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Perth vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 103-102
25-26 21-22 31-31 26-23
Position#7
Record4-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game94.0
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#3
Record3-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game90.0
AustraliaNBLRound 6· RAC Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Perth v Melbourne United
16 Dec 2026
PERT v MELB
upcoming
23 Oct 2026
PERT103
MELB102
07 Mar 2026
PERT95
MELB77
25 Jan 2026
PERT73
MELB74
04 Dec 2025
PERT96
MELB84
01 Mar 2025
PERT96
MELB89
22 Jan 2025
PERT93
MELB99
04 Oct 2024
PERT68
MELB97
13 Oct 2023
PERT81
MELB88
12 Dec 2022
PERT90
MELB89
14 Oct 2022
PERT81
MELB84
04 Apr 2022
PERT75
MELB84
18 Jun 2021
PERT70
MELB73
04 Jun 2021
PERT64
MELB78
13 May 2021
PERT91
MELB99
21 Dec 2019
PERT74
MELB87
05 Oct 2019
PERT94
MELB93
15 Mar 2019
PERT96
MELB67
08 Mar 2019
PERT81
MELB71
20 Jan 2019
PERT84
MELB79
27 Oct 2018
PERT101
MELB96
12 Jan 2018
PERT80
MELB82
20 Oct 2017
PERT89
MELB84
28 Jan 2017
PERT73
MELB71
09 Dec 2016
PERT92
MELB89
29 Jan 2016
PERT85
MELB91
10 Dec 2015
PERT113
MELB83
21 Jan 2015
PERT78
MELB86
09 Nov 2014
PERT68
MELB59
21 Feb 2014
PERT87
MELB75
24 Jan 2014
PERT80
MELB83
21 Feb 2013
PERT78
MELB58
13 Jan 2013
PERT73
MELB58
06 Jan 2012
PERT72
MELB67
14 Oct 2011
PERT92
MELB76
07 Jan 2011
PERT86
MELB93
12 Dec 2010
PERT87
MELB76
23 Jan 2010
PERT94
MELB78
25 Oct 2009
PERT93
MELB90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne United winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
L
94-111
94
111
-17
93avg 82
A04/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
95-77
95
77
+18
94avg 82
H07/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
104-105
104
105
-1
95avg 82
A11/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
65avg 82
H14/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
79-100
79
100
-21
49avg 82
H19/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
98-97
98
97
+1
97avg 82
H24/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
97-93
97
93
+4
90avg 82
H26/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
W
92-88
92
88
+4
88avg 82
H02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
100-84
100
84
+16
75avg 82
H10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
81-102
81
102
-21
73avg 82
A17/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-35
18-29
17-22
30-25
22-19
22-34
23-10
28-14
24-22
20-26
31-25
29-32
23-22
23-21
13-17
16-29
24-19
13-30
25-16
17-35
30-20
18-28
22-29
28-20
22-26
25-25
29-22
21-20
26-24
22-22
22-21
22-21
21-22
20-16
29-28
30-18
21-31
22-21
20-24
18-26
186.1Avg total
91.5Scored
94.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.294.0185.2-2.867%
Season at home (5)93.292.4185.6+0.880%
Season away (1)81.0102.0183.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)91.594.6186.1-3.150%
Last 5 (5)93.692.8186.4+0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)84.999.1184.0-14.314%
vs Similar (14)92.089.2181.2+2.857%
vs Weaker (9)96.780.8177.4+15.9100%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
W
95-91
95
91
+4
88avg 80
H19/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
82-68
82
68
+14
81avg 80
H05/03
NBL
Perth
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
54avg 80
A07/03
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
95-97
95
97
-2
85avg 80
H19/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
W
86-61
86
61
+25
78avg 80
A24/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
82-84
82
84
-2
69avg 80
A01/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
95-107
95
107
-12
82avg 80
H03/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
96-91
96
91
+5
93avg 80
A07/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
W
104-99
104
99
+5
102avg 80
A10/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
L
89-91
89
91
-2
81avg 80
H18/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-23
19-19
16-30
27-19
15-17
25-14
16-24
26-13
19-22
34-22
10-23
14-28
23-25
25-24
22-26
25-22
16-14
29-21
24-22
17-4
14-23
21-29
19-16
28-16
14-18
32-29
35-25
14-35
31-21
25-17
20-21
20-32
17-30
28-23
29-21
30-25
27-21
16-35
22-22
24-13
178.5Avg total
90.1Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)92.490.0182.4+2.443%
Season at home (3)93.098.3191.3-5.30%
Season away (4)92.083.8175.8+8.275%
Last 10 (10)90.188.4178.5+1.750%
Last 5 (5)93.294.4187.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.094.5184.5-4.50%
vs Similar (9)86.393.1179.4-6.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)91.287.6178.8+3.558%
This opponent (Perth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.8+1.8
PerthMelbourne United
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A04/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H07/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A11/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H14/03
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H19/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H24/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H26/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A17/10
NBL
93.7Avg total
44.5Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.644.891.4+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.442.288.6+4.267%-
Last 30 away (12)46.848.895.6-1.942%-
Last 10 (10)44.549.293.7-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)45.447.092.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)43.648.191.7-4.629%-
vs Similar (14)47.445.192.6+2.357%-
vs Weaker (9)47.641.889.3+5.878%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#2
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H19/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H05/03
NBL
Perth
#5
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A07/03
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H19/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A24/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A01/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H03/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A07/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A10/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H18/10
NBL
91.0Avg total
46.3Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.246.192.3+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.143.689.7+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)46.348.694.9-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)46.344.791.0+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)45.049.294.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)49.050.599.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (9)44.849.093.8-4.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.644.390.9+2.453%-
This opponent (Perth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.8
55.0%
56.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.8
36.0%
34.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.715.4
78.2%
74.0%15.4
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.123.6
54.8%
56.4%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.4
30.1%
34.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.717.7
74.7%
74.0%17.7
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
LWWWWLLLWL
Melbourne United
LWWLLWLLWW
#7
League position
#3
-6.6
Net rating
+1.8
97.2
Offensive rating
95.7
103.8
Defensive rating
93.9
54.5%
Effective FG%
51.0%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
15.1%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.0%
3-point %
30.1%
65.7%
Assist %
54.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.2 · 95.7Defence103.8 · 93.9Shooting54.5% · 51.0%3-point %36.0% · 30.1%Ball care15.1% · 13.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Perth   ■ Melbourne United
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Perth wins
7
Melbourne United wins
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26ASydney81-102
10/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers100-84
02/10/26HSouth East Melbourne92-88
26/09/26HNew Zealand Breakers97-93
24/09/26HAdelaide98-97
19/09/26HSouth East Melbourne79-100
14/03/26HSydney75-89
11/03/26ASydney104-105
07/03/26HMelbourne United95-77
04/03/26ASouth East Melbourne94-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26HIllawarra Hawks89-91
10/10/26ASouth East Melbourne104-99
07/10/26AAdelaide96-91
03/10/26HCairns Taipans95-107
01/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers82-84
24/09/26ASouth East Melbourne86-61
19/09/26HAdelaide95-97
07/03/26APerth77-95
05/03/26HTasmania JackJumpers82-68
19/02/26HSouth East Melbourne95-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %67%80%0%
Points / game91.293.281.0
Allowed / game94.092.4102.0
Point differential-2.8+0.8-21.0
Avg total185.2185.6183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne United
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL43%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%0%75%
Points / game92.493.092.0
Allowed / game90.098.383.8
Point differential+2.4-5.3+8.2
Avg total182.4191.3175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tasmania JackJumpers86275%98.893.5+5.2
2 Sydney75271%102.088.1+13.9
3 Perth64267%91.294.0-2.8
4 New Zealand Breakers84450%92.189.0+3.1
5 Adelaide84450%88.890.8-2.0
6 Cairns Taipans84450%90.597.5-7.0
7 Melbourne United73443%92.490.0+2.4
8 Brisbane Bullets73443%94.198.6-4.4
9 South East Melbourne83538%96.593.9+2.6
10 Illawarra Hawks92722%96.8105.9-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth25213126103
Melbourne United26223123102
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