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Perth vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 05:30
Final 73-74
24-12 16-26 12-12 21-24
Position#5
Record16-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game86.1
vs
Position#4
Record17-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game87.9
AustraliaNBLRound 18· RAC Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Perth v Melbourne United
16 Dec 2026
PERT v MELB
upcoming
23 Oct 2026
PERT103
MELB102
07 Mar 2026
PERT95
MELB77
25 Jan 2026
PERT73
MELB74
04 Dec 2025
PERT96
MELB84
01 Mar 2025
PERT96
MELB89
22 Jan 2025
PERT93
MELB99
04 Oct 2024
PERT68
MELB97
13 Oct 2023
PERT81
MELB88
12 Dec 2022
PERT90
MELB89
14 Oct 2022
PERT81
MELB84
04 Apr 2022
PERT75
MELB84
18 Jun 2021
PERT70
MELB73
04 Jun 2021
PERT64
MELB78
13 May 2021
PERT91
MELB99
21 Dec 2019
PERT74
MELB87
05 Oct 2019
PERT94
MELB93
15 Mar 2019
PERT96
MELB67
08 Mar 2019
PERT81
MELB71
20 Jan 2019
PERT84
MELB79
27 Oct 2018
PERT101
MELB96
12 Jan 2018
PERT80
MELB82
20 Oct 2017
PERT89
MELB84
28 Jan 2017
PERT73
MELB71
09 Dec 2016
PERT92
MELB89
29 Jan 2016
PERT85
MELB91
10 Dec 2015
PERT113
MELB83
21 Jan 2015
PERT78
MELB86
09 Nov 2014
PERT68
MELB59
21 Feb 2014
PERT87
MELB75
24 Jan 2014
PERT80
MELB83
21 Feb 2013
PERT78
MELB58
13 Jan 2013
PERT73
MELB58
06 Jan 2012
PERT72
MELB67
14 Oct 2011
PERT92
MELB76
07 Jan 2011
PERT86
MELB93
12 Dec 2010
PERT87
MELB76
23 Jan 2010
PERT94
MELB78
25 Oct 2009
PERT93
MELB90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
79-108
79
108
-29
59avg 87
H12/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
86-62
86
62
+24
74avg 87
A14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
76-77
76
77
-1
66avg 87
H18/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
94-85
94
85
+9
82avg 87
A21/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
84-95
84
95
-11
71avg 87
A28/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
95-75
95
75
+20
85avg 87
A01/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
99-91
99
91
+8
94avg 87
A04/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
107-97
107
97
+10
104avg 87
A10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
92-87
92
87
+5
no box
H16/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
106-69
106
69
+37
113avg 87
H22/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
17-18
21-32
16-32
22-13
27-21
16-15
21-13
22-17
18-9
20-31
16-20
19-18
25-24
27-22
23-21
29-20
20-26
9-29
26-20
25-16
15-28
31-11
24-20
28-23
20-22
32-29
19-17
32-26
26-24
21-25
28-22
18-13
26-24
21-21
27-29
30-25
24-18
38-13
14-13
176.4Avg total
91.8Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)90.586.1176.7+4.462%
Season at home (12)89.487.0176.4+2.450%
Season away (14)91.585.4176.9+6.171%
Last 10 (10)91.884.6176.4+7.270%
Last 5 (5)99.883.8183.6+16.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.5101.0176.5-25.50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)95.894.9190.8+0.942%
vs Weaker (16)92.281.9174.1+10.481%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
L
105-114 OT
105
114
-9
87avg 86
A12/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
83avg 86
H14/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
97-75
97
75
+22
89avg 86
H18/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
73-92
73
92
-19
62avg 86
H23/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
92-87
92
87
+5
89avg 86
A27/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
75-84
75
84
-9
63avg 86
A03/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
92-93
92
93
-1
75avg 86
H07/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
94-97
94
97
-3
86avg 86
A11/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
H17/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
98-66
98
66
+32
98avg 86
H21/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
26-32
19-22
28-14
25-24
25-21
20-24
14-15
24-20
23-21
27-26
23-8
19-22
20-20
9-23
25-27
28-26
31-19
21-26
12-16
16-19
19-25
15-19
25-21
22-29
23-14
30-33
17-17
23-26
25-30
25-23
21-18
23-21
20-21
18-17
18-18
29-19
28-17
24-14
17-16
176.8Avg total
89.1Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)93.487.9181.2+5.563%
Season at home (14)93.683.1176.7+10.671%
Season away (13)93.193.0186.1+0.154%
Last 10 (10)89.187.7176.8+1.440%
Last 5 (5)87.683.4171.0+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)91.092.6183.6-1.629%
vs Similar ◀ (7)92.793.1185.9-0.457%
vs Weaker (16)93.383.9177.2+9.475%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.0+3.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.0+3.0
PerthMelbourne United
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H12/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H18/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A28/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A01/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A04/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A10/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H16/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H22/01
NBL
87.9Avg total
46.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.144.892.0+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.444.190.5+2.464%-
Last 30 away (16)47.845.593.2+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)46.841.187.9+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)48.843.892.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.547.090.5-3.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)50.447.998.3+2.558%-
vs Weaker (16)45.142.287.4+2.969%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A12/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H14/12
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H18/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H23/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A27/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A03/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H07/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A11/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H17/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H21/01
NBL
92.4Avg total
47.1Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.644.792.3+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.539.787.1+7.887%-
Last 30 away (15)47.749.797.4-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)47.145.392.4+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)45.644.289.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)45.948.194.0-2.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)46.450.096.4-3.657%-
vs Weaker (16)48.940.889.7+8.181%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.7
52.4%
54.6%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.3
36.9%
33.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.014.8
74.0%
74.8%14.8
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.022.8
51.8%
54.6%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.9
31.2%
33.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws21.316.7
78.4%
74.8%16.7
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
WWWWWLWLWL
Melbourne United
WWLLLWLWLL
#5
League position
#4
+7.6
Net rating
-1.2
113.7
Offensive rating
106.5
106.0
Defensive rating
107.7
53.6%
Effective FG%
49.9%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
13.8%
Turnover %
15.3%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.9%
3-point %
31.2%
54.8%
Assist %
58.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.7 · 106.5Defence106.0 · 107.7Shooting53.6% · 49.9%3-point %36.9% · 31.2%Ball care13.8% · 15.3%Off. rebounds33.5% · 31.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Perth   ■ Melbourne United
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Perth wins
7
Melbourne United wins
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26HCairns Taipans106-69
16/01/26HIllawarra Hawks92-87
10/01/26ASouth East Melbourne107-97
04/01/26ANew Zealand Breakers99-91
01/01/26ABrisbane Bullets95-75
28/12/25AAdelaide84-95
21/12/25ATasmania JackJumpers94-85
18/12/25HSouth East Melbourne76-77
14/12/25ABrisbane Bullets86-62
12/12/25HSydney79-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26HBrisbane Bullets98-66
17/01/26HTasmania JackJumpers79-77
11/01/26ASydney94-97
07/01/26HCairns Taipans92-93
03/01/26ATasmania JackJumpers75-84
27/12/25ABrisbane Bullets92-87
23/12/25HTasmania JackJumpers73-92
18/12/25HIllawarra Hawks97-75
14/12/25HSydney86-92 OT
12/12/25AAdelaide105-114 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %62%50%71%
Points / game90.589.491.5
Allowed / game86.187.085.4
Point differential+4.4+2.4+6.1
Avg total176.7176.4176.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%25%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)20% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne United
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW63%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayLLWLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %63%71%54%
Points / game93.493.693.1
Allowed / game87.983.193.0
Point differential+5.5+10.6+0.1
Avg total181.2176.7186.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide2720774%92.887.7+5.1
2 South East Melbourne2719870%100.892.1+8.7
3 Sydney2718967%96.186.7+9.4
4 Melbourne United27171063%93.487.9+5.5
5 Perth26161062%90.586.1+4.4
6 Tasmania JackJumpers28121643%85.885.9-0.2
7 New Zealand Breakers27101737%90.592.1-1.6
8 Illawarra Hawks2591636%90.696.6-6.0
9 Cairns Taipans2772026%82.797.1-14.4
10 Brisbane Bullets2762122%84.095.2-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth2416122173
Melbourne United1226122474
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