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Perth vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 95-77
22-19 22-34 23-10 28-14
Position#5
Record21-13
FormWWLWL
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game86.8
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#4
Record21-13
FormLWLWW
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game87.4
AustraliaNBLNBL - Quarter-finals· RAC Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Perth v Melbourne United
16 Dec 2026
PERT v MELB
upcoming
23 Oct 2026
PERT103
MELB102
07 Mar 2026
PERT95
MELB77
25 Jan 2026
PERT73
MELB74
04 Dec 2025
PERT96
MELB84
01 Mar 2025
PERT96
MELB89
22 Jan 2025
PERT93
MELB99
04 Oct 2024
PERT68
MELB97
13 Oct 2023
PERT81
MELB88
12 Dec 2022
PERT90
MELB89
14 Oct 2022
PERT81
MELB84
04 Apr 2022
PERT75
MELB84
18 Jun 2021
PERT70
MELB73
04 Jun 2021
PERT64
MELB78
13 May 2021
PERT91
MELB99
21 Dec 2019
PERT74
MELB87
05 Oct 2019
PERT94
MELB93
15 Mar 2019
PERT96
MELB67
08 Mar 2019
PERT81
MELB71
20 Jan 2019
PERT84
MELB79
27 Oct 2018
PERT101
MELB96
12 Jan 2018
PERT80
MELB82
20 Oct 2017
PERT89
MELB84
28 Jan 2017
PERT73
MELB71
09 Dec 2016
PERT92
MELB89
29 Jan 2016
PERT85
MELB91
10 Dec 2015
PERT113
MELB83
21 Jan 2015
PERT78
MELB86
09 Nov 2014
PERT68
MELB59
21 Feb 2014
PERT87
MELB75
24 Jan 2014
PERT80
MELB83
21 Feb 2013
PERT78
MELB58
13 Jan 2013
PERT73
MELB58
06 Jan 2012
PERT72
MELB67
14 Oct 2011
PERT92
MELB76
07 Jan 2011
PERT86
MELB93
12 Dec 2010
PERT87
MELB76
23 Jan 2010
PERT94
MELB78
25 Oct 2009
PERT93
MELB90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne United winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
92-87
92
87
+5
no box
H16/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
106-69
106
69
+37
113avg 82
H22/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
73-74
73
74
-1
58avg 82
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
101-93
101
93
+8
97avg 82
H28/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
106-99
106
99
+7
100avg 82
A31/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
98-84
98
84
+14
45avg 82
H06/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
94-75
94
75
+19
91avg 82
H13/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
84-102
84
102
-18
65avg 82
A15/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
86-74
86
74
+12
83avg 82
H20/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
94-111
94
111
-17
93avg 82
A04/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
26-24
21-21
27-29
30-25
24-18
38-13
14-13
24-12
16-26
12-12
21-24
24-32
25-19
26-26
26-16
25-30
23-24
32-20
26-25
22-22
28-18
18-19
30-25
29-19
22-18
25-18
18-20
29-28
16-27
19-24
20-23
19-17
29-17
17-24
21-16
29-35
18-29
17-22
30-25
180.2Avg total
93.4Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)90.986.8177.7+4.162%
Season at home (17)89.784.9174.6+4.859%
Season away (17)92.188.6180.7+3.465%
Last 10 (10)93.486.8180.2+6.670%
Last 5 (5)91.289.2180.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.3101.3179.7-23.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)90.189.9180.0+0.242%
vs Weaker (15)96.183.6179.7+12.587%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
94-97
94
97
-3
86avg 82
A11/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
H17/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
98-66
98
66
+32
98avg 82
H21/01
NBL
Perth
#5
W
74-73
74
73
+1
69avg 82
A25/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
95-97
95
97
-2
88avg 82
A30/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
76-87
76
87
-11
51avg 82
H07/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
72avg 82
A12/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
91-100
91
100
-9
74avg 82
H15/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
95-91
95
91
+4
88avg 82
H19/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
82-68
82
68
+14
81avg 82
H05/03
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
25-30
25-23
21-18
23-21
20-21
18-17
18-18
29-19
28-17
24-14
17-16
12-24
26-16
12-12
24-21
21-28
27-21
25-22
22-26
23-29
16-12
14-26
23-20
19-19
21-27
16-14
33-25
24-29
21-25
18-23
28-23
33-23
19-19
16-30
27-19
15-17
25-14
16-24
26-13
171.4Avg total
87.3Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)91.987.4179.3+4.462%
Season at home (18)91.983.8175.8+8.167%
Season away (16)91.891.5183.2+0.256%
Last 10 (10)87.384.1171.4+3.260%
Last 5 (5)86.686.2172.8+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)90.794.7185.3-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.991.1179.0-3.256%
vs Weaker (18)91.684.8176.4+6.767%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +4.0+4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +4.0+4.0
PerthMelbourne United
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H16/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H22/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H28/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A31/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H06/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H13/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A15/02
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H20/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A04/03
NBL
92.9Avg total
47.6Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.144.391.4+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.141.388.3+5.873%-
Last 30 away (15)47.147.394.4-0.140%-
Last 10 (10)47.645.392.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)48.246.094.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.049.793.7-5.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)47.844.492.2+3.458%-
vs Weaker (15)47.143.190.2+4.167%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A11/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H17/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H21/01
NBL
Perth
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A25/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A30/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H07/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A12/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H15/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H19/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H05/03
NBL
88.7Avg total
45.0Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.844.591.3+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.841.087.8+5.875%-
Last 30 away (14)46.748.695.3-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)45.043.788.7+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.886.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.351.7101.0-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.747.492.1-2.844%-
vs Weaker (18)47.441.989.3+5.567%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.2
57.0%
54.6%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.4
36.3%
33.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.915.3
73.2%
74.8%15.3
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.4
51.1%
54.6%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.510.3
31.7%
33.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.013.8
72.6%
74.8%13.8
They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
LWLWWWWLWW
Melbourne United
WWLWLLWWWL
#5
League position
#4
+7.4
Net rating
+3.0
102.9
Offensive rating
97.6
95.5
Defensive rating
94.6
56.0%
Effective FG%
49.5%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
12.0%
Turnover %
12.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.3%
3-point %
31.7%
60.7%
Assist %
58.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 97.6Defence95.5 · 94.6Shooting56.0% · 49.5%3-point %36.3% · 31.7%Ball care12.0% · 12.3%Off. rebounds- · 36.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Perth   ■ Melbourne United
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Perth wins
8
Melbourne United wins
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26ASouth East Melbourne94-111
20/02/26HAdelaide86-74
15/02/26ASydney84-102
13/02/26HBrisbane Bullets94-75
06/02/26HCairns Taipans98-84
31/01/26AIllawarra Hawks106-99
28/01/26HSouth East Melbourne101-93
25/01/26HMelbourne United73-74
22/01/26HCairns Taipans106-69
16/01/26HIllawarra Hawks92-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26HTasmania JackJumpers82-68
19/02/26HSouth East Melbourne95-91
15/02/26HIllawarra Hawks91-100
12/02/26ACairns Taipans89-85
07/02/26HAdelaide76-87
30/01/26ANew Zealand Breakers95-97
25/01/26APerth74-73
21/01/26HBrisbane Bullets98-66
17/01/26HTasmania JackJumpers79-77
11/01/26ASydney94-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL62%
HomeLWWWW59%
AwayWWWLL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %62%59%65%
Points / game90.989.792.1
Allowed / game86.884.988.6
Point differential+4.1+4.8+3.4
Avg total177.7174.6180.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%35%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)17% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne United
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %62%67%56%
Points / game91.991.991.8
Allowed / game87.483.891.5
Point differential+4.4+8.1+0.2
Avg total179.3175.8183.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)60% (5)71% (7)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney3324973%99.387.2+12.0
2 South East Melbourne34231168%101.092.8+8.2
3 Adelaide34231168%92.688.3+4.4
4 Melbourne United34211362%91.987.4+4.4
5 Perth34211362%90.986.8+4.1
6 Tasmania JackJumpers34142041%86.587.2-0.7
7 New Zealand Breakers34142041%92.193.1-0.9
8 Illawarra Hawks33132039%93.297.1-4.0
9 Cairns Taipans3392427%83.596.8-13.3
10 Brisbane Bullets3362718%82.196.8-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth2222232895
Melbourne United1934101477
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