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Perth vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 111-121
30-29 23-26 38-33 20-33
Position#3
Record8-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game94.0
vs
Position#1
Record8-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game88.5
AustraliaNBLRound 11· RAC Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Perth v Illawarra Hawks
14 Nov 2026
PERT v ILLA
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
PERT98
ILLA105
16 Jan 2026
PERT92
ILLA87
25 Oct 2025
PERT84
ILLA85
02 Oct 2025
PERT92
ILLA84
06 Dec 2024
PERT111
ILLA121
01 Nov 2024
PERT113
ILLA105
25 Jan 2024
PERT77
ILLA95
27 Jan 2023
PERT106
ILLA86
08 Oct 2022
PERT77
ILLA71
22 Apr 2022
PERT77
ILLA82
14 Jun 2021
PERT79
ILLA71
10 Jun 2021
PERT72
ILLA74
16 Apr 2021
PERT83
ILLA69
26 Mar 2021
PERT81
ILLA70
11 Oct 2019
PERT103
ILLA76
01 Feb 2019
PERT104
ILLA90
14 Oct 2018
PERT101
ILLA61
26 Oct 2017
PERT105
ILLA74
13 Oct 2017
PERT74
ILLA64
05 Mar 2017
PERT95
ILLA86
26 Feb 2017
PERT89
ILLA77
27 Nov 2016
PERT85
ILLA89
21 Oct 2016
PERT80
ILLA73
26 Feb 2016
PERT89
ILLA74
19 Feb 2016
PERT80
ILLA68
21 Jan 2016
PERT95
ILLA72
31 Oct 2015
PERT91
ILLA62
05 Dec 2014
PERT79
ILLA55
17 Oct 2014
PERT69
ILLA59
28 Mar 2014
PERT91
ILLA79
23 Mar 2014
PERT86
ILLA65
01 Nov 2013
PERT87
ILLA47
28 Mar 2013
PERT93
ILLA65
03 Feb 2013
PERT80
ILLA52
07 Dec 2012
PERT80
ILLA68
05 Nov 2011
PERT87
ILLA71
14 Jan 2011
PERT92
ILLA58
29 Oct 2010
PERT87
ILLA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 85
A19/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
87-84
87
84
+3
76avg 85
H25/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
113-105
113
105
+8
112avg 85
H01/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
76-100
76
100
-24
61avg 85
A03/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
88-82
88
82
+6
80avg 85
H07/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
97-106
97
106
-9
92avg 85
A09/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
97-84
97
84
+13
92avg 85
H15/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
84-105
84
105
-21
64avg 85
A17/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
117-89
117
89
+28
118avg 85
H29/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
123-112
123
112
+11
114avg 85
H01/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
21-17
19-27
27-21
21-21
20-23
24-16
22-24
39-31
23-22
27-30
24-22
23-35
21-19
16-27
16-19
27-27
20-24
21-14
20-17
29-31
36-20
12-32
20-23
18-26
40-22
18-12
21-24
26-25
13-22
26-27
19-31
31-24
32-22
28-13
26-30
42-24
27-24
24-37
30-27
192.3Avg total
96.7Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)93.194.0187.1-0.953%
Season at home (9)98.493.2191.7+5.278%
Season away (6)85.295.2180.3-10.017%
Last 10 (10)96.795.6192.3+1.160%
Last 5 (5)103.699.2202.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)113.0105.0218.0+8.0100%
vs Similar (16)88.594.9183.4-6.438%
vs Weaker (13)100.790.5191.2+10.277%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#6
L
100-102
100
102
-2
86avg 87
H05/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
109-76
109
76
+33
98avg 87
H12/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
87-75
87
75
+12
79avg 87
A19/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
87-92
87
92
-5
68avg 87
H24/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 87
A26/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
105-113
105
113
-8
94avg 87
A01/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
79-93
79
93
-14
70avg 87
A10/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
86-79
86
79
+7
83avg 87
H16/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
109-71
109
71
+38
103avg 87
H28/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
100-103
100
103
-3
96avg 87
A30/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-27
22-25
27-29
19-21
32-17
25-22
27-13
25-24
17-24
23-14
19-20
28-17
21-18
16-22
21-19
29-33
15-19
30-20
29-26
14-17
31-39
22-23
30-27
22-24
22-26
19-24
26-26
12-17
22-22
22-13
23-19
19-25
32-12
20-17
20-27
37-15
31-21
28-31
17-26
24-25
183.6Avg total
95.0Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)97.088.5185.5+8.562%
Season at home (6)100.786.8187.5+13.867%
Season away (7)93.990.0183.9+3.957%
Last 10 (10)95.088.6183.6+6.450%
Last 5 (5)95.891.8187.6+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)83.6102.1185.7-18.512%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (13)97.088.5185.5+8.562%
This opponent (Perth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
PerthIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A19/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H25/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H01/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A03/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H07/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
65-51
65
51
+14
A09/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H15/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A17/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
63-46
63
46
+17
H29/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
69-48
69
48
+21
H01/12
NBL
101.0Avg total
52.7Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.747.997.6+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.448.298.6+2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)48.847.696.4+1.257%-
Last 10 (10)52.748.3101.0+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)58.848.0106.8+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)62.053.0115.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar (16)46.950.697.4-3.738%-
vs Weaker (13)52.244.296.4+7.969%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#6
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H05/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H12/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A19/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A26/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A01/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A10/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H16/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H28/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A30/11
NBL
91.8Avg total
48.2Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.347.992.1-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.647.091.6-2.433%-
Last 30 away (15)43.948.792.7-4.847%-
Last 10 (10)48.243.691.8+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)49.845.695.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)40.349.990.2-9.618%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (13)49.545.294.7+4.269%-
This opponent (Perth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 96.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.923.0
51.2%
52.3%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.5
36.3%
35.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws22.918.6
81.2%
74.7%18.6
They take 73.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 94.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.225.1
54.3%
52.3%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.9
37.4%
35.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.114.1
70.1%
74.7%14.1
They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
WWLWLWLWWL
Illawarra Hawks
LWWLLWLWWL
#3
League position
#1
+2.1
Net rating
+7.8
117.1
Offensive rating
115.1
115.1
Defensive rating
107.3
52.5%
Effective FG%
55.0%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
14.4%
Turnover %
13.1%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.3%
3-point %
37.4%
56.7%
Assist %
49.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.1 · 115.1Defence115.1 · 107.3Shooting52.5% · 55.0%3-point %36.3% · 37.4%Ball care14.4% · 13.1%Off. rebounds33.2% · 25.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Perth   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Perth wins
4
Illawarra Hawks wins
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24HNew Zealand Breakers123-112
29/11/24HBrisbane Bullets117-89
17/11/24ABrisbane Bullets84-105
15/11/24HSouth East Melbourne97-84
09/11/24AMelbourne United97-106
07/11/24HTasmania JackJumpers88-82
03/11/24ASouth East Melbourne76-100
01/11/24HIllawarra Hawks113-105
25/10/24HSydney87-84
19/10/24ANew Zealand Breakers85-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24ASouth East Melbourne100-103
28/11/24HNew Zealand Breakers109-71
16/11/24HSydney86-79
10/11/24AAdelaide79-93
01/11/24APerth105-113
26/10/24ASouth East Melbourne88-82
24/10/24HMelbourne United87-92
19/10/24ACairns Taipans87-75
12/10/24HTasmania JackJumpers109-76
05/10/24HAdelaide100-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW53%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %53%78%17%
Points / game93.198.485.2
Allowed / game94.093.295.2
Point differential-0.9+5.2-10.0
Avg total187.1191.7180.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%17%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL62%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWWLLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%67%57%
Points / game97.0100.793.9
Allowed / game88.586.890.0
Point differential+8.5+13.8+3.9
Avg total185.5187.5183.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1612475%95.887.0+8.8
2 Illawarra Hawks138562%97.088.5+8.5
3 New Zealand Breakers137654%85.088.8-3.8
4 Sydney158753%86.983.3+3.6
5 Perth158753%93.194.0-0.9
6 Tasmania JackJumpers157847%80.183.2-3.1
7 Adelaide136746%88.893.6-4.8
8 South East Melbourne146843%87.485.4+2.1
9 Brisbane Bullets125742%91.993.9-2.0
10 Cairns Taipans1431121%82.492.3-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth30233820111
Illawarra Hawks29263333121
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