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Penarol vs Defensor Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 80-74
27-26 12-22 16-10 25-16
Position#3
Record17-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game74.5
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#5
Record12-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game82.5
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Palacio Penarol
Other2024-25
Meetings · Penarol v Defensor
05 Nov 2026
PENA v DEFE
upcoming
26 May 2026
PENA93
DEFE81
19 May 2026
PENA101
DEFE51
12 Mar 2026
PENA88
DEFE80
20 Nov 2025
PENA85
DEFE72
24 Apr 2025
PENA78
DEFE84
16 Apr 2025
PENA76
DEFE95
07 Apr 2025
PENA76
DEFE71
13 Mar 2025
PENA80
DEFE74
19 Dec 2024
PENA70
DEFE64
27 May 2024
PENA103
DEFE66
21 May 2024
PENA76
DEFE80
13 May 2024
PENA89
DEFE74
21 Mar 2024
PENA69
DEFE72
20 Jan 2024
PENA81
DEFE64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Defensor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
L
85-89
85
89
-4
78avg 78
H19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
79-70
79
70
+9
73avg 78
H25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
93-75
93
75
+18
94avg 78
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
104-92
104
92
+12
99avg 78
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
83-80
83
80
+3
83avg 78
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
88-59
88
59
+29
84avg 78
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
83-72
83
72
+11
82avg 78
A14/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
85-84
85
84
+1
78avg 78
A01/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
82-68
82
68
+14
82avg 78
H05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
57avg 78
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
17-26
25-22
20-17
15-21
19-16
20-16
25-17
23-16
22-24
21-18
27-17
31-23
30-19
17-25
26-25
17-9
24-29
28-23
14-19
22-9
23-13
21-13
22-24
27-24
19-16
29-16
8-16
26-26
25-14
20-21
14-23
27-14
13-17
20-19
22-18
18-26
25-14
9-26
20-24
163.3Avg total
85.4Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.174.5158.6+9.674%
Season at home (11)81.972.1154.0+9.882%
Season away (12)86.176.7162.8+9.467%
Last 10 (10)85.477.9163.3+7.580%
Last 5 (5)82.074.6156.6+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.386.3164.7-8.00%
vs Similar (9)78.079.6157.6-1.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.571.2158.7+16.394%
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Urupan
#10
W
91-66
91
66
+25
96avg 76
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
81-79
81
79
+2
75avg 76
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
81-96
81
96
-15
72avg 76
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
80avg 76
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
87-80
87
80
+7
80avg 76
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
112-77
112
77
+35
113avg 76
H08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
93-84
93
84
+9
86avg 76
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
84-85
84
85
-1
77avg 76
H01/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
92-94
92
94
-2
78avg 76
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
88-78
88
78
+10
88avg 76
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-11
31-23
16-16
17-16
27-28
22-18
22-17
10-16
17-23
19-16
26-26
19-31
25-16
15-18
22-23
18-23
14-15
26-26
17-21
30-18
29-17
23-23
30-22
30-15
24-21
22-22
28-19
19-22
26-26
14-25
21-20
23-14
19-22
20-26
28-24
25-22
28-29
22-19
26-10
12-20
172.4Avg total
89.5Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.782.5170.2+5.152%
Season at home (12)90.178.8168.9+11.267%
Season away (11)85.086.5171.5-1.536%
Last 10 (10)89.582.9172.4+6.660%
Last 5 (5)93.883.6177.4+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.785.5162.2-8.718%
vs Similar (6)87.778.3166.0+9.383%
vs Weaker (13)92.280.8173.0+11.569%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
PenarolDefensor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
61-42
61
42
+19
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A14/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A01/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
82.6Avg total
44.6Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.637.981.5+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.137.378.4+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)46.138.584.5+7.680%-
Last 10 (10)44.638.082.6+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)45.034.679.6+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.743.385.0-1.767%-
vs Similar (9)40.739.079.7+1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.436.481.8+9.089%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urupan
#10
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H01/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
87.4Avg total
45.0Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.540.784.2+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.439.584.9+5.953%-
Last 30 away (15)41.741.883.5-0.160%-
Last 10 (10)45.042.487.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.446.091.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.142.080.1-3.927%-
vs Similar (6)45.043.088.0+2.067%-
vs Weaker (13)47.538.585.9+9.077%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.622.1
53.1%
51.5%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.7
35.5%
33.0%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.611.3
68.1%
71.7%11.3
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 88.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.522.5
54.2%
51.5%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.7
33.1%
33.0%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.714.6
78.1%
71.7%14.6
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
LWWWWWWWWL
Defensor
WLLWWWLLWW
#3
League position
#5
+9.5
Net rating
+8.7
107.7
Offensive rating
113.3
98.1
Defensive rating
104.6
53.2%
Effective FG%
52.3%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
16.8%
Turnover %
13.7%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.5%
3-point %
33.1%
65.4%
Assist %
61.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 113.3Defence98.1 · 104.6Shooting53.2% · 52.3%3-point %35.5% · 33.1%Ball care16.8% · 13.7%Off. rebounds28.1% · 29.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Penarol   ■ Defensor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Penarol wins
3
Defensor wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Defensor v Penarol84-85
20/12/24Penarol v Defensor70-64
28/05/24Penarol v Defensor103-66
24/05/24Defensor v Penarol61-80
22/05/24Penarol v Defensor76-80
17/05/24Defensor v Penarol87-68
14/05/24Penarol v Defensor89-74
02/04/24Defensor v Penarol67-83
22/03/24Penarol v Defensor69-72
20/01/24Penarol v Defensor81-64
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/25ANacional72-90
05/03/25HHebraica y Macabi82-68
01/03/25ADefensor85-84
14/02/25ABigua83-72
12/02/25HWelcome88-59
03/02/25AUrunday83-80
30/01/25ACordon104-92
27/01/25HTrouville93-75
25/01/25HMalvin79-70
19/01/25HNacional85-89
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/25HCordon88-78
04/03/25AUrupan92-94
01/03/25HPenarol84-85
12/02/25ATrouville93-84
08/02/25HWelcome112-77
04/02/25HMalvin87-80
31/01/25HHebraica y Macabi86-90 OT
27/01/25ANacional81-96
24/01/25ABigua81-79
20/01/25HUrupan91-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL74%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%82%67%
Points / game84.181.986.1
Allowed / game74.572.176.7
Point differential+9.6+9.8+9.4
Avg total158.6154.0162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%36%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWWLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %52%67%36%
Points / game87.790.185.0
Allowed / game82.578.886.5
Point differential+5.1+11.2-1.5
Avg total170.2168.9171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %9%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional2321291%94.278.0+16.1
2 Aguada2318578%89.580.3+9.2
3 Penarol2317674%84.174.5+9.6
4 Malvin2315865%81.176.9+4.2
5 Defensor23121152%87.782.5+5.1
6 Bigua24111346%85.085.7-0.8
7 Cordon23101343%82.985.7-2.8
8 Hebraica y Macabi24101442%84.787.4-2.7
9 Urupan2491538%81.387.0-5.7
10 Urunday2481633%80.386.2-5.9
11 Welcome2461825%78.293.6-15.5
12 Trouville2442017%74.383.6-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2712162580
Defensor2622101674
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