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Penarol vs Malvin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 96-68
24-20 27-20 24-16 21-12
Position#1
Record24-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game75.9
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#4
Record18-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game81.5
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Palacio Penarol
Other2025-26
Meetings · Penarol v Malvin
28 Apr 2026
PENA96
MALV68
16 Oct 2025
PENA89
MALV79
27 Mar 2025
PENA82
MALV73
24 Jan 2025
PENA79
MALV70
12 Jan 2024
PENA82
MALV58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Malvin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Bigua
#5
W
98-76
98
76
+22
94avg 85
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
100-83
100
83
+17
100avg 85
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
68avg 85
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
88-80
88
80
+8
79avg 85
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
96-67
96
67
+29
96avg 85
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
97-87 OT
97
87
+10
101avg 85
A26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
71-78
71
78
-7
66avg 85
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
84-92 OT
84
92
-8
78avg 85
A11/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
103-95
103
95
+8
100avg 85
H18/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
84-82
84
82
+2
71avg 85
A23/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-19
18-22
19-15
30-20
23-28
23-21
28-19
26-15
20-22
19-30
25-14
16-20
20-25
23-20
20-18
25-17
19-17
25-15
26-20
26-15
20-23
22-16
17-23
22-19
20-17
17-25
16-20
18-16
24-16
23-21
10-26
19-13
24-17
34-21
24-25
21-32
23-20
20-19
21-15
20-28
172.7Avg total
90.1Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)87.975.9163.8+11.980%
Season at home (14)91.177.0168.1+14.193%
Season away (16)85.175.0160.1+10.169%
Last 10 (10)90.182.6172.7+7.570%
Last 5 (5)87.886.8174.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)87.975.9163.8+11.980%
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
83-87
83
87
-4
76avg 70
A11/02
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
79-73
79
73
+6
76avg 70
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
90-76
90
76
+14
93avg 70
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
85-83
85
83
+2
76avg 70
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
67-96
67
96
-29
58avg 70
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
90-88
90
88
+2
86avg 70
A24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
64-88
64
88
-24
52avg 70
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
69-71
69
71
-2
65avg 70
H30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
59avg 70
A11/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
66avg 70
A15/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-24
23-19
15-13
15-31
22-30
15-13
20-16
22-14
26-17
17-23
33-9
14-27
22-18
24-19
21-30
18-16
17-19
15-25
20-26
15-26
20-27
27-16
24-22
19-23
20-26
13-21
14-23
17-18
14-21
18-18
20-18
17-14
15-26
17-21
22-21
19-16
17-10
11-19
16-21
25-19
160.5Avg total
78.0Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.681.5162.0-0.960%
Season at home (15)80.378.5158.8+1.973%
Season away (15)80.884.5165.3-3.747%
Last 10 (10)78.082.5160.5-4.550%
Last 5 (5)75.282.0157.2-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.284.1158.3-9.930%
vs Similar (16)82.278.4160.6+3.875%
vs Weaker (4)90.087.0177.0+3.075%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
PenarolMalvin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#5
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A11/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H18/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A23/04
Liga Uruguaya
86.2Avg total
44.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.638.684.2+6.970%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.638.484.9+8.271%-
Last 30 away (16)44.738.983.6+5.869%-
Last 10 (10)44.841.486.2+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)45.439.084.4+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)45.638.684.2+6.970%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A11/02
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H19/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A24/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A11/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A15/04
Liga Uruguaya
79.5Avg total
38.3Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.982.8-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.141.282.3-0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)40.742.683.3-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.279.5-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.441.075.4-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.842.981.7-4.140%-
vs Similar (16)40.440.180.5+0.256%-
vs Weaker (4)48.246.594.8+1.850%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.823.3
60.1%
53.3%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.29.5
30.4%
33.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.115.0
71.1%
70.9%15.0
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.8
54.1%
53.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.9
33.2%
33.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.211.5
71.0%
70.9%11.5
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WWLLWWWLWW
Malvin
WLLLWLWWWL
#1
League position
#4
+8.3
Net rating
-5.1
99.5
Offensive rating
91.8
91.2
Defensive rating
96.9
53.6%
Effective FG%
52.3%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
14.3%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.4%
3-point %
33.2%
64.3%
Assist %
56.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 91.8Defence91.2 · 96.9Shooting53.6% · 52.3%3-point %30.4% · 33.2%Ball care14.3% · 14.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Penarol   ■ Malvin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Penarol wins
2
Malvin wins
DateGameScore
19/03/26Malvin v Penarol67-96
16/12/25Malvin v Penarol67-89
17/10/25Penarol v Malvin89-79
28/03/25Penarol v Malvin82-73 OT
25/01/25Penarol v Malvin79-70
07/11/24Malvin v Penarol75-73
13/01/24Penarol v Malvin82-58
14/11/23Malvin v Penarol83-82
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/26ANacional84-82
18/04/26HAguada103-95
11/04/26ADefensor84-92 OT
09/04/26HNacional71-78
26/03/26AHebraica y Macabi97-87 OT
19/03/26AMalvin96-67
13/03/26HDefensor88-80
10/03/26AAguada80-86
19/02/26AUrunday100-83
09/02/26HBigua98-76
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/26ADefensor80-79 OT
11/04/26AHebraica y Macabi73-84
30/03/26HNacional69-71
27/03/26AAguada64-88
24/03/26ANacional90-88
19/03/26HPenarol67-96
17/03/26HDefensor85-83
12/03/26HHebraica y Macabi90-76
19/02/26HUnion Atletica79-73
11/02/26AHebraica y Macabi83-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW80%
HomeWWWLW93%
AwayLWWLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %80%93%69%
Points / game87.991.185.1
Allowed / game75.977.075.0
Point differential+11.9+14.1+10.1
Avg total163.8168.1160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%71%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW60%
HomeWWWLL73%
AwayLWLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %60%73%47%
Points / game80.680.380.8
Allowed / game81.578.584.5
Point differential-0.9+1.9-3.7
Avg total162.0158.8165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)80% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol3024680%87.975.9+11.9
2 Nacional30201067%91.382.2+9.1
3 Aguada30201067%92.186.9+5.2
4 Malvin30181260%80.681.5-0.9
5 Bigua28161257%89.087.2+1.7
6 Hebraica y Macabi30161453%84.584.6-0.2
7 Union Atletica28141450%83.582.6+0.9
8 Urunday27131448%89.385.3+4.0
9 Defensor30141647%85.285.2+0.0
10 Goes2791833%83.789.1-5.4
11 Cordon2852318%80.894.4-13.6
12 Welcome2842414%81.195.8-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2427242196
Malvin2020161268
← all games of the day
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