogo81-72
15/05/19Botafogo v Flamengo75-90
11/05/19Flamengo v Botafogo77-81
09/05/19Flamengo v Botafogo81-69
04/05/19Botafogo v Flamengo77-79
02/03/19Botafogo v Flamengo67-73
07/12/18Flamengo v Botafogo102-73
12/03/18Botafogo v Flamengo84-90
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/24HPinheiros93-69
08/04/24HCorinthians Paulista72-116
25/03/24HSao Paulo83-79
21/03/24ABauru95-113
19/03/24AFranca74-97
10/03/24ABrasilia108-106 OT
08/03/24ACerrado82-79
05/03/24HMogi84-87 OT
29/02/24HSao Jose90-93 OT
16/02/24AUnifacisa66-96
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/24HQuimsa80-92
13/04/24AHalcones de Xalapa90-87
08/04/24HPinheiros73-59
06/04/24HCorinthians Paulista88-58
02/04/24ACearense93-73
31/03/24AUnifacisa90-82
29/03/24HSao Paulo88-78
26/03/24HPaulistano81-68
21/03/24AFranca88-73
19/03/24ABauru72-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW28%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLWWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %28%33%22%
Points / game79.379.679.1
Allowed / game88.286.290.1
Point differential-8.8-6.7-11.0
Avg total167.5165.8169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)57% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %8%11%6%
Flamengo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWLWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %86%94%78%
Points / game85.085.684.4
Allowed / game73.168.477.7
Point differential+12.0+17.2+6.7
Avg total158.1154.0162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%78%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3732586%88.176.4+11.7
2 Flamengo3631586%85.073.1+12.0
3 Minas3729878%86.073.8+12.2
4 Vasco37251268%75.472.6+2.7
5 Bauru36241267%81.978.9+3.0
6 Paulistano37231462%75.970.2+5.6
7 Unifacisa37231462%84.780.0+4.6
8 Cearense36201656%78.977.3+1.6
9 Sao Jose36191753%79.378.1+1.2
10 Corinthians Paulista37191851%81.280.1+1.2
11 Sao Paulo37191851%79.079.5-0.5
12 Pato36171947%78.279.4-1.1
13 Pinheiros37152241%73.877.2-3.4
14 Botafogo36102628%79.388.2-8.8
15 Mogi37102727%73.479.3-5.9
16 Uniao Corinthians37102727%74.783.9-9.2
17 Cerrado3682822%74.978.0-3.1
18 Caxias do Sul3682822%72.581.5-9.0
19 Brasilia3653114%73.588.9-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo1520242887
Flamengo2729231392
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